NVDANVDA is likely to undergo a long term retracement after showing signs of momentum shift in the weekly chart.
Its likely to di 60%, potential forming a shark harmonic pastern.
It currently has a strong RSI bearish divergence.
NVDA trade ideas
$NVDA - Chip-up or taking a breather before another run?NASDAQ:NVDA has been in a long and wide consolidation, rectangle if you like, and has recently shown signs of a determined move up with breahces of the upper channel line. It showed a similar move back around June and july, but was at both instances pushed down by big, red candles. It has gained momentum, both in terms of EMAs and various indicators. If the break of resistance holds, and price keeps moving up, we might be in for a good run. Should (recent) history repeat, we might be looking at $100 once again. Keep in mind, the last visit to this level is only a couple months ago. Personally I am currently short Nvidia (yes, a dangerous place to be..), however I see both directions happening. So my point is look for signs of a break of the high of $144, or a rejection by way of significant red candles and a weakening of volume, RSI, MACD or other indicators you prefer.
Is NVIDIA Ready to Break Out or Break Down?Good morning, trading family!
How’s everyone feeling today? Got your coffee? Charts ready? It’s time to dive in and see what the market has in store for us.
Here’s the vibe: NVIDIA’s setting up for something big—are we aiming for $142 or sliding to $119? It’s like a game of tug-of-war, and the market’s holding the rope.
Quick Tip: Remember, trading is about patience and discipline. If you’re feeling stuck, step away, take a breath, and come back with a clear head. The market’s not going anywhere.
If you want a closer look at these setups or other ideas I’m watching, feel free to check out my profile or send me a DM—I’m always happy to share insights or answer questions. Let’s make it a great day!
Kris /Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Nvidia Short Daily chart Target SMA200Nvidia Short Daily chart Target SMA200
After that run for top price should try to go into the daily sma200 and than even more
Nvidia big Shorthello traders i think of big sohrt on nvidia begin this week and go down for while 155 is our stop loss and failure of this analysis.
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #1 - NVDA Head and ShouldersThis is looking like an epic setup for NVDA, make or break here. Recently we had a shorter term inverse H&S that failed, but the longer term H&S remains valid for now. We have several things going on here, all of which looks pretty clean.
To summarize:
- Major support at $131.50 that was previous resistance from August.
- Head and Shoulders with the neckline right at said support.
- Ascending wedge starting at the August low, price just barely broke below and closed below.
- Major pattern is still riding momentum off of the big triangle breakout, projected target of ~$170 has not been hit.
- Recent weakness, I'd call it extreme weakness considering what the mag 7 and names like AVGO have done while NVDA continues to fall.
So how do I intend to play it? The great thing about this setup is how clean everything is, should be fairly straightforward to trade. If the neckline/support at $131.50 doesn't hold, it's a short down to a retest of the triangle at minimum. If neither trendline from the triangle holds, next target is at $90. I'd call it good and reassess at that point, but eventually I expect $70 to hit and finally we'll see it move down to about $50 which will probably be near the major bottom.
If $131.50 holds, then the dump will be delayed to a future date, will look for longs instead. If it can bounce and reclaim the trendline from the August low, I'd look for longs on a retest there or any decent dips really. We may end up making a new ATH and hitting that $170 target from the triangle breakout. Should be a big move either way, definitely worth watching as it will have a big impact on the broader market as well.
NVIDIA 2 HOUR with fractrals drawn approaching 4.5NVIDIA 2 HOUR with fractrals drawn approaching 4.5 step. It seems slight bearish trend going to end of year
NVIDIA Breaks Key Support: H&S Pattern Targets $116.10NASDAQ:NVDA
NVDA just broke the $131.80 support zone, acting as the neckline for a head and shoulders pattern . Default targets for this pattern are now projected at $116.10, aligning with the 200% Fibonacci extension level and a convergence cluster of Fibonacci levels.
With the bearish butterfly pattern failing by just a few points, a further correction seems likely. As we approach the holiday season, watch for a potential upward trendline support below the convergence cluster—could this be the calm before a deeper dip?
