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CELSIUS HOLDINGS INCCELSIUS HOLDINGS INCCELSIUS HOLDINGS INC

CELSIUS HOLDINGS INC

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CELH trade ideas

6/12/24 - $celh - love 2 own. but need greedier entry mid 50s6/12/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:CELH - this one seems to be topical bc of the potential energy drink ban in UK that could be determined by political wins in a month. while i don't think the stock should/will only move on this news, it's notable and also concerning that this is being sold on a day like today where risk is up. my sense is there's a rotation to cheaper more beaten up names in the staples universe. look at NASDAQ:LULU for instance. found a floor, "passed" earnings test. still not cheap (arguably better risk/reward here than CELH, but for a diff day to explain), but also being dumped. that's the blue chip clothing co. so what do you pay for CELH growing 30% PA with no obvious end in sight, a nice tasting product i must say (even as a non-energy drink drinker lol i like black coffee, i had to try it to see the hype!)... 1. trades like a tech co with worse gross margins (50-60%) vs. tech at 70-80% (software that is). that's fine - maybe these come up over time, but it's not tech 2. not such a big deal to point out the mr. obvious comment above except for that it trades w/ software-like ev/ sales multiples at 8x. again. not cheap. 3. what about cash? well dilution is less an issue here unlike software (that's great!) and if we can give credit for even 300-350 mm in FCF (perhaps it's higher, but let's be conservative) that's 2.5+% yield which while sub-5% "risk free" rate... is again growing 30% pa and probably cheap. conclusion: this stock is a buy. if you were to theoretically buy it today, you probably make money into YE and in '25. but the chart remains sketch, you have this regulatory overhang, risk STILL remains stretched (GENERALLY! even if we got a favorable CPI print). so even tho i'm still 60% positions 40% cash... i'm treading lightly across the board. and so i'll either buy this in the mid 50s (ideally low 50s) or if it just course corrects from here and goes higher... i'll miss it and find another spot to engage, even if it's at a higher level. rule #1 is don't lose money. so i don't see the greatest setup here and won't buy the dip. but i am long-biased. gl to the holders. V
NASDAQ:CELH
by VROCKSTAR
11
Desirable Zone for CelsiusI know Celsius has come under scrutiny recently due to expected lower sales and economic state of the U.S. This has left a lot of people to think that Celsius has become less then desirable as shown by the heavy price drop. One thing we can see is that there were two zones of previous consolidation that lie around where price is now. So not only is Celsius as a huge discount for something that has had great success the past two years, but also the fact that the area it is entering now could see fresh buyers (like me) trying to enter around these two orderblocks. Let me know what you guys think!
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by The_Estonian_
1
$CELH great R/RDespite the indicators showing a downtrend in the stock, I believe that the risk/reward ratio for NASDAQ:CELH is quite favourable. Why? The risk is mostly mitigated; even if the company reports less-than-stellar results, this is already factored into the price. However, if it does report even slightly better than anticipated results, we might witness a rally. Take note of the bullish divergence between the price and the MACD-Histogram. What are your thoughts? Do you anticipate further decline or a potential bounce from this point?"
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by WavesInvesting
Celsius sell off creates entry opportunityCelsius could be worth 100 or more again in the next 5 years, and the lower it falls the greater the opportunity. Analysts expects CELH to earn 3.08 in 5 years. Using PE multiples of 20 and 40, Celsius could be worth 60 to 130 dollars. I could see a scenarios where the short term momentum bubble pops in Celsius and a sell off continues to find support lower than the current price in the high 40s. The lower the better for investors looking to enter in for long term holding. Buying Celsius now at 49 would possibly only slight beat the sp500, but with high risk. Celsius has something like a 2.2% earnings yield, so its price richly with high expectations of the future growth we speak about. Something closer to 4-5% earnings yield would be a better risk reward.
