11R Tesla LongNice pattern setting up on Tesla.
As long as the price reaches the buy zone within the specified timing window I think this idea probably has a 40% chance of success, so great positive expectancy.
TSLA trade ideas
Tesla (TSLA): Profits Taken, Pullback AnticipatedWhat a rise by NASDAQ:TSLA !
The stock has now reached the targeted wave 3 zone, and we might see some asset rotation out of Tesla into underperforming stocks that could attract renewed attention and capital inflows. Many traders have booked significant profits on NASDAQ:TSLA , and larger players are likely to do the same in the coming sessions.
As usual, our focus remains on building a new position during a pullback. We are targeting the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement levels, which should provide sufficient support for another push higher, potentially toward $585 or more. A key level to watch is the old all-time high. Should bulls defend it effectively, waiting for an entry at $371.35 might leave us sidelined.
However, we see no reason to force or rush an entry into NASDAQ:TSLA at the moment. Patience remains critical as we wait for the market to come to us.
Tesla at the Crossroads: Breakout to $522 or a Slide to $420?Tesla’s price action is heating up as it hovers between $452 resistance and $441.54 support. A breakout above $452 could ignite a rally toward $522, while a breakdown below $441.54 might signal a drop to $420 or lower. This is the moment to stay sharp—will Tesla soar or stumble? Let’s dive into the key levels, actionable tips, and what to watch for next!
Any questions about this chart or any others send me a message
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Tesla ideas on Fib bollinger... TSLA in troubleSure you can have a squeeze or euphoria...but didn't like 7 Billion in Charging stations that are said to be a few hundred in all the 48 continuous combined...
There are like 100 TA and Love's on Interstate 80 Alone
AP running damage control...who cares, just look at that number...~200 divided by 48, gives you like 5 per state....yeah, autonomous screams success with one in each major city...
*only 10 handles per site and few may be out of sync, not sync, or be malfunctioning due to weather...if weather didnt cut their power- Its okay...diesel generators will help...wait, ??
TSLA ...Tesla is in a funny rainbow wedgeBeing as extensive of a CyQo-Cpyder-Nest asI can craft, with trendlines going from 2016 to present,well 3 days ago, You can see something funny going on.
Not constructed to look like that, just a compiling of data and then presentation. Explains the drop yesterday really well...but looks like any easy side up will be a terrible way down...
TSLAhello friends
According to the upward trend, we can buy in pullback in the specified area, which is a good area.
Capital management should be observed.
Be successful and profitable.
Tesla Short 30 Min Chart Tesla Short 30 Min Chart After we see Resistance from Exterem Fibonacci Extension level
Target is SMA200
TSLA ...trading levels for today.Notice the heavy lines at the bottom for support. Pretty empty trend lines at the current price action, so be careful of movements from the buy-the-dippers.
Options Indicator Explained - so you can SEE what you tradeEver since we created this indicator back around 2020 on the TradingView platform it is so far the best platform for our analysis, research, coding, and development of different trading tools. This was 4 years ago, but we have been with TradingView almost for a decade !
The whole concept of this indicator came when a long time ago we read the big big book of options, and could not understand how come the stock price moved up but our calls are losing money ! Yes, we have been there too. And then came this indicator to life. We don't make a trade without it ever since. If you saw the video, you clearly know why.
Let's delve into some key concepts that can elevate your trading game:
### 1. Visualizing Profit and Loss
One of the most powerful tools in an options trader's arsenal is the ability to plot profit and loss lines on a chart. This visualization helps you understand the time decay of the options you buy or sell. By seeing how your potential profits or losses change over time, you can make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit trades.
### 2. Moving Beyond the Greeks
The Greeks—Delta, Gamma, Theta, and Vega—are often emphasized in options trading, but their standalone value can be limited. What truly matters is how these metrics impact your profit and loss curvature. Think of it like driving a car: while an acceleration meter provides some information, what you really need is the speedometer and a clear view of the road. Focusing on the profit and loss curves allows you to grasp the real impact of these factors on your trades.