NVIDIA (NVDA) broke the $131.80 support zone.
Default targets for this pattern are now projected at $116.10,.
As we near the holiday season, watch for a possible ascending trendline support below the convergence cluster, which could signal a reversal or continued downside.
Head and Shoulder patternNVDIA forming a head and shoulder pattern in the 4H. I will wait for a confirmation before targeting an entry for the downside.
NVIDIA's Declined over 10%, Why? When will be the Buy timing? NVIDIA fell nearly 4% today before narrowing the loss to 1.22%. Since hitting a record closing high of $148.88 in early November, the AI chip maker's stock has dropped over 10%.
So, what is causing NVIDIA's decline?
Firstly, Supply Chain Issues and Challenges
NVIDIA faces multiple challenges in its supply chain, a significant factor in its stock decline.
First, according to the latest data, the order volume and schedules for the GB200 and GB300 have been adjusted. Particularly, the mass production and shipment of GB series products have been postponed until after the Lunar New Year in February, increasing market uncertainty. Additionally, the small-scale production plans for GB300 face tight deadlines, putting pressure on GB200's mass production.
Specific supply chain issues include CoWoS-L packaging technology, heating problems, copper cable connections, and leakage issues. These not only affect product yield rates but also increase system integration time costs. Consequently, NVIDIA has suggested customers purchase the B200 8-card HGX as a transitional solution, and clients like Microsoft are considering switching their orders. These supply chain issues affect NVIDIA's product delivery capabilities and reduce market expectations for its future performance.
Secondly, Market Competition and Narrative Changes
ASICs are gaining market recognition as a competitive narrative.
ASICs are chips designed for specific tasks, akin to custom running shoes for a race. For certain tasks, ASICs outperform NVIDIA's GPUs (widely used for computing tasks) and are potentially cheaper.
OpenAI co-founder Ilya and industry leaders like Microsoft's CEO Satya have started discussing the importance of not only training AI models but also ensuring they can quickly and accurately make decisions in real applications. This shift in perspective gives ASICs an advantage in some scenarios, as they are designed for rapid, precise execution of tasks.
This raises questions about the cost of NVIDIA's GPUs. While powerful, they are expensive and require significant electricity and cooling. As ASICs perform better at lower costs for some tasks, there's consideration of replacing NVIDIA's GPUs with ASICs.
Additionally, changes in scaling law narratives and the strengthening of inference narratives pose threats to NVIDIA.
Scaling laws suggest that increasing AI model size (e.g., more neurons or layers) typically improves performance, but these gains are not infinite and require significant computational resources. This means NVIDIA must continually invest resources to improve product performance, potentially increasing costs.
Moreover, companies like BTC, Tesla, and Google are investing heavily in their own AI chips or solutions. This intensifies market competition and challenges NVIDIA's leadership.
Thirdly, Market Sentiment and Capital Flows
Market sentiment and capital flow significantly impact NVIDIA's stock price. As the year ends, retail investors, ETFs, and institutions adjust their portfolios. Fluctuations in tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google affect tech stocks like NVIDIA. Investors are more cautious, favoring stable, promising companies.
Given these conditions, NVIDIA faces pressure on its stock price due to supply chain issues and competition. Lowered expectations for NVIDIA's future performance lead to capital outflows and stock price declines.
Fourthly, Future Outlook and Catalysts
Despite current challenges, NVIDIA has opportunities for a turnaround.
First, NVIDIA needs to resolve supply chain issues, improve product yield, and delivery capabilities. Second, strengthening its presence in software and applications is crucial to addressing market competition. Additionally, NVIDIA should explore new computing narratives to expand its computing potential.
Fifthly, Technical Analysis and Price Divergence
Previously, prices rose continuously, but volume and KDJ began to decline, showing divergence. Without capital support, upward momentum was insufficient, leading to a short-term adjustment and a break below the mid-term trend line, resulting in a mid-term callback.
When Might a New Rally Occur?
