BAJFINANCE trade ideas
BAJAJ FINANCE LTD: Bullish Momentum and Key Trading InsightsBAJAJ FINANCE LTD is demonstrating robust bullish momentum with potential breakout opportunities. Traders and investors should consider key indicators and trend direction to inform their trading strategies.
Current Stock Price: ₹7,606.60
Key Levels:
• Swing High: ₹7,824
• Swing Low: ₹6,451
Trend Direction: UPTREND
Indicators in Focus
Bullish Momentum and Possible Breakout: The stock is currently exhibiting strong bullish momentum, indicating positive market sentiment. This is further supported by a possible breakout scenario, suggesting that the stock might surpass significant resistance levels and experience substantial upward price movement.
Swing Trade and Buy Today, Sell Tomorrow (BTST): Swing trading aims to capture gains from short-term price swings. This strategy is suitable for traders looking to capitalize on brief market movements. The BTST approach involves buying the stock today with the intention of selling it the next day for a profit, especially in a bullish market scenario.
RSI Breakout: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) levels indicate momentum shifts. Current levels show that the stock is in a healthy trading range without extreme overbought or oversold conditions.
Technical Indicators Analysis
Daily (D), Weekly (W), Monthly (M):
• Stochastic: High Stochastic values on the daily and weekly timeframes suggest that the stock is trading near its highest point in the trading range, indicating strong upward momentum and a bullish trend. On a monthly scale, the Stochastic value shows potential for a new upward swing, indicating room for further price appreciation.
• CCI (Commodity Channel Index): High CCI values indicate that the stock's price is significantly higher than its average price, suggesting strong buying pressure and market interest. On a monthly scale, the mixed CCI values indicate a combination of bullish momentum and potential consolidation, hinting at a balanced market sentiment.
• MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): On the daily and weekly timeframes, a "Bull" indication aligns with the current uptrend, suggesting continued positive momentum. This reinforces the bullish sentiment and encourages investors to hold or buy the stock. However, mixed signals (Bull, Bear) on a monthly scale indicate potential long-term volatility, prompting investors to be cautious and consider risk management strategies.
Swing Points:
• Swing High: ₹7,824
• Possible Next Swing Point: ₹8,451
Volume Analysis
Volume Data:
• Current Volume: 2.48M
• SMA Volume: 1.12M
Current Volume vs. SMA Volume:
When the current volume of 2.48M is compared to the SMA volume of 1.12M, we see that the current trading activity is significantly higher than the average. This indicates a surge in trading interest and strong investor participation.
Impact on BAJAJ FINANCE LTD:
1. Increased Trading Activity: The high current volume suggests robust buying interest, potentially driving the stock price higher.
2. Confirmation of Bullish Momentum: The increased volume, along with bullish technical indicators, confirms the uptrend and signals further price appreciation.
3. Potential for Breakout: The significantly higher volume may lead to a breakout, with the stock breaking through key resistance levels and achieving substantial gains.
Conclusion and Strategy
Short-term (Swing Trade/BTST): With strong bullish momentum and potential breakout, the short-term strategy could focus on buying the stock at the current levels and targeting the next possible resistance levels (Swing High: ₹7,824 and ₹8,451).
Long-term: Given the bullish sentiment in daily and weekly indicators, investors might consider holding the stock for longer periods, monitoring the monthly MACD and CCI for trend shifts.
Risk Management: Use stop-loss orders to manage risk, particularly if the stock price nears key support levels or if bearish signals emerge in short-term indicators.
Caution : Please note that the company’s financial results are due to be announced tomorrow, 29 January 2025. This can lead to increased volatility in the stock price. Traders should exercise caution and consider the potential impact of the results on their trading strategies.
Analyzing BAJFINANCE: A Simple BreakdownOverview
The price action around the ₹7,440 resistance level tells an interesting story. Initially, the price broke above this key level with increased trading activity (volume), signaling strong buying interest. However, it couldn’t stay above ₹7,440 for long and fell back below the resistance in the following sessions. Despite this, the selling pressure was weak, as shown by the lower trading activity during the drop. This suggests that sellers weren’t very aggressive.