### 3. Identifying Pivot Points
By observing profit and loss lines, you gain insights into optimal entry and exit points. Placing trades at pivot points can enhance your reward-to-risk ratios. Certain options offer generous room for stop-loss placement and quick profits if you choose pivot points where price rejections are likely. Seeing these lines helps confirm that your trading idea has a high probability of success.
### 4. Conducting Volatility Simulations
Professional volatility testing with your indicator is crucial. It allows you to anticipate how changes in volatility will affect your options' profit and loss. Each case is unique and dependent on the underlying stock, so it's vital to have contingency plans and avoid trading blindly. You must always take into account that the volatility can drop or rise against you, and you need to see that even if it happens, you will still be okay, and not be a dreamer. Reality is everything, trade realistically.
### 5. Timing Your Trades
Boost your performance by understanding how much profit you can lose (when buying options) or gain (when selling options) over the duration of your trade. This knowledge helps you make better timing decisions and manage your trades more effectively while you are inside the trade. In some trades you can clearly see that you just don't have the time to survive a correction and then wait for the next pulse wave to come and save you, you can see clearly that it is better to take profit today, since you just do not have enough time for a correction and a bounce back to the current profitable price. In options, what it is profitable today is NOT profitable tomorrow. I show you this in the video.
### 6. Simplifying with Profit Lines
You don't need to rely heavily on the Greeks anymore. Profit lines already account for these metrics, freeing your mind to focus on price action. This approach eliminates the confusion often associated with the non-linear behavior of options, rooted in complex models like Black-Scholes.
### 7. The Black-Scholes Model and Implied Volatility
Understanding the Black-Scholes model and implied volatility is fundamental. These concepts help you grasp how options are priced and how market conditions can impact their value. Using the indicator, you don't need even to know who or what is the Black-Scholes Model, since it does all the work and heavy lifting for you, by plotting you exactly what you truly need... Where you make a profit, where you will make a loss, and how much (profit lines).
### 8. In the Money vs. Out of the Money
Knowing the difference between "in the money" and "out of the money" options is crucial. In-the-money options have intrinsic value, while out-of-the-money options are more speculative and rely on price movements to become profitable.
### 9. Short-Term vs. Long-Term Options
Short-term call options offer quick potential gains but come with higher risks due to time decay. Long-term call options, on the other hand, provide more time for your trade to work out, reducing the impact of time decay but often requiring a larger capital investment. I show a clear example in the video.
### 10. Maintaining Reward-to-Risk Ratios
You should make sure you always maintain the reward-to-risk ratios in your favor BEFORE you enter the trade, this is what keeps you in the game and makes you thrive and not just survive. Do you think they let a pilot to land an airplane, just with his "gut feeling" or do they give them an indicator to SEE the runway? If you don't see your profit and loss lines, you don't see the runway when you land your plane. We've all seen those wallstreetbets BLIND crash landings in options and know how they end before they started. This can and should be avoided, always know your risk, and your potential reward.
### 11. Proof of Accuracy
Finally, reliable indicators provide proof of accuracy, showing you the same profit or loss you'd experience given stock movements and implied volatility changes. This consistency gives you confidence in your trades, eliminating confusion and preventing unexpected losses.
In the end of the video, there is proof of the accuracy, that the indicator in did shows you the same profit or loss you will have in the position, given the stock movement and implied volatility changes, so you can rest assured that your landing indicator will not surprise you no matter the weather, you will have full control on your options trade. No more the feeling of confusion and then your fast profit crushes to zero or even a loss and you don't know why.
Master these concepts, and you'll have a robust framework for navigating the complexities of options trading with precision and confidence.
TESLA: Fractal Metrics
Fractal Cyclicality
Cycle I
The chart displays fractal cyclicality leading up to a major breakout. It emphasizes the progression of swing percentages and cyclic patterns, potentially identifying the foundational structure for a larger trend. The use of layered channels adds depth to the analysis, showing both minor and major fractal levels.
Cycle II
The upward and downward swings in this cycle demonstrate increased volatility and amplitude compared to the initial cycle. This suggests a stronger market reaction and more pronounced trends within the fractal structure.
