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Toast me or Roast me - I'm still learning & practicing charting I was looking at descending scallops and some of their features via thepatternsite.com What is valid or invalid about this charting here?? I have the high peak marked from the ATH that topped the uptrend on AMEX:SPY and the most recent upward breakout prior to trending back down on the 1HR as of yesterday. I know I will only be able to confirm in hindsight but is there good reason here for me to say we have the makings of a long-er term descending scallop in play here? Thanks to all. I enjoy reading your opinions and discussions on the daily.
AMEX:SPY
by ExtraGuacAM
1
SPY - Macro-Market Overview and what the algorithms are sayingCurrently we are being guided by a strong selling teal on the LTF but we must keep in mind the HTF algorithms of red and white (which are bullish liquidity builders). Right now, we need to see who wins out in this fight between teal and red - if we break red and prove teal guidance, we are definitively in strong selling and can easily make our way toward the HTF white at the low $500's. As always, let the algorithms guide you! Happy Trading :)
AMEX:SPY
by ReigningTrades
2
SPY Set To Grow! BUY! My dear friends, SPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 555.80 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 569.99 Recommended Stop Loss - 549.79 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYLong
by AnabelSignals
1
The Greatest Opportunity of Your Life : Answering QuestionsThis video is an answer to Luck264's question about potential price rotation. I go into much more details because I want to highlight the need to keep price action in perspective related to overall (broader) and more immediate (shorter-term) trends. Additionally, I try to highlight what I've been trying to tell all of you over the past 3+ years... The next 3-%+ years are the GREATEST OPPORTUNITY OF YOUR LIFE. You can't even imagine the potential for gains unless I try to draw it out for you. So, here you go. This video highlights why price is the ultimate indicator and why my research/data is superior to many other types of analysis. My data is factual, process-based, and results in A or B outcomes. I don't mess around with too many indicators because I find them confusing at times. Price tells me everything I need to know - learn what I do to improve your trading. Hope you enjoy this video. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
SPY: Last week of March ish Oh yeah, posting early because I had coffee this evening and am wired. Happy Friday! Hope you all had a safe and profitable trading week, if not, don't sweat it, the PA was pretty bad and pretty challenging for most. The worst part is the current PA requires a lot of patience. If you're a scalper, probably not so bad but I personally find there are a lot more scalp traps lately than usual, so I do advise against scalps. Doing another written post, just because I find I can organize my analysis and thoughts better and be more in-depth without wasting too much of your time. So let's start off with the summary for next week, adding some new variables that my stuff tracks but I generally don't share, but I should share because it may be helpful for you. Summary Here is the snapshot for SPY for next week: Best fit high target 567.96 with a probability of 29% (shown on the chart in white) Best fit low target is 553.95 with a probability of 73% (shown on the chart in white) Expected return on the week is -0.6% Expected High ATR Range from RSI is 3.20 (open to high) Expected Low ATR Range from RSI is -4.05 (open to low) Expected High ATR Range from MFI is 5.18 (open to high) Expected Low ATR Range from MFI is -3.01 (open to low) Expected High ATR Range from Stochastic is 3.38 (open to high) Expected Low ATR Range from Stochastic is -6.7 (open to low) SPY Remains below the EMA 200 on the day, having had multiple rejections, and multiple attempts at reclaiming but always failing to hold. We still have our outstanding 5% pullback from the cross below the EMA 200. The TP is approximately 533 ish. Overall, based on the summary, the outlook is bearish. 🐻 Volume Data Volume profile has shifted from a sea of selling to a lot of buying over the last 5 days. POC for the last 5 days (1 trading week) is now up to 564, so this will be an area to watch for consolidation and generally not an area to take a trade. This is a very important thing to keep in mind, you don't want to do anything if SPY is at 564 as this is consolidation zone based on volume!!!! Volume remains overall low. If we look at the last 25 trading days, we can see that sellers are very much there, it is likely that we have just dropped in volume this past week. Take a look at the 25 day (1 trading month) volume profile: If you read the description in the volume profile chart, you will understand the predicament, and also understand kind of, where the rangeyness and whipsaw come from. There is still a lot of panic in the market, a lot of fear, people are trapped and looking for exits. This translates to stark rejections of certain levels where bulls and bears are trapped. Leading into this week we only had trapped bulls, now we have trapped bulls and bears, so we are between a rock and a hard place in terms of making progress in a direction without seeing a lot of covering leading to some more volatility and whipsaw. Overall, the volume metrics are positive and I would rank them as bullish. 