BRENT trade ideas
Support and Resistance For Brent Crude Oil (UKOIL)Strong resistance for UKOIL is at level 86.55 and currently rejected. As we can see, the intermediate uptrendline also broken. So, right now Brent Crude Oil on bearish direction. The support level are at 84.36, 82.22, 79.84 and 77.02. Meanwhile current resistance level are at 86.55, 87.34 and 91.85.
BRENT OIL TRADE IDEA (21-25 Aug)TRADE IDEA (21-25 Aug)
NEUTRAL (RANGE BOUND)
Target 1 hit last week
BEARISH Candle formed on Weekly timeframe
Price seems to be showing signs of exhaustion
would consider a SHORT on a close and hold below
4H BOS
UPSIDE
A break and hold above 4H BOS
level could target the 88.00 level
Brent oil is having a tough time.For 40 weeks now, Brent quotes cannot or do not want to leave the corridor between the levels of 70.83-86.32. And it looks like now the decline is possible to the lower limit. The nearest level that can provide resistance now is 84.40. I propose to pay attention to it, and after the breakdown, it is very likely that we will get the opportunity to open a sale.
DeGRAM | UKOIL bearish pressureUKOIL dropped from the resistance at 88.00 and 87.00, which is a psychological level as well.
Price made lower lows and lower closes.
If the market retraces back to the resistance level at 86.00
We anticipate a pullback and bearish move since the market has dropped from this level before.
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Brent Oil to move lowerLast weeks Weekly Doji Candle close was a sign that that market was turning from Bullish to Bearish. The market has since broken down from its 7 week Bull run.
Chinas economic news of its possible recession will send Brent lower.
I'll be looking to open a short position.
At the moment I'm just waiting patiently to see what happens.
I'll post updates here as things move along.
The forecast came true.Yesterday's forecast for a decline in oil prices came true. After the breakdown of the support level, the quotes went down, but did not reach the target. Nevertheless, I believe that the forecast can be considered successful in view of the presence of a clear opportunity to close the deal with a profit.
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Brent uptrend exhaustionContext:
Weekly – uptrend (UT), one-time-framing up
Daily – uptrend
Microstructure:
Poor highs, poor lows
Last day:
value moved down
Special notes:
There are multiple signs of UT exhaustions: shortening of daily trend upthrust, daily volume dries up, last week value area overlaps with previous week
Moreover, price is close to monthly resistance cloud. Without some stong bullish news it will be hard to get through it.
Conclusion:
A swing trader that is still LONG should strongly consider reducing position. At this point it is still too early to flip but risks of staying LONG outweigh potential upside.
For a day trader there is still an opportunity to play LONG as daily low high (LH) is still not set. The best risk-reward opportunity for LONG can be found near last week low
Strifor || UKOIL-08/15/2023Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: Oil quotes are at fairly significant daily values. Sale transactions are relevant, and we are just looking for them, however, it is most likely not worth delaying the sale, since a more global picture is most likely in favor of the buyer. Targets for the current short trade are considered at the level of 83.42, not lower.
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Small stop, why don't I give it a try?We can see how the price after an impulsive uptrend corrected to the 0.5 Fibonacci level. At this level we see the interest of a big player and price manipulation. Equal lows were formed. After taking liquidity off these lows we can look at opening a long position to fill the price imbalance. There I will be closing part of the position and waiting for higher targets. Subscribe to the idea so you don't miss updates.
Brent Oil to $86-$88After a 2 month consolidation and accumulation
phase (04may-11Jul) and also after breaking various
bearish trendlines since the Mar 2022 top Brent Oil
has broken upwards to $81.49 this week.
I believe Brent Oil will retest the support area around
$77-78 over the next week or 2.
I'll be looking for entries in the $78 price area
for a long to $86-88 region.
Stay tuned for updates to this chart over the coming weeks!
DeGRAM | UKOIL continuation of trendUKOIL reached resistance, and it's pulling back from it. It is potentially printing the AB=CD pattern where the D point completes right at the fibo cluster level.
The market is trading in the ascending channel, indicating the bears are running out of steam and the bulls are in control.
We anticipate the continuation of this current trend from the psychological level at 85.00 and the fibo cluster.
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