TAL Education Says Goodbye to K9 Academic AST ServicesTAL Education will explore quality-oriented education from multiple aspects.
On November 13, Zhang Bangxin, CEO of TAL (TAL:NYSE) issued an internal letter to all employees, indicating the new strategic direction for the future and the personnel adjustments made in accordance with the new direction.
According to the announcement, TAL plans to cease offering academic subjects to students from kindergarten through grade nine ('K9 Academic AST Services') in the mainland of China by the end of December 2021. Any course services users have signed up for would be guaranteed.
Zhang expressed that the company's business focus will be transferred from the subject training to quality-oriented training, aiming to cultivate the ability that will bring children lifelong benefit. Several trials have been made: on one hand, humanities and aesthetic education, scientific puzzles, programming and other subjects; on the other hand, it may actively explore music, sports, art and other categories.
The internal letter also mentioned that TAL will further increase investment in research and development for education technology, referring to science and technology to promote educational progress. Besides, TAL will promote overseas business with great patience, continuing to build overseas business models, brand awareness and operational capabilities in the next five to ten years or even more. Finally, TAL will continue to incubate new business, regarding it as a driving force for new organizational capacity. It said that the company would do more in digital content publishing, education hardware, hosting services and other aspects to be well-prepared for the future.
Zhang said that, although the main business has experienced huge changes, the unchanged initial motivation of education, the core management stability, the solid research and development accumulation and deep-rooted brand consciousness should help the company to locate its own position. It will continue to create value for customers, employees and the whole society.
TAL/N trade ideas
Go down?)The stock is in a raid and does not want to grow. Tomorrow there will be a report, after which a strong move down is possible. If the support level of the last one is broken down, it would be good to take a profit. Trade carefully!
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$TAL long term potential investmentNow, i know that these Chinese tutoring companies are in a very bad situation, but from my understanding is that China is not planning to wipeout private education, but rather reduce the cost of it to make it more affordable. Now let's Imagine Chinas population and how much of them in the past couldn't afford it will now be able to. so example instead of 10000 people paying $1000, we will see 1000000 people paying $100. just a long term idea.
TAL education - long upon confirmsHello,
Please see for the quick analysis referring to TAL education.
Where the chinese government crack down has shown the removal of assets in a snap of finger, the price has dramatically lost value, with shareholders either holding or realising losses.
The monthly chart below shows an opportunity to purchase - upon confirmation.
Here is the daily opportunity
Be aware - without confirms, price can move against you and all foreign holders can be diminished as china will, may want Chinese investors only.
The view is of a weekly reactive level, but be aware for buyers, foreign stock holders of this chinese company, will experience a transition from Nasdaq at some point to Hong Kong - which a volatile exchange.
So for the buying opportunity, await confirms of rejection between the monthly zone.
Thanks,
XYHLX
Bearish Flag - Pennant
Chart Timeline: 2 HRS | I usually do a 1 hour timeline but I used the 2 hours this time because it's much more cleaner.
RSI: Mid to below-mid level | Meaning its still bearish/downtrend
MACD: Line if about to cross and could continue downtrend
Support Level: My strong support level is about $2. There's 3 level of lower support that I looked at. The $2, $1.70 and $1.50, but wasn't hoping for a dollar. My strong support lows of low is $2.
Conclusion: Chart giving me bearish pennant + RSI still downtrend + MACD about to cross + existing support level from previous lower low.
This is on a technical analysis standpoint. No fundamental involve.
$TAL is gonna fall todayPupm&Dump trading strategy idea.
$TAL is rising too much today.
The demand for shares of the company looks lower than the supply.
This and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price today.
So I opened a short position from $6,32;
stop-loss — $6,57;
take-profit — $5,82.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Thanks for being with me!
$TAL is gonna fall todayPupm&Dump trading strategy idea.
$TAL is rising too much today.
The demand for shares of the company looks lower than the supply.
This and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price today.
So I opened a short position from $6,99;
stop-loss — $7,27;
take-profit — $6,42.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Thanks for being with me!
TAL Education Dead Cat Bounce ?Think about this perspective: a temporary recovery in share prices after a substantial fall, caused by speculators buying in order to cover their positions. this is the Dead Cat Bounce!
China's crackdown on for-profit education companies was a disaster for traders not using a stop loss.
In the 52 Week Range TAL Education Group went from 90.96 to 4.03usd.
After-school tutoring institutions must transform themselves into "nonprofit organizations".
Jim Cramer (Mad Money) on China's tech crackdown: You can't own Chinese stocks!
ARK Invest dumps Chinese stocks.
It seems dangerous to hold Chinese stocks right now.
US-listed Chinese companies have three years to comply with US accounting oversight, to comply with the rules of accounting and transparency that American public companies must follow, if not they will get delisted.
This looks like the beginning of China`s stock market crash.
I`m looking forward to read your opinion about this!
TAL education may offer a great shortterm tradeTAL is down 77% since feb 19 this year following some regulatory news surrounding the education sector in china. It was at a high of $90, currently trading just under $24.
