MDB trade ideas
MongoDB (MDB) Stock Analysis – Bearish Trend with Potential ReveBearish Case
Breakdown Below $223.52: Key support lost, confirming a downtrend.
RSI (32.65): Near oversold but no rebound yet.
Stochastic (5.60): Oversold but no bullish crossover.
Downside Targets:
$187.65: Next support.
$135.15: Major historical support if further decline continues.
Bullish Case
Oversold Conditions: If RSI drops below 30, a reversal bounce could occur.
Trendline Support: Long-term trendline near $180 could trigger a bounce.
Short-Covering Potential: Reclaiming $223-$235 may drive a push to $256-$267.
Selling Pressure: High volume at $223-$235, reclaiming is crucial for bulls.
Strong Support: I likely at $180-$187.
50-day MA ($267) below 200-day MA ($322) – death cross confirms downtrend.
Shorter EMAs declining, reinforcing bearish bias.
Short-term bias: Bearish unless price stabilizes above $223.
Key levels to watch:
Downside: $187 → $180 → $135.
Upside (if reversal happens): $223 → $235 → $267.
Trading Strategy:
Bulls: Look for support confirmation at $180-$187.
Bears: Watch for rejection at $223-$235 to continue short bias
3/6/25 - $mdb - Becoming interesting <$2003/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MDB
Becoming interesting <$200
- returning to the scene of the crime
- we're about 5-6x sales, what's a turn between friends
- big SBC is what always keeps me meh on software unless i know it well... but they put up decent results/ guide "pass" let's say - we've seen worse
- got unlucky reporting on a day like today, so factor that in
- i'd suggest if the fake and gey jobs report tmr sends us in a tailspin (who know tbh what's good, what's bad etc.)... and you see this bite the dust into tmr and in a follow up next week we've probably reached a floor
- i'm not in a hurry to buy it , but let's respect that gap from late '22
169.69 in honor of the edgelord elon and i jump in
stay safe out there my friends. environment sucks, we r all Neo in final boss mode. stay alive, no hero moves. know what you own. size manage. this too shall pass.
V
$MDB: MongoDB Inc. – Data Dynamo or Overreaction Bust?(1/9)
Good evening, tech fiends! 🌙 NASDAQ:MDB : MongoDB Inc. – Data Dynamo or Overreaction Bust?
MongoDB’s Q4 crushed it with $548.4M revenue, but a soft FY2026 outlook tanked the stock. Is this a market meltdown or a golden buy? Let’s unpack the chaos! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Q4 FY2025: Revenue hit $548.4M, up 20% YoY 💰
• Earnings: EPS $1.28 smashed $0.66 estimate 📏
• Context: Stock dropped 16-20% post-guidance 🌟
It’s a rollercoaster—strong now, shaky later! ⚡
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: No exact price today, but historically robust 🏆
• Core: MongoDB Atlas, 71% of revenue, up 24% YoY ⏰
• Trend: AI data demand’s sizzling, per market buzz 🎯
A leader in the database jungle! 🌐
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Earnings Beat: Q4 topped forecasts, Mar 5 release 🔄
• Guidance Flop: FY2026 revenue at $2.24-$2.28B, below $2.32B 🌍
• Bonus: Snagged Voyage AI for $220M, boosting AI play 📋
Thriving, yet spooked the herd! 🌈
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Guidance Woes: Non-Atlas demand fading 🔍
• Market Jitters: 16-20% after-hours plunge 📉
• Rivals: Cloud giants eyeing database turf ❄️
Rough seas, but storms pass! 🌧️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Q4 Power: $548.4M revenue, $1.28 EPS 🥇
• Atlas Surge: 24% growth, debt-free balance 📊
• AI Edge: Voyage AI buy fuels future 🔥
A beast with brains and brawn! 🏋️♂️
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: FY2026 growth dips to 12.6% 📉
• Opportunities: AI boom, Voyage AI integration 📈
Can it turn panic into profit? 🧐
(8/9) – 📢MongoDB’s Q4 rocked, but guidance flopped—your vibe? 🗳️
• Bullish: Rebound to glory soon 🦅
• Neutral: Holding steady, wait it out ⚖️
• Bearish: More pain ahead, sell off 🐾
Drop your take below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
MongoDB’s Q4 flexes muscle at $548.4M 📈, but FY2026 gloom spooked the market 🌫️. Dips are our playground—DCA treasure awaits 💎. Snag ‘em cheap, rise like legends! Hit or miss?
