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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-18 EOD Wrap-up - Crush Turns BULLISHGood afternoon everyone, I've been running around taking care of my father the last few days - but these big price rotations have been very exciting. Can you believe how accurate my SPY Cycle Patterns have been over the past 3+ weeks? I'm getting comments from people calling me the GOAT and saying how "galactic" my analysis has been to help their trading. Well, get ready. Now, I'm building a new PineScript utility to help day traders. When I finish it, I hope it will be everything people want to help them stay on top of intraday price swings. Watch this video to learn why the next three days are your opportunity to position for the next big price swing (Bullish). Learn why tomorrow may see price revert higher before stalling into a sideways consolidation channel for about 2~3 days. Then, on or after the 24th, we should see the SPY start to make a solid upward price move - leading to a bullish rally phase targeting the $606 level I suggested months ago. Get ready; this is going to be an exciting price move for all traders. And please share my videos with your friends if you like my work. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
SPY: Selling is NOT OverThis week the markets have been getting battered as I predicted earlier in the week. Many people on the message boards are adamant that we will reverse and reach a new high, but from my analysis I just don't see it. I trade using SMA's, RSI, and Elliott Wave Theory. From the conclusion I've gathered from top EW analysts that I follow on Tradingview and other subscription websites, we reached the top of Wave 5 on Tuesday. The cluster of candles is quite similar to other clusters during the time of a reversal where we see a slow push to the price target, then a final push before trending downward. As far as SMA analysis, the 6 and 10 have started curling over to the downside and SPY is currently resting on the 20 SMA. Once the 6 and 10 SMA cross below the 20 SMA, we tend to see selling pick up until it reaches the 45 SMA. Once those aforementioned SMA's cross below the 45 SMA, we typically see the greatest amount of selling. I'm looking for the next SPY move to send us down to 542 which places us directly to the 45 SMA. We may rest there for a few days or reverse, but that will come on a later post when we get to that level. The black lines represent gaps that are still waiting to be filled. I believe we are well on our way to having one of those gaps filled very soon. As always, best of luck to everyone and stay frosty tomorrow!
AMEX:SPYShort
by FiboTrader1
1
SPY: Selling is NOT OverThis week the markets have been getting battered as I predicted earlier in the week. Many people on the message boards are adamant that we will reverse and reach a new high, but from my analysis I just don't see it. I trade using SMA's, RSI, and Elliott Wave Theory. From the conclusion I've gathered from top EW analysts that I follow on Tradingview and other subscription websites, we reached the top of Wave 5 on Tuesday. The cluster of candles is quite similar to other clusters during the time of a reversal where we see a slow push to the price target, then a final push before trending downward. As far as SMA analysis, the 6 and 10 have started curling over to the downside and SPY is currently resting on the 20 SMA. Once the 6 and 10 SMA cross below the 20 SMA, we tend to see selling pick up until it reaches the 45 SMA. Once those aforementioned SMA's cross below the 45 SMA, we typically see the greatest amount of selling. I'm looking for the next SPY move to send us down to 542 which places us directly to the 45 SMA. We may rest there for a few days or reverse, but that will come on a later post when we get to that level. The black lines represent gaps that are still waiting to be filled. I believe we are well on our way to having one of those gaps filled very soon. As always, best of luck to everyone and stay frosty tomorrow!
