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VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS TOTAL STOCK MARKET ETFVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS TOTAL STOCK MARKET ETFVANGUARD INDEX FUNDS TOTAL STOCK MARKET ETF

VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS TOTAL STOCK MARKET ETF

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VTI trade ideas

Stock Market Crash Prediction: Worst 70% Crash before 2022 Feb?Hi all. While Bitcoin is not performing well, the stock market is doing very well these days. Me also invest in the Vanguard VTI stock, and I see a massive gain on the portfolio. But as everyone concerns, until when this uptrend movement will keep up to? Here's one of the many ways to think the problem. Here I used the trend based fibonacci time and the fibonacci channel technical analysis tools. They are based on the fibonacci numbers and tell us a rough measure for possible supports and resistances. Now as the chart, the market crash is coming, right in front of us. From my analysis I think it would be roughly between 2021 October to 2022 February. And as the 2008 crash, it would be 50 to 60% throwback. But to be very honest, it may not enough dump on the other hand. From the past crash data, it says 57%, but from seeing the chart, the -60% support zone is a little too thin. And, just returning back to the 1.618 fibonacci zone, where the same level to the 2020 April COVID flash crash is apparently not enough, to me at least. So, here's my analysis. I don't TA usually on stock charts, so I'm curious your opinion on this analysis. Share your idea on the comment. Also, as always, this is not a financial advice. Have a nice trade.
AMEX:VTI
by fumiyaorg
4
A Total Market continuation patternLooking at the Total US Stock Market (VTI), we can see an obvious arching formation to the Covid-crater rebound, like the decaying upward trajectory of a thrown ball. This trend is characterized by short intervals of consolidation followed by breakouts that exert less upward momentum than the prior breakout. Each of those consolidation phases knocks the rebound's trajectory down a notch, manifest as a lessening of its slope angle, as depicted above. If that pattern continues, this post presents a trend range we might see. Big picture, this arching over probably is not a prelude to an end-of-the-world crash but a gradual slope correction into a long-term trajectory matching the long-term pre-Covid slope. Since March 2020, the upward slope of the US market has been exceptionally steep, too steep to sustain. So the market has to correct and the pattern of consolidation followed by lesser breakouts seen above is a predictable necessary process of correcting the market into its less steep long-term trajectory (which I've shown in other ideas posted). The arch is 'the invisible hand' dialing back the post-Covid crater exuberance.
AMEX:VTILong
by iGoddard
1
Volatility Index Peaking Above 12 again. Watch Out BelowThis Custom Index helps to gauge market peaks (above 12~13 usually) and bottoms (below 7~8 usually). When this Custom Index hovers above 10~11, the market tends to trend higher with volatility event ranging from 7% to 11% in price breakdowns. The fact that this indicator has broken a historic standard deviation channel because of COVID and quickly regained price activity within this channel again suggests that the markets have become extremely overvalued (hyper-inflated). A reversion event is likely to draw this indicator back below 8~9 which would suggest a downside price event is likely to setup over the Summer months in global markets. Given the amount of Central Bank and US Fed intervention recently, I'm expecting a deleveraging event (possibly related to a credit/asset crisis) that may shock the markets over the next 24 months. My broader cycles research suggests we have entered a Depreciation phase that may last well past 2027. Therefore, it is very likely that extreme volatility events are likely. Stay properly hedged. This is not a friendly market any longer (simple upside trends). This market has turned very dangerous for unskilled traders. My advice, prepare for chaos and protect your assets ahead of a risks/crisis event. The next 5+ years are not going to be normal market trends. We may see crisis events throughout many areas of the world related to over leveraging, deleveraging, credit market crisis and/or continued COVID/economic crisis events. In short, this market is setup for a massive deleveraging event within the next 24 months.
AMEX:VTILong
by BradMatheny
VTI - LONG - Entry points analysisVTI becoming increasingly overpriced after the pandemic recovery and the massive amounts of money printing began. Look at 3-5 year picture to get the idea. Of course, the Fed's printing has increased the momentum for all equities. But how much longer can this steep increase - detached from all fundamental and prior performance - be sustained? Those with a 10+ year hold objective may want to hold out with purchasing VTI until we see what the summer brings. Yellow triangle marks short term entry points. Large purple trapezoid marks potential entry points in the long term for those starting to feel bearish about these valuations.
AMEX:VTILong
by IncaTernInvesting
8