Netflix has a promising future!NLFX projection show some highly probable Bullish destiny could it breakout of that channel. However as for now, there is not yet a confirmation for a trading setup.
NFLX trade ideas
NFLX Mean Reversion The trade is a mean reversion setup based on the $700 resistance level as well as the prior 52-week high of $697.49 that occurred on July 5th, 2024. The trade is purely based on an intraday rejection observed on the 65-minute timeframe, forming a classic "buyer's fatigue" pattern where the first 65-minute candle is above the ATR and holds strong volume, while the preceding candle still closed the previous trading session with either consolidation or a push downward, leading to a daily candle with an upper wick as seen in the current NFLX chart. The plan is to short the intraday low of $694.19, with a stop loss placed at $701.20 based on the 65-minute failed breakout close. The key levels to monitor are $700, $696.50, and $692.31, as these are likely to hold strength due to them being previous volume nodes.
Almost overextended and overbought to newer levelsI have seen this stock's performance from 587 to 711 in two weeks of trading; if the opportunity presents itself, why not? But with volatility, there may be more room to run on the MACD; otherwise, it is ready for a reversal to the 680 mark.
Netflix Shares Hit an All-time High Tuesday On Strong Ad SalesKey Takeaways:
- Netflix shares hit an all-time high on the back of a significant increase in upfront ad sales.
- The company reported a 150% surge in advertising commitments compared to 2023.
- Strategic moves in content, technology, and live events have bolstered investor confidence.
Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ), the streaming giant that once dominated the entertainment landscape through its pioneering subscription model, has now reached a new pinnacle in its market journey. On Tuesday, Netflix's shares soared to a record high, closing at $696.59 after touching an all-time high of $711.33 earlier in the day. This surge follows the company's impressive report of a substantial increase in upfront ad sales commitments, signaling a major shift in its business strategy.
A New Era of Advertising Success
Netflix's success in the advertising arena marks a significant turning point. The company announced that it had secured more than a 150% increase in upfront ad sales commitments over 2023, closing deals with all major holding companies and independent agencies. These partnerships are not just for any content, but for some of Netflix’s most anticipated upcoming releases, including global hits like "Squid Game," fan-favorite series "Outer Banks," and the much-anticipated "Happy Gilmore 2." Moreover, Netflix is tapping into the lucrative live event market, securing deals for high-profile broadcasts such as Christmas Day NFL games and "WWE Raw."
This strong performance in ad sales reflects Netflix's strategic decision to evolve beyond its traditional subscription model. For years, Netflix resisted the idea of incorporating ads into its platform, fearing it might alienate its user base. However, in an increasingly competitive streaming landscape, the company’s pivot to an ad-supported tier has proven to be a game-changer. This move not only attracted a new segment of budget-conscious consumers but also opened a new revenue stream that investors are now enthusiastically embracing.
Strategic Shifts Bolster Investor Confidence
Netflix’s surge in stock price is not solely due to its advertising success. The company has also been making strategic shifts to enhance profitability and sustain growth. These include cracking down on account sharing, which has long been a drain on potential revenue. By introducing stricter controls on password sharing, Netflix has effectively compelled many users to convert to paying subscribers, boosting its subscriber base and revenue.
In addition, Netflix has been judicious in its content spending, focusing on producing hits that resonate with global audiences. The success of series like "Bridgerton," surprise hits like "Baby Reindeer," and the French movie "Under Paris" underscore Netflix’s ability to create content that not only captures viewers’ attention but also drives subscriber growth.
Moreover, Netflix’s expansion into live events and sports broadcasting represents another avenue for growth. Live content is a highly sought-after commodity in the streaming world, and Netflix’s foray into this space with events like NFL games indicates its intent to compete on multiple fronts.
Financial Turnaround and Market Position
The financial landscape for Netflix has dramatically improved over the past few years. Once criticized for its heavy spending and negative free cash flow, Netflix has now become a model of profitability. The company’s disciplined approach to content spending, coupled with its new revenue streams from advertising and live events, has alleviated investor concerns about its financial health.
Netflix’s stock, which at one point had lost more than 75% of its value from its 2021 peak, has since rebounded, quadrupling in value. This remarkable turnaround is a testament to the company’s successful adaptation to market challenges and its ability to innovate within a highly competitive industry.
As of this year, Netflix shares have risen by 44%, far outpacing its competitors. While Disney, Warner Bros Discovery, and Paramount Global have struggled with declining stock prices, Netflix has solidified its position as a leader in the streaming industry. The company’s price-to-earnings ratio, now at 32 times estimated earnings, is significantly lower than its 10-year average, reflecting improved investor sentiment and confidence in its long-term strategy.
Technical Outlook
At the present time, Netflix stock ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) has experienced a 1.33% increase and is trading within the overbought region, displaying a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 72 subsequent to reaching a historic peak. Despite the exuberance surrounding the all-time high, traders are advised to exercise vigilance. Notably, Netflix stock ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is overbought, and any potential reversal in trend could precipitate a decline to the 1-month low, which in turn may result in the breach of the structure established in proximity to the 100-day Moving Average.