AMEX:SPYShort
by FiboTrader1
1
S&P is strong; however, some immediate uncertainty loomsLast week was marked by a very slow start and a chaotic finish. On Monday and Tuesday, prices bracketed in a very narrow range with neither side willing to take action. On Wednesday, the bulls gathered some momentum for a rally only to be countered by the bears the next day. While the bears’ attack appeared fearsome, it lacked real conviction (as I pointed out in my report), and it eventually faded. On Friday, the bulls took the initiative, erasing all the bears’ achievements. From a technical perspective, we have the following disposition: 1. Price is in an uptrend on all major timeframes. Last week closed quite strong. 2. All major S&P sectors are supporting the upward movement (see Market Inner Strength Index) 3. RSI is highly overbought on the daily timeframe and slightly overbought on the weekly timeframe. Although this doesn’t mean much in strong uptrends, we should still pay attention to it. 4. On the hourly chart, there is some unclear bracketing with an extending range. We have both a poor high and a poor low. The bulls clearly have the upper hand on all major timeframes, making the most likely scenario a continuation of the uptrend. Fundamentals are also on the buyers’ side: inflation is decreasing, and the first bank reports were quite positive. However, it is also possible that we’ll see more bracketing in the short term due to political uncertainty, which deprives the market of the conviction needed for prolonged movements. We can see signs of traders’ hesitation on the hourly chart: breakouts without follow-through and reluctance to carry positions over the weekend. Coupled with price overextension (remember the RSI), there are enough arguments to support the need for short-term consolidation and the collection of additional information before moving higher (if nothing changes fundamentally). Disclaimer I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
AMEX:SPY
by hermes_trisme
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 7-18 - CRUSH : Answering Questions Everyone has been messaging me this morning... And I expect that to happen, especially on a day like today. First, most people are asking me if I changed my expectations related to the counter-trend CRUSH pattern. The answer is NO - I don't usually alter my analysis. If the pattern does not do what I expect, I'm usually just sitting on the sidelines waiting for the pattern to be set up. Second, understanding Trending vs. Counter-Trending. Remember, I use a 3 to 5-day average trend when I'm trying to identify the direction of trend. I don't like to look too far back because I've seen these patterns react to very short-term trend changes. I still see the Counter-Trend CRUSH pattern as generally bullish. Today's early morning downward trend is a flash of buyers/longs. Lastly, when would I try to enter any trades today? This video clearly shows why I would wait for the $555.50+ level to be breached before I try to enter any LONG trades. I don't try to pick tops or bottoms. I've seen that/done that before, and it usually ends up VERY BAD (lol). If that's what you want to do - go for it. Me? I'm going to wait for some type of confirmation of the upward price trend and wait out this downward price trend. Once I get solid confirmation of an uptrend, then I may consider jumping into some Longs or Calls. You don't have to trade like a Banshee every day. All you need to do is find one or two good trades daily (if they show up). Tomorrow is another day full of opportunities. So, sit back - watch this video, and learn to be patient. Oh, and don't try to stand in front of a freight train - you'll get RUN OVER. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Major CRUSH Pattern UpdatePlease be very cautious with today's Major CRUSH pattern. These are usually very big-range price bars, and they can be very dangerous if you are caught on the wrong side of a trend. I suggest trading with only 25~50% of your normal capital if you are unsure how you want to trade. This CRUSH pattern will likely result in a larger open~close range than yesterday. We are trying to see if price will hold above the $554~$555 support level. If so, we may see the counter-trend Major CRUSH pattern play out as a rally bar later today. If not, be prepared for a further breakdown in price. We must see that the $554~555 level acts as support, and we must see the price REJECT near that level to prompt any type of price reversal. This is going to be a "Buckle-Up" kind of day. Don't say I didn't warn you about how big CRUSH patterns can be. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your trade For 7-18 - Mjr. CRUSH Counter Trend DayGood morning everyone, Today's big Major CRUSH pattern in a counter-trend mode should be very exciting. I'm expecting the price to attempt to rally upward to fill yesterday's big opening price gap. But stay cautious of potential volatility related to today's open. Yesterday's big price rotation (and GAP) showed us that Volatility has been here all the time—maybe just slightly muted. It is not uncommon for prices to move into periods of lower or higher volatility throughout the year. I believe today's Major CRUSH pattern will resolve to the upside (at least attempting to fill yesterday's big GAP). But I urge my followers to be very cautious of the first 2~3 hours of trading today as we may see an initial move to the downside - shaking out some longs and attempting a bit of a carryover of yesterday's selling pressure. So, be aware that the volatility and the large range price rotation we are seeing with this exhaustion top/peak/rotation, in combination with today's Major CRUSH pattern, will likely setup the FLAG formation highs/lows I've been suggesting. From here, we should move into 2~4 days of tight price rotation before we reach the FLAG APEX. Again, how do I know this is going to happen? I use my SPY Cycle Patterns to attempt to identify the most realistic future price expectations and estimate where I believe price will be as it cycles through my patterns. As you can see, even though I may be "off" a bit regarding price levels, my estimates are generally very close to what price will actually attempt to do in the future. So, today should be a fairly volatile upward price move, setting up the upper range of the pending FLAG pattern. Then, we'll slide into the consolidated FLAG formation until Tuesday or Wednesday next week. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7-17 - SPY Looking For SupportPlease watch this video as we see the markets move into a Counter-trend Major CRUSH tomorrow. We may see a very large reversion in price (upward) tomorrow. I'm looking for price to reject recent lows and move higher. Then, I'm expecting price to reject recent highs (from 7-16) and move downward tomorrow. After that big rotation, I believe the price will move into a downward consolidation phase, attempting to build a FLAG before starting a big upward move near July 22~24. Please know the strong potential for huge price swings over 24 to 48 hours. Then, we move into a more consolidated/contracted price channel (FLAGGING). I'll post more later. Watch for price to build support and attempt to move higher into the close. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-17 Opening Price Update - BreakdownI created this short video to help you understand we are still cautious of a continued breakdown in price - retesting deeper support. The breakdown pattern I suggested would happen based on my SPY Cycle Patterns played out perfectly this morning. I expect a type of "V" shaped bottom/base to be set up, but I believe the SPY/QQQ may continue to push downward - attempting to WASH OUT longs and stress the markets before rolling higher into the close today and going much higher tomorrow. Please pay attention to my research. I have to say, the past few weeks of sharing my SPY Cycle Patterns on TV and trying to prove the validity of my technology have been very exciting. There is nothing like putting your neck on the chopping block by making bold predictions for price and watching to see what happens. I was either going to find my patterns work - or find out they don't work. Pay attention to this video because we may have more downward price trending before we find a bottom. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
07/17 SPY ATR Levels and RangeCurrent ATR showing at 4.50 increasing ever so slightly from last week and so far increase for this week. if we lopse these levels look for 554.19 Needing to seriously defend this level this could be a possible bounce area, if not we find the high 550.20 level for a bounce. Preferable to keep within this quarter I would like to see a bounce at 554.19 to push up thru -to 558.70 (Last weeks low) If we open above 559.12 we could find some resistence at 559.63 range (this weeks low) if the want to take it higher, they may form a channel between 559.63 to 562.11/34/563.67 (564.69) for yesterdays close, after hours high and premarket high. Whatever the possibilities are, I am looking for price action and volume.
