lots of linePlease look at these lines. I know whats coming. Trust me, I make bad trades consistently but this time it is different. PReTy LiNes.
SPY trade ideas
$SPY February 13, 2025AMEX:SPY February 13, 2025
Yesterday also gap analysis. But took support at daily averages 598 levels as mentioned in the previous day analysis.
For the rise 598.52 to 604.55 holding 602 levels is important today.
At the moment AMEX:SPY weak below 600 levels for a possible target 597.5 598 levels for the day.
SPY... Parallel lines can be a funny thingJust add a Fib percentage to some parallels and you get something interesting...I didn't do that, but there is an idea for you to engage in.
no, this was simple a bunch of parallels using the tool but switching the numbers to both odds and evens and running them in...parallel :)
Just use the Log "L" function if things don't make sense...cause in the lead up to this top, these lines predicted a bit of movement...
look at that angular change...totally like your boost right before the headers crack and all goes to basically a standstill.. :)
notice the past line and their relative price guessing... :)
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 14AMEX:SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 13
Ok so where are we at. We broke out above the downtrend yesterday just under ATH’s.
35MEA is underneath the implied move which often signals too fast to soon and a pull back is normal before moving higher.
30min 200MA is underneath both days implied move and you can see that for CPI and PPI that 35EMA bounced on the 30min 200 after 3 weeks of consolidation.
All right, ATH’s on deck. Let’s see what happens. I did put on an IRON SPYDER which works well after big moves for a more neutral day - the flatter the better for me today.
Make sure you grab this chart and let's goooo... 💃🏻
$SPY February 14, 2025AMEX:SPY February 14, 2025
15 Minutes.
As expected, once box was broken yesterday AMEX:SPY continued to make upward movement.
For the rise 598.52 to 607.49 to 605 61.8% extension was nearly done. Once 611 is crossed we can expect some resistance around 612-614 levels.
611-612 will be a good number to short as 4SPY in 15 minutes is getting away from 200 and 100 moving averages.
If uptrend continue today, then near close short around 612 +-1 will be good for Monday SL 614.5.
At the moment there is slight oscillator divergence in 15 minutes so need some more uptrend to short.
So, for the day for the last rise from 605 to 609.94 holding 606-607 is important for 610-612 as target.
Below 606 at the moment target is 603-604 levels.
$SPY *BREAKOUT* above the downtrendAMEX:SPY *BREAKOUT* above the downtrend
WOWZA, but bigger move than I expected. We saw a breakout above the downtrend off of ATH’s (initial rejection then drop to the 35EMA and then bounce to breakout)
So the CPI/PPI move was drop to the 50DMA and bounce. Wild stuff, y’all. Inflation data days never cease to amaze me.
Let's see if we get a follow through to close the week...
SPY at a Critical Level! Key Trade Setups for This Week 🚀SPY has pushed into a strong resistance zone near 609-610, with a breakout attempt forming. The overall structure suggests a bullish continuation, but options flow data reveals hedging activity, which could lead to short-term pullbacks.
🔍 Technical Analysis
* Trend Structure: SPY has broken out from consolidation and is trending upward, testing a key resistance zone at 609-610.
* Support Levels: 602.5, 600, 595 (watch for retracements)
* Resistance Levels: 610 (key level), 615, 620
* Volume Profile: Increased buying volume supports the breakout, but momentum slowing.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Still bullish, but momentum is flattening.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought (>90), suggesting potential cooling-off.
📊 GEX Analysis & Options Flow
* Highest Positive GEX (Gamma Resistance): 610
* Major Call Walls: 615 (67.99%) and 620 (71.08%) – suggests resistance near these levels.
* Major Put Walls & Supports:
* 600 (-48.64%) & 595 (-49.94%) – major gamma supports
* 590 (-32.78%) – critical level for trend continuation.