Conclusion
Netflix’s recent achievements highlight the company’s ability to evolve and adapt in a rapidly changing entertainment landscape. By embracing advertising, cracking down on account sharing, and expanding into live events, Netflix has not only bolstered its financial performance but also reinvigorated investor confidence. As the company continues to refine its strategy, it appears well-positioned to maintain its leadership in the streaming industry and continue delivering value to its shareholders.
NFLX - On the way to hit $700NFLX - stock in a strong uptrend after disney raised it prices of its streaming platform. Calls added in group for swing. next resistance at $700. Stock is almost overbought on RSI expecting some pull back at $700 hits
Netflix (NFLX) Shares Reach a Two-Month HighNetflix (NFLX) Shares Reach a Two-Month High
As shown on the daily chart of Netflix (NFLX) shares, the price surpassed the July 19 peak around $677 on Friday but closed well below the day’s highs. Notably:
→ Since August 5, Netflix (NFLX) has outperformed stock indices;
→ The stock has risen by about 15% from the August 5 close.
Will the rally continue?
Bullish argument:
→ Analysts expect an improvement in the company’s fundamentals following enhancements to its business model. According to Zacks, Netflix might report earnings of $5.07 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-on-year increase of +35.9%. The Zacks consensus estimate has risen by +7.9% over the past 30 days.
Bearish argument:
According to SEC filings, Netflix’s Chief Legal Officer sold $7 million worth of shares. Could this sale be motivated by insider information that might lead to a decline in the stock price?
Technical analysis of the Netflix (NFLX) daily chart indicates that the price is moving within an ascending channel (shown in blue), and the sharp rise from the August 5 low has pushed the RSI indicator from the oversold zone to the brink of the overbought zone. However, resistance levels have come into focus:
→ The median of the ascending channel;
→ The peak around $697;
→ The psychological resistance around $700.
Given Friday’s weak close and the sharp rise over the past two weeks, it’s reasonable to suggest that Netflix (NFLX) shares are vulnerable to a correction.
The average price forecast for Netflix (NFLX) is $704.94 over the next 12 months (according to a survey of analysts conducted by TipRanks).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Netflix update According to my view we are still in a strong bull run,with do all respect,let's manage to I identify the trend and understanding it's pull back n manage to move with it n spot all important zones.
NFLX / NETFLIXMarket Insight: NFLX (Netflix, Inc.)
Our predictions have highlighted key moments for investors:
• First Green Line (August 12th, 2024): A potential buying opportunity, as market conditions stabilize.
• First Red Line (October 28th, 2024): Consider taking profits or reducing exposure before possible market downturns.
• Second Green Line (January 6th, 2025): A favorable time to re-enter or increase positions, with market optimism on the rise.
• Second Red Line (April 14th, 2025): Another signal to safeguard your investments, preparing for possible volatility.
These points serve as guiding lights, helping navigate the financial journey with both wisdom and discernment.
NETFLIX STRUCTURE This is the structure we will be following for Netflix, as for now we are sitting down on our hands to wait for prices to break the weak high above and the strong low will be protected and we will look for buys inside this range.
Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis: NFLX Should Continue RallyShort Term Elliott Wave in NFLX suggests that the Stock has completed a bearish sequence from 7.05.2024 high. The decline made a double correction Elliott Wave structure. Down from 7.05.2024 high, wave (W) ended at 600.00 low. Rally in wave (X) ended at 678.97 with internal subdivision as a zig zag correction structure. Up from wave (W), wave A ended at 655.54 and wave B ended at 631.50. Wave C higher ended at 678.97 which completed wave (X) in higher degree.
Then, NFLX turned lower in wave (Y) with internal subdivision as another double correction structure. Down from wave (X), wave W ended at 617.00 and wave X ended at 646.71. Last leg wave Y lower ended at 583.50 which completed wave (Y) and ((4)) in higher degree. The current rally is in progress expecting to continue higher as wave ((5)). Near term, we are calling a leading diagonal as wave 1 of (1) of ((5)). This wave 1 ended at 632.00 high and wave 2 pullback finished at 605.50. From this point, the stock resumed to the upside in wave 3 and once the wave 3 is completed, it should see 3, 7 or 11 swings correction as wave 4 before resuming the rally again.
Netflix (NFLX) Analysis: Multi-Timeframe PerspectiveA More Detailed analysis on Netflix (NFLX) from a Multi-Timeframe Perspective.
Check out my other analysis for a detailed explanation on this video
NFLX - end of story- the slowdown in the US economy seems to be perceived even in Wall Street, or perhaps not, there they cannot see anything yet
- the yield curve behaviour indicates potential recession
- labour market shows symptoms of weakness - minor ones but still
- carry trade goes away slowly
- insiders sell not buy
I am out if the Mag7 stocks for some time already, now I think it is possible to buy PUTs on selected techs - be it NFLX. Perhaps it is good to wait till NVDA shows results on Aug 28th, then decide
$NFLX Bullish ReversalNASDAQ:NFLX is reversing from a support line looking to continue its bullish move... great opportunity for selling premiums here ... Whats your thoughts here?
