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Brent Crude: Will De-escalation Lower Prices Even Further?Brent crude oil prices remain bearish below the October 29 high of $72.15 per barrel, with traders likely targeting the recent low around $70.49. A break below this level could drive prices further down to the next support at $69.40. Conversely, a push above $72.15 could lift prices higher, potentially closing the gap from Sunday. This gap emerged after news that Israel’s attack on Iran avoided energy production facilities, and Iran’s response was restrained. As a result, the market removed some of the risk premium that had been pricing in a wider regional conflict. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:BRENTShort
by ThinkMarkets
Oil Prices Slump as Israel-Iran Tensions Drop: Bears Eye $71Israel's targeted strike, which avoided Iran's energy facilities, is driving crude oil prices sharply lower. After closing Friday at $75 per barrel, prices opened today at $72.61 and quickly dropped to a low of $71. This has created a notable gap between today’s high and Friday’s close, which could be filled if prices rebound temporarily before resuming a potential downward trend.The recent price action has also breached a significant triangle pattern, suggesting a strong downside move. The trend will remain bearish below $74.32, with sellers targeting $71 and potentially $69.89 per barrel. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:BRENTShort
by ThinkMarkets
A Bearish Gap on the Brent Crude Oil ChartA Bearish Gap on the Brent Crude Oil Chart As the XBR/USD chart shows, Brent crude oil prices formed a gap at the start of this week: while Friday’s session closed at 75.60, Monday’s opening price dropped below 72.60. According to Reuters, this development is tied to the fact that Israel’s recent missile strike on Iran did not impact oil or nuclear facilities, reducing the immediate risk of escalation. Will Brent Crude Oil Prices Continue Falling? In terms of technical analysis for XBR/USD today: → The price is within a descending channel (shown in red) that has been active since early summer. A bullish breakout attempt on 7 October was unsuccessful (marked by a red arrow), and Brent crude has since dropped over 10%. Price consolidation between 17-22 October near the median of this red channel confirms its current relevance. → Bulls had an opportunity to show strength with a bounce (marked by a blue arrow) from Support Line 1, which forms part of an upward structure represented by blue lines. However, today’s bearish gap erased these gains. This allows traders to consider two scenarios: → Bearish Scenario: After breaking below Support, Brent could continue along the red descending channel. If the channel’s median line holds as resistance, this bearish outlook may be confirmed. → Bullish Scenario: Today’s bearish breach of the 18 October low could prove false, leading to a potential recovery back toward the structure of three blue lines. Ultimately, which scenario plays out will largely depend on volatile news related to geopolitical tensions, the U.S. presidential election, and economic data from major economies. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
2
Can oil prices hit 100 usd/bbl in 2025?🔸Based on technicals it's entirely possible. Looking at the daily price chart of Brent Oil we can spot a sequence of lower lows having said that prices are also compressing in a falling wedge price structure which could indicate a swift reversal off the lows near 65 USD/bbl. 🔸Potential price targets for Brent at 100/110 USD bbl if the tensions escalate further in 2025, which is almost guaranteed at this stage. 🔸The possibility of an Israel-Iran conflict has escalated tensions in the Middle East, which is putting upward pressure on oil prices. Although Israel has not yet officially declared war on Iran, there is ongoing speculation about Israeli strikes on Iran's oil infrastructure in response to missile attacks and Iran's support for militant groups like Hamas and Hezbollah. Such actions could significantly disrupt the global oil market. 🔸If Israel were to target major Iranian oil facilities, such as Kharg Island, which handles the majority of Iran's oil exports, global oil prices could spike dramatically. Analysts suggest prices could exceed $100 per barrel and might even reach as high as $200 if the conflict spreads to other regional oil producers or if key shipping routes like the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted. This scenario would impact not only fuel prices but also inflation globally, reviving economic fears similar to those seen during the 1970s oil crisis​ 🔸At the moment, oil prices have already seen increases due to the broader conflict, but the market has remained relatively stable thanks to diversified supplies from the U.S. and other non-Middle Eastern producers​ ​ 🔸However, if the situation deteriorates further, particularly with attacks on critical energy infrastructure, more significant price hikes are likely. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