* IVR: 13.3 (Low volatility conditions)
* Options Bias: PUTS 68.7% (some downside hedging)
🚀 Trade Setups
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above 610 (breakout confirmation)
* Target: 615, 620
* Stop: 602
Bearish Scenario (Pullback Play):
* Entry: Below 609
* Target: 602.5, 600
* Stop: 612
🔎 Conclusion & Outlook
SPY is at a make-or-break level near 610. If it holds and pushes higher, expect a run to 615-620. However, options flow suggests hedging near 600, meaning a pullback could occur before a breakout. Monitor volume and price action closely.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
SPY Pre-Market Scalping Setup – Key Levels & Trade Plan Feb. 12📅 Date: February 12, 2025
🕒 Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart
🎯 Strategy: Scalping SPY at Key Levels
🔍 Technical Overview
SPY is forming a tight wedge pattern, signaling an imminent breakout.
Key resistance and support levels are clearly defined, and we are preparing for a high-probability scalp setup.
📌 Key Levels:
* Resistance: 🔵 605.80 - 606.00 (Breakout Zone)
* Support: 🔴 603.67 & 601.90 (Breakdown Zone)
📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Entry)
* Breakdown below 603.67 could trigger selling pressure toward 601.90.
* Entry: Below 603.50, with confirmation.
* Target: 601.90 - 601.50
* Stop Loss: Above 604.00
📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Entry)
* Breakout above 605.80 could lead to momentum toward 607.00+.
* Entry: Above 606.00
* Target: 607.50 - 608.00
* Stop Loss: Below 605.50
📊 Indicators & Momentum
* MACD Flattening: Waiting for momentum shift.
* Stochastic RSI Curling Up: Potential move soon.
* Volume Watching: Need confirmation on breakout direction.
🔥For more real-time scalping insights, check out my profile bio.
📢 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk accordingly.
--------
🔍 Technical & GEX Overview
SPY is trading near key Gamma Exposure (GEX) levels, which will dictate today’s market sentiment and potential price movement. Options positioning suggests a critical decision zone around 603 – 605, with possible directional bias forming.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
* 🚀 Upside Targets:
* 610: 🔥 Major Call Wall (76.34% Call concentration)
* 615: 🚀 3rd Call Wall (66.83% Call positioning)
* 620: 🏆 Key Resistance (78.41% Call Resistance)
* 📉 Downside Support Levels:
* 600: ❗ Highest Negative NETGEX (Strong Put Support)
* 595: ⚠️ 2nd Put Wall (-92.08% Put Density)
* 590: 🛑 3rd Put Wall (-61.58% Put Density)
🟢 HVL (High Volume Level): 603, aligning with current price action—this zone is a key pivot area.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
* SPY holding above 605 could push toward 610+ as market makers hedge call exposure.
* Confirmation with a break above 606 for continuation.
* 🚀 Target: 610 – 615
* 🔄 Stop Loss: Below 603
📉 Bearish Scenario:
* A break below 600 could trigger downside momentum toward 595, especially if large put walls remain dominant.
* 🚨 Target: 595 – 590
* 🔄 Stop Loss: Above 603
📊 Market Sentiment & GEX Summary
* 🔴 Puts Dominance: 72.3% PUT positioning—indicates hedging pressure.
* 🟢 IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 14.7 (Low volatility, indicating a slow move unless breakout occurs).
* ⚠️ Watch for liquidity shifts near 603-605 to confirm breakout direction.
📢 Trade Carefully & Manage Risk!
📍 Follow for Daily SPY GEX & Scalping Insights!
🚀 Let's trade smart together! 💰📊
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 13
OK - so the 30min 200MA AND 35EMA are right in the middle of the trading range. Literally just right in the middle so it’s gonna be a battle today.
Top of the implied move is 608 and the downtrend line is there off of all time highs. Friday’s top of the implied move is 609
Underneath - 50 Day Moving average, 1hr 200MA and stupid Willy is looking kind of sickly, lol.
You can just look at this chart and see the sideways price action here.
Let's Go, y'all!! 💃🏻
$SPY Options - Bull & Bear | February Week 2We have been range bound the last three weeks. Sellers are starting to exhaust buyers more quickly than before. We are leaning bearish but confirmation is king. We use 15-30 minute candle closes for confirmation and stop-loss.
Should there be a significant pullback, $580 and $560 are major floors of support.
