MS trade ideas
Rest on MondayWhen you're cognitively relaxed, you're likely to be in a good mood, so you like what you see, you trust
what you hear, you trust your intuition, and you feel comfortable and familiar. At this point, your thoughts
may also be relatively random and superficial. When you're nervous, you're more likely to be alert,
suspicious, put more energy into your hand, feel cramped, make fewer mistakes, but your intuition and
creativity are lower than usual
Thinking Fast and Slow
Relax ~
Morgan Stanley (US: MS) - Revival of the bull?100.77-101Morgan Stanley rebounded earlier on 8th March. Since then, prices had a strong consecutive up run especially for the past two days. Short-term target is at US$100.77-US$101.00 region. But we could buy at the lower immediate support at 86.45-87.00 region
Morgan Stanley bounce coming. This analysis is based simply on the pattern and the RSI. RSI says oversold, pattern indicates clearly it's at/near the bottom of the trend and will rebound back upwards. Will it make it to the top trend line? Probably not. I'd bail well before that. This is a short term play with a tight stop loss outside of the lower trend line.
MS on WatchMS looks poised to break out from a long term consolidation. Looking for a quick move to 108. Trade would be very rate dependent. If yields fall or the yield spread tightens bank stocks will drop. I like this in and above the green box. No longer interested below the green box. Targets are the fib extensions above.
$MS with a Bullish outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Bullish outlook for $MS after a Positive Under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift A with an expected accuracy of 33.33%.
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MS - Double BottomPrice has twice bounced off support at around $93-$94 forming a double bottom pattern. This generally signifies the end of the prior downtrend and the beginning of a new uptrend so it looks like a good time to go long. Price has also just broken past resistance at $96, relatively easily, and there is a bullish crossover on MACD. Despite the strong technicals, this is a risky time in the market, especially with FOMC coming up in 2 days, so I would keep any position light. PT#1 is at $101.50 and PT#2 is at $106.50. Place a stop loss right under $94.
10x Any Trading Account - Using MathTLDR: It's not as hard to 10x an account as it may seem. By using math, we can exponentially grow our account while also exponentially making it easier to grow (and also continue to minimize our risk).
So, I am planning on growing an account from 3k - 30k. This is no easy task, but I am going to break down why it's not as hard as you think. Math!
As the account grows, hitting 10% of the original amount each day will get exponentially easier. Here's an example
Day 1 : 3k to trade with means each daily profit goal is ~ $450 (Thats 3 trades of 25% profit using reasonable risk management. I'm going to break that down later, why this isn't actually as difficult as it it may seem to do consistently) Hint: 0dte
Day 2 : We now have $3,450 in the account. Adjusting the trading plan risk management to the new account size, this means the profit goal for today is now ~ $518. (see where this is going)
Day 8 : By now, the account is $7,854 and the profit goal the previous day was $1032. By following the same trading plan and carrying it over as the account grows, the profit compounds.
Now, this is great, but it could be better. To further reduce risk, instead of increasing the profit target with a larger buying power, we can instead play with the trading plan to make our chances of success even higher. Lets take a look at the variables affecting the profit in a trade, and we'll come back to this idea in the future. (edited)
In every trade, there are 3 main factors that affect how much cash you acquire. These are:
The total % of your account used in each trade
The dollar amount you use in each trade
The % of profit you attain from those two figures
The total amount of the account we use in each trade, the less % we have to make in each trade. (10% on a 500 play is 50 - Alternatively, 5% on a 1000 play is also 50.) This allows us to trade even in markets where this isn't much volatility. We can shorten the time we are in a trade, and the movement required on the chart, to hit our goal. (edited)
Also, there's one huge factor I am relying on. As the account grows, hitting 10% of the original amount each day will get exponentially easier. Here's an example > Day 1: 3k to trade with means each daily profit goal is ~ $450 (Thats 3 trades of 25% profit using reasonable risk management. I'm going to break that down later, why this isn't actually as difficult as it it may seem to do consistently) Hint: 0dte > > Day 2: We now have $3,450 in the account. Adjusting the trading plan risk management to the new account size, this means the profit goal for today is now ~ $518. (see where this is going) > > Day 8: By now, the account is $7,854 and the profit goal the previous day was $1032. By following the same trading plan and carrying it over as the account grows, the profit compounds. Now, this is great, but it could be better. To further reduce risk, instead of increasing the profit target with a larger buying power, we can instead play with the trading plan to make our chances of success even higher. Lets take a look at the variables affecting the profit in a trade, and we'll come back to this idea in the future. (edited)
So back to our little example. Instead of increasing the goal each day, it would be wiser to adjust our trading plan to allow for more attempts (using less % of total BP per trade) or for higher success rate (5% profit per trade instead of 25%). This means that as our account grows, the effort will go down as success probability rate increases - exponentially.
This is where it all comes together. By day 10 of making $450 per day, we would have $7,500 in the account. We would effectively be doubling the amount of trades we can make (10% of the account per trade instead of 20%) and cutting the %gains needed per trade (from 25% to 20%).
We can now afford to lose more often, as we have more buying power. Because we can afford to lose more often, we can also afford to tighten our stops losses, minimizing the risk per trade. Also, we now have much more opportunity to slip into more trades, as our %gains needed decreases each day.
(As another method, this can be played with to your liking and manipulated differently depending on how you feel that day, once you get comfortable enough with your trading plan. So maybe you don't have to trade every day, and you take advantage of the compounding profit effect in the later stages. Say maybe, 5x into the 10x challenge. (15k out of a 3k - 30k challenge.)
This is also how the "rich get richer". As your capital grows from initial investment, it becomes easier and easier to make profits in comparison to that initial investment.
MORGAN STANLEY - BREAKOUT OR GOOD BUY OPPORTUNITYMorgan Stanley is expected to report earnings on 01/19/2022 before the market open. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Dec 2021.
Better than expected results may give strong support to the bulls and send the price back into the channel. On the other hand, if the results do not satisfy the investors this will be a good signal for the bears to step in.
Morgan Stanley is the third-largest investment bank behind Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase. In terms of revenue, it is the largest wealth management firm in the U.S. Morgan Stanley ranks behind only Goldman Sachs in the equity capital markets.
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