AFRM trade ideas
AFRM UpdateAffirm - sold and closed out of it today hoping for a gap fill of some sort so I can re-buy. Average cost was $64 on AFRM.
I bought because big time traders were pissing all over it on Twitter but since they dont visit consumer sites - they didn't see it. I saw Affirm logo on many many e-commerce stores and Amazon's big stamp of approval just showed that Affirm is the winner.
I will be honest, I have been very nervous about it from day one but not once thought of selling, instead added on the dip. In fact, I am even questioning why I decided to sell today. Anyways, will rebuy lower if Powell lets me. Neutral at the moment to see what price actions tells me next.
Affirm - Ponzi Pump - Blowoff Top After Double TopPonzi Pogs collapse. With RENT coming due for the nation, the DOLLAR HUNTERS will be out en masse. Only #thegems provide exponential returns now. QUALITY after Covid. Find them and you've beat Mr. Market. Congrats. *valuation matters in rising rates environment. Forward P/Es will get smacked. Profits and Growth today matter most. Hold for Broke, Poggers
#defi disaster
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Digi Dollar wins.
AFRM - Pay later service sustainable?After Apples announcement with Goldman Sachs to offer their own pay later service, AfterPay and Affirm dropped significantly. My initial reaction was that the market was over reacting but then I realized that Apple can be starting a new trend. All companies can soon offer pay later services. Affirm will need to start offering other services for the masses in order to be a high growth company otherwise things could get ugly.
My View on AFRMBe ready for the breakout.
Stop loss below 59.
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This is not financial advice. I'm not a Financial Advisor.
Trading is a high risk, do your own DD.
Let me know what you think
Cheers, I would share all my thought next time.
PEACE.--------------------------------------------
AFRM, LONGViolation of LTB followed by lateral fund accumulation called for attention to this operation
Candle closing above the resistance formed at the 58.00 line increases the probability that the candles will follow towards the first target.
If this occurs, the loss line must be repositioned in the buy position so that the risk of losses in the operation is reduced to zero.
good trades
AFFIRM - 1st Review: on track to reach 1st TargetHello Traders and Investors,
two weeks ago I recommended to go long on AFFIRM based on good fundamentals, but more important
due to a very bullish pattern (Cup & Handle).
And, so far, Affirm has been performing quite well (although not comparable to my likewise recommendation
on The Trade Desk). Nevertheless if market conditions continue favourable AFRM should soon overcome the
1st Target (yellow line) in the Daily Chart around $70,70 and then already go after the 2nd Target around $80.
Here I would then expect some consolidation before going after the 3rd Target around $90.
On the other hand it is important that AFRM does not lose its support at around $60,78 (green line)
as this represents a pivotal turning point and this would most probably trigger a new leg down.
Hope you like this short analysis, and if you want to post a comment sharing your personal view about
Affirm you are welcome to do so.
AFRM Long - Affirm Holdings, Inc. - The Triple Affirmed PlayAFRM Long - Affirm Holdings, Inc. - The Triple Affirmed Play (Flow, Dark pool, and Capital Inflows into Tech)
This long biased thesis is based on the following factors:
An aggressive series of short term bullish call option flow totaling $413.5k with a strike price of $70 coming in within the last 20mins of the day (July 1st) that exceeded Open Interest.
Approximately $20M in dark pool activity placed at key levels mid day. Although we do not know the nature of this we were able to see it act as respected levels through out the day and are currently trading above these levels. Also one of the dark pool prints came in at a respected fib level, further showing consistency with price action. Continued upside price action will further increased the probability that these trades were a buy.
Price action has been consolidating for around two months and is primed for a move, making the timing of the the options flow orders and dark pool activity that much more relevant to an upward move.
Bank of America Flow Show report released today (July 1st) showed an inflow of $1.1bn into the tech sector.
Bank of America comments came out with AFRM as a high conviction short-term recommendation.
Possible Threats:
The $212.62 fib defined level may show support where price action may struggle or bounce from.
Price has been rallying for the last two months and a half and a double top pattern had formed mid June, but continued price action may have already shown the pattern to have met its price potential.
Short term tactical sentiment for the tech sector is coming to an overheated area and a bearish downtrend may soon show up to push tech stocks, in general, downward.
That nature of the large dark pool trades are unknown and can only be inferred.
The July 1st dark pool levels are being used to define the following trade parameters:
Short Entry: price levels above, but in close proximity of the $68.27 (dark pool print)
Stop Loss: The invalidation of the ascending channel support line (conservative) or the break of lower dark pool level of $67.75 (aggressive)
Possible Targets:
$72.81 (currently) - Anchored VWAP (from all time high)
$79.30 - A support / resistance level that has been respected by prior price action
$85 - A fib level that may coincide with a ascending channel resistance line
$96.80 - The 50% retracement fib level from all time highs to all time lows
Other targets can be based on the fib levels show in the chart or by drawing support lines
This thesis/idea is just my opinion based on the information discussed within. None of it should be looked as a recommendation or as financial advice.
AFRM Daily Chart
AFFIRM CUP and HANDLE formation, buy with both HandsHello Traders,
this is my first contribution, hope you'll like it.
First to some basic information:
Affirm is already the US Leader in the so called BNPL (Buy Now, Pay Later) market space.
It is growing at an exceptional high pace thanks to it's experienced CEO Max Levchin (Co-Founder of Pay-Pal). It is highly innovative and pro consumer oriented, which is a good strategy, as it does not take transaction fees, reason why Shopify entered into an exclusive partnership with Affirm. Despite some fierce competition in this space Affirm has been able to sustain its high growth rates translating this into nice Revenue increases and most probably will continue to be able in doing so due to its great leadership and market position.
Now to the technicals:
The 1h CandleStick Chart shows a very clear CUP and Handle Formation, which is a very bullish sign.
Also the last relevant resistance to be overcome at around $65,50 is gone right now and therefore this is a very good moment to buy some shares if you consider a 3 to 6 month time range. First goal would be retest the $100 and if it is able to overcome this range it could easily retest its previous ATH at around $140.