Pricey but pulling back - long RDDT at 196.21 Reddit is a little bit dangerous here. It is a very expensive stock with a short trading record that has run up massively of late. But it has pulled back, and is still within the confines of its regression channel.
Ordinarily I don't trade stocks without large piles of trading data to fall back on. So why this time? First of all, the reason I don't is primarily that newer stocks have a much higher failure rate (going to zero) than battle tested ones do. Given that the strategy I use is first and foremost about safety, going to zero is a HUGE no no so I avoid them by and large.
I don't think that's an even remote risk in the case of RDDT, however.
Secondly, in its brief history with my system it has performed very well from a per day held return standpoint (around 1.5% per day held, or about 55x the long term daily average return of SPY). While that number will tend to decrease over time with more trades, even a return half that size is a sizable daily return.
Also, every trade signal has been profitable to this point, but again the small sample size renders that information basically irrelevant. In the end, I have to respect the trend here and trust that NYSE:RDDT will follow the same pattern that the other almost 2000 stocks I screen follow and that this trade will work out because it's what stocks do. We shall see, I guess.
Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