Here are our bull and bear options for this week:
$600 PUT 2/24
Entry: Confirmation of breakdown under $603.44 (OR harsh rejection at $606)
🎯Target: $600 ($603.44)
$608 CALL 2/24
Entry: Confirmation of breakout over $606
🎯Target: $607, $608
Here's how last week's options went:
📜 AMEX:SPY $605 Call 2/21
$500 → $770 (+54%)
📜 AMEX:SPY $605 Call 2/18
$350 → $645 (+84%)
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 10 2AMEX:SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 10 2025
Alright, so 35EMA is right at the 30min 200MA. This is a critical level and in SPX we’re bearish already and looking for a follow through.
Expected move today 595-606
5 Day moving average underneath us and 1hr 200MA in range as well.
Downtrend above everything - and a red signal line.
I’m looking for a close near the 50DMA.
$SPY February 12, 2025AMEX:SPY February 12, 2025
15 Minutes
Yesterday Gap down not held.
Low was not broken.
For the last rise 603.1 to 605.85 4SPY need to hold 604 levels today for uptrend to continue.
On downside we have strong support at 603 levels being 200 average and 9 day moving average in daily and 600-601 being 21 days in daily.
So, I see a range trade today between 603 to 606.5 ot 607 levels on upside.
SPY: ReconsolidationThe SPY is reconsolidating again - looks like a another bullish flag. This channel looks cleaner (with more bullish features) than the last consolidation which had a wider band (more volatility) and more balanced characteristics (in terms of candles/volume). I suspect the market is looking for a bullish catalyst (maybe president signing tax/business reforms/tariff deals getting ironed out). Longer 3 month trend remains bullish. Bigger buyer than seller here.
Retest long entry on spyBeautiful retest long this morning, have to be careful with Powell speaking today
SPY BullflagI could fill this section up with meaningless text for you to read, but the important part is that SPY is in a bullflag. Let us see if it pans out over the next few days.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update - Watching Paint Dry...Today's market seems to be trapped in a "go nowhere" zone.
Get thread though. The markets will react to my Deep-V and Breakdown patterns with some aggression in the near future (24 to 48+ hours).
Buckle up.
This is going to get very interesting as the SPY attempts to move down to 585-590 - or lower.
Get some.
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SPY Technical Analysis & GEX InsightsMarket Overview
SPY is experiencing a pullback within an overall uptrend structure. The price is testing a key support zone near $600, while options gamma positioning indicates pivotal areas for potential reversals or continuation moves.
Technical Analysis
1. Trend Analysis:
* SPY recently broke below a short-term ascending wedge pattern, signaling a corrective phase.
* Price is now consolidating near $600, a significant support level.
2. Support and Resistance:
* Immediate Support: $600 (HVL zone and round number psychological level).
* Secondary Support: $595 (put wall support and prior consolidation zone).
* Resistance Levels:
* $606 (local resistance within the channel).
* $610 (key breakout level / gamma resistance).
3. Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish crossover forming, suggesting a potential reversal if momentum sustains.
* Stochastic RSI: Rebounding from oversold conditions, aligning with near-term bullish sentiment.
* Volume: Increasing on the pullback, indicating participation by buyers at lower levels.
4. Price Action Insights:
* A hold above $600 would favor a bounce toward $606-$610.
* A breakdown below $600 could lead to a sharper decline toward $595 or $590.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Analysis
1. Critical GEX Levels:
* Call Walls:
* $610: Major resistance with 59.88% call gamma exposure.
* $620: Highest positive gamma wall, marking the bullish target for continuation.
* Put Walls:
* $600: Strong put support level, aligning with HVL.
* $595: Secondary put gamma support, reinforcing downside defense.
2. Options Oscillator Metrics:
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 17.7, indicating relatively low volatility.
* IVx (Implied Volatility): 16.4% average.
* Call/Put Dollar Ratio: 83.9% skewed heavily toward puts, reflecting bearish sentiment.
3. Implications:
* Strong gamma concentration at $600 suggests significant market maker activity, potentially stabilizing the price.
* A close above $606 would align with unwinding of bearish positions, opening upside potential toward $610 and $620.
Trade Setups
1. Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Above $606.
* Target: $610, $620.
* Stop Loss: Below $604.
2. Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Below $600.
* Target: $595, $590.
* Stop Loss: Above $602.