🐂 EMA Data We crossed below the EMA 200 on March 10th and closed below on the day. This historically leads to 5% pullback on average across both SPX, ES1! and SPY. The pullback of 5% is calculated from the close of the day, which was around 557. So, 557 - 5% is about 529 ish (I am rounding, the TP is more around 531 - 533). Currently we are holding the EMA 300 as support. We have had over 3 failed reclaims of the EMA 200. Overall, the EMA statistics are bearish 🐻. Time Series I haven't talked about time series in a hot minute. Like years acutually. So those of you who are long time followers, hi, how are you?! You will remember the sacred time series that carried us through the 2022 decline. As of right now, I am leaning heavily to the quadratic time series model. Leaning towards a quadratic model assumes bear market correction. This could be or couldn't be. We won't know for sure until the market makes a new ATH. However, it was my guiding light in 2022 and it is current guiding light right now. So let's just go over SPY's quadratic time mean, range and forecast very quickly. SPY's qudratic time series model can be expressed as y = trading days(-3.902e-02) + trading days squared(1.062e-05) + 1.109e+02 Sigma or residual error range is 39.32 Taking this into consideration, SPY's current quadratic range is between 529 and 451. 451 is the LCL or lower confidence level. The LCL is where SPY found a bottom in 2022. Historically in bear markets, only 1 bear market has exceeded the LCL, and that was in 2008, where it exceeded by around 5 points. Overall, the time series statistics are bearish 🐻. Quick side note, if you followed me during 2022 and you have a photographic memory, you will notice our sigma (error range) is the exact same as currently, +/- 39. Kind of cool because it tells us SPY is really not doing anything it hasn't done before. Forecast for Next Week Forecast using only this past week data Forecast using the entire downtrend period and this consolidation period Data input: Forecast result over the next 150 hours: Overall, the forecast is bearish 🐻. Verdict We have what? Four bears, 🐻 🐻 🐻 🐻 for 1 bull 🐂. To summarize Volume: Bullish Overall stats: Bearish Time series: Bearish Forecast: Bearish EMA Bearish My expectation is up towards 570 into Monday, before seeing a rejection and consolidation again. Currently, the EMA 200 is at 568, 570 would require another break of the ema 200 and fail. The bearish thesis would be tentatively invalidated if we were to break and hold above the EMA 200. In this case, we would be looking for a further bounce of around 5% more upside. Those are my thoughts, not advice of course. As always, safe trades! 🚀 Side note: We are all sick and tired of SPY. Leave a comment with a request for something more interesting and I will try to get around to it this weekend! Maybe TSLA or something different.
AMEX:SPY
by Steversteves
48
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 28 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if y'all haven't. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 30 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
1
What Is the Difference Between ETFs and Index Funds?What Is the Difference Between ETFs and Index Funds? ETFs and index funds are designed to provide access to diversified portfolios of assets, often tracking the performance of a specific market index. But while they may appear similar at first glance, they have distinct characteristics that cater to different types of investors and strategies. This article breaks down the key differences between ETFs vs index funds, explores how they work, and explains why traders and investors might choose one over the other. What Are ETFs? Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are investment vehicles that trade on stock exchanges, much like individual shares. They’re structured to replicate the performance of a particular benchmark, sector, commodity, or a combination of asset classes. What sets ETFs apart is their flexibility. Traders and investors buy and sell ETFs throughout the trading day at market prices. This makes them particularly appealing to active traders who value liquidity and the ability to react quickly to price movements. Another key advantage is their typically low cost. Most ETFs are passively managed, meaning they aim to replicate a benchmark rather than beat it. This reduces management fees, making ETFs a cost-effective choice compared to actively managed offerings. ETFs also offer diversification in a single transaction. By trading one ETF, investors can gain exposure to hundreds or even thousands of underlying securities. This makes them a popular choice for spreading risk across multiple assets. What Are Index Funds? Index funds are investment vehicles designed to mirror the performance of a specific index, like the FTSE 100 or the S&P 500. An index fund provides broad exposure by holding a portfolio of