SOFI: Is this what happening to SOFI? A bear caseThe recovery so far for SOFI hasn't been that great. After breaking key support of $10.44, price is trying to bounce back. Last week it tried to get over the resistance at $11.65, but stalled. So far, this recovery is a 3 waves move. It can go higher, in fact, I think, the first A wave is still in progress. We should see B and C waves after this ongoing wave taking price to around $13.5 to $14.9 before the next leg of the correction. Until price can break above the downward channel and above $18.42, this will be the primary idea.
The alternate idea calls for a leading diagonal that is currently correcting. That will still need a move up and then a larger move down but cannot break below the low. Either way, it will take quite a bit of time to play out. It is really in the middle of the range and needs to in the watchlist only. If the financial crisis hits as many are predicting, it can get really, really bad for banks...
SOFI trade ideas
SOFI TRADE LEVELSTickers like SOFI I enjoy swing trading while simultaneously buying shares of equity.
Currently in a very clean downtrending channel. Perfect for swing trades.
As this ticker moves around $2 per week, the day trading levels are very precise entries; this ticker is built for swinging and investing.
SOFI Bell Curve StudyI am using the Sinusoid here - however there is a Bell Curve which is better. Just cannot find the indicator at present.
The synopsis is that most stocks and markets go through cycles (Bull and Bear) that are sometimes stretched sinusoids, called a Bell Wave Curve.
Whilst it is very difficult to predict these cycles, most become evident from market sentiment quite early. The problem is that we all have FOMO.
Most Senior Stock Market Analysts say do not sell, and this becomes evident when you are down a few 10% points, as the past shows that the market does recover.
Maybe a few smart (Elon) advisors will give Trump a CLUE that most Tariffs are calculated Wrong.
As the Markets are super choppy it is difficult to advise any future direction for now.
As always, please get a few outside Expert's Advice before taking Trade or Investment Decisions.
Should you appreciate my Chart Studies, Smash That Rocket Boost Button. It's Just a Click away.
Regards Graham.
Intraday ActionPrice is at a make or break point at 10.70, where if price does not hold it may return to the 10.05 area the bottom of the range. If price overcomes the 10.70 area price may rise to the 10.99 or 11.40 targets. Oscillators levels are healthy and Chris Moody MACD indicator levels are healthy, price previously had two successful consolidations and break outs. There may also be the possibility of a golden cross purple 50 EMA crossing over the orange 200 EMA. Be advised of premarket activity.
TrendlineIf price can break and close above the downward trendline we can have price action to the 11.20 area and then possibly to the orange 200 EMA 11.80 area. However, if we have price rejection at the downward trendline; than we might have possible price movement to the purple 50 EMA at 10.59 or below. Please be careful and watch out for fakeouts and after market hours activity.
SoFi Technologies (SOFI) – Prepping for Liftoff?Analysis Overview:
The chart suggests that SOFI may be setting up for a major bullish reversal, but confirmation is still needed. Let’s break it down:
Key Bullish Factors:
✅ Optimal Trade Entry (OTE)
Price is currently sitting at an OTE level, a premium zone for long setups often used by smart money. These zones historically mark powerful reversal points.
✅ Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG) Respected
The stock tapped into a monthly FVG—a high-probability demand zone—suggesting institutional interest. A break and close above this zone would strengthen the bullish case significantly.
✅ 30 Moving Average (MA) as Confirmation
Price is still below the 30MA. A clear break and close above the 30MA would serve as the first strong confirmation that buyers are regaining control.
✅ Massive Upside Potential
If this plays out, the first target is the previous buy-side liquidity at $18.33, and if momentum sustains, we could even see a long-term move toward the all-time high at $28.54—a potential 228% gain from current levels.
What We Want to See Before Full Confidence:
🔹 Price to break and close above the 30MA
🔹 Clear displacement through the Monthly FVG
🔹 Sustained bullish volume stepping in
Conclusion:
SOFI could be gearing up for a powerful upside run, but let the market confirm it. Watch the 30MA and how price behaves around the FVG. If those get respected and price pushes higher—this could be a sleeper play to watch in 2025.
🧠 As always... DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
SOFI at Reversal Zone! Will Bulls Defend This Level or Below 11?🔍 Market Structure & Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
* Current Structure: SOFI is in a clean downtrend channel with consecutive CHoCHs and a recent Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside.
* Price has consolidated into a red SMC Reversal Zone, just below the prior CHoCH level, signaling potential short-term relief or further breakdown.
* Bulls have failed to reclaim control post-CHoCH from March 26–27. Lower highs and aggressive sell-offs dominate.
📉 Technical Indicator Summary:
* MACD: Currently flat but slightly converging—no strong bullish momentum yet.
* Stoch RSI: Resetting from oversold, but not giving a decisive bullish reversal yet. Caution warranted for early longs.
* Trendlines: Price is pressing against a lower trendline, and any break below ~$11.70 could accelerate toward the $11.00 level or lower.
🔧 Support & Resistance:
* Resistance:
* $12.34: Structure high and minor supply.
* $13.89: Former CHoCH and Gamma Call Resistance.
* Support:
* $11.70: Current demand/put wall zone.
* $11.00: Second major PUT Wall and psychological round number.
* $10.85: Fib confluence / key GEX support.
💥 Options & GEX Analysis (from GEX + Options Oscillator):
* IVR: 56.6 (elevated, signaling potential high options premium)
* IVx Avg: 102.2 — suggests volatility pricing is very high
* Options Sentiment:
* CALLs: 26.1%
* GEX: 🔴🔴🔴 (Bearish Gamma setup)
* Put Walls:
* $12.00: Highest negative NET GEX (key support!)
