Is a Tesla Stock Rebound Imminent?Tesla's stock has recently faced volatility, partly due to first-quarter 2025 delivery figures that did not meet some market expectations. Despite this, several significant factors suggest a potential for upward movement in the share price. As the stock hovers around $292 in late April 2025, market observers are closely watching for catalysts that could shift sentiment and drive value appreciation for the electric vehicle and energy company.
Key indicators pointing towards a potential rebound include notable insider activity and the highly anticipated launch of a dedicated robotaxi service. A Tesla board member and Airbnb co-founder recently purchased over $1 million in TSLA stock, marking the first insider buy of this magnitude in approximately five years. This action signals strong internal confidence. Furthermore, the planned June launch of a robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, using autonomous Model Y vehicles, is viewed as a transformative step that could open substantial new revenue streams and redefine Tesla's market position.
Adding to the bullish sentiment is unusual activity in the options market, where a significant investor placed a large bet on a substantial price increase in the near term through out-of-the-money call options. While recent delivery misses and concerns regarding external factors have contributed to past stock pressure, the combination of insider conviction, a looming disruptive service launch, and aggressive bullish options trading suggests that the market may be poised for a significant reaction to upcoming positive developments. Investors are keenly focused on the successful execution of the robotaxi strategy as a critical determinant of future stock performance.
TSLA trade ideas
TeslaI hope y'all had the opportunity to buy into Tesla last week. As for me, I bought in @ $237 and sold @ 284.20. I only had 25 shares but made a nice 20% profit in about one week. It's trades like these that build your account and create wealth in the very long-term. Yes, I sold before we made it into the target box, but you have to remember, this is a larger (B) wave we're currently in. They can be very complex and unpredictable at times. Price is right in the area of the 0.382, it hit the smaller red 1.0, and has made a new high above the a wave made on 09 April. I would like to see it breach the (a) wave high of 25 March, but that isn't required. This means it has all the pre-requisites of completion. Will it hit the target box for another high? I think so, but I'm not greedy or try to top tick. 20% profit is good enough for me. The last thing I want to happen is the volatility of Tesla kick in and lose all the profits I just made. Don't be so scared of missing POTENTIAL profits that is causes you to lose the ones you ALREADY earned.
All that being said, I find it likely that we make another high into the target box due to the structure. It looks like it needs one more slight high. The red box is the "sweet" spot, but price can top at any moment. Also, if you look at MACD, it is coming into the trend line and thus is running into resistance. This should make you think a local top is near if not already struck. Let me know if y'all have any questions.
P.S: Don't ask me if you should sell. I already stated I sold my shares and cannot give you financial advice. Trade according to your own portfolio / risk tolerance.
9 Simple Ratios Every Great Investor Uses - Buffett Included!Forget the hype, headlines, or hope. These 9 financial ratios are what real investors actually use to pick winners, but...
P/E? ROE? EPS? 🧐
- What are they, or better yet, WHO are they? 🤯
- How high is “too high”?
- Is a low number always good, or just a trap?
- Do all industries follow the same rules… or is that another myth?
Buffett. Greenblatt. Graham. Lynch.
They didn’t rely on vibes — they trusted fundamentals
After years of relying on charts, I built a 9-point fundamentals checklist to filter stocks faster and smarter. Now I’m sharing it with real-life examples and key insights to help you spot what really makes a stock worth owning:
Easy enough for new investors diving into fundamentals
Sharp enough to level up seasoned pros
Real enough to avoid hype
…but the truth is: these numbers did flag companies like Amazon, Apple, and Nvidia before the market gave them credit.
-----------------------------------------------------
✅ Quick Reference Table
Scan the table, then dive into the stories…
First Pro Tip: Bookmark this. You’ll check these before every stock pick.
-----------------------------------------------------
📊 1. P/E Ratio | Price-to-Earnings
What it tells you: How much you pay for each dollar of a company’s profit.
Short Example: A P/E of 20 means you pay $20 for $1 of profit. High P/E? Expect big growth or risk overpaying.