assets that closely matches the composition of the benchmark it tracks. An index vehicle tracking the S&P 500 would invest in the 500 largest companies in the US, in the same proportions as the index. This passive strategy keeps costs low, as there’s no need for active management or frequent trading decisions. So, how is an index fund different from an exchange-traded fund? The index fund can take the form of either an ETF or a mutual fund; for instance, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, or SPY, is an index fund. Mutual fund versions of index funds are traded at the end-of-day net asset value (NAV), while ETF versions are bought and sold throughout the trading day like individual shares. This distinction is important for traders considering factors like liquidity and pricing flexibility. Low-cost index funds are popular for their relative simplicity compared to some other financial instruments, cost efficiency, and diversification. By investing in a single product, investors can gain exposure to an entire market, reducing the need for extensive research or active management. Is an ETF an index fund? Not necessarily. An ETF can be an index fund if it tracks an index, but ETFs can also track different sectors, assets, or geographies without being one. Differences Between ETFs and Index Funds ETFs and index funds share a common purpose: to track the performance of an underlying benchmark. However, the debate of ETFs vs mutual funds vs index funds often comes down to trading mechanisms and investment strategies, which can influence their suitability for different types of traders and investors. Trading Mechanism One of the most noticeable differences between ETFs vs index funds is how they’re traded. ETFs trade on stock exchanges, allowing them to be bought and sold throughout the trading day at market prices. This means their value fluctuates based on demand, similar to individual shares. In contrast, mutual fund indices are priced and traded only once a day, at the net asset value (NAV) calculated after markets close. Variety ETFs encompass diverse assets like stocks, bonds, and commodities, covering sectors, regions, or mixed asset classes. Index funds, on the other hand, only track a specific market index, like the S&P 500, FTSE 100, or Nasdaq 100. Cost Structure Both ETFs and mutual fund indices are known for low fees, but there are nuances. ETFs typically have slightly lower expense ratios, as they incur fewer administrative costs. However, trading ETFs may involve brokerage fees or bid-ask spreads, which can add up for frequent traders. Mutual fund vehicles often require no trading fees but may impose a minimum investment amount. Tax Efficiency ETFs tend to be more tax-efficient than mutual fund indices. This is due to how they handle capital gains. ETFs generally use an “in-kind” redemption process, which minimises taxable events. Mutual fund index funds, on the other hand, may trigger taxable capital gains distributions, even if you haven’t sold your shares. Liquidity and Accessibility ETFs can be bought in small quantities, often for the price of a single share, making them more accessible to retail investors. Mutual fund vehicles may require higher minimum investments, which could limit access for some investors. Additionally, ETFs offer instant trade execution, while mutual vehicles require you to wait until the end of the trading day to complete transactions. ETF CFD Trading ETF CFD (Contract for Difference) trading is a versatile way to speculate on the price movements of ETFs without actually owning the underlying assets. When trading ETF CFDs, you’re entering into an agreement with a broker to exchange the price difference of an ETF between the time the position is opened and closed. Unlike traditional ETF investing, where you purchase shares on an exchange, CFD trading allows you to take positions on price movements—whether upwards or downwards. Leverage and Lower Capital Requirements One major advantage of ETF CFD trading is leverage. With CFDs, you only need to put down a fraction of the trade’s total value as margin, allowing you to control larger positions with less capital. However, leverage amplifies both potential gains and losses, so careful risk management is essential. Potential Short-Term Opportunities ETF CFDs add a layer of flexibility for traders exploring the difference between ETFs, mutual funds, and index funds by focusing on short-term speculation rather than long-term holding. Traders can react quickly to news, economic events, or trends without the constraints of traditional ETF investing, such as settlement times or the need to meet minimum investment requirements. Since ETF CFDs can be traded with intraday precision, they allow traders to capitalise on smaller price movements. A Complement to Long-Term Investing For those who already invest in traditional ETFs or indices, ETF CFD trading can serve as a complementary strategy. While long-term investments focus on gradual wealth-building, CFDs enable active traders to seize potential short-term opportunities, hedge against risks, or diversify their trading activities. Flexibility Across Markets With ETF CFDs, traders gain access to a wide range of