Joe Biden's PlaybookIf Democratic wins this election, it might give TAN a further boost, imo.
Chart wise, it is very bullish having breakout from the long term bearish trend. It has also broke out of the resistance since 2015. At current price, I think a healthy pullback, hopefully to 61.52 and 65.08 would be an ideal place to go long.
TAN trade ideas
TAN LongI am looking at playing the breakout, rather than a long hold strategy,
The challenge is to find options calls that wont expire before the breakout, but also are not too far out because they won't benefit as much from the breakout.
I will be seeing what the pricing is like on Monday. If it gaps up on Monday then maybe* too late.
Im looking at 24th, Dec, 2020 strike price of 85, one single call option which was last trade at 1.40
TAN calendar spread idea, target $100 4/16/21TAN is a great solar exchange-traded fund. Renewable energy demand is definitely going to grow in 2021. I'm expecting TAN to be weaker in January and stronger in April, simply just because of winter/spring seasons. A nice play on solar's long term uptrend would be to get a TAN calendar spread. Simultaneously, buy a 4/16/21 call$80 = 7.10 ($710) and sell a 1/15/21 call$90 = 1.90 (-$190) for a net entry cost = 5.20 ($520). The 1/15/21C$90 has an open interest of 2,067 with a put/call volume ratio of .51 vs the 4/16/21C$80 has an open interest of 1,085 and a put/call volume ratio of .39, which is very bullish. My ultimate target price for TAN by 4/16/21 is $100 which theoretically equals a 300% profit or an end value of $2000. Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...
*3x lucky 7s of trading 101*
7pt Trading compass:
Price action, entry/exit
Volume average/direction
Trend, patterns, momentum
Newsworthy current events
Revenue & Earnings
Debt / Cash
Book value, assets
7 Common mistakes:
+5% portfolio trades
Bad risk management
Emotions & Opinions
FOMO : bad timing
Lack of planning & discipline
Forgetting restraint
Obdurate repetitive errors
7 Important tools:
Trading View app!, Brokerage UI
Accurate indicators & settings
Wide screen monitor/s
Trading log (pencil & graph paper)
Big organized desk
Reading books
Sorted watch-list
Checkout my indicators:
Fibonacci VIP - volume
Fibonacci MA7 - price
pi RSI - trend momentum
www.tradingview.com
Bull FlagTop 10 Holdings
SEDG - SolarEdge Technologies Inc10.73%
ENPH - Enphase Energy Inc9.41%
Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd8.34%
FSLR - First Solar Inc7.85%
JKS - JinkoSolar Holding Co Ltd ADR5.65%
RUN - Sunrun Inc5.39%
DQ - Daqo New Energy Corp ADR4.61%
SSO - Scatec Solar ASA4.11%
Encavis AG3.77%
CSIQ - Canadian Solar Inc3.66%
TAN: Huge topI think we are seeing a massive top in many stocks, solar looks specially vulnerable and it's one of the sectors I'm short of.
If it doesn't break over today's high going forward chances are it is dropping all the way back down...We would need a Biden victory, or a tax law change for this to come to pass though (oil dropping would also help, or subsidies going away).
Oil itself flashed a long term short signal this week, so I like this idea a lot here.
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.
018. PIGGISH PLAY - Solar StrangleThe solar space is interesting right now because:
1) It is at a critical technical juncture for a potential break-out from its 10-Year Base
2) Solar companies are very difficult to accurately place value on, which is evidenced by recent polarizing movements (and the lack thereof in some cases)
3) Solid, long-established and fast-growing companies that have received recent positive news (like FSLR) are trading under the grand-line in the top-most chart
4) Riskier, smaller companies like RUN that are the most difficult to accurately value, are trading at an insane premium at the moment and are positioned well above a reasonable price relative to pretty much any indicator used
5) Whenever an entire sector reaches a critical technical juncture that raises a big question, I always come up with the same answer:
Strangle it.
The expected return on strangling these types of make-or-break situations is nearly always positive if the correct positions are taken. This strategy has worked for me countless times, and this particular setup should be no different.
In fact, with such immense disparity in perceived value between companies, rampant volatility throughout the sector, and the particularly precarious position of the global equities market, this strangle should play out beautifully.
Pig Plan:
Buy First Solar Calls: 85 Strike, Expiration 11/20/2020
Buy Sunrun Puts: 60 Strike, Expiration 10/30/2020
I think using the calendar to your advantage will work in this case because Sunrun will either capitulate from the blow-off soon, or it will not. You can also buy more puts for Sunrun for the same amount of capital that you allot to First Solar.
If you've followed me recently, then you know I'm a bearish-pig right now. My bias is toward the short-end, so my plan above does lean the same way.
- SunPig, Inc.
AMEX:TAN
NASDAQ:RUN
NASDAQ:FSLR
NASDAQ:NDX SPCFD:SPX
TAN Reversal PlayTAN LONG
TAN is an Invesco Solar ETF. Recently sold off probably from the JKS wave. Looks like it's reversing: morning star and dragon fly doji on the 1D. Holding orange support fairly well.
Optimal Entry
A hold of the support would be good. Don't enter any more than 73
PT 77.5
SL orange support
Contracts :pencil:
From riskiest to the least
11/6 75c
11/6 70/71c bull spread (no more than 0.5)
11/6 71/72p bull spread (no more less than -0.5)
11/13 69/73c bull spread (no more than 2)
11/20 70/75c bull spread
If this opens red don't enter that would be a terrible play. Close it when you see a decent profit because solar might have a bigger pull back.
TAN long ideaIt looks like TAN the solar ETF is ready to break to new highs. Very bullish. The solar sector has been very lucrative lately. IF TAN breaks above the horizontal red line indicated by the previous high it should find traction. The price is currently above all the supporting averages. Volume is building.
Tan after very strong rises, at the beginning of a break again!AMEX:TAN
Solar & Clean Energy ETF - This is undoubtedly one of the goals the world is striving for right now
Has made a +33% since the last breakout - in a huge uptrend!
T.A SETUP - Bull flag + (mini) V pattern
It has a lot more to go up if you look at the monthly chart
TAN looks like a short Trend line broken. exit line broken so there will be plenty of people taking $ off the table for now.
Disclaimer, this is only for entertainment and education purposes and doesn't serve by any means as a buy or sell recommendation.
Personally I hold both long term long positions and occasionally short term short position, for disclosure purpose.