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by ValuePig
1
$CELH - Celsius Bull Run Starts Again?NASDAQ:CELH Hey everyone! I've identified an ascending channel pattern on the Celsius weekly chart that started in 2022 (see weekly chart below) and has been playing out perfectly since then. When the price reaches the channel's bottom line, it reverses, and a bull run begins again. On the weekly chart, the price holds on the lower line and 100 EMA perfectly and bounces back up. UT Bot indicator gave a buy signal on the daily chart, and I think there is over a 50% profit opportunity. That's why I believe a swing-long trade would be perfect! Weekly chart:
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by cumacevik
5
Celsius Slides 2.7% as it Missed Wall Street ExpectationsCelsius Holdings Inc. ( NASDAQ:CELH ) shares fell by 2.7% in early trading on Tuesday after the energy-drink maker's quarterly sales reached a record, yet still missed Wall Street expectations. The company, which had more than doubled over the past year, dropped as much as 18% in trading before US markets opened. If that carries into regular hours, the company would be set for its biggest intraday loss in three years. Celsius ( NASDAQ:CELH ) is in the midst of a global expansion with drinks touted to speed up the body's energy use while burning fat. Some concerns have emerged about ingredients such as caffeine, and the company has recommended that users drink no more than two cans of the product daily. In the first quarter of 2024, revenue for the first quarter increased 37% to $355.7 million compared to $259.9 million for the prior year period. This increase was driven primarily by the North American business and the company's success in sustaining consumer demand growth, delivering unique innovation, and overall channel growth. However, inventory movements within the largest distributor led to an approximate $20 million impact in the first quarter 2024 versus the fourth quarter, while first quarter of 2023 revenue benefited from an inventory buildup of approximately $25 million. Ongoing inventory fluctuations may be expected in subsequent quarters because the largest distributor constituted 62% of Celsius' total North American sales during the first quarter of 2024. International sales of $16.2 million increased 43% from $11.3 million for the prior-year period, driven by ongoing velocity improvements and product launches. Gross profit for the first quarter of 2024 increased 60% to $182.2 million compared to $113.8 million for the prior-year quarter. Diluted earnings per share for the first quarter increased 108% to $0.27 compared to $0.13 for the prior-year period, driven by improvements in gross margin and leverage across SG&A. Celsius ( NASDAQ:CELH ) held an 11.5% share in the energy drink category in total U.S. MULOC for the last four weeks ended April 14, 2024, a one-point increase over the prior quarter and approximately four points higher than one year ago. Sugar-free segment sales in the first quarter were approximately 50% of the energy drink category. Average SKUs per retailer increased in the first quarter of 2024 to 20.6 from 13.5 in the prior-year period. Growth drivers for Celsius include club channel sales in the quarter ended March 31, 2024, sales on Amazon, case volume in the food service channel, and innovation and marketing. Sales of Celsius Essentials continue to exceed expectations, with 54.5% ACV and 4.1 average items sold per store. International expansion plans include sales in Canada, Australia, France, Ireland, New Zealand, and the United Kingdom. Sales in the UK and Ireland began in April through the fitness channel and in select gyms. Sales in Australia, France, and New Zealand are expected to begin in the fourth quarter of this year with broadening reach throughout 2025.
NASDAQ:CELH
by DEXWireNews
Unleashing Potential: Strategic Growth And Innovation Of CelsiusCelsius® is a company that was founded in April 2004. It has benefited from the high demand for healthy products without artificial ingredients. It constantly innovates as it expands its portfolio with its scientifically proven beverage lines, and its presence consolidates in the US and reaches international levels. The price performance results in significant progress in market capitalization, leading to its exit from the Russell 2000 index.  Performance against the S&P 500: Next, I present my investment thesis based on what you believe about a company. The Seeking Alpha portal data was essential for me to have felt the growth trajectory of it. The analysis focused on specific aspects that indicate the expansive potential of the organization. CELH is adding to a considerably higher financial challenge compared to an industry median across multiple metrics: Source: Seeking Alpha The table showed a detailed view of CELH's financial and operational indicators, which stand out both in relation to the sector average and the company's historical design in recent years. Including aspects such as profit margins, profitability of capital and assets, CAPEX allocation, efficiency and liquidity. It is superior in several areas, mainly in Revenue Growth where it stood out with 227%. Considering this information, profit margins also stand out, as shown by the sector's median indicator, in relation to the CELH percentage, good indexes, etc., exceeding industry expectations and highlighting the effectiveness of management in producing value. The increase in profits is also highlighted in the free cash flow per share, added to the share price performance in 2023, along with the growth in ROE and the operating cash flow growth indicator, showing a remarkable growth outlook. CAPEX is what catches my attention the most, because there was a reduction in business expenses of US$ 17.43 million from the US$ 8.26 million reached a year ago, looking at the performance of other years. Qualitative analysis: Deepening the qualitative analysis of the company, I will list points that interpret directly from the 2023 annual report. The organization relies on the experience and commitment of John Fieldly, who, as president and CEO, sets the direction and improves the efficiency of