VALERO ENERGY Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 031725Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 132/161.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
VLO trade ideas
VLO to $124My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at bottom of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is negative and at bottom of Bollinger Band
Price near 1.618 Fibonacci level
Entry at $118.75
Target is $124 or channel top
Valero Energy (VLO) Analysis Company Overview: Valero Energy NYSE:VLO continues to reinforce its leadership in the energy sector, with an increasing focus on sustainable fuels and low-carbon solutions. Through initiatives like supplying sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) in Florida, Valero is well-positioned to capture new revenue streams, particularly as global demand for clean energy intensifies. Additionally, its Diamond Green Diesel venture—a partnership aimed at producing renewable diesel—further enhances its capability to thrive in the evolving energy landscape.
Key Catalysts:
Sustainable Fuels Focus: Valero's efforts in SAF production demonstrate its commitment to addressing the growing demand for green energy, particularly in the aviation sector, which is undergoing a transformation toward low-emission fuels.
Diamond Green Diesel Venture: This strategic initiative supports Valero’s transition toward low-carbon energy, with renewable diesel offering strong revenue potential in a market that increasingly favors sustainable alternatives.
Strong Financials: Valero’s strong cash flow generation, combined with a massive $144.77 billion revenue in recent reports, showcases its resilience and ability to fund growth in sustainable energy projects.
Regulatory Tailwinds: With more stringent emissions regulations globally, Valero’s focus on low-carbon and sustainable fuel solutions aligns with long-term policy trends aimed at reducing carbon footprints across industries.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on VLO above $119.00-$120.00, supported by Valero’s robust financials and strategic push toward sustainable energy solutions. Upside Potential: Our upside target for VLO is $181.00-$182.00, driven by increasing demand for sustainable aviation fuel, renewable diesel, and other clean energy initiatives, alongside strong revenue and cash flow trends.
🚀 VLO—Powering the Future with Sustainable Fuel Solutions. #SustainableEnergy #SAF #LowCarbonSolutions
Valero Energy ,,, Buying opportunity Nobody can predict the market. So, we should find the opportunities with the highest possibility of success and the lowest number of risks.
VLO has finished the correction and it’s going to have a new uptrend. After a good confirmation above 160, the next targets will be about 184 and 208.
Set up a good sl for it, my offer is about 140.
VLO - Trade opportunities approaching!I'm open ended to whatever price does here. Can see a larger liquidity build in the cards and will be looking for a breakdown of tapering orange for confirmation of that.
For a bullish play, looking for tapered algorithms on LTF to hold and green buying continuation to activate
Happy Trading :)
VLO - 21 months ASCENDING TRIANGLE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
The content is The Art Of Charting's personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purpose and therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
VLOValero Energy Corporation is an American-based downstream petroleum company mostly involved in manufacturing and marketing transportation fuels, other petrochemical products, and power. It is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, United States.
Short base, with potential break. Also note the elevated volume during yesterday's session.
Valero Pipeline // BTFD Thesis:
This is a trade made by Senator Thomas Carper last month. Upon reviewing and doing my research, it seems the volume of one of the pipelines in the gulf of Mexico controlled by Valero Energy has has a significant increase in volume. Looks like a bullish year ahead for Valero!
Here are the levels I will be interested in.
Please note that this is a preliminary research and you should continue to do your own research (DYOR). Information about assets can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay updated with the most recent developments.
Notes on how I personally use my charts/NFA:
Each level L1-L3 and TP1-TP3 (Or S1-S3) has a deployment percentage. The idea is to flag these levels so I can buy 11% at L1 , 28% at L2 and if L3 deploy 61% of assigned dry powder. The same in reverse goes for TP. TP1: 61%, TP2:28% and TP3:11%. If chart pivots between TP's, in-between or in Between Sell levels these percentages are still respected. I like to use the trading range to accumulate by using this tactic.
Just my personal way of using this. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
FED Macro Situation Consideration:
All TP's are drawn within the context of a return to FED neutral policy. I do not expect these levels to be reached before tightening is over.
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
I am not a financial advisor.
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Encompass Capital Advisors LLC Invested in Valero Energy Co.Encompass Capital Advisors LLC bought a new position in Valero Energy Co. (NYSE:VLO) in the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the SEC. The fund bought 150,000 shares of the oil and gas company's stock, valued at approximately $17,595,000.
