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VANECK ETF TR RARE EARTH AND STRATEGIC METALS ETF

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REMX trade ideas

Trading Idea: Buying the VanEck Vectors Rare Earth/Strategic MetIntroduction The VanEck Vectors Rare Earth/Strategic Metals (REMX) ETF is a US-based fund focused on rare metals and strategic resources that play an important role in the development of high technologies. REMX repeats the performance of the MVIS Rare Earth/Strategic Metals index. The fund invests in various mining companies, most of whose assets are located in the United States, China and Australia. The Fund balances its assets quarterly and evaluates them based on the weighted average market capitalization. Justification of the purchase 1. The REMX ETF provides exposure to companies engaged in the extraction and processing of rare earth metals, as well as other strategic resources such as lithium, vanadium and cobalt. These materials are the main components for high-tech devices such as electric vehicles, batteries, renewable energy and electronics. The current value of the fund is $46. The price has decreased since 2022 from its maximum of $120 and is at its lowest values over the past 4 years, due to changes in prices for rare earth metals and geopolitical factors. However, the long-term outlook remains positive due to the expected growth in demand for these resources. 2. Increasing demand for rare metals This is facilitated by the transition to "green" technologies and the development of electric vehicles. For example, the global electric vehicle market is projected to grow by 17-18% annually over the next 5 years. Since rare earth elements are necessary for the production of electric vehicle engines, lithium batteries and generators for wind turbines, this provides the foundation for rising prices for rare earth resources and companies working in this field. Analysts expect that REMX may show an average annual growth in the range of 20% over a 2-3-year horizon. The growth of the fund's share prices will directly depend on the demand for rare earth metals and possible supply shortages caused by geopolitical instability, in particular in China, which is the main producer of these elements. 3. Diversification through REMX REMX includes a wide range of companies operating around the world, including China, the USA, Australia and Canada. Among them are both major players such as MP Materials and emerging companies, which provides diversified access to the rare metals sector. Diversification in the fund reduces investor risks associated with individual companies or countries. Risks 1. Dependence on China About 80% of the world's production of rare metals is concentrated in China, which creates a risk when the political or economic situation changes. Possible export restrictions from China may cause volatility in the rare metals market and, accordingly, in the REMX stock market. 2. Geopolitical risks Trade wars and sanctions can lead to supply problems, which will increase price volatility. For example, China's recent actions to restrict exports of rare earth elements used in military technology demonstrate the possible risks for investors in this sector. This may have a short-term negative impact on the value of the ETF. 3. Price volatility of metals The value of rare earth metals can be extremely volatile due to changes in supply and demand, which will also affect the fund's shares. Any sharp decrease in demand from major buyers, such as electronics or electric vehicle manufacturers, could negatively affect the price of the ETF. The prospects 1. Growing demand for electric vehicles and renewable energy The global electric vehicle market is expected to increase by more than 70% by 2030, which requires significant amounts of rare metals such as neodymium and praseodymium. Wind turbines and solar panels also require large volumes of these elements to generate energy, which supports long-term demand growth. 2. Long-term forecasts of price growth for rare earth metals Experts believe that prices for rare metals will steadily increase in the next few years, given their limited supply and critical importance for global technology chains. Combined with the efforts of Western countries to reduce dependence on Chinese supplies, this creates positive prospects for companies operating in this area, which will have a positive impact on the REMX ETF. Conclusion The purchase of the VanEck Vectors Rare Earth/Strategic Metals (REMX) ETF is an attractive investment idea for those who seek access to high-tech sectors and strategically important resources. Despite the existing risks associated with dependence on China and volatility in metal prices, the long-term growth prospects of the rare earth market, supported by the development of "green" technologies and electric vehicles, create conditions for an increase in the value of ETFs on the horizon of 2-3 years.
AMEX:REMXLong
by juliakhandoshko
RARE EARTHSHow strange do you feel today? Let's talk about rare earths. These types of elements of the periodic table are difficult to pronounce but at least easy to locate because they were in a little square outside. We will need them for chips, electric car batteries and capacitors. So after this great drop in the stock market these years ago, when they only bought FOMO, it's time to do an analysis and start placing purchase positions. This investment is long-term, let's say 7-10 years.
AMEX:REMXLong
by SGsauragestion
1
REMX Rare Metals ETFOn the 4H chart the price is rising above support and the recent bottom. On the MACD indicator, the lines have risen above the zero line and over the positive histogram. The moving average "Williams Alligator" combination shows divergence with the short period MA rising the fastest. On the volume indicator, high solid relative volume occurred as the price reached support and has been more or less increased compared with the moving mean ever since. The volume profile showed the highest volume at the support level and price has now crossed above and out of the high volume area. Fundamentally, rare earth metals are a necessary component to lithium batteries for EVs and everything else. China has a large number of rare earth mines and can manipulate the global markets in these minerals. I see this as an investment play until there are signs the uptrend has ended. I will take call option of $81 for the the 5/19 expiration and close early if REMX makes reversal signals. In the gold rush of 1849, those who made the most money were the sellers of shovels and picks. I believe there are parallels here with regard to EVs, and lithium and rare metals may yield great profits and the same for EV charging stations and battery technology. Eton Musk is looking to buy a lithium mine and put a processing plant in Austin TX. Seems among other things, he is a bit visionary with regard to lithium and money. see also the link below
AMEX:REMXLong
by AwesomeAvani
Chinese Rare Earth Elements (REE) MinersBull Case on Chinese REE Miners: Increasing domestic pressure to restrict REE exports from China. China accounts for 60% of the world's mining of REE, China also accounts for over 80% of the world's REE refining. Refining is environmentally intensive & damaging. The US & Australia are building out domestic supply chains, but unless they are willing to fight their own environmental regulations to refine what is mined, it still has to be sent to China. Increasing global demand + restricted supply chains = higher prices = greater profits for Chinese REE miners / refiners (tracked in REMX). China is bolstering its domestic semiconductor industry due to the restrictions from the US & West, which also require REE; Chinese domestic demand for REE is going to increase to support a domestic semiconductor foundry sector. Cup & Handle pattern noted.