markets, from equity indices to commodities and sectors. This diversity allows for tailored trading strategies that align with market conditions or specific interests, such as tech or energy ETFs. Uses for ETFs and Index Funds The differences between index funds and ETFs mean they play distinct but complementary roles in financial markets, offering tools for various investment and trading strategies. Whether focusing on long-term goals or seeking potential short-term opportunities, these products provide flexibility and diversification. Portfolio Diversification Both are popular for spreading risk across a broad range of assets. For example, instead of buying shares in individual companies, a single investment in an ETF tracking the S&P 500 provides exposure to hundreds of large US firms. This diversification may help reduce the impact of poor performance of any single asset. Cost-Effective Market Exposure Both types offer relatively low-cost access to markets. Passive management strategies mean lower fees compared to actively managed products, making them efficient choices for building portfolios or gaining exposure to specific sectors, regions, or asset classes. Tactical Market Moves ETFs, with their intraday trading capability, are particularly suited to tactical adjustments. For instance, a trader looking to quickly increase exposure to the tech sector might buy a technology-focused ETF, while potentially reducing risk by selling it as conditions change. Long-Term Wealth Building Index funds, particularly in their mutual fund format, are designed for patient investors. By tracking broad indices with minimal turnover, they offer a way to potentially accumulate wealth over time, making them popular instruments for retirement savings or other long-term objectives. How to Choose Between Index Funds vs ETFs Choosing between an index fund vs ETF depends on your trading style, investment goals, and how you plan to engage with the markets. While both offer relatively cost-effective access to diverse portfolios, your choice will hinge on a few key factors. - Trading Flexibility: ETFs are popular among active traders looking for potential intraday opportunities. Their ability to trade throughout the day allows for precision and quick responses to market changes. Index funds, whether ETFs or mutual products, are usually chosen by long-term investors who are less concerned about daily price movements. - Fees and Costs: While both options are low-cost, ETFs often have slightly lower expense ratios but may incur trading fees or bid-ask spreads. Mutual fund products typically skip trading fees but may have higher management costs or minimum investment requirements. - Tax Considerations: ETFs often provide better tax efficiency due to their structure, particularly when compared to mutual fund indices. For investors concerned about capital gains distributions, this could be a deciding factor. - Strategy: If you’re targeting specific themes, sectors, or commodities, ETFs that aren’t tied to an index can provide unique exposure. For broad, passive market tracking, index funds—whether ETFs or mutual funds—offer simplicity and consistency. The Bottom Line ETFs and index funds are powerful instruments for traders and investors, each with unique strengths suited to different strategies. Whether you’re focused on long-term growth or short-term price moves, understanding their differences is key. For those looking to trade ETFs with flexibility, ETF CFDs offer a dynamic option. Open an FXOpen account today to access a range of ETF CFDs and start exploring potential trading opportunities with competitive costs and four advanced trading platforms. FAQ What Is an Index Fund? An index fund is an investment vehicle designed to replicate the performance of a specific market index, such as the S&P 500 or FTSE 100. It achieves this by holding the same securities as the index in similar proportions. These vehicles can be either mutual funds or ETFs, offering investors broad market exposure and low costs through passive management. What Is the Difference Between an ETF and an Index Fund? An ETF trades like a stock on an exchange throughout the day, with prices fluctuating based on market demand. They track various assets across different sectors, markets, and asset classes. Index funds track indices, like the S&P 500 or FTSE 100, and can be traded as an ETF or mutual fund. What Is Better, an S&P 500 ETF or Mutual Fund? The choice depends on your needs. ETFs offer intraday trading, lower fees, and no minimum investment, making them popular among those who look for flexibility. Mutual funds often waive trading costs and are chosen by long-term investors comfortable with end-of-day pricing. Are ETFs as Safe as Index Funds? ETFs and index funds carry similar risks since both track market performance. So-called safety depends on the underlying assets, overall conditions, and your investment strategy, not the type itself. What Is the Difference Between a Mutual Fund and an Index Fund? A mutual fund is a broad investment vehicle managed actively or passively, while an index fund is a type of mutual fund or ETF specifically designed to replicate an index. What Are Index Funds vs Equity Funds? Index funds are designed to track the performance of an index. Equity funds, on the other hand, focus on stocks and can be actively or passively managed. While all index funds are equity funds, not all equity funds track indices. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by FXOpen