AMEX:SPY
by TuskenDayTrade
SPY/QQQ Plan Your trade For 7-17 - Possible Breakdown PatternI'm going to keep this short and simple this morning. Yesterday, I shared about 3~4 videos related to my SPY Cycle Patterns and how the markets were setting up for this Possible Breakdown (or as I called it, the Exhaustion Breakdown) pattern. I even took some extra time to share a late video last night trying to prepare traders for what is/was about to unfold related to today's Possible Breakdown and tomorrow's Counter-Trend Major CRUSH pattern. You can watch that video yourselves to learn what I expect. After rolling out of bed at 3:50 this morning (California time) and taking a look at my charts, all I can say is WOW! Nailed it! I'm continually amazed at the accuracy and capability of my SPY Cycle Patterns as well as their ability to see into the future. I don't know of any other technology that is capable of doing what my SPY Cycle Patterns are doing. And I don't believe anyone has been able to crack the code (the secrets of the markets) like I have been able to do. Now, these patterns are not always 100% accurate. I've warned everyone in the past (and now). There will be periods where they don't align with price very well. That happens. Watch today's video while I sit back and watch my Puts print all morning. What a great day. I may try to put on some Calls later today - but at this point, I'm calling this a BIG WIN. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
6
SPY/QQQ Cycle Pattern Update - Balancing Expectations & RisksAs part of my Plan Your Trade video series, I wanted to share some additional information on how I balance my expectations for price swings/moves with what's changing in the current market environment. Initially, I draw my expectations based on what I see on the chart and how I interpret the SPY Cycle Patterns. From there, I watch the custom index charts I use to measure the underlying market strengths/weaknesses (behind the scenes). Over the past 3+ days, I've been highlighting the huge moves in RSP and IYT. Traders need to understand that this strong bullish move suggests that the US market is actively relating to the end of 2024 and beyond. However, the Exhaustion Breakdown pattern tomorrow (July 17) is very likely to represent a downward price move many traders have already positioned for. Although I expect the downward price move to stay under 2.0-2.25% from today's close, it will still be strong enough to catch some attention. Please watch this video and pay attention to the first 10 minutes and the last 3 minutes. I want to know what all of you think of my SPY Cycle Patterns and if these videos are helping you out. I believe the next 5+ years will be the biggest opportunity of our lives regarding how the US and global markets trend. In my attempt to help as many traders as I can, I need to hear from you. Are these videos helping you or confusing you? What could I do to improve them? Get ready for tomorrow, and remember the next big opportunity starts on July 22 (or so). Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
10
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-15 Mid-Day Update - Selling PressureGood afternoon everyone, As I created this video, the SPY was stalling above $562, with lagging bullish price momentum. In this video, I explain why the SPY & QQQ are not selling downward very hard (yet). I also explain why I believe the downward price trend (consolidation/correction) I believe will happen over the next 4+ trading days will only be a -0.75% to -2.0% downward price swing. My analysis of how price will move relative to my SPY Cycle Patterns involves many factors. I rely on more than just the SPY Cycle Patterns; my research includes dozens of other metrics and custom indexes. This video shows how strongly IYT and RSP are rallying right now. If you are going to daytrade any of the indexes, you need to pay attention to those symbols. If IYT (the Transportation Index) is rallying while RSP (the Equal-weight S&P500 ETF) is rallying - guess what? You see forward solid expectations of a broad-sector US stock market rally. Yes, maybe 30 to 90+ days in the future, you may see ignored and undervalued symbols rally more than 30% because of what we see right now. THAT is why I'm trying to share my research. I want to help you become a better, more skilled trader. That includes learning to use technical analysis more efficiently and keeping track of many underlying key metrics to help balance your expectations. Why would anyone want to swing hard for short trades when the IYT, RSP, and dozens of other metrics say, "the US stock market is REFLATING into a broad-sector rally phase"? That is the question you need to ask yourself... Are you getting the best research/analysis to help you build skills you can keep for the rest of your life? Follow my research. Take a minute to go back and watch some of my recent videos. If you want to learn how I can predict market trends 5 to 10+ days in advance, then all you have to do is pay attention to what I show you. I read the charts/data - and then formulate my expectations based on what my SPY Cycle Patterns show me. If something changes, I may adjust my expectations a bit. But, generally, my expectations don't change very much. Let's get started and learn how to distinguish these markets. Watch this video and learn. Watch my other videos and learn. The next 5+ years will be the greatest opportunity of your life. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