Strong: Between 15 and 25
Caution: Above 30 (unless fast growth)
Industry Averages:
- Tech: 25–40
- Utilities: 10–15
- Consumer Staples: 15–20
- Energy: 10–20
- Healthcare: 20–30
Story: In early 2023, NVIDIA’s P/E ratio hovered around 25, near the low end for tech stocks. Investors who saw this as a steal amid the AI boom were rewarded—NVIDIA’s stock made 4x by the end of 2024 as AI chip demand soared.
Contrast that with Tesla in Q1 2025, when its P/E spiked above 40 with slowing sales and Tesla’s stock dropped 50% in weeks.
Pro tip: A low P/E is not always good. If growth is weak or falling, it's often a trap.
Example: A utility company with a P/E of 30 is probably overpriced. A tech stock with 35 might still be fair — if growth justifies it.
-----------------------------------------------------
🧠 2. PEG Ratio | Price-to-Earnings-to-Growth
What it tells you: If a high P/E is worth it based on future profit growth. Whether the earnings growth justifies the price.
Short Example: A PEG below 1 means you’re getting growth at a fair price. High PEG? You’re overpaying.
Strong: Below 1
Caution: Above 2
Industry Averages:
- Software: below 1.5 is solid
- Consumer Goods: Below 2 is more realistic
- Tech: Below 1
- Consumer Staples: Below 1.5
- Healthcare: Below 1.2
- Financials: Below 1.5
- Energy: Below 1.3
Story: In mid-2022, Salesforce’s PEG was 0.8 (P/E 35, forward EPS growth 45%) as cloud demand surged. Investors who spotted this steal saw the stock climb 130% by the end of 2024. Meanwhile, Peloton in 2023 had a P/E of 20 but near-zero growth (PEG above 3). Its stock cratered -50% as fitness trends faded.
Story: NVIDIA’s PEG hit 0.9 in Q3 2023 (P/E 30, growth 35%) during AI hype, a steal for tech (average PEG below 1.2).
PEG filters hype. A stock can look expensive until you factor in growth.
-----------------------------------------------------
🧱 3. P/B Ratio | Price-to-Book
What it tells you: How much you pay compared to what the company owns (like buildings or cash).
Short Example: A P/B below 1.5 means you’re paying close to the company’s asset value. High P/B? Expect strong profits or risk.
Strong: Below 1.5
Caution: Below 1 + poor earnings = value trap
Industry Averages:
- Banks: Below 1.5
- Insurance: Below 1.3
- REITs: Use NAV (aim below 1.2)
- Tech: Often ignored
- Energy: Below 2
Story: In 2024, JPMorgan Chase’s P/B was 1.4, solid for banks (average below 1.5). Investors who bought enjoyed 100% gains.
n 2023, Bed Bath & Beyond’s P/B fell below 1 with collapsing earnings. It looked cheap but filed for bankruptcy that year.
Tip: Only use this in asset-heavy sectors like banking or real estate.
-----------------------------------------------------
⚙️ 4. ROE | Return on Equity
What it tells you: How well a company turns investor money into profits.
Short Example: An ROE above 15% means the company makes good money from your investment. Low ROE? Weak returns.
Strong: Above 15%
Caution: Below 10% unless in slow-growth industries
Industry Averages:
- Tech: 20–30%
- Consumer Staples: 15–25%
- Utilities: 8–12%
- Financials: 10–15%
- Healthcare: 15–20%
Story: Coca-Cola (KO) has kept ROE above 35% for years, a sign of brand power and pricing strength.
Eli Lilly’s (LLY) ROE stayed above 25% from 2022–2024, a healthcare leader (average 15–20%). Its weight-loss drug Mounjaro drove consistent profits, lifting the stock 150%+ in two years. Checking ROE trends helped investors spot this winner.
Tip: If ROE is high but D/E is also high, be careful, it might just be leverage.
-----------------------------------------------------
💰 5. Net Margin | Profitability
What it tells you: How much profit a company keeps from its sales or what % of revenue ends up as pure profit.
Short Example: A 10% margin means $10 profit per $100 in sales. Low margin? Tough business or high costs.
Strong: Above 10-15%+
Caution: Below 5%
Industry Averages:
- Software: 20–30%
- Retail: 2–5%
- Manufacturing: 8–12%
- Consumer Staples: 10–15%
- Energy: 5–10%
- Healthcare: 8–15%
Story: Walmart’s (WMT) 2% net margin looks tiny — but it’s expected in retail.
