FXI trade ideas
FXI large weekly base forming $38/$42...options details belowChina (FXI) afternoon buying in August $44 calls for 8,990 contracts $2.15 to $2.18 right into the close. FXI large weekly base forming $38/$42 that measures up to a $46 target, also would retest the key 2018 breakdown and be a 50% retracement.
Expect more downside on FXI Basically, FXI trade in a wide range in the last 10 years, as shown in the chart. Although valuation seems cheap after -20%+ slump in 2018, I suggestion investors take cautions when considering investing in this mainland ETF, as economic slowdown show no sign of abating. the fundamentals of China's growth has stretched far and exhausted because of high debt and capital misallocation. Government has been scrambling to bump up the economy since summer, while the central bank has take a more accommodating monetary policy ,but I consider these measures will take some time to substantiate.
TRADE IDEA: FXI MAR/DEC 36/42 UPWARD CALL DIAGONALA bet that -- at some point going forward -- the U.S. and China will reach a meaningful trade agreement ... .
Metrics:
Max Profit on Setup: 2.00/contract
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect on Setup: 4.00/contract
Break Even: 40.00
Debit Paid to Spread Width Ratio: 4/6 (67%)
Theta: .51
Delta: 43.91
Notes: Roll short call out on significant loss of value (50% max, generally); start to look to take profit at 50% of max.
Short FXI along with SPY for a correction (Week of Sept 25)FXI had a strong week bounced off weekly cloud. The bounce is much due to USDHKD weakness as PBOC stepped in to intervene the weakening HKD. However, that costs foreign reserve and its not sustainable. With my idea of short SPY the next week. The bounce should fade away.
Weekly we can see a wide green bar but with volume lower than last week. This is either short covering or bears waiting to short at higher level. I suspect it will go down along with the falling widened wedge to test green cloud support. After that, just like SPY, a strong buying opportunity all the way to the top, where the peak will be set.
China and U.S trade news just came out this weekend. Suppose buy rumor sell the news. The rumor previously was bought and my thought is the news will be sold.
I linked to my previous short FXI idea. It is still in play, although a decent bounce.