QQQ trade ideas
The Graveyard Of Hope!The Graveyard of Hope is littered with "Buy The Dippers."
How many times can "Buy The Dippers" lick the stove before they finally learn their lesson not to believe anything Trumpchenko says?
The Elona MAGA algorithm goes like this
Over promise
Under deliver
Lie
Declare victory
Leave or Victim Blame
Meanwhile, the economy falls into an economic recession/depression abyss!
I am A political. I call it as I see it. My religion is Economics, Charts, and money. They don't lie!
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Don't smoke the hopium crackpipe. It will financially ruin you.
QQQ, Weekly RSI has reached oversold territory just 4 other timeIt's also came at or near a long-term bottom.
If you're a long-biased trader looking for high-probability entries, this setup deserves your attention.
The weekly RSI just hit oversold territory — something that’s only happened 4 times in the last 10 years. Each of those times? It marked a major bottom or the start of a strong bullish trend.
We’re also bouncing near long-term horizontal support (~$420) and holding above a rising trendline that’s defined the bull market since 2018.
If price continues to hold this zone and RSI starts curling back up, I’ll be looking to go long.
Stop below $420. Reward-to-risk looks solid if momentum confirms.
Not calling the exact bottom — just positioning where the risk makes sense.
QQQ - Your guess is as good as mineMarkets are all over the place. I know ground breaking info. I don't think there is any clear answer to what is next.
Even if Trump does reduce tariffs on China, they are still going to be some of the highest in recent history. However, it looks like Trump has flinched and China has the upper hand. That is just likely going to make Trump more erratic since his policies are emotional/ego driven and not strategic.
Overall, there are likely some short-term gains to be have as the market likes to always push up when not in an panic sell. For now, the worst of the news is over and the low from the other week is likely going to be the bottom for the near future. I expect stock to continue this up and down until the tariffs work there way through the system and we see the true effect on the economy.
We punched above the 20 day SMA yesterday and will likely test it for support today and tomorrow. If it holds, I wouldn't be surprised to see prices test the 200 day. Hard to know what crazy stuff Trump will do over the weekend, so we will have to see. Good luck and enjoy the ride.
$QQQ - Recap of Last Week April 14-17
Last week we had a shortened Trading week because of Good Friday.
We opened the week with a gap up and got a rejection at the 30min 200MA.
++ You typically don’t want to go long at a downward facing moving average. ++
And this did play out all week. We got rejected at the downward facing 200MA on Monday, again on Tuesday.
On Wednesday we gapped down (UHC weighed on the market). Wednesday we had a big down day - closing down almost 3%
And then on Thursday we came back up but stayed underneath the 35EMA.
Thursday was the last day of the trading week, and look tat the setup we started the day with. Red 35EMA trading under the Blue 30min 200 (That was bearish)
30min 200 pointing down - that was bearish. And bear gap at the top of the implied move.
QQQ Ready to Rip Higher? Gamma Pressure + SMC Confirmation Align 🚀
QQQ is showing strong signs of continuation as we head into the next session. Let's break it down using both Options GEX sentiment and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) structure.
🔍 GEX Outlook (Options Sentiment)
* Highest positive NETGEX sits at the 445–448 range, acting as a magnet.
* We’ve already reclaimed the HVL support at 430, and the Options Oscillator is lighting up bullish.
* Calls make up 26.9% of the flow and GEX flipped full green, meaning market makers are likely long gamma — pushing price toward resistance.
* Resistance clusters:
* 445–448: GEX9 and 2nd Call Wall.
* 466.35 & 479.02: Target zones from price action.
💡 Options Trade Idea:
445C or 450C (0DTE–2DTE) — scalp toward the GEX magnet zone.
460C+ (Next Week) — swing if price holds above 447.8 and you want to play the extension to 466–479 range.
📈 Technical Analysis (SMC + Structure)
* MTF trend bias: 30m & 1h bullish.
* Strong bullish structure with ChoCH → BOS → rally confirmation.
* Thin volume during this leg up is a cautionary flag — be selective with entries.
* Price must hold above 447.8 to remain in bullish continuation.
* If volume steps in, this could be a session high sweep with fuel left.
* Setup: Bullish Hold
* Entry: Await confirmation near 447.8 zone.
* Target 1: 466.35
* Target 2: 479.02
* Stop: Below 441.01
🧠 My Thoughts:
This looks like a textbook GEX compression + SMC breakout alignment. MM positioning is bullish and technicals are lining up with a classic continuation pattern. However, thin volume could mean a stall or trap — I’d stay nimble, scale in on dips, and tighten stops once we push into the 455–460 zone.
Short term high QQQ tgt $434I had a great day with dowsing the highs & lows on QQQ today, and since hitting this high, I asked what's next & keep getting breakdown.
