SPY Demand Zone on 4H chartLook for a bounce on SPY at the 4H demand zone around 550. Also, reversion to the 21 EMA mean.
SPY trade ideas
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 3-13-25 - Fear Settling InWith the US government only about 39 hours away from a complete SHUT DOWN, I want to warn everyone that metals are doing exactly what they are supposed to do - hedge risks. While the SPY/QQQ are continuing to melt downard.
I created this video to show you the Fibonacci Trigger levels on the 60 min SPY chart, which I believe are very important. Pause the video when I show you the proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system and pay attention to the fact that any upward price trend must rally above 563.85 in order to qualify as a new Bullish price trend.
That means we need to see a very solid price reversal from recent lows or an intermediate pullback (to the upside) which will set a new lower Bullish Fibonacci trigger level.
Overall, the SPY/QQQ are in a MELT DOWN mode and I expect this to last into early next week unless the US government reaches some agreement to extend funding.
This is not the time to try to load up on Longs/Calls.
The US and global markets are very likely to MELT DOWNWARD over the next 2 to 5+ days if the US government does SHUT DOWN.
FYI.
Gold and Silver may EXPLODE HIGHER.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-13-25: Carryover PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets may attempt to continue to find support and move into a sideways pullback (upward) price channel.
I believe the markets have reached an exhaustion point that will move the SPY/QQQ slightly upward over the next 5 to 10+ days - reaching a peak near the 3-21 to 3-24 Bottoming pattern.
This bottoming pattern near March 21-24 suggests the markets will move aggressively downward near that time to identify deeper support.
I believe metals will continue to move higher as risks and fear drive assets into safe havens.
Bitcoin should continue to slide a bit higher while moving through the consolidation phase.
Watch today's video to learn more about what I do and how I help traders find the best opportunities.
Get some.
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STOCK MARKET ANALYSIS! BEAR MARKET IS HERE? I hope you guys enjoyed the video, If you have any questions or comments feel free to comment down below! Thanks for watching.
SPXSP500 is ready to fly again.
Don´t panic, it´s not real the currently situation.
Buy to pessimist.
Still movement up at least till september-october.
thks.
Is it done yet or will we see 540?! Bear sentiments but short term Bullish momentum after this months hard fall. Watch out for fake outs. Up or down I’m swinging with the market. GL traders just was I see. Not a professional. Take no advice. Happy Thursday ‼️‼️‼️
SPY STRONG BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅SPY made a bearish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 568.00$ which is now
A resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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$SPY - Trading Levels for March 13 2025
Alright, y’all. We are dangling, unsupported underneath the 200DMA and that Bear Gap. I am trading cautiously today because inflation data days I tend to make a lot of mistakes.
35EMA - this level is a BEAST. We were unable to get above it yesterday. Trace it back 3 weeks and you’ll see it’s been there every time to push us back lower.
I will be looking to the outer spreads and even then I might push it out a little.
If and when I take a position I will update it here.
GL, y’all.
SPY=541We are still a long way to the bottom of the chaos. While enjoying the free fall I expect SPY to move a bit towards the resistance of $564 in order to catch a good movement to the next support level at $541. Let's hope the investors keep hoping so we can keep taxing on the short run.
Time for lift off?!Feels like the bulls have stepped back into the game at least to rally through tomorrow! What do you think 👍 or 👎 comment below!
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 13, 2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇰🇷🇺🇸 South Korea's Trade Minister Visits U.S. 🇰🇷🇺🇸: South Korea's Trade Minister, Cheong In-kyo, is visiting Washington, D.C., from March 13 to 14 to discuss trade issues, including reciprocal tariffs and investment opportunities, with U.S. counterparts. This visit aims to address concerns about tariffs following President Trump's comments regarding disparities between U.S. and South Korean tariffs. The outcome of these discussions could impact sectors reliant on U.S.-South Korea trade relations.