A software firm with 5%? That’s a warning — high costs or weak pricing.
In 2023, Zoom’s (ZM) net margin fell to 5% (down from 25% in 2021), well below software’s 20–30% average. Pricing pressure and competition crushed its stock quite a lot. Meanwhile, Apple’s 25% margin in 2024 (tech average 20%) remained a cash cow.
Tip: Margins show whether the company owns its pricing or competes on price.
-----------------------------------------------------
💣 6. D/E Ratio | Debt-to-Equity
What it tells you: How much debt a company uses compared to investor money.
Short Example: A D/E below 1 means more investor cash than debt. High D/E? Risky if profits dip.
Strong: Below 1
Caution: Above 2 (except REITs or utilities)
Industry Averages:
- Tech: 0–0.5
- Industrials: 0.5–1.5
- REITs: 1.5–2.5 (manageable due to structure)
- Utilities: 1–2
- Energy: 0.5–1.5
Story: In 2024, Tesla’s D/E dropped below 0.3 (tech average 0–0.5) as it paid down debt, signaling strength despite sales dips - a massive rally afterward.
Tip: Rising debt + falling profits = a storm coming. Always check both.
-----------------------------------------------------
💵 7. Free Cash Flow (FCF)
What it tells you: Cash left after paying for operations and growth investments.
Short Example: Apple’s $100 billion cash pile in 2024 funded stock buybacks, boosting shares. Low cash? Trouble looms.
Strong: Positive and growing
Caution: Negative for multiple years
Sector notes:
- Tech: Lots of cash (think billions)
- Industrials: Up and down, check trends
- REITs: Look at FFO (cash from properties), aim high
- Energy: Has cash, but swings with oil prices
- Healthcare: Steady cash, not too high
Story: Netflix had negative FCF while scaling content. Once costs stabilized, FCF turned positive and stock re-rated sharply.
Pro tip: Profits don’t mean much without real cash. FCF is often more honest.
Cash is king: Companies need cash to pay bills, reduce debt, or fund growth. If FCF is falling, they might be burning through cash reserves or borrowing, which isn’t sustainable.
Potential issues : This mismatch could signal problems like poor cash collection, heavy spending, or even accounting tricks to inflate profits.
-----------------------------------------------------
🚀 8. EPS Growth | Earnings Power
What it tells you: How fast a company’s profits per share are growing.
Short Example: EPS up 10% yearly means more profit per share, lifting stock prices. Flat EPS? No growth, no gains.
Strong: Above 10%
Caution: Below 5%, flat/negative for 3+ years
Industry Averages:
- Tech: 15–30%
- Staples: 5–10%
- REITs: 3–6% (via FFO growth)
- Healthcare: 10–15%
- Financials: 5–10%
- Energy: 5–15% (cyclical)
Story: In Q1 2024, NVIDIA’s forward EPS growth of 30% (tech average 20%+) fueled a rally as AI chips dominated. Checking forward estimates helped investors avoid traps like Intel, with flat EPS and a drop.
Pro tip: A stock with flat EPS and no dividend? There’s no reason to own it.
-----------------------------------------------------
💵 9. Dividend Yield | Passive Income
What it tells you: How much cash you get yearly from dividends per dollar invested.
Short Example: A 3% yield means $3 per $100 invested. High yield? Check if it’s sustainable.
Good: ~3–4%
Red Flag: Above 6% with a payout ratio above 80-90%
Industry Averages:
- Utilities: 3–5%
- REITs: 3–6%
- Consumer Staples: 2–4%
- Tech: 0–2%
- Energy: 2–5%
-----------------------------------------------------
💡 Final Thought: How to Use All of This
Top investors don’t use just one metric. They look at the whole picture:
Good growth? Check PEG.
Good profits? Confirm with ROE and margin.
Safe balance sheet? Look at D/E and cash flow.
Fair valuation? P/E + FCF Yield + P/B.
Real power = Combining metrics.
A company with P/E 15, PEG 0.8, ROE 20%, low debt, and positive FCF? That’s your winner.
A stock with P/E 8, but no growth, high debt, and negative cash flow? That’s a trap.