$MDB to $350+ with vector database + gen AI as tailwind!- NASDAQ:MDB is investing in R&D and recently noticed that they have developed their solution for vector database www.mongodb.com
- This will be a strong tailwind for the company. In generative AI, one needs to store large embedding in a low latency databases which could efficiently be looked up. By default, no-sql databases are good for these use cases.
- Pinecone is one of the best in this space, NYSE:ESTC had one but now NASDAQ:MDB is catching up and looks really promising.
- P/EV multiple is very reasonable for $MDB.
- PT : 350+
Time to Enter MDB Again?On Thursday afternoon, the King Trading Momentum Strategy signaled alongside eleven other alerts that day, followed by five more on Friday. This activity doesn’t exactly scream “bearish” to me, but the market has a way of keeping you on your toes! With markets once again approaching all-time highs, I’ve been treading cautiously. My positions have been limited to just a few, with low allocation sizes in TNA, ADBE, PYPL, and XYZ.
When I looked at MongoDB (MDB), I found myself wondering why it was hammered after posting a double beat on earnings and providing decent guidance. It turns out the recent drop was primarily driven by the announcement that Michael Gordon, MongoDB's Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer, will be stepping down on January 31, 2025. Is this reaction overblown? After all, the company delivered a strong earnings report.
That said, MDB seems to have planted its bull flag in the ground. Even if this news creates headwinds, there’s a possibility it could retrace back to the 38% Fibonacci level. Even if the broader market eventually pulls MDB lower, this setup suggests an 8% potential upside, and I’ve set an initial take profit at 5% with a 3% stop loss. If this can hit the take profit, I will sell half to protect the trade and then set a trailing stop loss of 1.5% on the remainder, trying to sell of much of it as possible on the way up!
Unless Monday brings a complete washout due to fears surrounding the Fed meeting on Wednesday or the PCE data on Friday, I’ll likely use the typical morning volatility as an opportunity to enter this trade. Let’s see how this one plays out!
The King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even something that measures breakout momentum called Beta for this one! MDB and over 100 equities are built into this script with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off).
Scaling Up?MongoDB is showing strong bullish momentum, with a gap forming around the $163.00 level. A breakout above the $297.68 daily resistance would confirm continued strength, positioning the stock to target the $439.39 resistance. This trade setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, with a stop-loss set at $207.65 to manage downside risk.
As a leader in modern database solutions, MongoDB is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for flexible, scalable, and cloud-native data management. The company’s strong developer adoption, innovative product offerings, and focus on operational efficiency make it a key player in the digital transformation era.
For a detailed breakdown of this trade, check out my YouTube video, where I dive deeper into the technical analysis and fundamentals driving this setup.
With its combination of technical momentum and robust market fundamentals, MDB offers a compelling opportunity for traders and investors aiming for $439.39.
NASDAQ:MDB
$MDB on Long Longer Timeframe looks pretty deliciousNever financial advice. Just offering perspective.
Its overall a clean setup for higher timeframes, a run back to all time highs. Lower timeframes point to a similar picture. On the Monthly, there is no bearish imbalances above until 385.86-399.88 . On the Weekly we clear 246.51-319.48 , bearish imbalance hanging above. Its possible to see a revisit to 162.53-189.88, I would say this is about 35% probable. This is more likely, if we lose 234.09.
Lastly, on the Daily. 221.50-223.22 is a bullish imbalance, that we could revisit. I personally see the lower moves as low probability but not off the table. It would be encouraging for bulls to get a close above 242.67, today.
Be aware that this analysis is on a higher timeframe of a Yearly perspective and may take time to develop.
I'll keep this post updated. :)
MDB: Daily Base Breakout with Clear Risk/Reward SetupANALYSIS:
MDB has formed a potential base after the December earnings gap down. Key technical factors align for a swing trade opportunity:
SETUP:
Base formation between 236-246 with increased volume
Clear breakout level with volume confirmation
Well-defined risk parameters with support at 238
ENTRY: 246
STOP: 238 (8 points risk)
TARGETS:
1️⃣ 254 (1R - Initial scale)
2️⃣ 265-267 (Primary target - major resistance zone)
3️⃣ 298+ (Extended target - aggressive)
TRADE MANAGEMENT:
Scale 1/3 at 1R (+8), move stop to entry
Scale 1/3 at primary target
Trail remaining position using 4H uptrend line
RISKS:
Weekly downtrend still intact
Unfilled earnings gap above
Resistance at December consolidation zone (270-280)
Always use proper position sizing and adapt the plan to your own risk management rules.