1
SPY: Breakdown with Strong Momentum – Key Targets Ahead 📉 Overview: The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has broken through a key support level with strong downward momentum. This bearish move suggests further downside potential, with key targets identified below. 🔍 Technical Analysis: Price has decisively broken below a key support zone with strong momentum, indicating a potential continuation to the downside. 1st Target: Around $537.75, which aligns with the yearly mid-level support. 2nd Target: Around $510.27, which coincides with the 6-month low level. Momentum indicators (Neon Momentum Waves) are trending downward, supporting bearish sentiment. Long-Term Support: The yearly low at $466.43 remains a major downside level to watch if bearish pressure intensifies. 🚨 Trading Plan: 📌 Bearish Bias – Look for potential short entries on pullbacks towards the broken support level, now acting as resistance. 📌 Stop Loss: Consider placing stops above the breakdown level (~$560) to mitigate risk. 📌 Profit Targets: First target: $537.75 Second target: $510.27 📊 Risk Management: Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators to confirm the bearish move. If price reclaims the broken support level, reconsider the short thesis. 📢 Conclusion: SPY is showing strong bearish momentum after breaking key support. If the trend continues, the price may reach the identified targets. Traders should monitor price action and momentum signals for confirmation. ⚠ Disclaimer: I'm not a financial expert—just sharing my thoughts based on my analysis. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly. Do you agree with this outlook? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀📉 #SPY #Trading #StockMarket #Bearish #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #Momentum #NotFinancialAdvice
AMEX:SPYShort
by Brian_Heady
2
SPY going up to 593 by middle of AprilThe market is going to be bullish after the bearish move we just witnessed recently. Typically, I switch to the weekly format to see a larger move. You can see on the weekly chart, the Stoch RSI is turning bullish. I recently made a 3-day format which shows the indicators are already showing a bullish trend. I will post the 3 day chart/indicators as well as the weekly chart after this chart in my notes. TARGETS: 53 point move: 599 1.618 move: 593.77 11 bar moves: April 17 **If it hits one of these targets, I am out of my trade. ** I will keep a close watch when the SPY hits 1 fib retracement at 575 ** I changed my wording from 'day' to 'bar' moves STOPS: 1) the low of the previous Heikin Ashi candlestick, 2) 2 red Heikin Ashi candlesticks, 3) a specific dollar amount for a total loss for my trade or 4) a specific dollar amount per contract. **If it hits one of those stops, I am out of my trade. I am using the Heikin Ashi candlesticks. 1) They show more of a directional movement within candlesticks. 2) They tend to filter out the market noise so you can see the market direction better. 3) It reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer. 4) And, it gives you a smoother appearance making it easier to see trends and reversals. (This information is from Dr. Keith Wade who speaks at the Wealth365 Summits.) Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green daily Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering. I still tend to switch back and forth between Heikin Ashi candlesticks and regular candlesticks since regular candlesticks are what I am familiar with and have been using since I started trading. I personally find: * the 5 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next half and hour. * the 10 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next hour. * the 30 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the daily. * and, the hour indicators typically represents what will happen in the next week. But right now, I am fine tuning my indicators and looking at the 20 to 25 minute indicators to precipitate a daily move I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. Hopefully, I can explain these indicators more in the future. Ask me any questions or point out anything you see wrong, as this is the only way we learn. Happy Trading!
AMEX:SPYLong
by Princessgirl
1
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 1 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if y'all haven't. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 30 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
SPY at a Pivotal Zone – Bounce or Breakdown? 🧠 Market Structure + Price Action (1H) * Trend: Downtrend confirmed. Recent Break of Structure (BOS) followed a Change of Character (CHoCH) from bulls to bears. * Bearish momentum intensified after SPY broke support near 570.90, then plummeted through 564.85 and 558.11 key demand levels. * Current price: 554.15 — bouncing slightly within a local demand/reaction box, but still under selling pressure. * Price is now consolidating below structure, but inside a potential reaction zone (possible dead cat bounce or minor retracement). 🔍 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) * CHoCH & BOS align with institutional exit behavior. The BOS confirms bearish intent. * SPY has entered a minor demand zone, but hasn’t reclaimed any bullish market structure yet. * If it breaks below 549.68, the next support zone opens toward the 540s. 🔁 Indicators MACD: * MACD is starting to curve up, with histogram showing decreasing red momentum – a potential bounce brewing. Stoch RSI: * Oversold condition with both lines crossing upward — supports a short-term relief rally or retracement. 🔥 GEX & Options Sentiment Analysis * IVR: 37.8 (Moderate); IVx Avg: 22.6 * Put Positioning: Very high at 71% — bears are loaded up. * GEX Sentiment: * GEX is red 🔴🔴🔴 — strong gamma exposure to puts, favoring downward pressure. * Highest negative NETGEX / PUT Support at 555.83, which is just above current price — this acts as a magnet and pivot. * If SPY stays below this level, dealer hedging accelerates selling. * Major Put Walls at: * 545: GEX8 at -22% * 544-540: Very deep bearish gamma — potential acceleration if we break lower. * Call Resistance (Gamma Wall): * 573 → 577 → 580 zone = Gamma ceiling. * Dealers short calls here and hedge by selling, which adds resistance on rallies. ⚖️ Trade Scenarios 🐂 Bullish Reversal Setup: * Trigger: Break & close above 555.83 with volume. * Target: 558.11 → 564.85 * Invalidation: Below 549.68 * Risk/Reward: Favorable if volume confirms. 🐻 Bearish Continuation Setup: * Trigger: Break below 549.68 with follow-through. * Target: 545 → 540 zone (GEX & PUT walls) * Stop-Loss: Above 555.83 or structure retest * Confluence: GEX alignment + broken structure + dealer flow pressure. 🧭 Directional Bias: Bearish bias still intact — but signs of short-term bounce forming. Likely we see a dead cat bounce unless 555.83 is reclaimed with conviction. 🎯 Actionable Strategy: * Intraday scalp: Long toward 558 if price reclaims 555.83. * Swing short: Below 549.68 toward 540 using SPY or PUT options. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY Bearish wave count The only one !The chart posted is that of the spy updated for the bearish wave structure . I have now exited my 125 % long position as the formation is forming SO FAR an ABC rally up with two legs if equal we should top today in cash at 5796 5805 in spy 575/577.9 IF the beasish count is correct we should see a 3 wave drop to retest the low or make a small new low for wave B then I will enter the long calls once again for a 5 wave rally under the bearish count the limit is .786 but based on history dated back to 1902 we should peak at .618 to .66 if The bearish wave count is were we are in the Cycle . But if we rally from here and close above 5805 I would see the market making New all time Highs .Best of trades WAVETIMER 1
AMEX:SPY
by wavetimer
1
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 2 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first, then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if y'all haven't. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 30 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-25-25 : Top PatternToday's Top Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will find resistance slightly above yesterday's closing price level and attempt to roll over into a bearish price trend. Watch today's video to see which levels I believe will be the top for the SPY & QQQ. I do expect metals to rally over the next 3+ weeks and I'm watching for this morning's bounce to carry onward and upward. Bitcoin should be rolling downward off that FWB:88K top level I predicted months ago. We are moving into a topping phase - so get ready for the markets to attempt to ROLL DOWNWARD over the next 5+ trading days into a deeper low price level. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
7
SPY’s Epic Crash: Bearish Flag Unleashed!Buckle up, trading fam, because the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) just pulled a move so wild, it’s giving Keeping Up with the Kardashians a run for its money. We’re talking a bearish flag breakdown on the 4-hour chart that’s got more twists than a Game of Thrones finale, more drama than a Bachelor rose ceremony, and more profit potential than a Shark Tank pitch gone viral. If you’re ready to laugh, learn, and maybe make some cash, then grab your popcorn—this 2,500-word rollercoaster is about to take you on a ride you won’t forget! 