The price action aligns closely with the channel boundaries, indicating the preservation of the fractal framework while showcasing expansion within the structure.
The swings are visually more aggressive, with higher peaks and deeper corrections, highlighting the market's larger movements leading up to the breakout.
The cyclical patterns and overlapping fractal waves are more intricate, suggesting a maturing market phase with more participants and liquidity.
Cycle III
All three cycles exhibit a fractal nature with nested waves, maintaining consistency in cyclic progression through identifiable peaks and troughs.
The price movement continues to respect the broader channel boundaries, reinforcing the fractal geometry's framework.
Similar to the first two cycles, the third cycle shows distinct swings with well-defined percentage movements, suggesting a rhythmic market behavior.
Like the earlier cycles, the third cycle builds on the previous fractal structure, with larger amplitudes and deeper corrections, indicating scaling behavior.
Phi remain prominent and rooted across all cycles, suggesting persistent harmonic proportions.
Evolutionary Growth in the Third Cycle
The swings in the third cycle appear to be significantly larger than those in the first two, reflecting an increase in market volatility and participation.
The third cycle seems to be emerging over a more extended period, indicating maturation in the fractal evolution.
The deeper corrections, such as the -75.44% retracement, highlight stronger mean reversion tendencies before significant expansions.
the effectiveness of Staying with the Trend...Can you see, How buying *Only when the Lines are Blue; Short-Selling *Only* when the Lines are Orange, Would have been an Effective Strategy?
Can you See how going-against the Trend would have been costly endeavor the first six blocks or so, and again, in the September drop, Mid-Screen?
I don't know about You, but I say "Buy in BLUE." not exactly Rocket Science : : )
-You don't Even have to know much about Stocks....
TSLA Cont. Bull Run after Market Downturn Today? for Dec. 19Tesla experienced a significant decline during today’s trading session, aligning with broader market weakness. This sharp drop follows a recent bullish rally, prompting key questions regarding whether the stock is consolidating, forming a reversal, or preparing for another leg higher.
Market Structure Analysis: Tesla has been in a strong uptrend for several weeks, recently reaching a high of $488. However, today’s action suggests a possible break in momentum, with the price closing below $450. The intraday sell-off has brought TSLA closer to key support zones, with a significant volume spike signaling heightened activity from institutional traders.
Supply and Demand Zones:
* Supply Zone: $467 - $488 (overhead resistance, marked by recent highs and profit-taking areas).
* Demand Zone: $420 - $429 (critical support from the last consolidation zone in late November).
Order Blocks and Support/Resistance Levels:
* Key Resistance Levels:
* $452: Near-term resistance where sellers became active today.
* $467: Intermediate resistance from prior week’s breakout level.
* Key Support Levels:
* $442: Immediate support tested during the day.
* $429: Lower support, coinciding with today’s intraday low and significant buying interest.
Key Indicators:
* EMA (9/21):
* The 9 EMA has crossed below the 21 EMA on the hourly chart, indicating a bearish shift in momentum.
* MACD:
* Bearish crossover with increasing histogram bars below the zero line.
* This suggests accelerating downside momentum.
* RSI:
* Dropping below 40 on the hourly timeframe, signaling oversold conditions but room for further downside.
Options Flow and Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Call Walls: $480 and $500 (significant resistance levels based on options activity).
* Put Walls: $430 and $420 (high open interest for puts, likely providing temporary support).
* GEX: Gamma levels indicate that market makers may sell into rallies, adding downward pressure.
Scalping vs. Swing Outlook:
* Scalping:
* Focus on intraday levels such as $442 for potential quick rebounds, targeting $450-$452 resistance. Set a tight stop-loss below $440.
* Swing Trading:
* Watch for a decisive break below $429 for confirmation of a deeper pullback. Alternatively, a reclaim of $452 could trigger a move back toward $467.