Conclusion
SPY is trading at a pivotal support zone near $600. Options gamma positioning and technical indicators suggest potential for a bounce, but a break below $600 could accelerate bearish momentum. Monitor the $606 resistance for upside confirmation and $595 for downside risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
$SPY February 10, 2025AMEX:SPY February 10, 2025
15 Minutes
For the rise 595.99 to 608.13 AMEX:SPY retraced 61.8%. So, 601-602 is a good level to go long with SL 598.
Since the retracement was 61.8% double top is possible around 607-608 levels.
So looks good R:R ratio.
Foe the fall 6018.13 to 600.65 need to cross 605.5 for uptrend.
Hence 601-602 buy will have a target 604-605 levels.
But AMEX:SPY at the moment is below moving averages with 200 and 50 being around 603 to 604 levels which i expect to be resisted.
Hence no trade today.
Prepare for SPY Declines as Market Faces Resistance Levels- Key Insights: SPY is currently facing bearish pressure with lower highs and
lower lows, and a significant resistance zone lies between $608 and $610.
Support appears strong in the $595 to $600 range, which could present buying
opportunities. Investors should remain vigilant to avoid potential declines
below these support levels and watch for external factors that could
influence market dynamics.
- Price Targets: Next week targets are T1 at $595 and T2 at $580. Stop levels
are S1 at $605 and S2 at $610.
- Recent Performance: SPY has recently closed down 0.92%, grappling with bearish
tendencies while managing to stay above critical support areas. The
struggles at resistance levels indicate a need for caution in current
trading strategies.
- Expert Analysis: Market experts suggest that the introduction of tariffs may
push SPY down toward the $595 range, reinforcing the significance of the
support levels identified. The sentiment is mixed, given the current
struggles alongside broader indices like QQQ, which reflect a similar
pattern.
- News Impact: Significant geopolitical developments, particularly regarding
trade tariffs and economic indicators, are expected to affect SPY's
momentum. Any announcements related to these areas could prove crucial in
determining SPY's immediate direction in the coming week.
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 24
Ok. So that 50 Day moving average needs to hold, lol, otherwise next support is around 591.
Don’t forget to grab the chart and let’s go….
$SPY $SPX OLD CHART BAR PATTERN COVID CRASH NOW!!!!Holy crap.... I just came across an old chart and literally in the nick of timeI tell you. All I'm going to say is... I'm a pattern chart trader and this is the COVID bar pattern attached to our daily from like a year ago almost and I loaded up an old layout to do work and boom... here we are... Good LUCK ... Not sure what the trigger will be but we are here.
$SPY short term top downside from $521 to $481AMEX:SPY is looking like it put in a short term top here. I originally only thought that we had the potential to fall to $545 or so, but now looking at the chart, I think we have the possibility of falling farther.
The two targets that I'm looking for on the downside are $524.35 and 481.18.
Let's see if they get hit over the coming weeks.
If they hit, it'll be the ultimate buying opp as I think from there, we're likely to see SPY over $700 in the coming year or two.
S&P500 $SPY | SPY’s All-Time High - Where to Next? | Feb23'25S&P500 AMEX:SPY | SPY’s All-Time High - Where to Next? | Feb23'25
AMEX:SPY BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $597.50 - $613.23
AMEX:SPY DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $584.88 - $597.50
AMEX:SPY SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $574.00 - $584.88
AMEX:SPY Trends:
AMEX:SPY Weekly Trend: Bullish
AMEX:SPY Daily Trend: Bullish
AMEX:SPY 4H Trend: Bullish
AMEX:SPY 1H Trend: Bearish
AMEX:SPY just reached a new all-time high! How did price get there?
AMEX:SPY experienced a small range between 602.45 – 604.00, followed by bearish momentum, leading to a 3% drop in price. However, bullish momentum quickly stepped in, pushing the price up before continuing downward again. This bearish trend was short-lived and appears to have formed a developing range rather than a sustained downtrend.
Shortly after, price broke back above 597.50, signaling the start of a new bullish trend. SPY then established a ranging pattern between 597.50 - 608.00 before ultimately breaking out to a new all-time high of 613.23. Despite the breakout, price action has now dropped back into the range between 597.50 - 608.00.
Where to next? Will SPY hold its new highs, or is this the start of a reversal?
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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