🎢 Act 1: SPY’s Golden Era—Living Its Best Barbie Life Let’s set the scene: it’s late October 2024, and SPY is strutting its stuff like it’s Margot Robbie in Barbie. The price climbs from $570 to a dazzling $607.98 by mid-January 2025—a 6.5% glow-up that’s got traders swooning harder than Ken at a Dreamhouse party. SPY’s basically saying, “I’m not just an ETF—I’m iconic,” as it basks in the glow of a bull market hotter than a Love Island villa. But here’s the tea: even the shiniest stars can fall. By mid-January, the Stochastic Oscillator at the bottom of the chart is flashing “overbought” signals louder than a Real Housewives reunion meltdown. It’s the first sign of trouble—like when you realize the DJ at the club just played “Sweet Caroline” for the third time, and the vibe’s about to go south. SPY’s living large, but the party’s about to get crashed, Jersey Shore style. Act 2: The Flagpole Plunge—SPY Sinks Faster Than the Titanic Cue the dramatic music, because mid-January 2025 is when SPY decides to pull a full-on Titanic. The price plummets from $607.98 to $566.77 in a matter of days—a $41.21 drop, or 6.8%, that’s got traders screaming “I’m not okay!” louder than a Euphoria episode. This sharp decline is the flagpole of our bearish flag pattern, and it’s a doozy. SPY’s sinking faster than Jack and Rose’s ship, and the bulls are left clinging to the wreckage like there’s no room on the door. 🚢 The Stochastic Oscillator dives into oversold territory (below 20), confirming the bearish momentum is stronger than the Hulk after a double espresso. It’s a bloodbath on Wall Street, and SPY’s the main character in this tragic plot twist. But just when you think the drama’s over, SPY decides to play coy—like a Bachelor contestant who says “I’m not here for the right reasons” but sticks around for the drama anyway. Enter the consolidation phase, aka the “flag” part of the bearish flag pattern. Let’s break it down, shall we? Act 3: The Flag—SPY’s Tease Game Is Stronger Than a Love Island Bombshell From late January to mid-February 2025, SPY enters a consolidation phase that’s more tantalizing than a Love Island bombshell walking into the villa. The price bounces between $566.77 and $577.74, forming a sneaky little upward-sloping channel. It’s like SPY’s playing hard to get, teasing traders with a “Will I rally? Will I crash?” vibe that’s got everyone on edge. The Stochastic Oscillator hovers below 50, like a villa couple who’s “just talking” but definitely not coupled up yet. This consolidation is the “flag” in the bearish flag pattern, and it’s a classic setup. Think of it as SPY taking a quick breather after its big fall, sipping a cocktail by the pool before diving back into the drama. Bearish flags are continuation patterns, meaning the price is likely to keep falling after this little flirt-fest. It’s like when you’re watching The Masked Singer—you know the reveal’s coming, but the suspense is what keeps you glued to the screen. And trust me, you won’t want to miss the next act. Act 4: The Breakout—SPY Says “I’m Out!” Like a RuPaul’s Drag Race Exit Mid-February 2025 arrives, and SPY decides it’s done with the games. The price breaks below the lower trendline of the flag at $566.77, and it’s like watching a RuPaul’s Drag Race queen sashay away after a lip-sync battle: dramatic, fierce, and leaving the bulls in the dust. The breakout confirms the bearish flag pattern, and the bears are strutting their stuff like they just won the crown. 👑 The price doesn’t just dip—it plunges to $546.33 by late March 2025, a further drop of $20.44 (or 3.6%) from the breakout point. The Stochastic Oscillator dives back into oversold territory, confirming the bearish momentum is back with a vengeance. SPY’s basically telling the bulls, “You better work—because I’m not!” as it leaves them gagging on the runway. Let’s talk about the measured move—the price target for this bearish flag. We take the length of the flagpole ($41.21) and project it downward from the breakout point ($566.77). That gives us a target of $525.56. SPY doesn’t quite hit that mark—it bottoms out at $546.33—but it gets close enough to make traders sweat harder than a Chopped contestant with 30 seconds left on the clock. It’s a solid performance, even if it didn’t stick the landing perfectly. Pop Culture Parallels: SPY’s Bearish Flag Is a Reality TV Showdown Let’s take a step back and look at this chart through a pop culture lens, because SPY’s bearish flag is basically a reality TV showdown. The initial uptrend from October to January is the honeymoon phase—think The Bachelor contestants on their first group date, all smiles and champagne. 🥂 The flagpole drop in mid-January is the drama bomb, like when a contestant gets caught kissing someone else in the hot tub. The consolidation phase is the confessional montage, where everyone’s talking smack and plotting their next move. And the breakout? That’s the rose ceremony—SPY’s handing out its final rose to the bears, and the bulls are sent packing with nothing but a suitcase and some tears. Trading Tips: How to Slay This Bearish Flag Like a Drag Race Superstar Now that we’ve had our fun, let’s get down to business. How can you trade this bearish flag like a Drag Race superstar? Here’s the tea, served piping hot: 1. Short the Breakout (Sashay, Don’t Shantay) When SPY broke below the flag at $566.77, that was your cue to short the stock faster than you can say “Sashay away!” A short position here could’ve netted you a $20.44 gain per share as the price dropped to $546.33—enough to buy yourself a new wig for the next challenge. 2. Set a Stop-Loss (Don’t Get Read for Filth) To avoid getting read for filth by a fake-out, set a stop-loss above the flag’s upper trendline at $577.74. That way, if the breakout flops harder than a Drag Race comedy challenge, you’re safe. 3. Target the Measured Move (Go for the Crown) The measured move target of $525.56 was the goal, but SPY stopped at $546.33. That’s still a win—like making it to the top 4 but not snatching the crown. If you’d shorted at the breakout, you’d be serving looks and profits. 