$TAN Is This Getting Ready for a Stage 2 Breakout?Clean Energy (Solar) has been in a downtrend since January 2021! Every time it looks like it is setting up for a stage 2 breakout, it has broken down. Will this time be different?
Here is what I see on this chart.
TAN
was in a clear downtrend until mid-December 2024. Then it challenged its previo
Key stats
About INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II SOLAR ETF
Home page
Inception date
Apr 15, 2008
Structure
Open-Ended Fund
Dividend treatment
Distributes
Distribution tax treatment
Qualified dividends
Income tax type
Capital Gains
Max ST capital gains rate
39.60%
Max LT capital gains rate
20.00%
Primary advisor
Invesco Capital Management LLC
Distributor
Invesco Distributors, Inc.
TAN offers a unique take on renewable energy, holding a concentrated portfolio of companies involved in the solar energy industry, thus cutting out much of the broader renewable energy market. Selection begins with global solar energy companies of all caps including all solar technologies (crystalline and thin-film photovoltaic solar and solar thermal), the entire value chain (raw materials, installers, to financing), and related solar equipment (power inverters and encapsulates). Eligible companies are categorized into either pure-play or medium-play. Pure-play companies have the solar industry as their primary business, generating more than two-thirds of their revenue. Medium-play companies cover those with multiple business industries but still generate more than one-third of their revenue from solar-related businesses. The funds weighting tilts towards pure-plays and underweights the medium-play firms. The index is rebalanced quarterly.
Classification
What's in the fund
Exposure type
Electronic Technology
Utilities
Process Industries
Stock breakdown by region
Top 10 holdings
Opening (IRA): TAN February 21st 32 Covered Call... for a 31.17 debit.
Comments: Still in the top 5 underlyings for IV on my ETF board, with 30-day at 35.0%. Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on after exiting the 33's at 50% max. Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, bu
Opening (IRA): TAN Nov 15th 37 Covered Call... for a 35.89 debit.
Comments: Relatively decent IV here at 42.8%. Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a +25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 35.89
Max Profit: 1.11
ROC at Max: 3.09%
Opening (IRA): TAN January 17th 33 Covered Call... for a 32.29 debit.
Comments: ETF IV > 35% with 30-day currently at 39.7%. Adding to my position at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Dink
Opening (IRA): TAN Jan 17th 33 Short Put... for a 1.01 credit.
Comments: Adding to my TAN position at a strike/break even better than what I currently have on. Here, going Plain Jane short put, since there isn't a great advantage to going monied covered call here because the IV skew isn't between the call and put sides isn't significan
Opening (IRA): TAN Dec 20th 34 Covered Call... for a 32.69 debit.
Comments: High IVR/IV at 115.8/57.1. Adding a rung out in December to my position at a break even better than what I currently have on. (See Post Below). Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short c
Opening (IRA): TAN October 18th 33/40/40/47... for a 3.55 credit.
Comments: Another risk one to make one iron fly in an underlying I'm not currently in with fairly decent 30-day IV at 38.9%.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 3.45
Max Profit: 3.55
ROC at Max: 102.90%
25% Max: .89
ROC at 25% Max: 25.72%
Will look to take profit at 25% max.
Opening (IRA): TAN August 30th 38 Covered Call... for a 37.00 debit.
Comments: Back into TAN (30-Day IV: 47.6%), selling the -76 call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense. Going with the August 30th, 46 DTE contract.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 37.00/share
Max
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Summarizing what the indicators are suggesting.
Oscillators
Neutral
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Oscillators
Neutral
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Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Summary
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
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Summary
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Summary
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Moving Averages
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Moving Averages
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.