SBI Cards Stock AnalysisAnalysis of SBI Cards Stock Idea
Current Price: ₹697.40
Technical Overview:
* Double Bottom pattern with breakout.
Target Levels:
* ₹850 (initial)
* ₹1,000 (extended)
* ₹1,100 (ultimate)
* Strong support around ₹650-₹700 from breakout zone.
Fundamentals:
* Leading credit card issuer in India with strong revenue and profit growth.
* Positioned to benefit from growing digital payment adoption in India.
* Key risks include exposure to credit defaults, but SBI backing mitigates risk.
This could be a solid opportunity if the trend holds.
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SBICARD trade ideas
SBICARD S/R Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
RSI: RSI readings greater than the 70 level are overbought territory, and RSI readings lower than the 30 level are considered oversold territory.
Combining RSI with Support and Resistance:
Support Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further. If RSI is showing an oversold condition (below 30) and the price is near or at a strong support level, it could be a good buy signal.
Resistance Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find selling interest, preventing it from rising further. If RSI is showing an overbought condition (above 70) and the price is near or at a strong resistance level, it could be a signal to sell or short the asset.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SBI Cards : Under Bull's Control for 15% - 50% riseSBI Cards :
A good Short term (15%) to Long Term (50%) play on cards from current levels. 720 SL
Here’s a summary of the key points :
1. Rating Upgrade: Stock rating for SBI Cards (SBICARD) upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Sell'.
2. Target Price Raised: Target price increased to 913 rupees from 652 rupees.
3. Profit Outlook: Pre-provision operating profit for SBIC is stabilizing as the industry undergoes cost rationalization.
4. Cost Efficiency: Improvement in the cost-to-income ratio amidst industry consolidation.
5. Earnings Estimates: EPS estimates raised by 7% for FY25 and 21% for FY26.
6. Credit Cost Expectations: Anticipates improvement in credit costs starting Q2 FY25 and expected loan growth from FY26.
7. Bond Issuance: SBI Cards accepted bids totaling 15 billion rupees ($178.7 million) for 10-year subordinated bonds at an annual coupon of 8.25%.
8*** Concerns on Lending: Ongoing concerns regarding unsecured lending in the market due to rising household leverage.
SWING IDEA - SBI CARDS AND PAYMENTSThis setup presents an attractive opportunity for swing traders to capitalize on the potential uptrend in SBI Cards .
Reasons are listed below :
Strong Support at 670-700 Levels : SBI Cards has established a robust support zone in the range of 670-700 levels, indicating strong buying interest and potential reversal points.
Bullish Marubozu Candle : A bullish Marubozu candlestick pattern has formed in both the weekly and daily timeframes, suggesting strong buying momentum and potential upward movement.
Engulfing Pattern : The bullish engulfing pattern on the weekly chart, engulfing four previous candles, reinforces the bullish sentiment and indicates a potential reversal of the downtrend.
Double Bottom Pattern : A double bottom pattern has emerged on the daily timeframe, indicating a potential trend reversal and bullish continuation.
Target - 790 // 855 // 935
Stoploss - weekly close below 670
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@visionary.growth.insights
Can SBICARD show some run finally?SBICARD has given almost 0% returns after listing. Can it show some reversal signs from here.
What if I Say, this can show some multi-bagger return from here. I know most of people will say I am crazy, but let us run through some facts before calling me crazy.
->Only Listed company in Credit Card Market.
-> It is a subsidiary of India’s largest commercial bank, the State Bank of India.
Green Flags
#Company is standing at highest ever revenue
#Company is standing at highest ever EPS
#Company is trading at lowest PE from it's listing day which is below median
#FIIs have started increasing stage from last quarter
#Company has delivered good profit growth of 22.7% CAGR over last 5 years
#Company Stock CAGR is -12% in last three years even after good growth in profit and sales growth of 35% & 22% respectively. (Value Unlocking is mandatory)
# Company is standing at highest ever reserves in Balance sheet.
#Company has consistent ROE of 22%
#Cards in force stand at 1.92 crore, reflecting an 11% year-over-year growth.
#SBI Card holds an 18.5% market share in the credit card industry.
Red Flags
#Credit cost increased to 8.5% from 7.5% in Q4 FY24, with Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPA) at 3.06%.
#Incremental provisions rose by ₹51 crore quarter-over-quarter, with write-offs increasing by ₹105 crore.
#Over-leveraging among customers has impacted repayment capacity, leading to a rise in delinquencies.
Personally I am bullish and will initiate once breakout is confirmed.
Please do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Happy Investing..
SBI CARDS LT InvestmentNSE:SBICARD After a long consolidation period starting from Jan till date has finally given a breakout today with good % increase
SBI currently holds the highest number of Bank accounts, and the credit card industry which is yet to boom in India currently has a lot of potential for new customer acquisitions and thus makes SBICARD a very promising company, their earnings have been robust and the next boom from rate cuts will be enjoyed by banks and financial institutions like SBICARD
Although there are many great prospects, we should not forget the risk that we are already at ATH markets and the US economy has to be completely stable with rate cuts and job markets for us to have a smooth journey towards ATH of this stock, however the potential and market sentiments and conditions makes it a stock which can be considered for investment from a long term perspective.
SBICARDS - the sleeping giant awakens?This stock has been trading within a range for what feels like an eternity. The recent range consolidation lasted about 8 months, creating a strong base. However, we're finally seeing some action as the price has broken out of this prolonged range with a massive green candle, accompanied by significant volume—indicating strong buying interest.
Key Highlights:
- Range Consolidation : 8 months of sideways movement, providing a solid foundation.
- Breakout Confirmation: The price has decisively moved out of the range with a huge green candle.
- Volume Spike: The breakout is backed by strong volume, adding conviction to the move.
- 100-Week Exponential Moving Average (WEMA): The price is currently testing the 100 WEMA, a crucial level to watch.
- Trendline Breakout: A clear trendline breakout further reinforces the bullish sentiment.
This stock is one to keep on your watchlist as it shows signs of a potential trend reversal.
Of course, The week is yet to end.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a professional before making any investment decisions. Trading involves risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
SBICARD + 200SMA + CHAIKAN MONEY FLOW As observed in the chart the price is above its 200 SMA after long period on consolidation. Significantly important triple bottom pattern is also visible on the chart. This is an important support level to note.
Taking some clue from the chaikan money flow . It can be observed that the readings is above the zero line . Volume supports the rise in price and so the bulls have enough fuel to regain their territory. The important levels to observe is indicated by the fibonacci retracement lines.