🇩🇪🛠️ German Debt Reform Debates 🇩🇪🛠️: Germany's Bundestag is set to begin debates on debt reform plans starting March 13, focusing on increasing infrastructure spending and reforming state borrowing rules to fund defense. The proposed creation of a €500 billion infrastructure fund aims to stimulate the economy. These reforms could influence European economic stability, indirectly affecting U.S. markets through global economic interconnections.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Thursday, March 13:
🏭 Producer Price Index (PPI) (8:30 AM ET) 🏭:The PPI measures the average change over time in selling prices received by domestic producers, offering insights into wholesale inflation trends.
Forecast: +0.3% month-over-month
Previous: +0.4% month-over-month
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉:This weekly report indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into the labor market's health.
Forecast: 226K
Previous: 221K
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY PRINTS RARE 'BUY' SIGNAL FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE MAR 2020!!On the 2 Day chart, AMEX:SPY is signaling its intent to print a buy signal on our CM Ultimate RSI Indicator as soon as tomorrow, for the first time since March 2020
In this video, we look at that exact signal & see what the past 11 years of price action says about what's the next move for AMEX:SPY
uh owell we've so far passed all my support points and are like in super duper oversold territory. Traders want to bounce but I'm going to finally change my 6 month outlook. BEARISH. Short term it depends on how the chips fall -- if we get some straws to grasp at on the economic data side of things, we could bounce easily to $580.
But people are not liking the current field, even after all the panic selling, there aren't many management firms snatching up the deals. Except for NVDA, people really fell on that knife these past 2 days, hoping its profits remain magnificent and its costs don't increase. Maybe TSLA will be a buy soon -- Musk owns less than 50% of the company right? They can vote him out in June? I mean I was expecting a bounce and extra profits from the CEO being so close to the POTUS but maybe people are sensing he's too MIA, off playing video games or something.
Worst of all, the administration isn't even giving people platitudes. There's no, 'we're doing everything we can to prevent a full Biden recession'. There's almost a calm acceptance that it might happen and we'll be better off for it. At first it was just uncertainty around rate cuts but its blossomed into caution around CapEx and MA (because somehow the outlook on tariffs is even murkier now than in December) and dent in employment activity due to mass layoffs at the federal level. Like this year just cannot get any worse -- and any bullish reversals will be due to that sentiment; that we're impervious to further drops in the stock market because the bad news is already priced in. But we haven't accounted for all the people who will have to cash out of their 401k's this fall and therefore cannot discount the possibility of a 25% market correction or more. Like, I'll change my mind when the administration starts acting like recessions are bad and we should work our hardest to avoid them rather than just making sure Biden gets some of the blame (no way Trump escapes all the blame anymore, he'll be lucky if he can avoid a government shutdown Friday).
Like usually treasuries move inverse to stock market action, but what if the pause in business activity is because of unpredictability at the federal government? How long before we float the idea of reneging on our debts and we get downgraded to a B+? Like we talk about protectionist policies and fiscal conservativism; what could be more of an America first policy than just defaulting on our owed debt? I just hope we can default in tranches so that not all $36 trillion becomes worthless all at once. Maybe the Fed can look into that -- stop selling short term notes for example and commit to honoring our immediate debts...
SPY - L3 Bullish Daily Exhaustion SignalAMEX:SPY first level 3 bullish exhaustion signal on the daily since Jan 2016, when in marked the exact bottom. The other 3 times it happened in the past 30 years were during the 2000-2003 dot com bust.
Within 10 candles after the signal:
75% win rate
+3.5% average move
4 data points over 30 years
Reverse Head and Shoulder in the 30 minWith a 1 day RSI of 31 and a reverse head and shoulder forming, this market technically wants to go higher.
The question is what will "you know who" say tomorrow?
I'm calling a dead cat bounce, that gives us an opportunity to buy some April puts.