MDB - Scary Pullback Or Give UpNow THIS is a heck of a scary pullback!
But the sime time, for me it's a gift from the trading God to Enter/Re-Enter with a start position, if not already in.
Price got rejected at the 1/4 line, which I find it does often. But this doesn't mean that the party is over.
The Pitchfork/Medianlines give us the projection in time. And the white Pitchfork is pointing upwards, while the orange Pullback-Fork has a level of Support at the Center-Line.
All in all, it's a nice Long for me.
12/9/24 - $mdb - Tough to own >$300. Gl but sidelines.12/9/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MDB
Tough to own >$300. Gl but sidelines.
- Over 10x sales for ~20% top line growth? profitability climbing, but not in the way a 25-30% grower would do. TL;DR here is you need a growth SPIKE to really re-rate this thing.
- options chain pricing in quite a dramatic move. while i've gotten semi-smacked lately shorting, (though today came thru big time that allowed me to resize my PLTR and SG nicely), i'm totally fine to watch this out.
- my semi database related name is NASDAQ:BASE rn, which just reported a decent q but where stock got smacked close to what i think is close to take out value. that's hard enough to own (even tho it's smaller). so gawd bless if you're in this thing, but i'll just have to root from the sidelines.
- playing some octane on the NYSE:UBER , NASDAQ:OKTA and NASDAQ:BASE fronts... just added some NASDAQ:GAMB today. all of which i think offer MUCH better risk/reward and/or cash gen than high flying stuff like $MDB.
So gl. But i can't ride with you here b/c i'm not even sure i'd buy it lower. You can be sure i'll consider shorting an outsized 20-25% pump tho if/does happen. let's see.
V
MDB Soars on NoSQL CloudsMongoDB (MDB) is building strong bullish momentum, with a gap forming at the $260.00 level. A breakout above the $320 weekly resistance could set the stage for MDB to reach the next major target at $435. With an attractive 3.66 risk-to-reward ratio, this trade offers a compelling opportunity for investors, while a stop-loss at $232 ensures manageable risk.
As businesses increasingly adopt cloud-native and NoSQL databases, MongoDB’s innovative platform has positioned it at the forefront of this growing industry. Its Atlas cloud solution continues to drive revenue growth and customer adoption, supporting both short-term momentum and long-term prospects.
With both technical and fundamental tailwinds, MDB has the potential to sustain its upward trajectory, making $435 a realistic target in the coming weeks.
This version includes a more precise narrative, blending technical and fundamental aspects. Let me know if you’d like any additional changes!
MDB Long Idea, to be or not to be..This technical setup revolves around a post-earnings gap fill, with the price testing and holding just under the monthly fair value gap. Monday's daily close shows a small bullish candle with a tight spread, suggesting potential strength. The broader XLK tech ETF remains solid, having endured a 2-day sell-off but is now looking to break above the $229 level this week. Apple (AAPL), a leader in the tech sector, showed strength on Monday, and this could mark the start of the next upward leg, especially considering that XLK broke the prior daily pivot at $226.96 last week.
Adding more conviction to a long-biased trade, the IGV (iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF) is also performing well, hovering just a few points below a new all-time high and consolidating within a tight range. This flat-top pattern signals a healthy correction and potential for further upside.
The trade setup involves entering on a break of the high of the day at $270.86, with a stop loss placed at the pivot low of $265.90. Targets include $275.21 (a weekly FVG level), $284.96 (a weekly pivot level), and $300 (the current 52-week high resistance/pivot).
$MDBMongoDB ( NASDAQ:MDB ) is an under-the-radar gem. Software/SaaS/Cloud stocks are set to explode, and MongoDB ( NASDAQ:MDB ) is the sleeper to watch. While everyone is focused on NASDAQ:CRWD a nd NASDAQ:PANW , MongoDB is poised for a huge move, once it surpasses the $285 mark and gains broader market attention.