TVC:UKOILLong
by ProjectSyndicate
15
Oil and Lithium: Horizon in the Energy TransformationThe global energy market is undergoing dramatic changes, with oil and lithium playing a crucial role. As oil prices face a significant weekly drop, the extraction of lithium in oil fields, such as the Smackover Formation in the United States, offers a revolutionary opportunity for the energy industry. These developments reflect the current dilemma: the same reservoir that fueled combustion engines could now drive the transition to electric mobility. Oil prices rose slightly on Friday in Asian trading, boosted by a drop in U.S. inventories. However, Brent and WTI futures are heading for a weekly loss of around 6%, the steepest since September, due to growing concerns about global demand. China's GDP data showed moderate growth, but the government's recent stimulus measures failed to generate the expected momentum, affecting market expectations. The strength of the U.S. dollar, coupled with concerns about higher U.S. interest rates, has put pressure on crude oil prices. In addition, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, following Israel's response to an attack by Iran, have added a risk premium to oil prices. Traders fear that these conflicts could disrupt Iranian oil supplies, increasing volatility in an already volatile market. At the same time, lithium extraction in oil fields is emerging as a promising solution. In the United States, the Smackover Formation has been the epicenter of research that seeks to take advantage of oil field brines, which contain lithium in large quantities. Companies such as ExxonMobil and Standard Lithium, in alliance with Equinor, are leading projects that could transform lithium production through advanced technologies such as direct lithium extraction (DLE), which would reduce the need for large evaporation ponds and increase commercial viability. On the technical side, Brent crude oil (Ticker AT: BRENT) has been moving in a range between $95.11 and $71.47, its average trading range coinciding with the Point of Control (POC) around $82.00. At the moment the delta pressure indicators indicate a bearish pressure that coincides with an RSI at 45.69%. We have to watch the macroeconomic backdrop to see if the price of crude oil tries to test support again and returns towards the POC area or pierces in the direction of $68.46. Although oil demand seems to be slowing down, the lithium boom and its importance for electric mobility shows an energy horizon where both resources could coexist, facilitating both traditional and future energy. Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:BRENTShort
by ActivTrades
Will the World's Most Vital Artery Become Its Achilles' Heel?In the intricate dance of global energy markets, few factors wield as much influence as the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow waterway, often overlooked in daily discourse, stands as a silent titan, controlling the ebb and flow of 21% of the world's daily oil consumption. As geopolitical tensions simmer in the Middle East, the stability of this crucial chokepoint hangs in delicate balance, challenging us to confront a stark reality: how vulnerable is our global economy to disruptions in this single maritime passage? The potential for conflict to spill over into the Strait of Hormuz presents a fascinating study in risk assessment and market psychology. Despite the looming threat of supply disruptions that could send oil prices soaring to unprecedented heights—some analysts project as high as $350 per barrel—the market remains surprisingly sanguine. This dichotomy between potential catastrophe and current calm invites us to explore the complex interplay of factors that shape oil prices, from geopolitical maneuvering to the subtle influence of alternative supply routes. As we stand at this crossroads of energy security and global trade, we are challenged to think critically about the future of oil markets and international relations. The Strait of Hormuz serves not just as a geographical feature, but as a mirror reflecting our world's intricate dependencies and the delicate balance of power that underpins global stability. In contemplating its significance, we are invited to look beyond the immediate concerns of oil prices and consider broader questions of energy resilience, diplomatic strategy, and the evolving landscape of international trade in an increasingly uncertain world.
FX_IDC:USDBROLong
by signalmastermind
Bearish Bias on Brent crude oilThe market was on an uptrend respecting the initial Bullish breaker block at 76.0 but Price failed to break past $80.0 per barrel. An impulse move occurred yesterday due to rising tensions in the middle east. Price sliced and broke through the bullish breaker block making it a new Bearish Mitigation block. A Break of structure happened invalidating the previous bullish breaker waiting on a retracement, I anticipate continuation of sells from 75.111 to 71.564
FX:UKOILShort
by Nigel-K-W