* $11.00: 2nd Put Wall (danger zone if breached)
* Call Resistance:
* $13.00–$13.89: Gamma Wall, strong selling pressure zone
* Bias: Bearish-to-neutral until bulls reclaim $12.34 or break above descending trendline.
📊 Trade Setups (For Educational Purposes Only):
🔴 Bearish Continuation:
* Entry: Below $11.70
* Target: $11.00 → $10.85
* Stop-loss: Above $12.00
🟢 Bullish Reversal Setup (Speculative):
* Entry: On reclaim of $12.34 with volume
* Target: $13.00 → $13.89
* Stop-loss: Below $11.70
🔮 Outlook Summary:
SOFI is trading inside a tight bearish channel near key GEX support. Unless bulls reclaim $12.34 or show aggressive demand near $11.70, the trend favors bears. Keep an eye on GEX and IVR behavior into April 4 OPEX.
🛑 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Sofi - ready to run?Sofi is peaking its head above the resistance level, held down by two Fibonacci pivot points. I’d like to see it break above $7 with high volume, that would mark the end of many months of lower highs and lower lows.
Definitely keeping an eye on this one. I would have liked it to have touched $6 but buyers are stepping in and we are trying to reclaim the golden Fibonacci ratio as support.
Keep an eye out for a breakout trade, not financial advice
Why Going Long on SoFi Stock SoFi Technologies (SOFI) is at a pivotal moment, presenting a strong long opportunity as it enters the 5th wave of an Elliott Wave cycle. This final leg typically brings explosive upside momentum, signaling a potential breakout.
While a brief dip below $10 is possible, this could act as a springboard for a powerful rally toward $20 and beyond. The stock's bullish structure, combined with SoFi's growing financial services business, makes it an attractive bet for long-term investors.
With momentum building, now may be the perfect time to go long on SoFi before the next surge begins.
🚨 This is not financial advice. Do your own due diligence (DD) before making any investment decisions. 🚨
SOFI AwaySOFI has changed its course over the last week and seems to be putting in new highs. We have a gap to close between 13.43 and 13.57 with a support and resistance being around 13.57.
The short squeeze seems to be slowing and volume seems to be returning. VWAP is sitting at 16.14, this could and possibly will retest that area once again, with time. RSI is in the oversold area at 46.81.
With an $0.80 a day move, we could see 13.50 within the next few days, provided the market or sector doesn't fall apart. If not, of course it could move back to 12 with a stop loss at 11.18.
As always, do your own research and due diligence. Let's see where it goes.
Ascending Channels ✅ Bullish Case (If Price Holds Above ChoCh - $12.39)
Entry: Above $12.50 (Confirmation of 50 EMA break).
Stop-Loss: Below $12.30 (Invalidation of ChoCh).
Target 1: $13.07 (Key Resistance).
Target 2: $13.46 (Major Resistance).
❌ Bearish Case (If Price Falls Below ChoCh - $12.39)
Entry: Below $12.30 (Confirmation of failure).
Stop-Loss: Above $12.50 (Invalidation).
Target 1: $11.41 (Key Support).
Target 2: $10.92 (Major Support).
$SOFI - Working against the trendline and VWAP resistanceNASDAQ:SOFI declined to the 200-day moving average (DMA) area, which was the breakdown target, and then bounced. It’s remarkable how technical targets are hit with such high accuracy.
Currently, it is testing the channel trendline and VWAP resistance. If it can break above $13.70 and hold above that level, it could serve as a launchpad for the next leg.
10Day High Wave CandleOn the 10Day Chart price had a serious correction, investors want to know is it over.
RSI is kind of bearish/neutral. Stochastic RSI says there is more room for price to decline. However, we have a high wave candle in a bullish FVG zone with price rejection around the 11.00 price range. On the 10Day Chart we are going to need price to clear 13.55 price for more signs of upward growth.
$SOFI - It can bounce butNASDAQ:SOFI This is a case of a diamond pattern breakdown. Diamond patterns can be either bullish or bearish, depending on how they resolve. In this case, the pattern resolved to the downside.
The breakdown target is around the 200-day moving average (200DMA) or $10–$11 range. So create a plan for that.
We are at the midway potential reversal area, supported by the VWAP.
We had a hammer candle on Friday, so let’s hope it follows through. 🙏
Bearish Sentiment and Wedges Please observe the wedgelike structure for SOFI, we had a little boost on Friday but not enough to close out the wedge like structure, price needs to overcome 12.50 and make a higher low or retest 12.50 for a safe long entry, if price falls back below the low of the wick candle and inside the wedgelike structure the shorting may continue, please observe the chart for key levels and for wedgelike structure. The asset is below the 200 EMA and 50 EMA candle confirming bearish sentiment.
$SOFI - Reversal signal is not clear yetNASDAQ:SOFI dropped to a loading zone and then bounced. It formed a hammer pattern on the weekly chart.
The $16 to $17 range marks a key resistance zone, and breaking above it would signal bullish momentum.
On the downside, $13 serves as a critical support level. If it fails to hold, we might see a pullback to $11.
My thoughts for the coming weeksWe are at a tough patch now unfortunately looking at the charts, and so I think it's safe to assume we will see some selling and slowing down in upward price action, until we find more momentum to carry us into price discovery.
As you can see, we're heading towards some very important areas. One being an old support level, now resistance. Following that we have the Fibonacci golden zone at an arms reach as well. If we manage to blow past those, we then have the big one which completely ruined us for years.
Conclusion:
As you can see from my comments on the chart, I can see us in the coming weeks cooling off, and eventually selling down towards the $10 range, to then eventually gain momentum and try again.