I did a week by week reading at the beginning of the month, and this week is supposed to take a bit of a dive & be "bottoming out". The weekly readings have been pretty helpful, so I hope this continues.
Anyway, this could be absolutely incorrect, but twice I've gotten a move to the downside on QQQ of around 5.6-.7%.
I also got some figures lower, but I'm not confident they are prices. They were 425-22. Sometimes numbers come that are something other than what I ask or expect, so it can get confusing. It's possible there's another little pop first, but It seems like a drop is imminent according to my work. Watch for a low on Wed./Thurs? I have lots of dates for this week including for a high today.
QQQ Breakdown Incoming? Gamma Pressure Exploding at 452 🔮 GEX (Gamma Exposure) – Options Sentiment Overview
🔥 PUT Dominance at 452 – Market on the Edge
* QQQ is trading directly at the highest negative NET GEX level at 452.31, marking it as the PUT trigger zone.
* A breakdown below 452 opens the gates toward 450, where the 2nd PUT Wall (-13.23%) adds further downside acceleration.
* This is a high-risk gamma zone: dealers are short gamma and could fuel a liquidation flush if price stays under 452.
🧱 CALL Walls Stack from 456–463
* The nearest CALL resistance zone sits between 456–458, topped by 461–463, all stacked with hedging activity.
* Strongest net positive GEX (gamma ceiling) sits around 458–460, aligning with macro rejection zones.
📊 Options Sentiment Snapshot:
* IVR: 46.7 → Moderate volatility, but still supportive of fast swings.
* IVx avg: 34.8, down –11.25%, showing vol is compressing while risk increases — dangerous combo.
* PUTs 67.6% → Overwhelmingly PUT-heavy environment, a signal of dealer short gamma pressure — one move down can feed the next.
🎯 GEX Implications:
* Break below 452 → Expect momentum to ramp toward 450 → 448 → 440 range.
* Bounce off 452 → Needs strong reclaim of 456–458 to reverse gamma flow — very difficult without macro help.
🕰️ 1-Hour Technical Analysis
Structure:
* QQQ broke down from an ascending wedge and is now retesting prior support at 452.47.
* Price is below all EMAs and losing VWAP — confirms bearish control.
Indicators:
* MACD: Weak and diverging bearishly — no sign of reversal strength.
* RSI: Dipping under 40, near oversold, but no bullish divergence visible yet.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Support: 452 → 450 → 448 → 440
* Resistance: 456 → 458 → 464.98
🧠 Final Thoughts:
QQQ is sitting on the edge of a gamma trap at 452. With PUTs dominant and technicals confirming weakness, there’s a real risk of continued slide toward 450–448 or lower if bulls can’t reclaim the 456 zone quickly.
GEX suggests heavy dealer hedging is active — so expect volatility, and prepare for a momentum spike if 452 fails.
This is not financial advice. Always trade with risk management, and let price action confirm your plan before executing.
QQQ - Intraday Setup April 16 2025QQQ Intraday Setup
April 16 2025
Decision making - 15minutes time frame
Short trade scenario -1
Market Takes resistance = 455.95
Stop loss = 456
Short trade get initiated
1st Target = 449.0 (profit booking)
2nd target = 442.58
Trade setup explained:
Market made a high of 455.95 on April 11 2025.
High has sustained above 455.95 in next 2 trading sessions
Market has opened today below 455.95. Hence this support zone is now intraday resistance zone.
Long trade scenario-1
Market Takes Support = 442.58
Long trade gets initiated
Stop loss = 441.20
1st Target 450.85 (Profit booking)
2nd Target = 455.95
Trade setup explained:
Market made a high of 442.58 on April 7 2025.
Market has sustained above 455.95 in next 6 trading sessions until today and hence becomes intraday support.
Long trade scenario-2
Market opens gap down and sustains above = 450.85
Long trade gets initiated
Stop loss = 447.19
1st Target 452.64
2nd Target = 455.95 (Profit booking)
Trade setup explained:
Market has a downward trend on April 10th and creates an intraday swing high of 450.85. The swing high of a downward trending day becomes 1st stage of resistance when markets are close to this price.
Disclaimer: I am not a registered analyst. The above information is only for educational purpose based on my years of experience. Please consult a financial advisor before investing.
$QQQ - Recap of April 14 2025Today, Monday April 14th we opened with a gap UP to the 30min 200MA and slightly above that. We closed the top of the gap (always a potential resistance and in the case here, paired with the 30min 200MA that was facing down we did get pulled back down to close the morning gap and the rest of the bear gap (combined it was an island gap)
Once we closed the bear gap first from above we came back and closed the bull gap, we took another swing at the 30min 200, still facing down and got rejected back down into close. It was an easy trading range today. Rather predicable, in my opinion, with the downward facing 30min 200MA, the bear gap and the 35EMA still trading underneath the 30min 200MA. These are all things I drill in daily in the videos and even though we closed great a lot of the bearishness of this chart today played out to contain the upside.
