DISNEY IS UNDERVALUED!Multiple factors converging to deliver alpha!
DIS is undervalued by 22% according to latest MorningStar research and 24% below the average of 23 Etrade analysts PT of $117.5, implying 32% upside. Disney hasn't been cheaper on an EV/EBITDA ratio since June 2019. On a Price/Sales valuation it hasn't been this cheap since April 2012!
Technical Analysis shows that SP is currently 42-35% below the 50 and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements. Recommended 1.82 out of 5 as a buy, w/ 1 being the highest on FINVIZ. DIS FWD PE of 17.93 is higher than sector but also 57% below Disney's own 5 year average FWD PE.
Disney has accelerated revenue growth at 15.5% YoY and reached profitability w/ ESPN+ and other streaming services.
Buy now before the everyone else does!
DIS trade ideas
DIS - Disney: this is a buy in my opinion. Right now, right hereTrading at 30% below estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 21% per year
Earnings grew by 108% over the past year
Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 29%
Disney Announces Massive Theme Parks, Cruise Expansion at D23
Notably, the company has committed to invest a cool $60 billion in its parks over the next decade as it tries to maintain its lead over competitors.
Wall Street analysts are quite bullish on Disney stock, despite its dismal price action. The stock has a consensus rating of “Strong Buy,” while its mean target price of $119.43 is almost 39% higher than yesterday’s closing prices. The stock even trades below its Street-low target price of $100, while the Street-high target price of $140 represents an upside potential of about 63%.
Disney in weekly chart Hello again
I just published my idea about Disney and now I want to share it in weekly chart.
My friends, I am not sure if this cycle bearish trend goes true or not because wave 2/B can make more complex pattern and then falls. What is important for us is to get Confirmations/Invalidations.
Wait for the break out of dynamic and static support lines so if this idea is wrong and trend reverses to bullish market, then you wont lose a cent.
Thanks
75: Disney Stock Analysis and Outlook with Levels and ScenariosDisney has been experiencing mixed results in its recent earnings, reflecting both strong progress in streaming profitability and ongoing challenges in its theme park operations. The stock is now approaching a crucial zone between $80 to $90, which is a point of interest for potential reversal. Here's a breakdown of possible scenarios:
Bullish Scenario :
If Disney can hold and reverse in the $80-$90 zone, we could see a rebound driven by continued strength in streaming, especially if fundamentals improve further. The company’s recent milestone of achieving profitability in streaming earlier than expected is a positive indicator. If Disney can sustain and build on this, combined with strategic investments in new content and attractions, the stock may attract buyers and see a move back towards higher resistance levels.
Bearish Scenario :
However, if Disney fails to hold this key $80-$90 support zone, we could see the price move lower, with the next areas of interest at $65 and potentially $50. The theme parks’ underperformance and increasing operational costs are key risks. If these challenges persist without a significant recovery in fundamentals, particularly in visitor numbers or cost management, further downside pressure on the stock is likely.
Technical Outlook:
- Support Levels: $80-$90 (Key zone), $65, $50
- Resistance Levels: $111, $145
The upcoming price action in the $80-$90 zone will be critical in determining the next major move for $DIS. Keeping an eye on both the technical levels and fundamental developments will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
Short Idea WaltDisney (3-6 months) Fundamental
- Doe to stress in the market and a upcoming recession wich came obvious the past days.
We have seen disney suffered a lot and it's not far from over.
- If the recession will appear the market disney's earing will suffer. Wich will turn the stock into a negative earnings return spiral.
- We see a lot of distrust under investors for a longer period, this combination with the current situation will make things worse.
Disney Faces Mixed Fortunes On Fiscal Third quarter ResultsWalt Disney Co. (NYSE: NYSE:DIS ) recently reported mixed results for its fiscal third quarter, revealing a challenging landscape ahead. While the company achieved significant milestones in its streaming services, the theme park business faces headwinds that could impact future profitability.
Key Financial Highlights
- Earnings per share (EPS): $1.39, beating analysts’ expectations of $1.19
- Revenue: $23.2 billion, slightly above forecasts of $23.1 billion
- Total segment operating income: Increased by 19% to $4.225 billion
- Entertainment unit operating income: Nearly tripled due to streaming success
Streaming Triumph
Disney’s streaming segment, comprising Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, turned a profit for the first time, a quarter ahead of projections. This success was driven by subscription revenue growth due to price increases and a slight rise in Disney+ Core subscribers to 118.3 million. Hulu also saw subscriber growth, reaching 51.1 million. The streaming business posted an operating profit of $47 million, a significant turnaround from the $512 million loss in the same period last year.
Theme Parks Struggle
Despite the streaming success, Disney's theme parks and experiences segment reported a decline in operating income by 3%. The company warned of a "moderation in demand" at its U.S. parks, which is expected to continue into the next few quarters. Revenue for the overall experiences unit, which includes domestic and international parks and consumer products, increased by 2% to $8.386 billion. However, operating income for U.S. parks decreased by 6%, with international parks seeing a modest 2% increase.
Market Reaction and Future Outlook
Disney’s stock fell by 3% following the announcement, reflecting investor concerns over the slowing demand at theme parks. CFO Hugh Johnston mentioned that operating income at the parks is expected to drop by "mid single-digits" in the fiscal fourth quarter. This moderation is partly attributed to the economic slowdown in the U.S. and global uncertainties affecting travel and tourism.
The present valuation of Disney stock (NYSE: NYSE:DIS ) demonstrates a 1.49% decline, accompanied by a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 33.90, indicating an oversold status. A descending wedge pattern is evident on the daily price chart, succeeding a prolonged ascending wedge pattern.
Ben Barringer, a technology and media analyst at Quilter Cheviot, highlighted the broader economic concerns impacting the travel and recreation sectors. He noted that the slowing demand at Disney parks mirrors trends seen in other travel companies, indicating consumers are tightening their spending on tourism and recreation.
Strategic Investments
Despite the current challenges, Disney remains committed to its theme park business, planning to invest approximately $60 billion over the next decade. This investment aims to drive innovation and enhance the visitor experience, ensuring long-term growth and competitiveness.
Industry Trends
Disney’s theme park performance reflects broader industry trends. Competitor Comcast has also reported pressure on its Universal theme parks due to increased competition from cruises and international tourism. Both companies remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of their park businesses, focusing on strategic investments to counteract current challenges.
Conclusion
Disney's third-quarter results highlight a company navigating through mixed fortunes. The streaming segment’s profitability marks a significant achievement, demonstrating Disney's adaptability to changing consumer preferences. However, the theme park business faces hurdles that require strategic investments and innovative approaches to sustain growth. As Disney continues to invest in its core strengths, the market will watch closely to see how it balances streaming success with theme park challenges.
Disney Support Rejection At $88.63 06.08.2024Apply risk management
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Disclaimer
Disney heading to zero? Disney has really turned off a lot of people over the years. With everything from several staff (many) involved in pedo-rings to terrible movies by Rian round-head Johnson and Kathleen Kennedy. Disney cruises frequented the area right near Epstein island to over-reported revenues by 10s of billions.
Is Disney going to break the trend-line and tank? ..ultimately leading to the selling off of assets, splitting up this massive monopoly on terrible/ stupid movies and stopping further destruction of Fox Studio's and Pixar's reputation?
God! I hope so, I'm so sick of hearing about or reading Disney's name on over-priced Star Wars toys that won't ever sell!
This company needs to dissolve. If you agree, hit the like and subscribe as well as the notification bell!
Very interesting chart pattern over the years. The bottom wants to touch then comes back to touch, the top is consistent with the line. Will it breakdown this go-around??
DIS: Moving into correction territory?Disney moves closer to its 50 year support. Touched on THREE times. Last time being Oct. of 2023. Recently, money has been moving into small cap stocks due to the expectation of the FED cutting rates in September. Since July of 2015, Almost 10 years, Disney is down ~26%. Even worse performance in the past 5 years, ~40%.
Aside from current macro conditions, which I think can be a catalyst for sooner rather than later downward pressure, I believe investors will have to decide if they're willing to wait any longer to recoup their investments. Given how Disney has been treating it's fan base, destroying its brand, and with no intentions of turning back to its roots, we will see further break down of the stock price in the short to mid term. Down to 80 soon?
$DIS one last dance around $100 NYSE:DIS is compelling. Has been stuck in this channel dating all the way back to 2014. Hard to imagine that if you invested around 2014-2015, you're likely still sitting around your cost basis, but I guess that will happen when you have zero direction.
Broke through it's previous resistance ~ $100 after previous earnings and is down big today after a major rejection at a decade long EQ. I
think NYSE:DIS is a great play, if we get the chance to enter around that level.
If we tag $100, we're likely going to enter a longer term bag.
$DIS - back to $90s supportChart is cracked and headed back to $90 support range. Fell through current fib level, is outside o regression channel which shows it could slow it's drop down a bit with some minor recoveries back to key support levels inbetween the 90-91 range
Not much of a fun trade here just watching
not trade advice
DIS which way will it go?Disneyland’s largest union coalition overwhelmingly voted to authorize a strike Friday, July 19 as Disney negotiators and union officials prepare to head back to the bargaining table. I think this stock could recover around $92.76 which it has recovered before a few times going back to 2015. 200 EMA is where the $92 mark is on the monthly view and the RSI seems to bounce on the line I draw on my chart. If the price does recover at $92, it can swing up to 103.63 and as high as 117.89 if earnings are good. If the workers decide to strike into earnings, the stock could go as low as $71.
Disney: Test Of StrengthOn the Disney chart, bulls and bears are currently engaged in a trial of strength within our magenta Target Zone (between $101.24 and $88.36). The price has already tested the 61.80% retracement once, but has since remained above this level. Primarily, we expect further sell-offs and, accordingly, a lower low of the magenta wave (2) in our Target Zone. Once this low is set, the stock should turn upward in order to continue the current upward trend. However, we now consider it 37% likely that the magenta wave alt.(2) has already been completed and that the stock will break out directly above the resistance at $110.62.
Walt Disney Company - Trend AssessmnentI do concentrate only on trend assessment so traders could make a sequence of profitable trades to exploit full trend capacity.
Arguments:
1. Primary trend is bearish (red channel). It is a fact until it is broken and confirmed. The secondary one is bullish (green channel).
2. The price is consolidating above and near MA200 and longer ones.
3. Regarding Ichimoku Cloud: we have crossed Kumo red cloud and started consolidating above. We also should anticipate green cloud acting as support.
3. ROC and Chaikin Money Flow: above zero line and confirming continuation.
4. BB Trend got into green zone. it's been red for the last three years.
5. Positive outlook on inflation and therefore FED's decision.
6. OBV: no indications of bearish divergence.
7. Squeeze Momentum Indicator: no indications of divergences.
It is just a trend assessment, so you do your own job constructing your trades around the trend if it is substantiated.
DIS: Will continue to trend downAside from a number of negative technical indicators, unless there are major fundamental changes in Disney, customers will continue to become fed-up and frustrated with Disney's stance on how it produces content. While Disney's moat is no doubt large, this only means the breakdown in confidence will only be slower moving, yet assuredly it is weakening.
Should this trend continue, I think it is not out of the question we find support in the mid 40s in the coming year or so .