From a technical analysis perspective: After two prior mid-term adjustments, breaking the downward trend line may signal the start of a new rally. Thus, this new rally must first break the resistance line.
From a catalyst perspective: While January's CES and the earnings release in late February may not bring major surprises, March's GTC is worth anticipating. NVIDIA needs to showcase new technologies and products at this event to restore market confidence. If NVIDIA can introduce groundbreaking innovations, a stock rebound is possible.
HEAD & SHOULDER spotted?H&S spotted on NVDA , for this case , we will use $128-$130 as the H&S support.
if price break down below $128, will expect market dive down to 200MAs at $115 ,and next strong support would be sitting at $95 - $100.
if $128 supported well, we may expect a bounce up to $140 zone.
Pending for a confirmation.
Long scalp: Follow up on previous postTo follow up on my previous post, as expected, this morning we have a perfect pre-market test of the .232. There's the entry, scalp bounce incoming. Longing the 129.5 (.232) level, SL is an hourly below the .232, TP is the next northern fib. Then likely GET OUT🤙
SHORT NVDA! Double-Top against SPYThe risk-to-reward is there
Short NVDA / Long SPY
The trade is simple...It's invalidated at some point higher than the double top AND higher than all the liquidity created by stop-losses.
Target the large gap but manage the trade along the way.
Keep the stops WIDE. There will be PLENTY of people trying to Buy-the-Dip and hoping to re-create the massive run up.
Understanding Market Dynamics: When Effort Meets Resistance and volume dynamics. For instance, there are moments when stocks rise with high volume, yet the price barely moves. This phenomenon can be a critical signal for traders, reflecting the market's internal mechanics.
In general, there are four key states to observe in the relationship between price and volume:
High Volume, Low Price Movement – A potential sign of resistance or distribution.
Low Volume, High Price Movement – Indicates lack of conviction or speculative activity.
High Volume, High Price Movement – Suggests strength or accumulation.
Low Volume, Low Price Movement – Reflects consolidation or market indecision.
These dynamics highlight the importance of not just looking at price charts, but truly understanding the story they tell. Sometimes, the market signals "buy" during peak momentum, but soon after, prices find their way downward effortlessly, leaving behind effort without result—a classic sign of exhaustion or distribution phases.
Take NVIDIA as an example. While I currently avoid trading it due to its strong fundamental standing and lack of immediate alternatives, sometime fools can become smart when it's punpy ride. the chart itself reveals fascinating patterns. These patterns often follow the laws of physics—momentum, inertia, and resistance—all playing out visually in the markets.
Remember, this is not trading advice but an invitation to explore how combining technical and fundamental analysis can provide deeper insights into market behavior. Every trader should develop their own system and evaluate risk accordingly.
i don't know if it will go up or down, but as i see from the behavior of the price i can only guess :) let's find out
NVDA in H&S & falling wedge patterns, and potential ST supportsNASDAQ:NVDA Swing Trading
Bearish short-term (no position) but bullish medium-long term.
Current Patterns
First, we see the price crossing the neckline of the Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on daily chart. The target price is at 110$, but not sure we reach this level. A close below the neckline would strongly confirm the bearish move with good volume. This is a good setup for short selling investors.
Additionally, there is a falling wedge forming (as shown in the chart), which is a potential bullish reversal pattern once it breaks up. This will be interesting to watch.
If the downtrend continues, the 20MA crossing below the 50MA on the daily chart, known as a death cross , would be a strong bearish signal. This indicates that the price is likely to face further downward pressure, as it reflects weakening short-term momentum compared to the longer-term trend. Historically, a death cross is associated with the beginning of sustained declines in price.To confirm this, watch for the daily close to solidify the crossover and be alert for other bearish indicators like the RSI and MACD showing continued weakness.
Strong support levels are found at $130, which acted as resistance in August, and the 100-day moving average (MA) on the daily timeframe at $127.90.
