NTFLX - Waiting For Key Level TestAs the titles implies, NETFLIX is waiting for a KEY LEVEL TEST before making large moves.
It has recently broke through several ranges to the BUY SIDE, showing it has lots of BULLISH movement. This can be seen with the LARGE VOLUME BULLISH CANDLES that followed after hitting one of the SUPPORT LEVELS, where it created high volume with NO RANGES, further proving it's high volume of buys.
What I'm looking for now is a retest of the resistance level where i'd like to see large volume SELL SIDE, or a bounce off the SUPPORT level, where I would look to exercise buy positions
NFLX trade ideas
Netflix has recorded a new ATHNetflix has recorded a new ATH.
Netflix (NFLX) has been a powerhouse, reaching new all-time highs. After hitting an ATH of around $700 on November 15, 2021, the stock experienced a significant decline, bottoming out at approximately $162 on May 11, 2022.
However, it has since rallied impressively, culminating in a fresh all-time high of around $710 today.
For those who entered the market during the downturn, this has been a remarkable opportunity. Congratulations are certainly in order.
Looking ahead, the $697 zone appears to be a strong resistance level, while $679 is likely to act as support.
NFLX Mean Reversion The trade is a mean reversion setup based on the $700 resistance level as well as the prior 52-week high of $697.49 that occurred on July 5th, 2024. The trade is purely based on an intraday rejection observed on the 65-minute timeframe, forming a classic "buyer's fatigue" pattern where the first 65-minute candle is above the ATR and holds strong volume, while the preceding candle still closed the previous trading session with either consolidation or a push downward, leading to a daily candle with an upper wick as seen in the current NFLX chart. The plan is to short the intraday low of $694.19, with a stop loss placed at $701.20 based on the 65-minute failed breakout close. The key levels to monitor are $700, $696.50, and $692.31, as these are likely to hold strength due to them being previous volume nodes.
Netflix Shares Hit an All-time High Tuesday On Strong Ad SalesKey Takeaways:
- Netflix shares hit an all-time high on the back of a significant increase in upfront ad sales.
- The company reported a 150% surge in advertising commitments compared to 2023.
- Strategic moves in content, technology, and live events have bolstered investor confidence.
Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ), the streaming giant that once dominated the entertainment landscape through its pioneering subscription model, has now reached a new pinnacle in its market journey. On Tuesday, Netflix's shares soared to a record high, closing at $696.59 after touching an all-time high of $711.33 earlier in the day. This surge follows the company's impressive report of a substantial increase in upfront ad sales commitments, signaling a major shift in its business strategy.
A New Era of Advertising Success
Netflix's success in the advertising arena marks a significant turning point. The company announced that it had secured more than a 150% increase in upfront ad sales commitments over 2023, closing deals with all major holding companies and independent agencies. These partnerships are not just for any content, but for some of Netflix’s most anticipated upcoming releases, including global hits like "Squid Game," fan-favorite series "Outer Banks," and the much-anticipated "Happy Gilmore 2." Moreover, Netflix is tapping into the lucrative live event market, securing deals for high-profile broadcasts such as Christmas Day NFL games and "WWE Raw."
This strong performance in ad sales reflects Netflix's strategic decision to evolve beyond its traditional subscription model. For years, Netflix resisted the idea of incorporating ads into its platform, fearing it might alienate its user base. However, in an increasingly competitive streaming landscape, the company’s pivot to an ad-supported tier has proven to be a game-changer. This move not only attracted a new segment of budget-conscious consumers but also opened a new revenue stream that investors are now enthusiastically embracing.
Strategic Shifts Bolster Investor Confidence
Netflix’s surge in stock price is not solely due to its advertising success. The company has also been making strategic shifts to enhance profitability and sustain growth. These include cracking down on account sharing, which has long been a drain on potential revenue. By introducing stricter controls on password sharing, Netflix has effectively compelled many users to convert to paying subscribers, boosting its subscriber base and revenue.