Opening (IRA): SPY August 16th 498 Monied Covered Call... for a 493.42 debit. Comments: As with my QQQ monied, re-upping in SPY after having taken profit on my August 16th 493. Here, selling the -84 delta call against, which will mean a lower max and a lower ROC %-age. Just looking to potentially milk a little more out of the August cycle (60 DTE), before moving into Sept. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 493.42 Max Profit: 4.58 ROC at Max: .93% 50% Max: 2.29 ROC at 50% Max: .46%
AMEX:SPYLong
by NaughtyPines
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7-16 - Price Starting To FLAG OUTGood morning everyone, Today's video should be an important warning to prepare for prices to move into a tight, consolidated, FLAGGING type of trend. Remember, you'll hear me say price either FLAGS or TRENDS—that's it. If you understand these FLAGS are price constructs that present mechanical price structures, we can then use them to analyze future price structures. It all becomes clear that price moves in logical structures related to energy, vibration, amplitude, frequency, and cycles. Without getting too deep into the abstract of price theory, let's focus on where to find opportunities... Watch this video. Over the next 5+ trading days, you will find 35 very clear price swings, which I believe will provide ample opportunity for skilled traders. Beyond those 35 bigger swings, you should get ready to sit and wait (in CASH) for the bigger opportunities to set up between July 22 and 25 (for a rally to start). Smart traders must understand you can't force the markets to move as you want. You must sit back and wait for the right opportunities for your trades (or you'll get chopped to pieces). In this video, I've clearly laid out what I expect to see happen for the SPY/QQQ over the next 10+ days. There are still opportunities for skilled daytraders. My only warning is to START SMALL and build positions within your risk tolerance levels. Don't swing for the fences in this market for the next 5+ days. Stay safe. There will be more significant price swings starting on the 24th or 25th of July. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
1
$SPY July 16, 2024XETR:AMEX : SPY July 16, 2024 15 Minutes. XETR:AMEX : SPY made 3 HH pattern. So, if we take 555.83 as low, we can expect 566-567.5 levels as target for now provided it holds around 557 levels At the moment it took support at 61.8% of the fall as support. For the fall 564.83 to 559.62 it needs to cross 563.8 levels to resume uptrend. So, for the day Buy above 564 to 566-567 as target and sell below 556.5. If this level is broken, I expect a 4 to 5 $ fall. Remember 556 is 9 MA support in daily.
AMEX:SPY
by RiderTrader
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-15 Update - Building Support...This mid-day update to my SPY Plan Your Trade video series was probably needed as I'm getting many questions about what I think is happening today. In short, we saw a bit of a rally early in trading, followed by a moderate pullback. Yes, today's Exhaustion Rally pattern has not shown up yet. But as we learned last week, the price can respond a bit delayed when certain types of events disrupt market trends. I continue to suggest that the markets are attempting to settle after last weekend's big events. Traders are trying to digest what is happening and where to position capital. My weekend analysis showed a powerful push in RSP (the equal-weight S&P500 ETF), suggesting capital is moving into a more broad-sector rally phase. I do believe that capital shift will continue to drive future rallies. But, we also have to get through this week's SPY Cycle Patterns, which clearly illustrate the need for the markets to contract a bit (Wednesday ~ Friday) before moving into a more substantial rally phase mode near the 22~24. Sit tight. Let the markets settle. Watch this video to see how I view support and why I'm not worried about any potential collapse yet. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold The reality of Fibonacci Price Theory and most Technical Analysis techniques will teach you that as long as the price stays above $559.75 (above Friday's GAP). Buckle up.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny