Netflix Identifies ResistanceWe have been watching this stock for a while during my weekly Livestreams (Fridays 4pm EST UTC-4). Last Friday, we noted that NASDAQ:NFLX has pulled back up to retest the 50% of the July Weekly Spike price action. This is happening following a long bullish recovery trend up to the MAJOR Weekly 50% Retracement Resistance of the November 2021-May 2022 bear trend.
The price action has defined itself clearly with the July high. The risk and wrong occurs with a breach of the July high. With this in mind we can define a high risk/reward trade to at least a 3 to 1 down to 257 and possibly beyond to retest the major low from 2022.
Implied Volatility is below average which is good for options. However, this is NOT a trade that can be effectively expressed with low duration expiries even though it might be tempting due to the high cost of the stock. To express this trade one must go well into 2024 expirations or short shares.
NFLX trade ideas
NFLX engaged in long short competition NFLX engaged in long short competition
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Netflix stock in the past two years. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section of May 2022. As shown in the figure, Netflix's stock hit the strong pressure of 3.618 positions at the bottom of the chart against the golden section in mid July this year, and then fell back. In the past six weeks, it has been engaged in long short competition between the 2.618 and 3.000 positions at the bottom of the chart against the golden section! For a period of time in the future, just use the 2.618 level of the golden section at the bottom of the graph to determine the strength of the Naifei stock's long short divide!
Play Netflix on the break of the VWAP lower or upper band .I've been playing VWAP breaks on the upper and lower band on Netflix it's expensive but position size up for the reversal it's not much of a reversal but when you position size up and you're guaranteed to turn this money there it's Bang Bang money if you don't have it at risk don't play. I always leave runners though cause you never know pledge your own risk this is not financial advice
NFLX offers 15% - 20% ROI near termNetflix Inc. (NFLX) presently approaching meaningful support, able to contain weekly perhaps monthly selling pressures.
From here, (NFLX) can continue higher to notable resistance, eliciting gains of 15% over the following 1 - 2 months, and gains of 20 - 30% over the following 6 - 8 months.
Inversely, closing below support on a weekly basis would put (NFLX) into a sell signal where losses of 20% would be expected over the following 2 - 3 months.
$NFLX Head and Shoulders Pattern (H&S)?Back on July 31st I published an idea that NASDAQ:NFLX may be breaking out. Well, it did for just a bit but that failed. Fast forward to today, 8/21/2023 and it looks to me that we “may” have an H&S Pattern with a clear neckline as I see it. It dropped below that line last Thursday and looks to be ready to test it from the underside. If it can get up, over and hold above that line the pattern would be negated. A lot depends on market direction. My bet this time is that it will test and fall back. I have an alert set on that line and I’ll be ready to short if it fails. It is also below all shorter-term moving averages, bearish. All TBD.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
Netflix Bounce Trying To Reverse Hi Friends, Sharing daily time frame chart of Netflix which got a bounce from support now seems trying to go up so my trade idea is for go long after a break and close above resistance marked on chart. it's a very simple easy to understand chart based on Price action and on S/R levels.
This is not and trade or investment advice. This idea is meant for learning only.
Best Regards happy trading- Amit
NFLX AnalysisSimilarly, price played out as analyzed last week. Right now, we have a buy-side liquidity grab. If price is heading for the bullish OB at 375.87, we should see a break of structure to the downside. I'm leaning towards the bearish scenario right now, instead of price going higher to fill the fair value gap at 459.25.
Has Netflix Already Bottomed?Netflix has pulled back after a sharp rally, and now some trend followers may see potential for further gains.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the steady decline since earnings on July 19. That slide could be morphing into a successful A-B-C correction pattern.
Next, the second low (C) occurred near $400. That’s not only a “nice round number” where buyers may feel comfortable. It also represents a 50 percent retracement of the move from early May through mid-July.
Traders may watch for the streaming giant to hold roughly $400 (or make a slightly higher low) over the remainder of the summer lull. If it successfully does that, bulls could return heading into the next quarterly report on October. 13.
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Retest After BreakthroughSince the (open) window on July 20th we are in a downtrend. One might have sold at the attempt to close the window on August 11th but I missed the chance. Now that we are testing the nice support at round 410 I think that we've got another chance now. May be this chance is even bigger than the previous.
NFLX-BUY strategy DailyThe share has also been a great mover, and after lofty heights, it has kind of settled at the low band of the price range. the GANN support @ $ 383 area will help to support a BUY suggestion. The stochastic is positive as well.
Strategy BUY @ 410-420 and place stop-loss below $ 375. Take profit @ $ 447 for now.
Even further down for Netflix? Could be so...NASDAQ:NFLX is one of the big names that has had a tremendous bull run the past year. But after touching $485 only just a month ago, and falling with the rest of tech on the most recent pullback, NFLX currently sits at $404.53 per share and looks to be on the verge of an even larger move down.
Here we see a head-n-shoulders pattern with the pattern already beginning to follow through. Not saying NFLX is doomed, but this is something to keep an eye on.
If the head-n-shoulder pattern plays out, look for a drop to $360ish.