Where were these, "the world is about to end" folks during 2022?I've seen waaaaaaay to many posts recently on multiple sites/apps regarding the stock market and how it's crashing under Trump... I dreaded politics when I was younger because it was always so divisive and more importantly, in my eyes, neither party was transparent. As I've gotten older, my feelings aren't as bad regarding politics as a whole but my feelings, towards each party in regards to the divisiveness they create and carry on has gotten worse. These feelings sometimes carry over to my network of friends, family, and community because a lot of times differences of opinion or feelings toward a political party or person also create a divide.
The main reason for this post is to point out a few reasons why people shouldn't have your panties all in a bunch regarding Trump... I included a screenshot of the stock price action for AMEX:SPY in 2022. As you can see, there were 4 different occasions, from Jan to Oct, where the market dropped double digit percentage points. Let's recap...
1/4/22 to 2/24/22, in 51 trading days the price dropped over 14%
3/29/22 to 5/20/22, in 52 trading days the price dropped over 17%
6/2/22 to 6/16/22, in 14 trading days the price dropped almost 13%
8/16/22 to 10/13/22, in 58 trading days the price dropped 19%
With that being said, from Jan to Oct of 2022, the market tumbled almost 27%. I don't recall seeing as many frantic posts, news commentators dragging and blaming the president everyday, or the POTUS supporters or non-supporters of the democratic party pointing fingers as much as I have recently.
I say this with all due respect to everybody and their individual opinion towards a party or person... I have never nor will I, ever attach my beliefs or moral compass to any specific political party or person so much that I need to block a friend (maybe not a friend to begin with), family member, or anyone else just because they disagree with me. I always loved diversity and it seems to be have become a distant memory to some just because of a difference in opinions. Obviously, this is a conversation that can go on for awhile but I just wanted to get that off my chest while also reminding some to reserve their panicking of a stock market crash or that the world is about to end because of the price of eggs or talks of changes in tariffs.
Again, just take a look back at the market in the year 2022 and remind yourself... the market has always had corrections throughout it's history and every time, it has rebounded and continued to evolve.
$SPY - Trading Levels for March 12 2025
30min 35EMA attack right at open. That level is a BEAST!!! It needs to be on your chart. 566/568 Bear call spreads if we pop up, order in at .90
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 12, 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above.
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Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions.
Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change.
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Need any other charts daily, comment on this.
SPY daily chart for March 12, 2025Hey traders! Checking out the SPY daily chart for March 12, 2025, and it’s looking like a critical moment. We’re sitting in a reversal zone ($556-$562), with the downtrend still in play via that sloping trend line (~$560-$565). MACD’s bearish, but the histogram is flattening, and Stochastic RSI is oversold—hinting at a possible bounce. Key levels: support at $556 (break below targets $540-$545), resistance at $562, $571.36, and $577.05, with $606-$607 as the big hurdle.
My plan: Long if $556 holds with a strong bullish candle, stop below $554, targeting $562 then $571. Short if we break $556 with volume, stop above $558, aiming for $545. Risk-reward 1:2, and I’ll watch volume closely—low moves can fake you out. News today could shake things up, so I’m staying flexible. What do you think—bullish bounce or more downside? Let’s discuss!
* Key Levels:
* Green resistance: ~$606-$607
* Red support/resistance zones: ~$562, $571.36, $577.05
* Current reversal zone: ~$556-$562
* Downward-sloping trend line intersecting around $560-$565
* Current Price: Appears to be in the $556-$562 range, near the lower end of the reversal zone.
* Indicators: MACD shows a bearish crossover with declining momentum, while Stochastic RSI is oversold (below 20), hinting at a potential bounce.
Technical Analysis
The SPY chart reflects a clear short-term downtrend, marked by the downward-sloping trend line and a series of lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently entered a reversal zone ($556-$562), which could serve as a support area. The MACD’s bearish crossover suggests continued selling pressure, but the widening histogram is starting to flatten, indicating a possible slowdown. The Stochastic RSI being oversold is a strong signal that a bounce or consolidation might be on the horizon, though it’s not a guaranteed reversal without price confirmation.