What I am watching for the next bull run
Volume has shown a slight increase, surpassing the 20-day moving average (MA) of volume yesterday, indicating growing interest. Today's close will be key to confirming the validity of the H&S pattern. Momentum indicators are bearish , with RSI under 39 and MACD in the red. However, I remain bullish on the short- and medium-term, so I’m watching for strong support levels and a potential reversal signal (RSI up, MACD green) with a solid bull volume.
What's crucial now is patience—I won’t enter when signals are bearish, and the next bullish setup isn't in place yet.
www.tradingview.com
NVIDIA Update: Big Levels to WatchHere’s the deal with NVDA right now:
1)If it keeps dropping, we’re looking at a move down to $130–$127.
2)But if it can break above $139, we could see it climb to $145 or higher.
It all comes down to whether $139 holds strong or if the price slips lower. Just keep an eye on those levels and let the market do its thing!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
New Setup: NVDANVDA : I have a swing trade setup signal. I'm looking to enter long if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle high(BUY). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below (SL) and a price target above it(TP-50%,move SL to breakeven), then using the close below the 10SMA as my trailing stop loss.
Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level(3).
NVDA ANALYSIS NVDA has gained support at the monthly level of $123.54, indicating a potential pullback from this level. On the weekly chart, support was lost at $139.50, while the daily chart shows a loss of support at $135.07. NVDA appears to be undergoing a monthly pullback toward $123.54, with a possibility of testing the daily gained level at $121.77.
$NVDA - Potential head and shoulderNASDAQ:NVDA hits target 4 precisely and has since pulled back. It is currently trading around the support region.
There is a potential head and shoulders pattern forming with the neckline around the $132 to $130 area. A full measured move upon neckline breakdown is $117. The midway support is $126.
Bear in mind, just because a pattern is forming doesn't mean it will validate.
As always, I share my opinions and trades. I'm not suggesting that anyone follow my trades. You do you.
Cautious optimism to give way to December decline for NVDA
The sentiment around NVIDIA (NVDA) over the past 72 hours has been mixed but leans slightly positive. Here's what we see:
Analyst Views : Analysts remain bullish, with a strong "buy" consensus and an average price target suggesting a potential 21% upside from current levels. This reflects optimism about NVIDIA’s prospects, particularly with its leadership in AI and data center technology.
Seasonal Trends : Historically, December has been a weaker month for NVIDIA’s stock performance, with shares declining in 60% of Decembers over the past decade. However, this is typically followed by strong recoveries in the new year.
Investor Discussions: Investors 'round the Web are expressing cautious optimism. Some highlight concerns about high valuation and broader market headwinds, while others emphasize NVIDIA's long-term growth drivers like AI and semiconductor demand.
The overall mood suggests near-term caution due to seasonal and valuation factors but confidence in NVIDIA's long-term trajectory.
With all this said, we see cautious optimism leading to a rise to a key resistance level in the 144.00 price range, followed by a decline in December, fueled alongside the SPY's potential crumbling.
NVIDIA Corp(Extended Hours) | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# NVIDIA Corp(Extended Hours)
- Double Formation
* 147.50 USD | Swing High | Subdivision 1
* Left, Head(Swing Low) & Right | Pattern Confirmation
- Triple Formation
* Retracement | Not Numbered | 50% At 123.00 USD
* Flat ABC | Continuation Bias | Subdivision 2
* 345 Template Area | Depiction Range | Subdivision 3
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral
$NASDAQ:NVDA Triangle Patterns Trying to Breaking UpwardAs shown in the snapshot, NASDAQ:NVDA is forming a triangle pattern and is currently finding support in the $135–$138 range. The upcoming earnings report from NASDAQ:AVGO could provide a significant catalyst to push NVDA's price above the critical $142 resistance level. If a Santa rally happens, there is a strong likelihood that the share price could climb to $150.
NVIDIA - Potential unravelling on horizon The growing bearish weekly RSI divergence and depleting volume is making me think that Nvidia may finally be running out of steam (at least in the short-term).
I'd wager that now so many other stocks are performing well, investors are looking for assets with more room to grow. That's my two cents, I could very well be wrong.
Will check back in a few month's time and see how this one played out.