AMEX:REMXLong
by MichaelGoldberg
Upcoming bull market in rare earth mineral ETFThanks for viewing, I get a lot of satisfaction from identifying assets and asset classes that are under-valued. That means looking at some rather hopeless looking charts and looking for potential. Identifying under-valued assets e.g. commodities in chronic supply deficit is also a great way to both diversify a portfolio with uncorrelated (or negatively correlated) assets. "Rare earths, which are used in the high-strength magnets found in much of the latest tech, from smartphones to wind turbines to electric vehicles, will remain a primary issue for the resource sector well into the next decade as more countries in the west work to create supply chains that depend less on China (investingnews.com)." I will lay out my case for rare earths and you let me know what you think. For: - Bullish RSI divergence between Jan 2016 and March 2020 swing lows. Bullish RSI is when a lower low on the price chart is displayed as a higher low on the RSI. Not a bullet-proof indication, but a sign of weakening in the trend. I have identified some snorter-term bullish and bearish divergences in 2016, 2017, and 2019-20 that marked changes in the direction in price, - A significant draw-down (think retracement). Of course the over-all trend is down presently, and there is the possibility that it could go lower, but I see signs of a recovery. - Increasing volume. - A very bullish aspect is the recent move (+86% in <100 days) since March 2020 which was achieved with much lower than average volume. When the chart goes up on low volume it strongly suggests that sellers are exhausted. - Rare earth metals will be essential to a tech-driven / sustainable energy economy. I do mean essential, they allow jet engines to burn hotter, have greater reliability, and run more efficiently. The move to more efficient aircraft is a meta-trend that is only more important in present times - despite low travel demand (think aircraft retirements due to efficiency - the goal now is for airlines to lose the least money and more efficient aircraft. - China reduced production targets significantly in 2018 due to reducing rare earth reserves (global reserves once stood at 70% but have reduced to ~37% in 2018 www.prnewswire.com) - Trade war. - Whatever happens in the vote in November, the world is turning away from China. Factories are relocating, the possibility of both cold and hot wars are being discussed. But whatever happens, rare earth metals are "strategic metals." That means defence and industry in the US and elsewhere needs them to function almost regardless of commodity price. In 2019 the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) threatened retaliation against the US via halting or restricting the export of rare earth minerals to the US. - Both the US and China have threatened tariffs or restrictions on rare earth minerals, - There are signs that they are making good on this threat (although recent actions are not associated with a clear public CCP announcement about why exports are being limited from the CCP - they never are), - China rare earth exports account for 78% of US rare earth imports in 2017. The US is currently dependent on this stream of imports. Any substitution of supply is going to take a long time to eventuate. - Global trade is generally becoming "stickier" in terms of politics, transport, and travel. Against: - It is an ETF and I generally mistrust ETFs (e.g. SPDR GLD). While they can be useful, I will limit my ETFs to smaller positions. - It is an equity ETF, so it carries higher risk than other more stable investments. - The majority of Companies are from China. I am not a China expert, but I know enough to be concerned with the veracity and verifiability of their financial reporting, and maybe more importantly, there is a possibility that the CCP may annex some Companies or require them to do things that run counter to the organisations own best interests (i.e. restricting or blocking selling to some willing buyers). - Investing in China may not suit you depending on your position on moral investing e.g. Chinese human rights record, mining pollution, or that in China or mine worker death rate is 10x that of the US. - I expect a widespread draw-down in global equities due to a generalised deleveraging. So mining / refining equities will also be hit - possibly harder than average. - MACD weekly histogram is trending downwards and a MACD moving average cross-over to the downside is also possible. - I would put a short-term price at $28-34. - The underlying securities in the ETF have an aggregate PE ratio of 37, which is on the high side. - REMX has a 0.69 correlation with the SPX in the past 3 years, which is surprising given that the charts have been going quite different directions (0.7 and above is considered a strong correlation). If the time-frame was longer, say 5-10 years), the correlation would be lower. On the fence: - I will continue to buy on weakness and am looking for price to hold above $23.91 (i.e. make a higher low) for my bullish outlook to hold. If that low is not exceeded, I would call the bear market over. My outlook is rather bullish, but even if we get a 61% retracement (of 2011 highs), that would mean 500%+ gains from the $23.91 low. If I had to put odds on it, I would lean 70:30 towards bullish - maybe more - given the political situation. If someone should make an ETF with high quality rare earth equities that excluded Chinese companies I would increase that to 80:20 or more. I could write more, but I'm not sure anyone is here at the end :P Protect those funds
AMEX:REMXLong
by flyinkiwi10
11
#REMX - 100% safe? Rare Earth going up? #tradingviewThe Vaneck Rare Earth Metals ETF indicates an overall trend reversal in rare earths. The RSI - Relative Strength Index has not confirmed the lows of 2020 compared to the lows of 2016 and has built up a massive divergence on a monthly basis. In the course of the upward movement, the 2018 highs are likely to be surpassed, which from today's perspective would correspond to almost a doubling. Companies such as Defense Metals or Lynas are likely to react even more strongly than the ETF, and everyone should be aware of this, depending on their risk appetite.
AMEX:REMXLong
by StefanBode
2