the Celsius holding. The team is made up of: Jarrod Langhans, as CFO, manages finances and supports growth. Tony Guilfoyle, commercial director. Kyle Watson, marketing director. Toby David, team leader. Paul Storey oversees the supply chain. Rich Mattessich looks after legal and compliance. Robin Lybeck and Ronnie Char manage operations in Europe and Asia. Danielle Babich focuses on human capital development. And finally Brant P. Burchfield on sustainable growth. It has also become more solid in the drinks market by creating alliances with important figures in the sector such as AB InBev, Keurig Dr Pepper and Molson Coors. But the main one is PepsiCo (PEP), resulting in an investment of $550 million. Source: Yahoo Finance, Annual Reports Risks: It is important to highlight that the company, as interesting as it is, has considerable risks and this ends up having an impact in the long term. We will analyze the risks and opportunities below based on the 2023 annual report: Celsius runs the risk of damaging its brand reputation and losing consumer confidence due to product quality problems, negative publicity or changes in consumer preferences. The drinks sector has been very fierce and the possible emergence of other competitors could be a risk, negatively affecting its market share and possibly the company's profits. In addition, the company has faced difficulties in expanding into new markets, including the fact that other countries are bound by trade barriers and bureaucratic regulations. There is concern about a company's cybersecurity. With the increase in attacks and the dependence on information technology to carry out their operations, as well as data breaches and exposure that cause reputational damage; as well as loss of intellectual property and sanctions and fines for not following compliance. Also mentioned in the annual report, another concern is recalls, which pose risks to brands and regulations. Source: Annual Reports Based on my qualitative analysis of the annual report and what I consider to be the company's direction, it seems that it is investing in seizing opportunities in the energy drinks market, especially through strategies with partner companies, such as the partnership with Pepsi, which operates in a very divided environment.However, unnecessary dependence on the partnership represents a significant risk, as any change of mood between them could cause significant financial damage. In addition, the company must continue to modernize its product range to satisfy the growing needs of consumers and not just limit itself to the local market, which in this case is the United States, but also expand its product range to other countries. Fundamental analysis: The data shows good progress in its financial health, as evidenced by the consistent growth in its assets from 2020 to 2023. This increase shows continued advancement and planned investments in resources and business opportunities. Net equity also increased, reflecting the company's ability to generate profits and attract investment, strengthening its financial base and market position. The company's total capitalization indicates balanced financing management, combining debt and equity. However, it is important to maintain debt management at viable levels to maintain financial stability. Increased working capital shows good management of financial resources, increasing the company's ability to meet short-term obligations and finance daily operations. Total debt stability is positive as long as the company maintains a good balance between debt and equity. Market Opinion Technical Analysis: I will now complement our study with technical analyses. This method is based on the market's trading volume, and to facilitate understanding. I will present a legend that simplifies the analysis, making it clear and concise. Our focus will be on aspects that are aligned with the company's fundamentals, avoiding numbers or patterns that do not add value to the analysis. Investment decisions are made after an in-depth analysis of assets, where investors look for advantages or discrepancies in fundamentals, or data that does not correspond to the company's reality. Hot and cold candlesticks act as a thermometer to assess the buying and selling transactions that occurred during the trading week. The volume indicator includes the delta variation between buyers and sellers, representing the active flow of assets. e observe an ascending channel with rising tops and bottoms, indicating that the market retreated with a lower seller flow than the last buyer, thus forming an accumulation band. There is also a notable buyer dominance over the years. Sales volumes appear to be related to profit making or batches that were not continued. With the recent rise, along with the Nasdaq index, we anticipate that the market may pull back before resuming the upward trend. look at the caption: Take a look at the image below: Analyzing some articles that talk about Celsius, both are very recent. which discusses the company's rise in relation to Monster and Redbull, and the text emphasizes that even after Celsius' growth, it may suffer a slight slowdown, despite showing a good valuation, and also expresses concern about the company's premium valuation and its ability to sustain growth to justify it. Furthermore, the author projects growth for the company, but is quite cautious about this. I agree with both opinions and, in fact, the technical analysis they perform complements the pullback view, although they complement each other. What we have to observe is that combining performance and profit, cutting expenses, combined with the boom in the NASDAQ index, we can see a good opportunity to continue buying a company. However, for those who are buying now, they need to be very careful because it is at the top and a correction in the channel's VWAP could occur. Market concerns about Celsius being overbought could drag it to the $42 region before the market resumes its upward trend. I believe that this corrective wave in the market can occur even if the company delivers good numbers, which is normal for any stock.
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by Victoredbr
2