Netflix reports continued revenue growth amid strategic shiftsNetflix Inc. has once again demonstrated a robust increase in revenue, confirming the effectiveness of its strategic initiatives aimed at boosting subscriber growth. A significant aspect of Netflix's strategy has been tightening rules against account sharing and introducing cheaper, ad-supported subscription plans. These measures have attracted new subscribers successfully, particularly those sensitive to price, leading to sustained revenue growth over several quarters.
For Q3, Netflix projects its revenue to reach 9.73 billion USD, marking a 13.9% increase year-on-year. Earnings are expected to rise by 36.7%, reaching 5.1 USD per share. Netflix's heavy investment in new original projects and securing rights to popular existing content is a key part of its growth strategy, positioning the company well for future success.
Technical analysis of Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX)
Here is an analysis of potential trading opportunities based on Netflix's current stock performance:
Timeframe : Daily (D1)
Current trend : the stock is in a downtrend but shows potential for reversing into an uptrend
Resistance level : 633.60 USD
Support level : 587.05 USD
Potential downtrend target : if the downtrend persists, the next target could be around 540.00 USD
Short-term target : if the trend reverses and breaks through the resistance at 633.60 USD, a short-term target could be set at 675.00 USD
Medium-term target : with continued positive momentum, the stock price might aim for 700.00 USD
Investors and traders should closely monitor Netflix, particularly given its proactive measures to increase its subscriber base and revenue. The company's focus on content creation and adaptation to market demands plays a critical role in its ongoing success. If these strategies continue to prove effective, they could drive its stock performance upward.
—
Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews.
The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments.
NFLX is BearishA bearish divergence seems to be at play here as pervious higher low is broken successfully, and a couple of lower lows are also printed. Bears seem to be in complete control of the price action, and hence a bearish rally is on the cards. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
Netflix investment A nice cooling pull back after we hit new high on Netflix aswell this is beautiful,understand this trend n the pull backs,n manage your risk in order to enjoy investing your money in stock markets,they are beautiful things that grows very nice n they trend up,soo everytime you see big pull backs it's your chance to get into positions not a loss noo,allow your system to work n see this markets in bigger time frame in years n how they trend n find yourself entry too n hold for coming years .
NFLX isn't chill anymoreNot overly bearish yet on this name but it's on a correction ABC wave here.
Either it can hold at 570's and if it doesn't 500 would be a quick target.
Target #1 - 570sh
Target #2 - 500sh
NFLX support breakdown possible , US Stock617 below strong support breakdown possible
613/609/603/595 can test soon
NFLX: Cautious TargetNFLX isn't collapsing off the double top formation, which leads me to believe it is in a cup and handle formation. If NFLX breaks above 697, price target is 747.
More Downside for Netflix?Looking to play this to the downside heading into earnings in a few months
Netflix Trend Prediction Amid Recent News $7 Million Donation Description:
The chart presents the daily stock price movements of Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the NASDAQ exchange. Key technical indicators utilized in the analysis include:
LuxAlgo Candlestick Structure:
The chart displays a candlestick pattern structure that helps to visualize price movements over time, aiding in the identification of trends and potential reversal points.
SuperTrend Indicator:
The SuperTrend indicator (parameters: 10, 20, 50, 200, 4, 20) is utilized to highlight the trend direction. The indicator overlays on the price chart to show bullish or bearish trends, assisting in making buy or sell decisions.
MA-Cloud:
The Moving Average (MA) Cloud with parameters high 200, 0 close 200, 25 (values: 576.76, 569.80) provides a visual representation of the average price over time. This cloud serves as a support and resistance zone, indicating potential areas where the price might reverse or consolidate.
Prediction:
Recent news regarding the Netflix CEO donating $7 million to a political figure may influence stock movement. The technical analysis suggests the following potential scenarios:
Channel Formation: The stock appears to be entering a channel pattern, with support around the MA-Cloud (576.76 - 569.80) and resistance near recent highs around 692.65. This indicates that the stock might trade sideways within this range as investors digest the news.
Downward Pressure: Given the recent news, there might be negative sentiment impacting the stock. If the price breaks below the support zone provided by the MA-Cloud, it could signal a bearish trend and potential further decline.
In summary, while the technical indicators show a potential channel pattern for NFLX, the recent news could exert downward pressure. Investors should monitor the support and resistance levels closely and be prepared for potential volatility.
$NFLX - History repeats itself We are looking at the chart that clearly shows how history repeats in financial markets.
The double top formation has already manifested, and the downtrend is in progress. $543 and $500 is within a reach in middle term (3 months or so). This is not a financial advice.