In addition, Netflix has been judicious in its content spending, focusing on producing hits that resonate with global audiences. The success of series like "Bridgerton," surprise hits like "Baby Reindeer," and the French movie "Under Paris" underscore Netflix’s ability to create content that not only captures viewers’ attention but also drives subscriber growth.
Moreover, Netflix’s expansion into live events and sports broadcasting represents another avenue for growth. Live content is a highly sought-after commodity in the streaming world, and Netflix’s foray into this space with events like NFL games indicates its intent to compete on multiple fronts.
Financial Turnaround and Market Position
The financial landscape for Netflix has dramatically improved over the past few years. Once criticized for its heavy spending and negative free cash flow, Netflix has now become a model of profitability. The company’s disciplined approach to content spending, coupled with its new revenue streams from advertising and live events, has alleviated investor concerns about its financial health.
Netflix’s stock, which at one point had lost more than 75% of its value from its 2021 peak, has since rebounded, quadrupling in value. This remarkable turnaround is a testament to the company’s successful adaptation to market challenges and its ability to innovate within a highly competitive industry.
As of this year, Netflix shares have risen by 44%, far outpacing its competitors. While Disney, Warner Bros Discovery, and Paramount Global have struggled with declining stock prices, Netflix has solidified its position as a leader in the streaming industry. The company’s price-to-earnings ratio, now at 32 times estimated earnings, is significantly lower than its 10-year average, reflecting improved investor sentiment and confidence in its long-term strategy.
Technical Outlook
At the present time, Netflix stock ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) has experienced a 1.33% increase and is trading within the overbought region, displaying a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 72 subsequent to reaching a historic peak. Despite the exuberance surrounding the all-time high, traders are advised to exercise vigilance. Notably, Netflix stock ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is overbought, and any potential reversal in trend could precipitate a decline to the 1-month low, which in turn may result in the breach of the structure established in proximity to the 100-day Moving Average.
Conclusion
Netflix’s recent achievements highlight the company’s ability to evolve and adapt in a rapidly changing entertainment landscape. By embracing advertising, cracking down on account sharing, and expanding into live events, Netflix has not only bolstered its financial performance but also reinvigorated investor confidence. As the company continues to refine its strategy, it appears well-positioned to maintain its leadership in the streaming industry and continue delivering value to its shareholders.
Netflix (NFLX) Shares Reach a Two-Month HighNetflix (NFLX) Shares Reach a Two-Month High
As shown on the daily chart of Netflix (NFLX) shares, the price surpassed the July 19 peak around $677 on Friday but closed well below the day’s highs. Notably:
→ Since August 5, Netflix (NFLX) has outperformed stock indices;
→ The stock has risen by about 15% from the August 5 close.
Will the rally continue?
Bullish argument:
→ Analysts expect an improvement in the company’s fundamentals following enhancements to its business model. According to Zacks, Netflix might report earnings of $5.07 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-on-year increase of +35.9%. The Zacks consensus estimate has risen by +7.9% over the past 30 days.
Bearish argument:
According to SEC filings, Netflix’s Chief Legal Officer sold $7 million worth of shares. Could this sale be motivated by insider information that might lead to a decline in the stock price?
Technical analysis of the Netflix (NFLX) daily chart indicates that the price is moving within an ascending channel (shown in blue), and the sharp rise from the August 5 low has pushed the RSI indicator from the oversold zone to the brink of the overbought zone. However, resistance levels have come into focus:
→ The median of the ascending channel;
→ The peak around $697;
→ The psychological resistance around $700.
Given Friday’s weak close and the sharp rise over the past two weeks, it’s reasonable to suggest that Netflix (NFLX) shares are vulnerable to a correction.
The average price forecast for Netflix (NFLX) is $704.94 over the next 12 months (according to a survey of analysts conducted by TipRanks).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NFLX / NETFLIXMarket Insight: NFLX (Netflix, Inc.)
Our predictions have highlighted key moments for investors:
• First Green Line (August 12th, 2024): A potential buying opportunity, as market conditions stabilize.