Also let's not forget that we had a green signal line today!! It looked weak but you can see the support, weak or not, it stayed green.
How did you guys do??
This is a good spot to start buying the market.We’ve reached the lower boundary—whether this marks the start of a prolonged sell-off or a rebound point doesn’t matter right now. In the next couple of weeks, we’ll trade higher before the true extent of the damage becomes clear. This is a good spot to start buying the market.
Instructional for my brother. IThis is a bad swing trade, it is under the 180 day moving average. You wouldn't enter this using a swing trading system alone, its more advanced to identify. But you can see the yellow line I drew, that is strong resistance. That means the price don't want to go below that line.
I put what a trade would look like on it. You see how in this trade there is much more green than red? That is a good risk to reward ration.
Now here is CBOE. See how the green and red of this projected trade are nearly equal? Yeah, that is a bad risk to reward ration. At a 1:1 (that is for each dollar you can gain, you are risking) you are at a coin toss odds. Which is better than gambling but isn't trading.
You pretty much have the gist of Bravo simple trading, these are more advanced things. IF you are trading, you want to know where you will set your stop loss and where you will set your take profit BEFORE you buy anything. And then set those with the trade. That way you know beforehand what a worse case scenario looks like. If you do this, you will very likely succeed in the long run.
QQQ Coiling for a Breakout? Critical Zone Approaching📈 Technical Analysis (1H Chart)
QQQ is riding within a clean ascending channel since the April 9th reversal. The recent candles are forming higher lows and testing upper resistance near 454.00, with bullish volume stepping in during Thursday’s session. RSI is steadily climbing toward the 60–65 zone but not overbought yet, leaving room for an upward breakout.
* Key Resistance: 468.31 (top of the channel + GEX wall)
* Support Zones: 435.00 (put wall), 420.00 (gamma gap zone)
Current consolidation around 454 suggests the market is deciding whether to push into the heavy call wall above or reject toward the lower channel boundary.
🔍 GEX (Gamma Exposure) + Options Sentiment
The options data offers a clear battleground:
* GEX Resistance: The highest positive NET GEX is at 460–469, aligning with the 2nd and 3rd CALL Walls. This creates a strong gamma magnet but also potential resistance.
* GEX Support: Strong PUT Support around 435, confirmed by -42.99% GEX Support Wall.
* Options Oscillator: Extreme PUT bias at 83%. This could be positioning for protection or fuel for a short squeeze if price breaks higher.
* IVR: 68.4 (Elevated) | IVx Avg: 46.8
This suggests high premium—buyers of options are paying up for volatility.
📊 Trade Outlooks
Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above 455–460):
* 📈 Entry: 455–456 breakout with confirmation
* 🎯 Target 1: 460
* 🎯 Target 2: 468
* ⛔️ Stop Loss: Below 448
* 💡 Suggested Option: 460C or 465C (0DTE or 4/17), tight spreads required due to elevated IVR
Bearish Scenario (Rejection at 455 and breakdown)
* 📉 Entry: Below 450 on strong red candle
* 🎯 Target 1: 445
* 🎯 Target 2: 435 (GEX support)
* ⛔️ Stop Loss: Over 456
* 💡 Suggested Option: 445P or 440P (with defined risk, preferably spreads)
📌 Conclusion
QQQ is sitting in a high-tension coil—either we break above 455–460 and see a gamma squeeze to 468, or options flows pull us back to the 445–435 support zone. With IV elevated and options heavily tilted toward PUTs, watch for a potential contrarian breakout if bulls step in.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
Piercing LineWe have price hovering above the 200 EMA and a key level around the 391 to 396 price area. Also, we have a possible piercing line candlestick pattern. Oscillators are in oversold regions. Chris Moody MACD is in the red zone but possibly could shift green. If price fails the 200 EMA we might have price action towards 346.68. Be careful and if the markets are too intense you can always paper trade.
Key Test of Resistance on QQQKey remount of the QQQ. We are over the 9ema and 20sma now and testing a huge supply zone that we need to eat thorugh. This ownt be easy as this 470 level is a huge supply but this can be the start of something. A couple days of chop here while we grind under the supply zone could set us up for higher prices. They key is to see how we react into this zone as the first test into that 470 we might get rejected in absence of news but we need the see the nature and structure of that pullback. We are by no way means out of the bear market this is a traders market but there are some green shoots. The market is shrugging off bad news and the trump team is trying to keep this market afloat by anymeans!