Actionable Suggestions:
* Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Below $429
* Target: $420
* Stop-Loss: Above $435
* Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Above $452
* Target: $467
* Stop-Loss: Below $445
Conclusion: Tesla’s recent sell-off has brought the stock into critical support zones, offering opportunities for both bears and bulls. However, caution is warranted given broader market volatility and bearish technical signals. Traders should monitor key levels and volume to confirm the next move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
How to PROTECT your profits while letting them runIn the trading business you need to let your profits run while also managing your risks that means to cut your losses short.
Losses of unrealized profits are real profits that are lost. What if you could save them?
Well, there is a way...
It is not always available but it is one you want to know since if you can save 3 points of wiggle room and pay 1 point or less, over the long run it adds up to HUGE chunk of profit to your bottom line.
The reason I applied this method is because TSLA was doing 3 days in a row a push and gap up, so it seems likely people will want to take profits... but this is TSLA... it can shoot up above 500 and reach who knows where... (she did it before...).
So I want to TAKE MY HUGE profit, while giving it the option to continue to the moon, if it will want to do so...
You can never take the very top anyway, so if you "give back" 1 point of profit it is considered reasonable, but if in case the price falls down sharply or gapped down I can give back maybe 3 points with this strength of volatility, which is undesireable.
So what I did?
I sold the PUT option at strike 470 at a price of $15 (my point was $17) so for me it is even less than a point so it is very attractive deal to me...
Then... if the price had crushed down it meant for me that I sold my stocks at a price of 470 while paying the hedge cost of the PUT option of 15 so it is equivalent to me that I sold my stock at a price of 455, which is ALMOST the top. Making sure ~90% of the profit stays in my pocket. So I WIN.
If the price would continue to shoot up, then I making SUPER HUGE MONEY, while sleeping like a baby, that I already realized my HUGE profit. So I WIN.
So either way, I WIN !
Since the price did not crushed the next day and hold, and my stop loss advanced, so there was no longer need to my PUT option hedge since if price will fall I will get out with the stop loss with the same profit. So I sold the PUT hedge for a small loss, so the hedge cost me 0.25 a point overall. SUPER WORTH IT !
FYI, this comes from years of experience, but I give you some of my experience, you could do it too.
The moral of the story... when you have HUGE profit, and you feel itchy to take profit, don't ! and try to hedge yourself with options ! this way, if you were wrong and you have GME, AMC on your hand, you don't let them go, and you WIN either way ! Sleeping like a baby.
TSLA - Technicals, Fundamentals, and Who he knowsGood Morning Traders,
🚗Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA has been on a remarkable upward trajectory, and the outlook remains bullish with continued closures over $376 look for $420 to be tested and $475 next upside.
Let's break down why Tesla can continue to be bullish for reasons outside of Price Action. 📈
Revenue Growth: Tesla continues to report impressive revenue growth 📈, driven by strong sales of electric vehicles and energy products 🚗⚡.
Profitability: The company has turned profitable 💰, with a positive net income and strong cash flow 💵.
Innovation: Tesla remains at the forefront of innovation 🔧🚀 in the EV and energy sectors, with continuous advancements in technology and production efficiency 💡.
Additionally
Carbon Credits and EV Policies
Carbon Credits: Tesla has been capitalizing on selling carbon credits to other automakers who need them to meet regulatory requirements. This has been a significant revenue stream for Tesla.
EV Credits: There are discussions about removing federal EV credits, which could impact the market. Tesla's strategic position and established market presence might make it harder for new entrants to compete without these incentives.
Political Connections
Elon's relationship with President Donald Trump has been beneficial. With Trump's support for electric vehicles and renewable energy, Tesla stands to gain from favorable policies and potential subsidies and knock on effects from yet to be known changes.
🌍Industry Trends
The electric vehicle industry is booming, with increasing demand for sustainable transportation solutions. Polestar's strategic partnerships and continuous advancements in EV technology make it an exciting stock to watch1.
Share thoughts in the comments! ❤️
A Bullish Bet on Tesla: Leveraging OptionsUnderstanding the Strategy:
If you're bullish on Tesla and believe it could reach $700 by March 2025, a call option strategy can be a powerful tool to amplify your potential gains.