4. Watch for a Bounce (Don’t Sleep on the Comeback) As of late March 2025, SPY’s at $546.33, and the Stochastic is oversold. This could mean a short-term bounce is coming, like a Drag Race queen returning for an All-Stars season. Keep an eye on resistance at $566.77 and $577.74—if SPY breaks above those, the bears might be in for a shady twist. The Bigger Picture: Is SPY’s Downtrend the New Black? Let’s zoom out for a hot second. Before this bearish flag, SPY was in a strong uptrend for months, living its best life like a Vogue cover star. This pattern marks a potential trend reversal, like when skinny jeans went out of style and baggy pants became the new black. If the downtrend continues, the next support level could be around $540—or even lower if things get really messy. But here’s the million-dollar question: is this the start of a bigger bear market, or just a temporary dip? It’s like trying to predict the winner of Survivor—nobody knows, but everyone’s got a theory. The Stochastic being oversold suggests a bounce might be near, but the overall trend is still bearish. So, keep your wits about you, because this market’s shadier than a Real Housewives dinner party. Why This Chart Is More Addictive Than a Love Is Blind Binge If you’re still here, you’re officially obsessed—and I don’t blame you! This SPY chart is more addictive than a Love Is Blind binge because it’s got all the elements of a great reality show: drama, suspense, and a cast of characters (the bulls and bears) who can’t stop fighting. The bearish flag is the villain we love to hate, and the price action is the love triangle we can’t stop watching. Plus, trading is a lot like reality TV. You’ve got your highs (the uptrend), your lows (the flagpole drop), and those messy in-between moments (the consolidation). But when the breakout happens, it’s like the finale episode where someone finally gets engaged—or in this case, the bears get their moment in the spotlight. 💍 Final Thoughts: Don’t Miss the Next Episode of SPY’s Reality Show SPY’s bearish flag breakdown is a masterclass in technical analysis, wrapped in a package of drama and sass that’d make even the most stoic trader crack a smile. Whether you’re a Wall Street pro or a newbie just here for the tea, this chart has something for everyone. So, what’s next for SPY? Will it hit that $525.56 target, or will the bulls stage a comeback like a Love Is Blind couple at the altar? Only time will tell, but one thing’s for sure: you won’t want to miss the next episode of this reality show. Keep your eyes on the chart, your finger on the trigger, and your sense of humor intact—because in the world of trading, you’ve got to laugh to keep from crying. 😜 Join the Trading Villa! If you loved this recap of SPY’s bearish flag drama, don’t ghost me like a Love Island ex! Drop a comment with your thoughts—are you shorting SPY, or are you waiting for a bounce? And if you want more trading tea, puns, and reality TV references, hit that follow button faster than you can say “I’m here to make friends.” Let’s spill the tea and make some money together! 🍵
AMEX:SPY
by RoadToAMillionClub
SPY is still on thin iceA month back I wouldn't have believed this post though I did expect 10% correction and exited my major position at the top. I post this as pure academic purpose and my own record. I find volume profile the most important tool in technical analysis. Whatever I present here is an educated guess and not pure speculation. Before doing the profile I did a VP study on major stocks, since VP shows more clarity on the stocks Based on Volume profile the sellers will have little resistance breaking through thin ice zone. We could still be looking at 514 easily. Then it starts facing some resistance Market is still breaking through bubble territory. The reason I call bubble territory is because the volume became significantly lower after May 24. Most of the large investors and funds had bought their major holding by then. If fact based on news Warren Buffet and Michael Burry started selling USA market in August and kept selling till end of Dec. WB sold his entire holding of American express, one of his favourite company Berkshire was holding largest cash balance in is history by Dec. Smart guy. So I just followed him. Then I ask If these heavy weights are selling will they back after 10% correction? No way, they would wait for at least 20% or more markdown This give me confidence in my analysis and economic environment supports that too The market will quick fall through low volume region or imbalances. These act like magnets for the price and stop or pause for a breath at High volume nodes and even bounce back to take back some the low volume nodes. These can create a flag structure. This what happened when the market bounced back from 5500 to 5790 and reversed again. I correctly said in a previous post it was a bear flag When the market is euphoric and in FOMO stage it will leave lots of volume gaps which attracts the market back to those levels
AMEX:SPYShort
by krisoz