Refiners, transporters surge: Niche energy markets defy oil slump
Other large investors have also added to or reduced their stakes in the company. Nelson Van Denburg & Campbell Wealth Management Group LLC grew its position in shares of Valero Energy by 110.8% during the 2nd quarter. Nelson Van Denburg & Campbell Wealth Management Group LLC now owns 215 shares of the oil and gas company's stock valued at $25,000 after acquiring an additional 113 shares during the period. Live Oak Investment Partners bought a new stake in shares of Valero Energy during the 4th quarter valued at $26,000. McIlrath & Eck LLC grew its position in shares of Valero Energy by 217.6% during the 1st quarter.
McIlrath & Eck LLC now owns 216 shares of the oil and gas company's stock valued at $30,000 after acquiring an additional 148 shares during the period. Quarry LP grew its position in shares of Valero Energy by 1,676.9% during the 1st quarter. Quarry LP now owns 231 shares of the oil and gas company's stock valued at $32,000 after acquiring an additional 218 shares during the period. Finally, Your Advocates Ltd. LLP grew its position in shares of Valero Energy by 190.0% during the 2nd quarter. Your Advocates Ltd. LLP now owns 290 shares of the oil and gas company's stock valued at $34,000 after acquiring an additional 190 shares during the period. Institutional investors own 77.07% of the company's stock.
NYSE:VLO traded down $2.88 during mid-day trading on Wednesday, hitting $122.77. 1,095,194 shares of the stock traded hands, compared to its average volume of 3,935,141. The company has a quick ratio of 1.08, a current ratio of 1.51 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36. The stock has a market capitalization of $41.80 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.21, a PEG ratio of 0.85 and a beta of 1.51. The firm's 50 day moving average is $127.84 and its two-hundred day moving average is $125.61. Valero Energy Co. has a 52 week low of $104.18 and a 52 week high of $152.20.
Energy Stocks Bullish, But Futures Market Signals Trouble Ahead
Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) last announced its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, October 26th. The oil and gas company reported $7.49 earnings per share for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $7.36 by $0.13. Valero Energy had a net margin of 7.11% and a return on equity of 39.97%. The firm had revenue of $38.40 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $38.46 billion. During the same quarter in the prior year, the company earned $7.14 EPS. The company's revenue was down 13.6% compared to the same quarter last year. On average, equities research analysts predict that Valero Energy Co. will post 24.84 earnings per share for the current year.
Technical Analysis
The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which are $129.36 and $125.87, respectively. Indicating a bearish sentiment among investors. The stock is showing some signs of oversold conditions, as indicated by the stochastic oscillator and the relative strength index (RSI).
The stochastic oscillator is currently at 15.51%, which is below the oversold threshold of 20. The RSI is currently at 48.73%, which is near the middle of the range. It shows that the stock may be due for a bounce in the short term, as the selling pressure may have exhausted.
However, the stock is still facing downward pressure from the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator.
3 important criteria for quantitative trading!Jim Simons said:
"We have three criteria: If it's publicly traded, liquid and amenable to modeling, we trade it."
This quote is from an interview with Simons in 2000. The three criteria he mentioned are the basic requirements for any asset that Renaissance Technologies would consider trading.
Publicly traded means that the asset can be bought and sold on a public exchange. This allows Renaissance Technologies to gather data on the asset's price movements.
Liquid means that there is a large enough market for the asset so that it can be bought and sold easily without affecting the price too much. This is important for Renaissance Technologies to be able to trade the asset effectively.
Amenable to modeling means that the asset's price movements can be explained by a mathematical model. This allows Renaissance Technologies to predict the asset's future price movements and make informed trading decisions.
Simons' quote is a good summary of the quantitative investment approach that Renaissance Technologies uses. This approach is based on the idea that financial markets are not completely random, but rather contain patterns that can be identified and exploited by using mathematical models.
Renaissance Technologies has been very successful using this approach. Its flagship Medallion fund has generated annualized returns of over 35% since its inception in 1988. This makes it one of the most successful hedge funds in history.
The quote from Jim Simons is a reminder that quantitative investing is a complex and challenging field. However, it can be very rewarding for those who are successful.