Call Options:
A call option gives you the right, but not the obligation, to buy a specific number of shares of a stock at a predetermined price (strike price) on or before a specific date (expiration date).
Maximizing Profit:
Identify the Strike Price:
Choose a strike price that is significantly below your target price of $700. For instance, a strike price of $500 or $600 could be suitable.
Select the Expiration Date:
Choose an expiration date that aligns with your target date of March 2025. This will give the option ample time to appreciate in value.
Consider the Time Value:
The longer the time to expiration, the higher the time value of the option, which can increase its cost. Balance the need for time with potential market volatility.
Monitor the Option's Price:
As Tesla's stock price rises towards your target, the value of your call option will also increase.
Execute the Option:
If Tesla's stock price reaches your target or exceeds it before the expiration date, you can exercise the option to buy the shares at the strike price and sell them at the higher market price.
Alternatively, you can sell the option itself for a profit, especially if the time value has significantly increased.
Remember:
Risk Management: Options trading involves significant risk. It's crucial to understand the risks and only invest an amount you can afford to lose.
Volatility: High volatility in Tesla's stock price can benefit option holders, as it can increase the value of options.
Time Decay: As the expiration date approaches, the time value of the option decreases. This is known as time decay.
Consult a Financial Advisor: It's recommended to consult with a financial advisor to discuss your specific financial goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
By carefully considering these factors and employing a sound options trading strategy, you can potentially maximize your profits from a bullish bet on Tesla.
Tesla Price TargetTesla (TSLA) has been on a tear lately, but with the completion of an inverse head and shoulders pattern, the stock looks like it is finally going to pull back. Fifty percent retrace aligns well with many pivot points around the $350 dollar level.
24/12/13 Tesla 427 USD - volcano erupted Tesla actually as an high flyer. Since end of october, the value has been doubled.
Are there any fundamental reasons, to substantiate such a move?
100% for sure not. Why?
Musk will launch next year another cheaper car. This may help to keep the piece of the market, but not to increase very higher sales in total. 2024 tesla sold end of Q3 not more cars than in 2023. last quarter .- we will see. But chinese Market is blocked by there own. See, in what a velocity china creates new companies in EV. They do it in the same way how they did it with PV Moduls.
Musk also will push the robotaxi. But he has neither a requires functionality nor a permission for such vehicles. And dont forget, amazon and google have already such cars driving. Google with her daughter with 50000 bookings per week, which will generate a lot of datas, Tesla does not have. And lot of important Tesla people in this technology leaved the company this year.
But overall: the US taxi market revenue per year is roundabout 22 B USD. Maybe 10% net earnings. Even with driverless vehicles the net earings are 30%, maximal net earnings for Tesla will be in 3-4 years maybe 70 Million USD, 10 years maybe 800 Million USD (USA, europe). Discount it with 4% and you will see …
If this robotaxi are good enough, not to buy an own car… we will see. Every man liked his own car. And if not, this business model will cannibalize the own business.
So - Tesla is fundamental overrated.
Technical side see chart.
Maybe actually prices are driven by short covering (remember Volkswagen and Mr. Merckly was driven in suicide).
So, prices now on upper bollinger boundary.
Prices extrem above SMA 40 Weeks, which was a sign for sharp correction.
And - I guess, some Short Sellers are coming onto to the floor.
But - richest man in the world is naturally at any time aible, to buy for private, for several billions. That means: Hedge funds as short sellers must have min. 10-20 B USD to fight or covered.
Dan 13.12.24
TESLA tags my Target 2 price objectiveTracking Tesla is an exhilarating experience, thanks to its significant price fluctuations, the attention it garners, and the charismatic presence of Elon Musk. The momentum of this electric vehicle powerhouse seems unstoppable.
This year has truly been a wild ride for Tesla! It started with a dramatic 30% drop in stock value during the first quarter, fueled by worries about falling revenues and challenges with vehicle profit margins. This was Tesla's toughest quarter since late 2022. However, as we look at the current situation, the company's financial and operational performance is on the upswing. The enthusiasm and optimism surrounding this stock are off the charts.
