NOW: Best Time to ShortI've been holding puts on this for a week now and it, like other tech stocks, are floating up in space in consolidation mode. This stock is one of the most volatile and I think it'll play out nicely when it drops. And it'll be a BIG drop. Looking at $480 as first target, then $411.
Not financial advice
NOWW trade ideas
ServiceNow Hits Resistance After EarningsServiceNow is exactly the type of cloud-computing growth stock that benefited from the pandemic. Is it now rolling over as the crisis fades?
Consider the dive under $500 in January. NOW rebounded on strong quarterly results and an upgrade from Piper Sandler last week. Yet, prices failed to reclaim $600.
That level could be important because it’s near two lows in December. It’s also near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).
Speaking of the 200-day SMA, the 50-day SMA is falling toward that key line: a potential “death cross.”
Third, notice how stochastics are sliding back from an overbought condition.
Finally, you have the valuation argument because NOW trades for about 475 times earnings. (Near the top of the overall S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That’s a potential headwind given the rising interest-rate environment.
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NOW head & shoulders 510 PE ratioYes, the quarter growth was impressive, but on 5.9b in annual sales revenue and a mere $230m in NET INCOME with a $114.3 billion market cap. It will take 495 years of net income to catch up to this market cap. There's no bubbles here, just keep buying!!!! We are in a bear market, accept it or not. This stock is going to have a very difficult time breaking past the neckline and printing any new highs in this environment. Nearest profitable competitor CRM has twice the market cap but 1/4th the PE. When insiders are selling SO SHOULD YOU!! finance.yahoo.com
Swing puts on a highly overvalued software stock(thank you @ShortSeller76 for this idea)
Since I do not follow this stock and am buying options on it for the first time, I am keeping very small positions. Also the volumes are low and spreads are wide, so this is further reason to use less capital. I am keeping my capital risk low while the reward potential high. According to my brokerage data, this stock is 88% institutional owned so selling could mean heavy selling, the stock is overvalued, and its high earnings surprises over past year may indicate peak growth.
Daily chart:
> Price is up against 200sma, while 10sma is still under 20sma
> RSI jumped from under 30 to test 50 thus far but I expect it to reverse down since RSI went under 33.33.
> Stochastic %K gave a bullish warning in its rise between 26-28 Jan, and usually it reverses down before rising again. I stress - this is an indication, not a prediction.
> Technically, I see good reason to buy puts with stock between 580 and 588.40.
30min chart:
> 588 is a reversal area after a 5-wave move up
> RSI shows the 3 price peaks (rectangle) in this move, and in this case the move up is counter to the daily downtrending ma's
> Stochastic %D is above 80 again and should turn down soon.
Taken altogether, my ideal trade would be to hold this as a longer swing down for the stock to reprice after future earnings. However I could be wrong about this and options are too expensive that far out. This stock may also reprice lower if markets sell off more. Due to theta decay and unpredictable IV-based changes, and to manage risk, I am using two different expiries.
The TRADE:
> BTO 4Feb 550 puts at $3.20
> BTO 18Mar 450 puts at $5.40
> Exit 4Feb puts if stock goes over high of day.
short NOW possible head and shoulders Volume drying up after earnings run, stock appears to be getting tired here and hitting resistance. I am short via puts and have February 25 $570 puts. Good luck! The 50dma appears to be crashing down on to the 200dma, this is a bearish SELL signal if confirmed. Possible head and shoulders in play which could take some time to play out with 513 PE Good luck!
Possibly short NOW Monday or Tuesday after 3 day ER runWaiting for earnings run to diminish Monday/ Tuesday to see if it can pierce through overhead resistance high $560's, 200dma additional resistance at $588.99 and 50 dma at $607.24. If this level fails $423 is support on a very volatile stock with a 495 PE!!! in an environment of "value" rotation away from PE.
Short NOWAnalysts predict that ServiceNow can whether any economic conditions, but let's be realistic... NOW has one of the HIGHEST P/E ratios of any stock I follow and if it can't break above resistance which is around 562, I see this stock plummeting to under $400 real fast. I bought PUTS this morning as NOW was approaching $542. I'm comfortable if NOW reaches 562, because this stock moves in either direction very quickly.
Not financial advice
$NOW with a Bullish outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Bullish outlook for $NOW after a Positive Under-reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift A
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NOW $600s Soon? Keep Watch!As you can tell, $566 is a key price in the past few months.
We have seen double top bounces from $566 resistance.
If we get past this level, say around $570, we can definitely see this stock going to $600.
Be wary, this stock has shot back down from $566, so this is very important to see how the price moves in the upcoming days.
Things to note, Daily chart, RSI showing overbought, we may get a slight dip once past $566.
Currently have no position.
Please let me know what you guys think in the comments. Let me know other stocks I can post. Thank you!
RSI very over bought! needs to cool off a bitlooks like a potential double top scenario here on NOW, bears are trying to take it lower now and profit taking may begin. look for a test of 560 or lower in short term if we continue to see weakness after the rejection. goodluck! dont forget to like and follow if you enjoy my ideas <3
NOW: bullish flag pattern?Upside price momentum supports the bullish trend direction.
Increasing trend strength also supports the bullish trend.
RSI leaves enough room for further upside price potential.
Recent Bullish MACD crossover acts as further support.
A price action below 545 will change the trend direction to bearish.
$NOW Cup with Handle Watchlist - Updated.ServiceNow $NOW is an excellent example of the double bottom / Shake-out Plus 3 CANSLIM Style trade.
While I missed that trade, the entry would have been between $485.64 to $508.76. That would have coincided well with he Gap up on June 9th when you also had a pocket pivot volume day. Even if one would have waited to reclaim the 200 DMA it would be close to the buy range and still an outstanding entry.
However, I missed that trade and I have an unbendable rule of not chasing price.
There looks to be a new opportunity forming. $NOW has formed a Cup Formation. There seems to be a reversal or stalling candle on June 24 (Closing in the lower range). Today there was some selling with price closing once again in the lower range of the day. I am hopeful that that will continue down for another 5% to 10% over the next 4 or 5 days. If it were to do that, it would be a textbook Cup with Handle formation. (And by the way, a retest of the original entry area, also quite common, hence the shake-out of weak hands.)
I’ll be watching this next week. The proper buy point would be $558.85, just over the high of June 9th. However, I look for early entries and would buy when it breaks above the short-term downtrend line (if it performs near to how I’ve drawn the future downtrend.
I hope this helps. These are my ideas and not investing / trading advice.
Looking for $NOW to pullback and make a "High Handle".Here's one for the watch list. I missed the break of the downtrend trade and I will not chase. I like ServiceNow as a company and the growth expected in the future.
I am looking for this to pullback and create a handle on the latest cup formation. That would create a much needed shake-out of weak hands so the stock would be able to advance further with little selling resistance.
And, if you look at the chart it also came out of a classic double bottom. "Ants" are also present on the chart. These indicate that the stock has upside momentum. These and other great indicators are available on @TradingView and programmed by @JohnMuchow .
I left older uptrend lines in tact. Why? because I think there is a chance this will get back to it's older trend line. If that "were" to happen $NOW would be a big winner. ALL TBD. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
Trading Idea - #ServicenowSHORT
ENTRY: 467.00 USD
TARGET: 389.00 USD (+16% profit)
STOP: 516.00 USD
ServiceNow, Inc. is a provider of cloud computing solutions that define, structure, manage, and automate services for global companies. The company offers a range of cloud-based services that automate the workflow within and between departments in a company.
1.) 463.00 USD is the support that needs to fall to get a more precise SHORT signal! Keep an eye on that!