Valero Energy Could Be Holding SupportOil refiner Valero Energy fell sharply in recent weeks, but dip buyers may see opportunities.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the price area between about $126 and $130. VLO chopped at these levels in August before surging to an all-time high in September. It’s holding that zone again, which may suggest it’s become support.
Second, the price area matches approximately a 50 percent retracement of the rally between this year’s low and high.
Third, stochastics are rebounding from an oversold condition.
Next, VLO hit a two-month low on Monday before reversing back into the range. The resulting “hammer” candlestick could be a bullish reversal pattern after the preceding drop.
The simple moving averages (SMAs) also give potential signals because the 50-day SMA had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in early September. Prices are additionally now trying to hold the 200-day SMA.
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$VLO Pierce Double Top NYSE:VLO has exhibited a Pierced Double Top pattern and subsequently retraced. For traders considering this position, it's crucial to note that a weekly close above the established horizontal resistance line will serve as a stop-out level. As always, we emphasize the importance of entering a trade with predefined targets in mind to optimize risk management."
VLO: Ascending Triangle, Not confirmed (54,83%)(28/1000)(28/1000)
Ascending Triangle for VLO on the daily chart.
Not confirmed
Possible 54,83% gains.
Valero follows the SPN (energy sector, chart on right).
Energy sector is building into an ascending triangle (not confirmed) with a possible 41,62% gain.
VLO analysis:
Pros:
1- Bullish Ascending triangle
3- PPS above 50MA and 200MA
3- R/R ratio above 5
4- 250RSI above 50 and ascending
5- 50MA ascending
6- RS above 0 and ascending
Cons:
1- 200MA flat
2- 50MA is NOT above 200MA
3- ATR flat, less volatility
Target price is 224,89$
Stay humble, have fun, make money!
MAAX!
Fundamental & Technical analysis of Valero!Valuation: VLO is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 4.3x, which is below the industry average of 15.9x. This suggests that the stock is undervalued. VLO's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is also 1.1x, which is below the industry average of 1.4x. This suggests that the stock is also undervalued on a book value basis.
Profitability: VLO has a strong track record of profitability. In the most recent quarter, the company reported earnings per share of $8.45, which was up 54.7% year-over-year. VLO's return on equity (ROE) is 25.1%, which is above the industry average of 11.5%.
Growth: VLO is expected to grow its earnings per share by an average of 10.5% per year over the next three years. This growth is driven by the company's plans to expand its renewable fuels business and its focus on efficiency improvements.
Dividend: VLO is a dividend-paying stock. The company currently pays a quarterly dividend of $0.90 per share, which gives it a dividend yield of 3.05%.
Risks: The main risks to VLO include:
Changes in oil prices: VLO is a refiner, so its profits are sensitive to changes in oil prices. If oil prices fall, VLO's profits will also fall.
Increased competition: The oil refining industry is competitive, and VLO faces competition from other refiners, both domestic and international.
Regulatory changes: VLO is subject to a variety of regulations, and changes in these regulations could impact the company's business.
Overall, VLO is a well-run company with strong fundamentals. The stock is undervalued, and it offers a good dividend yield. However, investors should be aware of the risks associated with the oil refining industry.
Technical indicators: The daily chart for VLO shows that the stock is trading above its 200-day moving average, which is a bullish signal. The stock is also forming a bullish pattern called a cup and handle. This pattern is often followed by a breakout to the upside.
Price forecast: Based on the technical analysis, I believe that VLO has the potential to reach a price target of $150.
VLO Reversal Pattern - Pump to $127🐂 Trade Idea: Long - VLO
🔥 Account Risk: 1.00%
📈 Recommended Product: Knockout / Option
🔍 Entry: +/- 116.75
🐿 DCA: No
😫 Stop-Loss: 107.99
🎯 Take-Profit #1: 127.09 (75%)
🎯 Trail Rest: Yes
🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨
If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button!
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What we see here is a typical reversal pattern. We gain the 114 level downward but fail to hold it and gain the 114 level again in an upward movement which is also the former lower low. If you’re more of a break out trader you can trade this setup directly long with a target at 127 and a stop-loss at 108. We’ve held this level for six days so far. If you want to make sure the trade is safer wait for a re-test around 116-114 and trade the long after a strong rejection. If you prefer the re-test make sure to put your stop-loss to 111-112 because you don’t want to see more downward pressure from that point on.
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