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SMH trade ideas

SMH shows long term signs of troubleSMH fails to make new highs since July peak going into sideways trend. This paints a picture of a long term reversal to bear side coming Comparing OBV trend with the March and July peak, we see that OBV diverges downwards while price continues indicating reversal After severe sell off in August, we see that price trends sideways failing to make new highs The sideways trend is during a typical rough time of the year, so weakness and volatility is expected Nov and Dec normally bring in strong rallies We could be simply looking at a pullback in time as ETF takes a breather from July peak, before rallying continues. The other alternative is that this may be distribution phase of a high risk sector preparing for a huge sell off.
NASDAQ:SMH
by ratchet-mint
1
SMH maybe forming an island gap reversalSMH lately broke above its downward trend that looked promising as a turning from this long ward slide we have been in. Selling may not be over yet After gapping up into more bullish territory it held for a day, stock gapped back down again Forming an island gap We could see the stock come back down into its original trading territory SPY is currently trading very high at the moment. As SPY contracts we should also see SMH falling as well.
NASDAQ:SMHShort
by ratchet-mint
SMH now testing outer boundariesSMH experienced a significant rally and now showing signs of weakness and a potential reversal coming. experienced a short lived false breakout back in Aug 22 We are now back in breakout zone again this time with more candles indicating more bulls coming in than last breakout RSI is now trending flat as price continues to rise, signs of rsi divergence signaling reversal maybe coming Overall SMH looks to be showing weakness in the rally and most likely turning around to sell off soon.
NASDAQ:SMHShort
by ratchet-mint
SMH - Flerting with 200MA and H&S The chart has formed a Head & Shoulders pattern following a double top, which needs to be invalidated to avoid further downside pressure. That’s what the bulls are attempting to achieve, but the question remains: will they succeed? Additionally, we are frequently testing the 200MA, a key long-term support level. From a macroeconomic perspective, a recession seems likely, and in such a scenario, maintaining bullish momentum would be difficult. In my view, we’ve now entered the bearish phase of the market, even for semiconductors.
NASDAQ:SMHShort
by PedroNegreiros
SMH tests major resistance levelSMH has rallied nicely the past 2 days and now reached major downward resistance level again. This is a crucial area for SMH to break in order for more rallying to continue Resistance defined well during late August ETF now presses up against resistance again Volume declines as resistance is reached. Overall I am expecting a reversal to start forming around here. Figure on SMH testing the level before retracting back down to lower levels again.
NASDAQ:SMHShort
by ratchet-mint
SMH forming a long downward trendSMH failed to make new highs after the last rally and now forming downward trend At the peak of July 10 we have seen a continued decline in SMH overall Latest rally peaked in August 21 coming in much lower than July 10 As SMH gradually sold off it also helped form a strong resistance line painting a long term grim picture We are in late cycle investing at the moment. This is helping solidify that the longer term risk assets have begun SMH is looking like the leader in the tech sell off so far. Recommend preparing your portfolio by rotating out of risk assets over to more defense ETFs
NASDAQ:SMHShort
by ratchet-mint
$SMH - Can 200DMA save it?NASDAQ:SMH On August 12, I posted that SMH could be forming a head and shoulders pattern. Fast forward to today, it is close to forming the right shoulder. However, can the 200DMA, which has previously provided support, save it from breaking down? It remains to be seen. Like any pattern, a Head and Shoulders can be invalidated if it fails to break down below the neckline. As always, I share my opinions and trades. I'm not suggesting anyone follow my trades. You do you.
NASDAQ:SMH
by PaperBozz
SMH rallies to new highs with room to goSMH rallied to new highs today and into higher trading area which originally appeared to be very overbought 1 hour interval shows both 10 and 20 RSI levels in overbought territory 2 hour interval shows 20 RSI having more room to grow. initially exited riskiest positions figuring on this new high being way outside the bounds of normal This is now looking to have some more room left in it. expect a small pullback or pullback in time over the next day or two.
NASDAQ:SMHLong
by ratchet-mint
Monthly island reversal in the making?I was looking over some monthly charts today (in candlestick format) and this one stood out to me on the monthly as a possible topping pattern...a monthly island reversal. On the 1st trading day in June 2024 SMH gapped up but then on the first trading day in August 2024 it gapped down creating a visual island reversal look. Technically speaking I think Island Reversal gaps do not clear but instead "gap and go" so I'm sure someone will correct me if this is the case but visually speaking (if and only if this is a top) one could look back and suggest this to be the case after the fact. And July 2024 created an "inside month"...another possible sign of a reversal. If the gap down is no longer present at the end of August then I will stop myself out of this trade but it's worth a small short IMO.
NASDAQ:SMHShort
by Vixtine
SMH held its ground above key support levelToday was an important day for semi conductors. In order to solidify a bullish pivot it needed to remain above a key support level. SMH held above key support lack luster moves across the market indicated indecision and caution amongst traders about the future being bullish or bearish This could mark the sign of a turn around to the upside longer term considering the recent rally and today's modest moves, this could be the distribution phase of the rally cycle which would mark a small pullback in the coming days
NASDAQ:SMH
by ratchet-mint
SMH breaks through key resistanceSMH breaks through key resistance giving a hint that downward trend could be coming to a close for the near term. RSI continues to rise during recent rally which is a bullish sign Flash crash we experienced on Fri-Mon tends to cause rallies which we have experienced thus far potential breakout we are currently seeing could just be false breakout before retreating back into downward trend. We should wait for pullback to resistance line and bounce upward to help confirm if this breakout will continue Any trades made now should be done cautiously and in small amounts, the market could go in either direction. Trades made now, should not be added onto until we have more confidence of the overall direction.
NASDAQ:SMH
by ratchet-mint