• First Red Line (October 28th, 2024): Consider taking profits or reducing exposure before possible market downturns.
• Second Green Line (January 6th, 2025): A favorable time to re-enter or increase positions, with market optimism on the rise.
• Second Red Line (April 14th, 2025): Another signal to safeguard your investments, preparing for possible volatility.
These points serve as guiding lights, helping navigate the financial journey with both wisdom and discernment.
Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis: NFLX Should Continue RallyShort Term Elliott Wave in NFLX suggests that the Stock has completed a bearish sequence from 7.05.2024 high. The decline made a double correction Elliott Wave structure. Down from 7.05.2024 high, wave (W) ended at 600.00 low. Rally in wave (X) ended at 678.97 with internal subdivision as a zig zag correction structure. Up from wave (W), wave A ended at 655.54 and wave B ended at 631.50. Wave C higher ended at 678.97 which completed wave (X) in higher degree.
Then, NFLX turned lower in wave (Y) with internal subdivision as another double correction structure. Down from wave (X), wave W ended at 617.00 and wave X ended at 646.71. Last leg wave Y lower ended at 583.50 which completed wave (Y) and ((4)) in higher degree. The current rally is in progress expecting to continue higher as wave ((5)). Near term, we are calling a leading diagonal as wave 1 of (1) of ((5)). This wave 1 ended at 632.00 high and wave 2 pullback finished at 605.50. From this point, the stock resumed to the upside in wave 3 and once the wave 3 is completed, it should see 3, 7 or 11 swings correction as wave 4 before resuming the rally again.
NFLX - end of story- the slowdown in the US economy seems to be perceived even in Wall Street, or perhaps not, there they cannot see anything yet
- the yield curve behaviour indicates potential recession
- labour market shows symptoms of weakness - minor ones but still
- carry trade goes away slowly
- insiders sell not buy
I am out if the Mag7 stocks for some time already, now I think it is possible to buy PUTs on selected techs - be it NFLX. Perhaps it is good to wait till NVDA shows results on Aug 28th, then decide
Netflix reports continued revenue growth amid strategic shiftsNetflix Inc. has once again demonstrated a robust increase in revenue, confirming the effectiveness of its strategic initiatives aimed at boosting subscriber growth. A significant aspect of Netflix's strategy has been tightening rules against account sharing and introducing cheaper, ad-supported subscription plans. These measures have attracted new subscribers successfully, particularly those sensitive to price, leading to sustained revenue growth over several quarters.
For Q3, Netflix projects its revenue to reach 9.73 billion USD, marking a 13.9% increase year-on-year. Earnings are expected to rise by 36.7%, reaching 5.1 USD per share. Netflix's heavy investment in new original projects and securing rights to popular existing content is a key part of its growth strategy, positioning the company well for future success.
Technical analysis of Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX)
Here is an analysis of potential trading opportunities based on Netflix's current stock performance:
Timeframe : Daily (D1)
Current trend : the stock is in a downtrend but shows potential for reversing into an uptrend
Resistance level : 633.60 USD
Support level : 587.05 USD
Potential downtrend target : if the downtrend persists, the next target could be around 540.00 USD
Short-term target : if the trend reverses and breaks through the resistance at 633.60 USD, a short-term target could be set at 675.00 USD
Medium-term target : with continued positive momentum, the stock price might aim for 700.00 USD
Investors and traders should closely monitor Netflix, particularly given its proactive measures to increase its subscriber base and revenue. The company's focus on content creation and adaptation to market demands plays a critical role in its ongoing success. If these strategies continue to prove effective, they could drive its stock performance upward.
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Netflix investment A nice cooling pull back after we hit new high on Netflix aswell this is beautiful,understand this trend n the pull backs,n manage your risk in order to enjoy investing your money in stock markets,they are beautiful things that grows very nice n they trend up,soo everytime you see big pull backs it's your chance to get into positions not a loss noo,allow your system to work n see this markets in bigger time frame in years n how they trend n find yourself entry too n hold for coming years .