-----------------------------------------------------
Real-World Combos
🎯Winners:
Tech Gem: P/E 20, PEG 0.8, ROE 25%, D/E 0.4, growing FCF, EPS 20%+ (e.g., NVIDIA 2023: AI-driven growth, stock soared).
Energy Steal: P/E 15, P/B 1.5, FCF positive, Dividend Yield 3.5% (e.g., Chevron 2023: Cash flow king).
⚠️Traps:
Value Trap: P/E 8, flat EPS, D/E 2.5, negative FCF (e.g., Peloton 2023).
Overhyped Tech: P/E 50, PEG 3, Net Margin 5%, D/E 1.5 (e.g., Rivian 2024).
-----------------------------------------------------
🚀 Share your own combos!
What do you personally look for when picking a stock?
If you spotted something off in the numbers, or have a valuable insight to add — please, drop it in the comments.👇
💡 Let’s turn this into a thread that’s not just good but superb and genuinely helpful for everyone.
-----------------------------------------------------
Final Thought
“Buy great companies at fair prices, not fair companies at great prices.” – Warren Buffett
This guide gives you the map.
Charts, tell you when.
These numbers tell you what, and why.
And this post?
It’s just the beginning!
These 9 metrics are part one of a bigger series I’m building — where we’ll go even deeper, with more advanced ratios, smarter combos, and real case studies.
If this guide helped you see financial numbers a little clearer, there’s a good chance it’ll help your investor friend too, especially if they’re just starting their journey...🤝Share it with them!
I built this as much for myself as for anyone else who wants to get better.👊
If you made it this far — thank you! 🙏
...and super thankful if you hit "The Boost" on this post 🚀
Cheers,
Vaido
𝗧𝗲𝘀𝗹𝗮 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗸𝗼𝘄𝗻: Priced for perfectionPriced for perfection in an imperfect market
NASDAQ:TSLA nearly hit its 200dma and key resistance area (~288–292) after a roughly 20% post-earnings squeeze, and as long as it stays below that level, it risks retesting the long-term uptrend line that has marked major lows twice since COVID.
𝘛𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘧𝘧 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘭𝘺-𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬: Tesla depends heavily on Chinese-made battery and electronic components now hit by reciprocal U.S. tariffs, while over 60% of global neodymium and dysprosium—vital for its EV motors—are mined and processed only in China, creating a critical bottleneck that could sharply elevate its input costs.
𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘷𝘴. 𝘭𝘰𝘧𝘵𝘺 𝘷𝘢𝘭𝘶𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: Q1 price cuts of up to 20% on core models drove Tesla’s auto gross margin to its lowest since 2020, calling into question the sustainability of its >70× forward P/E multiple, which assumes exceptionally high profits from future ventures like robotics and autonomous fleets.
$NQ_F NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX TVC:VIX #Stocks #TrumpTariffs 🇺🇸 #ChinaTariffs 🇨🇳
$TSLA back to $148-155 before correction is overDespite the bounce over the last few days, TSLA's price action is still bearish overall.
I think it's likely that we find resistance here or at $290, and then work our way back down to the lower support levels at $148-155.
I think once we get down to those levels, it'll be a good long term buy and we can see price go back to $700+.
TSLA: Low Is In , Rally IncomingTSLA is showing signs of strong accumulation, with buyers consistently stepping in and volume expanding on up-moves. Price structure is improving, breakouts further confirm strength, increasing the likelihood that bears have been left behind. Based on the price action and volume alone, TSLA looks ready for a potential sustained move higher.
TSLA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025TSLA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025
📈 299 305
📉 274.50 268.50
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Tesla - This Is Actually Not Gambling!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) still looks quite bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of weeks ago I published a bunch of analysis, explaining all the reasons for a potential -40% drop on Tesla. However on the higher timeframe, Tesla still looks quite strong and with the bullish break and retest playing out so far, we could even see new all time highs soon.
Levels to watch: $260, $400
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
TSLA – Approaching Key Resistance With Strong MomentumTSLA – Approaching Key Resistance With Strong Momentum, But Watch the Reaction at $292–$294
TSLA’s recent rally has been pretty clean. After breaking out of the falling trendline on the daily, price steadily pushed through lower highs and formed a nice higher low. Now, it’s testing a significant resistance zone between $292 and $294. That area capped the last few rallies—and we’re right back there again.