When stocks trend they never go up or down in straight lines, they have retracements where people take profit or attempt to catch a reversal. The larger the moves/timeframe the larger the retracements that can be seen. In the chart above is the 30min chart zoomed out to show 2 large leg downs marked with yellow trendlines . The first which started after the news came out lasted from $90 to $50 before retracing 38% to $65ish.
The current leg down has lasted from $65 to ??? $20ish. We dont know for sure if the recent trend line break is going to mark the start to a retracement but it may be worth a shot as another 38% bounce would put TAL into the high $30's.
If any positive news were to come out regarding TAL i would consider investing in this company for a longer run to see a possible 50%-100% retracement.
China ADRs Tumble in Longest Rout Since 2019 on Fresh RisksStocks of Chinese companies tumbled in the U.S., posting the longest losing streak in more than two years, over the risks posed by a potentially widening regulatory crackdown in the nation’s technology industry.
The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index plunged 8.5%, the steepest drop since March 2020, after officials in Beijing were said to consider forcing companies that offer school tutoring to turn into non-profits. That drove the gauge, which tracks some of China’s biggest firms that are listed in the U.S., to its fourth straight weekly decline, its longest slump since May 2019.
TAL Education Group, New Oriental Education & Technology Group and Gaotu Techedu Inc., some of the largest education companies, lost more than half their value Friday.
“This escalating behavior should temper any temptation to invest heavily in these names. Ignoring this trend is something you do at your own peril -- China is unlikely to let up,” said Hans Albrecht, a portfolio manager at Horizons ETFs Management. “At some point the risk-reward makes sense in a diversified manner -- placing a bet on one Chinese company could be foolhardy. Buying a basket that is exposed to various Chinese sectors is likely more prudent.”
Regulators in China have been ramping up scrutiny of education companies for months -- which could upend the country’s $100 billion industry -- as part of a broader push to rein in the country’s technology giants. Even before Friday’s plunge, shares of private education firms like TAL, New Oriental Education & Technology Group and Gaotu had been under pressure, declining steeply since the beginning of March.
If the policies for education companies do materialize, they will “effectively make the sector un-investable,” according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. analyst DS Kim. “We think it’s best to avoid the sector until clarity emerges,” he said.
TAL and New Oriental have said they are aware of media reports about reforms to Chinese after-school tutoring services and that neither company received any official notice of regulations. Hong Kong-listed Koolearn Technology Holding Ltd also said it hasn’t had any official notification of new orders.
The latest crackdown comes after officials were said to be considering unprecedented penalties for Didi Global Inc. earlier this week. The ride-hailing giant has become the poster-child for Chinese regulatory oversight, seeing its stock price drop to roughly half the high hit in July soon after its closely watched initial public offering.
In total, more than $650 billion of market value has been erased from the 98 stocks that make up the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index since the gauge hit a record high in February.
Heavy-weight technology titan Alibaba Group Holding Ltd has seen its market capitalization shrink by nearly one-quarter. Meanwhile, fellow tech giants JD.com Inc. has fallen over 30% from its February peak, while Pinduoduo Inc. and Baidu Inc. both down by about 50%.
“People have to take into account the regulatory risk that comes with investing in these stocks,” said Greg Taylor, chief investment office at Purpose Investments. “As much as there’s a ton of upside, there’s also a lot of risk.”
- Bloomberg
My View on TALTime to have a look at Chinese stock. $TAL, $GOTU, $BABA, $BIDU,...
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This is not financial advice. I'm not a Financial Advisor.
Trading is a high risk, do your own DD.
Let me know what you think
Cheers, I would share all my thought next time.
PEACE.--------------------------------------------
TAL education may offer an great return an expected retracementTAL is down 77% since feb 19 this year following some regulatory news surrounding the education sector. It was at a high of $90, currently trading just under $24.
When stocks trend they never go up or down in straight lines, they have retracements where people take profit or attempt to catch a reversal. The larger the moves/timeframe the larger the retracements that can be seen. In the chart above is the 30min chart zoomed out to show 2 large leg downs marked with yellow trendlines. The first which started after the news came out lasted from $90 to $50 before retracing 38% to $65ish.
The current leg down has lasted from $65 to ??? $20ish. We dont know for sure if the recent trend line break is going to mark the start to a retracement but it may be worth a shot as another 38% bounce would put TAL into the high $30's.
TAL LongWeekly Demand Zone confirmation
Price crossed SMA13
RSI divergence
WR Crossed -80
OBV not good
*** Careful. SEC problem with Chinese stocks.
Entry 25.5
Stop 19.5
Target 48
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
The max Risk of each plan should be less than 1% of an account.
I am not a PRO trader. I trade option to test my trading plan with small cost.
I created some tradingview scripts to improve my trading entries:
OBV and OBV SMA comparison;
Williams %R two lines;
$TAL is oversold, bullish spread with 72% PoP 33% profit #optionLong time waiting for a pullback at this territory....
Today RSI breaking up, volume arrived, but IVR is still very high.
Optimal for some credit put spread.
Max profit: $250
Probability for 50% of Profit: 72%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 33%
Req. Buy Power: $750 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 80
Expiry: 22 days
Sell 2 TAL Jul16' 22.5 Put
Buy 2 TAL Jul16' 17.5 Put
Credit Put spread for 1.25cr each
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 250$.
Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.44db.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !