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$F Who'd of Guessed Over 150% Gain in Sleepy Stock Ford?There may be much more in store for this "New" EV play. Ford would have been a hard hold for me to catch this gain in a year. However, it seems to be setting up for another run. I know, I have a lot of lines here. But, I'm looking for $F to break out of this consolidation area and make another run. This may be a good one for your watch list. I'm interested when / if it crosses the short term downtrend line next week. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
NYSE:FLong
by jaxdog
6
$F / Long through a VCPScan Criteria Does this stock meet my 8 point scan criteria? Yes Structural Checklist 1. Can a proven price patterns be identified? Yes, a VCP 2. Is the 50D SMA trending up? Yes 3. Has price moved >20% since its last consolidation? Yes 4. Is the weekly RS above its Zero Line? Yes 5. Does price action suggest the stock is consolidating / digesting the recent price move? Yes 6. Is the price consolidation longer > 20 days? Yes 7. Has price volatility contracted from left to right? Yes 8. Has volume volatility contracted from left to right? Yes 9. Are there visible signs of demand within the base? Yes 10. Are there visible signs supply has been absorbed? Yes Pivot Buy Point (Last 3 Bars) 1. Is there a visible Tight Zone? Yes 2. Have there been 3 Tight Closes? Yes (2) 3. Has there been a Constructive 3 Bar Correction? No 4. Is there a Bullish Inside Bar? No AND 1. Has volume dropped dramatically? Yes 2. Can risk be managed under 8% in one of 3 ways? Yes Other Notes 1. Note made of the the distribution day on December 16th, Supply still present above 20.50. Scan Score (Minimum 8/8) All Trading Dirty stocks have a Scan Score of 8 Structural Score (Minimum 7/10) 10 Entry Score (Minimum 1/4 then 2/2) 4
NYSE:FLong
by TradingDirty
Ford Set To Race HigherFord (F) has been doing a dance with the ORANGE zone for about a month now. I'm expecting prices to hold above 20.27 and definitely 19.21 (stop-loss) on the path to higher levels. ------------- In Trading, Objectivity Trumps Subjectivity “Every trader is a steaming hot bowl of bias stew and must maintain self-awareness and lucidity behind the screens as the trading day oscillates between boredom and terror.” The above quote is from a good friend of mine and veteran FX trader Brent Donnelly. It completely nails the biggest challenge for new and even experienced traders: being as objective as possible when making trading decisions. Yes, as you become more experienced, subjectivity, market feel and experience are part of one’s decision-making matrix, but early on you do not have that luxury. If you start each day knowing that price action in the market is random it will remind you to think objectively. There are, however, repeatable patterns that occur again and again…..it’s your job to identify them. That’s where Support & Resistance levels come in. Definitions: “Support” and “Resistance” Levels Many technical indicators and tools can be subjective and challenging to learn. This is not the case with support and resistance levels. Support and resistance are terms for two price levels on a chart that appear to limit the security’s range of movement. The “support level” is where the price regularly stops falling and bounces up. The “resistance level” is where the price normally stops rising and dips back down. The more frequently a price hits either level, the more reliable that level is likely to be in predicting future price movements. Understanding Support and Resistance Levels Remember, the more informed and objective we can be with numbers, the more confident we can be with our trades. That’s important because, although price action is random (a fact that has been proven time and time again), there are repeatable patterns we can use to get an edge. Two of those objective data points we can use to gain an edge are support and resistance levels. These are two of the best tools we have when it comes to swing trading. Why? Because they give us strong data points that suggest where an instrument is likely (and unlikely) to go. But this is really key: Arbitrarily cataloging each price level that appears to be relevant as a support or resistance level isn’t going to get you far. That’s why Aspen Trading takes a unique approach to support and resistance levels. With Aspen’s Support & Resistance Levels, we measure where trades (prices) occur in terms of frequency. This gives us a sense of where market participants are wagering prices may go. That’s about as raw and unfiltered as you can get in terms of displaying what has taken place. There’s no room for interpretation - this is raw data that can be used to get a sense of where prices may be heading. Learning The “Four Sets” of Support and Resistance Levels There are four sets of support and resistance levels that are part of Aspen Trading’s S/R framework. Each set of support and resistance levels is unique to a specified period of time. We display each of them in different colors on our charts when we analyze trades to make it easy for us to understand the data as we get comfortable reading charts. You’ll see each of these levels on display in the charts that follow below. The four sets of support and resistance levels are classified as follows: There are four sets of support and resistance levels that are displayed by Aspen Trading’s S/R Analysis Tool. Each one is unique to a specified period of time that we then display directly on the chart. The levels are classified as follows - Intra-day & short-term traders love the GREEN levels - Swing traders gravitate towards the ORANGE levels - Medium-term traders like to see RED - And those longer-term folks dig PURPLE IMPORTANT: These lines will change/adjust until the end of the specified observation period is complete. Once the observation period is complete, that range will then be displayed on the chart as a set of dotted lines that is shaded in to serve as a reference point for traders to know the key levels from the prior lookback period. This can often be very helpful. What’s the distinction between the 4 color levels? Essentially think of these levels on a rising scale of importance. While GREEN levels are certainly key, they do not hold the same level of significance as the PURPLE levels.
NYSE:FLong
by AspenTrading
F/TSLA Beta Hedge , Just took a small starter in this trade .I think that there is a good possibility that , with Farley at the helm at Ford , which has also recently broken out of a 20 year base and just on Friday ( Dec 10th, 2021) broke out of a smaller base too, that we will likely begin to see F outperform TSLA . I am not saying that TSLA is going to capitulate or anything like that , but I am betting that Ford is going to become a pretty notable challenger for EV dominance and give TSLA a run for its leader status in the industry . I think that TSLA is going to have some difficulties keeping the same levels of growth up we have seen in its former years and whereas Ford is just getting started in the EV sector really and that is currently not priced in well to it's share price. So, I personally believe that the market is very inefficient in pricing Fords true value but that it eventually will correct this inefficiency . I could be wrong but even if I am , this trade probably has a pretty low probability of loss overall . I like the market caps vs share price of the two . TSLA - $ 966.55 per share with a cap of 979 billion . F - $ 20.68 per share with a cap of 89 billion . Ford is a sleeping giant here . Also , I really like Farley too and that's a big part of why I have high hopes for Fords future . Nothing against Musk either :) This is about making money though and I think it's a trade that has potential for profit greater than loss . If this goes the way I am hoping I will add when it shows us some more strength in the highlighted area on the chart .
NYSE:FLong
by NAK1987
2
Fakeout city on F 🦉Hello traders! today I will be going over what a fakeout breakout is and why Its important to wait for resistance to break AND hold if you are playing the breakout. What is a fakeout breakout? this occurs when the price has a nice move past a strong resistance or support zone! but quickly goes back where it was before :( On my ford chart I pointed out how it has had fakeout breakouts to both sides! I hope you learned something/enjoyed this post! like and follow for more 💘
NYSE:F
by Vibranium_Capital
5
F ATH Break Weekly Options PlayDescription F has chopped around in this congestion pattern, a Rectangle, for 31 days following it's ATH run-up after the break on 28OCT. The Rectangle carries the same price implications as the Symmetrical Triangle, representing an equal balance between buyers and sellers, until one side eventually wins out and pushes the price beyond the upper or lower boundary indicating a shift in supply & demand. This particular rectangle is confined in a very tight range, slightly broadening and displays descending volume throughout (good indication of proper congestion pattern). Although the broadening is characteristic of the current market environment, this weakens the general technical strength of the pattern. Using Long Calls to maintain a positive vega. Long Call Levels on Chart SL < 20.5 PT : No price target set for the ATH , looking for a sharp move. The entry is a daily close over 20.5 . *Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss The Trade BUY 12/31 21C R/R & Breakevens vary on fill. Manage Risk Only invest what you are willing to lose
NYSE:FLong
by BarnardR
2
Which pattern could be more effective?At the first glance, You may find both patterns correct and justify both! But adding ATR to the chart may reveal the hidden truth! ATR only measures volatility and not the direction of an asset's price. Pattern 1: Broadening Formation or Megaphone What Is a Broadening Formation? A broadening formation is a price chart pattern identified by technical analysts. It is characterized by increasing price volatility and diagrammed as two diverging trend lines, one rising and one falling. It usually occurs after a significant rise, or fall, in the action of security prices. It is identified on a chart by a series of higher pivot highs and lower pivot lows. Pattern 2: Corrction/consolidation In this situation, we expect lower changes in ATR readings! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. Reference Articles: www.investopedia.com www.investopedia.com www.investopedia.com
NYSE:FEducation
by Moshkelgosha
2