SHOP is showing a clear upward channel since the end of the pandemic. it has established two support lines, both indicating a bullish trend. the blue signal line helps to identify whether a entry is suitable.
my analysis is based on fibonacci retracements along the green and red arrows.
If the stock shows similar development as since Dec 18, I suggest an average daily growth of 0.33 %. Which is about 2x BRK.A and about -0.2 % per day less than $HAG.
SHOP Shopify posted strong Q1 results with revenue up 27% year-over-year to $2.36 billion, beating estimates by $30 million. It marked the eighth straight quarter of 25%+ growth when excluding the impact of selling off its logistics unit. Gross merchandise volume (GMV) rose 23% to $74.75 billion, slightly below expectations.
However, results were weighed down by a nearly $1 billion unrealized loss on equity investments tied to weaker stock performance from partners like Affirm, Global-E, and Klaviyo. Without that, net profit would’ve totaled $226 million. On the plus side, free cash flow margin rose to 15%, up from 12% last year.
For Q2, Shopify expects revenue growth in the mid-20% range, in line with Q1. However, gross profit growth is projected to land in the high-teens due to a shift in revenue mix toward lower-margin Merchant Solutions. That’s slightly below Wall Street’s 20% forecast.
President Harley Finkelstein flagged potential headwinds from the end of the “de minimis” rule, which had let imports under $800 enter the U.S. without tariffs. While only about 1% of GMV is directly exposed, analysts remain cautious as trade policy uncertainty and rising costs could pressure smaller merchants who rely on Chinese suppliers.
SHOP If these prices hold through mid-week, this will be a hell of a monthly recovery and close above the 10M average which has converged with the $95 support level on the 1M chart.
Fundamentals aside, it’s looking like a great long term chart whatever the hell that may mean with earnings coming up in early May.
SHOP is showing a clear upward channel since the end of the pandemic. it has established two support lines, both indicating a bullish trend. the blue signal line helps to identify whether a entry is suitable. 
BRK.A and about -0.2 % per day less than $HAG.
