COALINDIA trade ideas
coal India poised to give a minimum return of 24% in next 2 year# Those buying Coal India around 146 level could generate Rs 35 in dividend income in next 2 years (including the recent announced 3.5/- dividend). That comes to roughly 24% return on investment.
# plus there is potential for upside from appreciation in stock price due to following reasons:
1. Production Increase due to front loading of capex
2. wage revision and consequent pass on of costs to buyers in next 6 months
3. higher auction sales and realization
# Valuation wise the company is trading at a shiller pe of just 6.5 times which suggest that the company has earned its market cap in last 6.5 years itslef on average 10 year profit of 13843 crores. So if the stock is held for around 7 years, it is likely to earn it 90000 crore market cap again plus the future value will still be there in the stock price.
# Its probably ESG theme which is keeping global investors away from this stock. But Coal being an essential commodity in 70% of Indian power generation, it is unlikley to be replaced any soon.
# With Banks FDs generating just 6% return, the earning yield on Coal India is a very attractive proposition.
bearish channel white parallel channel
price again making chart patter at the current bottom near 100% projection of wave at beginning of the channel,
until price breaks this white channel it is bearish .
on clear breakout of this channel we have blue horizontal resistance near 38% retracement
on short term upper yellow trend line of chart pattern and white trend line of channel is our resistance.
based on Elliott wave 100% projection of wave followed by our first yellow chart pattern has finished its first projection target. so our current chart pattern at the bottom with upside breakout will trigger trend reversal. as long as price trading blow upper white trend line it bearish and price will trader for its next 138% projection
COAL INDIA - Breakout of Cup and Handle pattern on daily chartCoal India was facing resistance to clear 155-160 level.
Today It gave breakout with a very good volume.
Pattern here is formed was cup and handle.
Whenever stock gives range breakout with good volume it is likely to give a big move and target should be (Breakout price - CUP formation Low) which is (160 - 125) from the Break - out level.
So Estimated target can be 195.
180 is a resistance level as per chart.
Coal India - C&H pattern breakout with volume confirmationToday stock has given breakout in C&H pattern with good volume confirmation.
Stock has finally surpassed 161 hurdle and able to close above it with 162.65 price.
One can go long with SL of 143 and target of 190.
Apart from this Coal india's result is on Monday and hope that result will be on favourable side.
If any one want to go with more security than one can put SL at 159rs.