* SPY : Elliot Waves Bullish Bias *I don't care if you are a bull that believes this is the beginning of price recovery or a bear that believes that this is just a slight retracement to gear up for the major downtrend. I am here to show you different possible scenarios during my Elliot Waves learning process.
In the main image of this post, you can see that bulls have completed a 5 impulse Wave 1 and have now completed a ABC flat correction Wave 2. If I'm correct, we are now in the beginning of Wave 3 with a price target 581-587.
Now lets take a closer look to where we are:
- From the 5 Impulse waves that make W3, we are now in Wave 1 which also has 5 impulses and $570 for its target.
- Zooming in closer, you can see that we have just completed the first wave and are now making the second wave with a price target between 561.92(full length of wave A) and 559 (23% Fib LVL).
- After this correction wave is completed, I expect us to have a strong momentum towards W3 price target at 566, a quick and sharp correction for W4, and a last impulse towards our first main target that will be testing or possibly explode through $570.
- After we hit our first wave target, I do expect price to consolidate for a bit, hopefully holding the 570 level, and prepare for another explosive wave towards 578 and then our 581-587 area target. to complete the this 5 impulse wave.
* It is important to remind you that this is the scenario I see happening on the idea that SPY has completed its correction and is now aiming to continue our uptrend towards new ATH. For this to happen, I would prefer to see this Wave 3 blasting through its price target and possibly testing 590 and above, leaving little space for a quick W4 correction and then proceeding to levels near ATH. In the main picture, I highlighted $597 as a level to confirm a bullish this bullish theory. *
I will later on post my bearish view on SPY just so you don't get too comfortable. We can't leave your therapist without a job.
And at the end of the day, keep in mind that we are out here to observe the market and take advantage of its ups and downs. Manage your risks, ride the waves, and let the gods of the charts dictate where price go.