Signs of Buyer Strength
One important observation in the circled area is that the price has been forming higher lows. This means buyers are stepping in at slightly higher levels each time, showing they are still interested. The latest green candle, which has a noticeable increase in volume, further supports this idea. It indicates that buyers are regaining control and may attempt to push the price higher.
Was It a Failed Breakout or a Retest?
While the first attempt to break ₹7,440 failed, the price hasn’t fallen much. Instead, it seems to be consolidating in a range, with strong buyer support around ₹7,200–₹7,300. This could mean the price is preparing for another breakout attempt, making this a potential retest phase rather than a complete failure.
What to Watch for Next
The next big signal will come if the price closes above ₹7,440 with strong trading activity. This would confirm a successful breakout and could lead to further upward movement. Until then, traders might want to wait for clear confirmation to avoid getting caught in a false signal.
Study
The circled area highlights a battle between buyers and sellers. While the initial breakout failed, the price has shown resilience by holding above key support levels. If buyers continue to gain strength and push the price above ₹7,440, we could see a bullish trend emerge. Until that happens, patience is key.
BAJAJ FINANCE LONGBAJAJ FINANCE
MTF Analysis
BAJAJ FINANCEYearly Demand 1,985.0
BAJAJ FINANCE 6 Month Demand 4,923.0
BAJAJ FINANCEQtrly Demand BUFL 6,249.0
BAJAJ FINANCEMonthly Demand 6,168.0
BAJAJ FINANCEWeekly Demand 6,448.0
BAJAJ FINANCEWeekly Demand 6,976.0
ENTRY -1 Long 6,976.0
SL 6,165.0
RISK 811.0
Target as per Entry 10,899.0
RR 4.8
Last High 8,192.0
Last Low 5,485.0
ENTRY -2 Long 6,448.0
SL 6,165.0
RISK 283.0
Target as per Entry 10,899.0
Last High 8,192.0
Last Low 5,485.0
BAJAJ FINANCE | SHORT | INTRADAYBAJAJ FINANCE is clearly struggling to sustain the price at higher levels.
Notice the continuous lower highs being formed which is a sign of weakness.
The Daily Pivot has also been rejected strongly in the first hour.
An intraday short trade can be initiated for a target to 7200 level.
Bajaj Finance Swing tradeHello,
Trend-Based Analysis. Buy the Dips, Sell The Rallies, Also Following the Trend. Let's see where the Price Action takes us, Riding the wave. Potential trade setups based on trend momentum.
Technical analysis based on trend identification and momentum, Looking for high-probability setups within the prevailing trend.
Analyzing the current market trend and potential future price movement. Focusing on risk management and reward-to-risk ratios.
Details is Mentioned in Chart, Read carefully.. .
Bajaj Finance (₹6,720): Key Levels, EMA Insights & Post-Election** Title **: 🚀 NSE:BAJFINANCE (₹6,720): Will the Maharashtra Election Boost Push It Past Resistance?
**Overview**:
- **Current Price**: ₹6,720
- **Daily Chart**: Positive momentum 📈 suggests short-term strength.
- **Weekly Chart**: Weak 📉, cautious tone for broader trends.
- **Election Impact**: Positive Maharashtra election results could spark renewed interest.
### **Key Levels to Watch**:
- **Support**: ₹6,716, ₹6,615, ₹6,527, ₹6,450 (ideal buy zones).
- **Resistance**: ₹6,787, ₹6,895, ₹6,917, ₹6,997 (potential sell-on-rise areas).
### **EMA Levels**:
- **10 EMA**: ₹6,592 (short-term support, watch for dips here).
- **21 EMA**: ₹6,588
- **50 EMA**: ₹6,658
- **150 EMA**: ₹6,862
- **200 EMA**: ₹6,917 (long-term hurdle).
### **What to Expect**:
- **Short-Term**: A breakout above ₹6,787 could signal bullish momentum toward ₹6,917–₹6,997.
- **Medium-Term**: A close above ₹6,917 (200 EMA) could mark a trend shift.
- **Buy-on-Dips**: Look for buying opportunities near ₹6,527–₹6,615.
**Strategy**:
- **Traders**: Play for breakout near ₹6,787, but be cautious at ₹6,917–₹6,997 where profit booking may occur.
- **Investors**: Use dips as accumulation opportunities for long-term gains.
**Disclaimer**: I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. This analysis is for informational purposes only. Please consult with a SEBI-registered professional before trading or investing.
Bajaj Finance - Close to 200 Moving Average"Everything is pretty much explained in the picture itself.
For any query kindly dm.
Thank you So Much.
I am Abhishek Srivastava | SEBI-Certified Research and Equity Derivative Analyst from Delhi with 4+ years of experience.
I focus on simplifying equity markets through technical analysis. On Trading View, I share easy-to-understand insights to help traders and investors make better decisions."
Bajaj Finance | Short Trade | SwingBajaj Finance is showing good amount of weakness.
The Monthly Pivot was rejected on 7th November 2024.
After this there was a straight fall to test Previous month Low ~ 6601
Now, the price is failing to sustain that level and showing a clear weakness of the hourly chart.
I have taken a short position with Target - 6415 which is a Weekly support zone.
Anticipating the fall to happen within this week.
INVESTMENT IDEA - BAJAJ FINANCE Bajaj Finance , a major financial services provider in India, showcases a promising investment setup supported by both technical and fundamental strengths.
Technical Reasons :
Trend Line Support: The stock is holding above a long-term trend line, indicating resilience and potential for an upward move.
Intact Trend: Continuous higher highs and higher lows signal that the bullish trend remains intact.
Doji and Inside Candle Pattern on Weekly: This pattern suggests a possible reversal or continuation, highlighting a period of consolidation with potential for breakout.
Fundamental Reasons :
Record Revenue and Net Profit: Both metrics are at all-time highs, underscoring the company's financial strength.
Attractive Valuation: With a current 10-year PE ratio of 27.9, Bajaj Finance trades below its 10-year median PE of 45.4, suggesting it is undervalued relative to historical standards.
Solid Growth and Returns: The company boasts a 24% compounded sales growth rate, an ROCE of 11.9%, and an ROE of 22.1%, reflecting effective utilization of capital and profitability.
These combined factors make Bajaj Finance an attractive long-term investment option, with technical support for entry and solid fundamentals for sustained growth potential.
#bajajfinance - Bullish Harmonic Pattern noted on daily chartsTechnical
#bajajfinance - Bullish Harmonic Pattern noted on daily charts with RSI divergence.
Bajajfinance on 4hr time frame RSI breakout is there with positive RSI divergence. If crosses 6700 also then 6900 to go.
Fundamental
Bajaj finance looks a perfectly safe bet in this kind of market having book value all time low along with PE multiple (except covid). As far as competition is concerned it is well taken care off as per quarterly’s results and cooling off in PB and PE ratios
BAJAJFINANCENSE:BAJFINANCE
One Can enter now!
Or Wait for a retest of the trendline(BO)!
Or Wait for a better Risk:Reward Ratio!
Note :
1. One should go long with a StopLoss, below the Trendline or the Previous Swing Low.
2. Risk :Reward ratio should be minimum 1:2.
3. Plan your trade as per the Money Mangement and Risk Appetite.
Disclamier : You are responsible for your profits and loss.
The idea shared here is purely for Educational purpose.
Follow back, for more ideas and thier notifications on your email.
Support and Like incase the idea works for you.
Bajfinance Intraday Levels: 23-Sep-24 Stock taken support from 4570-4500 and move upside & formed triangle wait for breakout of triangle or rejection from support for upside momentum. Else breakout Downside below 4560 drag price for Down
Bullish> 4600
Bearish< 4560
Use SL trailing method to secure profits
BAJAJ FINANCE S/R Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
Above 20 EMA: If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
RSI: RSI readings greater than the 70 level are overbought territory, and RSI readings lower than the 30 level are considered oversold territory.
Combining RSI with Support and Resistance:
Support Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further. If RSI is showing an oversold condition (below 30) and the price is near or at a strong support level, it could be a good buy signal.
Resistance Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find selling interest, preventing it from rising further. If RSI is showing an overbought condition (above 70) and the price is near or at a strong resistance level, it could be a signal to sell or short the asset.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.