Fortunately, we successfully capitalized on the two major movements from the peak of the previous cycle in 2021, leading us to the current extraordinary surge (or perhaps more fittingly, a "Marsshot!") that both the stock and Elon are experiencing.
The start of a new bull cycleARC's 2029 $2500,00 price target with a historical perspective (see box on the far right of the chart)
“It continues to be Tesla's world, and everyone else is paying rent” ... "when you look at this AI party it's 10PM and it goes till 4AM" –Dan Ives
When in doubt, zoom out.
TESLA: How long can the price keep rallying for?In this video, I’ll share valuable insights into HOW LONG the rally of TESLA might last.
By analyzing market cycles, we can statistically forecast how much longer the trend is likely to continue.
Don’t miss this chance to stay ahead!
Musk's Infernal Prime EV PumpIn the infernal depths of Sanctuary’s marketplace, Tesla stock rises like a demon lord ascending to claim dominion. At $479, it smolders with restrained power, but the winds of hell whisper of a greater reckoning—a Hellfire Surge driving it toward the blazing peak of $640. The flames of innovation lick higher, and the Muskian sorcerer stands at the helm, summoning an army of believers to fuel the ascent.
Like a rune-etched blade, Tesla’s potential cuts through the shadows of doubt. Each EV rolling off the assembly line and each technological breakthrough is another soul harvested for its unholy cause. The naysayers—those weak cultists of skepticism—scatter as Tesla’s infernal energy ignites a Demonic Charge through the battlefield of Wall Street.
But this isn’t merely a rise; it’s a Diablo IV-worthy Musk Pump. The stock surges as though guided by the hand of the Prime Evil himself, ascending with relentless purpose to the scorching heights of $640. The question isn’t if Tesla will rise—it’s how high the flames will burn before the market bows in submission to its unstoppable power. The Lord of EVs is on the march.
TESLA 206 - 216 - 230 TP
Why Tesla is Poised for a Bull Run
Tesla Inc., the leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, has shown remarkable resilience and growth potential, making it a strong candidate for a bull run. Here are some key reasons:
1. Strong Financial Performance
Tesla’s financial performance has been impressive. The company’s revenue reached $81.5 billion in 20221, and its stock price has seen a 5-year total return of 795.71%, placing it in the top 10% of its industry2. Despite a decrease in net income in Q3 20233, Tesla’s overall financial health remains strong.
2. Market Leadership
Tesla continues to lead the EV market. It was the most valuable automotive brand worldwide as of June 20231 and led the battery-electric vehicle market in sales1. Despite increased competition, Tesla’s market share in the U.S. and Canada is growing, heading towards 3%, while in Europe and China, 2% is within range4.
3. Production and Delivery Growth
Tesla’s vehicle deliveries reached a record 1.31 million units in 20221, showing a steady year-over-year growth. The company’s long-term target is to increase electric car sales by an average of 50% year-over-year4.
4. Expansion Plans
Tesla is expanding its manufacturing capacity with new factories in Germany and Texas5. These new facilities will help meet the growing demand for Tesla’s vehicles, potentially driving further growth.
5. Innovative Product Line
Tesla is not resting on its laurels. The company plans to launch new models, including the Cybertruck, Semi, and Roadster6. The introduction of these new vehicles could attract new customers and boost sales.
6. Charging Infrastructure
Tesla’s plans for the world’s largest Supercharger station in California7 indicate the company’s commitment to developing a robust charging infrastructure. This will not only benefit current Tesla owners but also make EVs more appealing to potential buyers.
7. Strategic Market Moves
Tesla is making strategic moves to capture more market share, such as lowering the price of its cars in China and emphasizing online sales8. These strategies could significantly impact future earnings.
In conclusion, Tesla’s strong financial performance, market leadership, production growth, expansion plans, innovative product line, development of charging infrastructure, and strategic market moves position it well for a bull run
TESLA TO 205 AND WAIT FRO MORE !!Tesla coming back again !!
The strongest EV Company in the world going to 220 posible more !!!
but little by little !!
205 tp and wait for confirmation !!