Key levels to watch include:
* Support: $556 is the critical level. A break below could push toward $540-$545.
* Resistance: $562 (top of the reversal zone), $571.36, and $577.05, with the trend line acting as dynamic resistance around $560-$565.
* Major Resistance: $606-$607, where prior resistance held firm.
Potential Scenarios
* Bullish Case: If SPY holds $556 with a strong bullish candle (e.g., hammer or engulfing pattern) and the Stochastic RSI begins to rise, we could see a move to $562 or even $571.36. Volume confirmation would be key.
* Bearish Case: A decisive break below $556 with high volume could accelerate the downtrend, targeting $540-$545. Watch for MACD to reinforce bearish momentum.
* Consolidation: The price might range between $556 and $562 if momentum remains indecisive, especially given the oversold conditions.
Game Plan for Today’s Trading Session
* Entry Points:
* Long: Enter long if the price respects $556 with a bullish reversal signal (e.g., a strong green candle). Set a stop-loss below $554. Target $562 initially, then $571.36 if momentum builds.
* Short: Enter short if the price breaks below $556 with confirmation (e.g., high volume, bearish MACD). Set a stop-loss above $558. Target $545, with a stretch to $540.
* Risk Management:
* Aim for a 1:2 risk-reward ratio. Risk $2 to make $4 per trade.
* Monitor volume—low volume moves are less reliable.
* Be cautious of macroeconomic news (e.g., FOMC updates or inflation data) that could sway the market today.
* Execution Tips:
* For day trading, consider a 1-hour or 15-minute chart to fine-tune entries.
* Watch the trend line rejection around $560-$565 for bearish confirmation or a potential bounce.
My Thoughts and Suggestions
I’m keeping a close eye on this reversal zone ($556-$562) as it feels like a make-or-break point. The oversold Stochastic RSI gives me hope for a bounce, but the downtrend isn’t done until we see a clear reversal signal. I’d lean toward a cautious long if $556 holds, but I won’t chase it without volume backing it up. On the flip side, a break below $556 could signal more pain, so I’ll be ready to short with tight stops. Today’s market moves might hinge on news, so staying flexible is key. Let’s see how it plays out—any thoughts from you all?
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-12-25 : Rally111 PatternToday's Rally pattern in Carryover mode may prompt a powerful base/bottom move in the SPY/QQQ.
In today's video, I explain in great detail how I read these charts and why the Excess Phase Peak (EPP) patterns are so important.
We are moving into the Consolidation Phase of the EPP patterns for the SPY/QQQ.
We are already into the Consolidation Phase of an EPP pattern for Bitcoin
Gold and Silver are a bit mixed. Yet Silver has already broken above the upper EPP Peak, rallying into a new EPP Peak level. Meanwhile, Gold is still struggling to find momentum for a bullish breakout.
While I don't believe the US markets are poised for a big downward price move, today's video shows you what may be likely 4 to 12+ months into the future.
So, pay attention to today's video. It clearly illustrates how to use the EPP patterns with Fibonacci and shows you what I believe could happen over the next 6 to 12+ months.
If the SPY/I continues to try to rally higher today, it will be interesting. This means we have potentially found our consolidation base and are now moving into a very volatile sideways consolidation phase.
Get some.
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Time for EWJ outperformanceI do think the best way to play the US underperformance story is through Japanese equities. Europe has moved too fast in a short time frame, China seems to me like a short term story whereas Japan seems to be the best way to play it.
Corporate earnings growth has been present in Japan post GFC unlike China and Europe to a lower extent.
Japanese valuations are great and the economic story is starting to be interesting.
S&P underperformance against global marketsIn addition to previous post on spy/efa we can see the spy/urth actually testing the historic support and breaking down. The valuation differential + The destruction of US competitiveness as a result of tariffs would be tailwinds for the continued outperformance of row equities over the US