On the daily chart, the MACD is still climbing and has room to run, while the Stoch RSI is entering the overbought zone but not yet topping out. That tells me momentum is still present, but we’re approaching a decision point.
Flipping down to the 1-hour chart, price broke above the descending trendline and held higher support intraday. However, it’s currently rejecting slightly under $294. Volume didn’t really spike yet, so we haven’t seen a breakout confirmation. If we do clear this zone with strength, there’s a clean air pocket toward $300, which also lines up with a massive call wall and the highest GEX level on the options chart.
GEX & Options Flow Insights:
Options GEX shows heavy resistance at $300, with a sharp drop-off in gamma exposure beyond that. The $292–$294 zone is packed with 2nd and 3rd call walls, suggesting dealers are hedging hard around this level. If TSLA starts grinding above $294 and closes with momentum, we could trigger a dealer chase toward $300.
On the flip side, $275 is the HVL zone for this week’s expiration (05/02), and below that $270 sits as the third Put Wall. Any rejection from $292–$294 with a sharp drop under $285 could trigger a fade down to that zone.
Implied volatility has cooled slightly but remains relatively elevated (IVR 35.9, IVX avg 76.9). This favors credit spreads or defined-risk debit setups.
Trade Setups I’m Watching:
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Confirmation):
* Above $294 with volume → scalp toward $297.50–$300.
* Call Debit Spread: Buy 290C, Sell 300C (May 3 expiry).
* Stop loss for breakout: Close under $289.
🔴 Bearish Rejection Play (Fading the Top):
* Rejection from $292–$294 zone → scalp short back to $285 or VWAP support.
* Put Debit Spread: Buy 290P, Sell 275P.
* Stop loss: Close above $295.
TSLA is at a pressure point. If it clears $294 with volume, bulls might squeeze it toward $300. But if it stalls, the risk of a pullback toward $275–$280 grows fast. Be ready for a reaction play either way.
TESLA Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
TESLA looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 284.90 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 295.68
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 265.94
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Tesla Faces Key Technical Hurdle Near $288Tesla shares have rebounded sharply from April’s low, but the rally is now stalling near a confluence of resistance:
🔴 $288.20 = February swing high
🔵 Price testing the 200-day SMA (~$291) from below
📈 MACD remains positive but momentum is flattening
📊 RSI at 58 – bullish but not yet overbought
A clean breakout above $288–291 would likely confirm a medium-term trend reversal, exposing upside toward $310 and possibly $340. Failure to break could see Tesla consolidate or fade back toward the 50-day SMA (~$268).
Keep an eye on volume and follow-through in the next couple of sessions.
-MW
Diamond Top Pattern📉 Diamond Top Formation in Play?
This isn’t just a triangle—look closer.
What started as broadening volatility on the left has now tightened into a textbook Diamond Top, typically signaling a bearish reversal after a strong impulse move up.
⚠️ Key Signals:
• Left side expansion → Right side contraction = structural symmetry.
• Major EQH and liquidity sitting right above.
• Supply zone pressure at the top.
• Watch for a false breakout trap to liquidate late longs.
🔍 Confirmation = breakdown below rising trendline + spike in volume.
🧠 Smart money doesn’t trade patterns—they engineer them.
This one? It’s baiting breakout traders before a potential liquidity flush.
📊 Plan Ahead:
• Breakdown = short with momentum.
• Breakout = wait for trap/fakeout and fade the rally if supply holds.
⸻
💬 What do you see? Trap setup or trend continuation?
TSLA Long-term Key LevelsIdentified Long-term Key Levels for TSLA
Disclaimer:
The information provided on this TradingView account is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The content shared here reflects personal opinions and is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided. Use the information at your own risk.
TESLA: Short Trade Explained
TESLA
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short TESLA
Entry - 284.90
Sl - 298.09
Tp - 256.85
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Either a triangle start forming or a flat just completed. $TSLAThe Friday bounce was huge and expected, but be really cautious as its very a typical Tesla move.
At this point, i believe the triangle to be complete in next 2-3weeks(likely), or a flat just complete(also acceptable though i'm leaning less toward this scenario).
And, I bought puts yesterday, let's see what this plays out.
Just sharing my honest thought here, feel free to challenge my view and post opposing counts, always willing to learn new knowledge.