BTC dominance Facing strong resistanceThis time BTC.D is getting away from its Ratio line, That is extremally bearish, Alt season is at our doors... BTC price may go up also, I think this time around is going to be a massive cycle for alt coins.
I am eager to watch the craziness we all know about alt season, It's the best time for a good meme, don't you think?
this is not financial advise, that is only my own opinion about the markets.
BTC.D trade ideas
Crypto Market Dynamics Amidst Tariffs & Trade War FearsLast Friday afternoon, President Trump announced new tariffs on Canada (25%), Mexico (25%), and China (10%). This news set off a selloff in the crypto market. Since traditional financial markets were closed for the weekend, they couldn’t react immediately, but we might see panic selling when trading opens on Monday. In response, both Canada and Mexico have threatened retaliatory tariffs on the U.S. Whether Trump is using this as a negotiation tactic or signaling a long-term policy remains uncertain, but one thing is clear—the market dislikes the idea of a trade war.
On the bright side, Bitcoin was already due for a significant correction. Even a 30% drop from its current all-time high wouldn’t derail the Macro Trend. However, the concerning part is that Trump’s actions could lead to further economic pain for both the U.S. and global economies before any recovery happens.
Because so many factors are in play, I’ve combined four key metrics into one chart to help us see where money is moving. Here’s what the chart shows:
BTC.D (Candles): This indicates Bitcoin’s dominance in the market.
BTC Price (Orange): The current price of Bitcoin.
TOTAL3 (Purple): The total crypto market cap excluding BTC and ETH.
USDT.D (Green): This measures the share of funds in USDT.
What Does the Chart Tell Us?
Flow of Money: Funds are moving between Bitcoin, altcoins, stablecoins (USDT), or leaving the market altogether.
Key Indicator – USDT.D:
Below the Breakout Line: If USDT.D stays below a critical level, it suggests that buyers are stepping in to support both Bitcoin and altcoins.
Above the Local Top: If USDT.D breaks above its recent high, it signals increased market fear. In this case, we should watch the other metrics:
A spike in TOTAL3 indicates that altcoins are gaining traction, hinting at a potential altcoin season.
A spike in BTC.D suggests that Bitcoin is maintaining or even strengthening its dominance.
A spike in USDT.D implies that investors are seeking safety in stablecoins, showing overall market nervousness.
By monitoring these indicators, we can get a clearer picture of whether or not an alt season is developing, and whether the correction developing is a temporary setback or the start of a deeper decline.
The Trend Is Your EnemyBTC.D is in an ascending channel. This trend is your enemy until this structure breaks down below the channel. Meanwhile, it could potentially head to the midline and the top of the channel. The weekly RSI set to 50 is still not bullish for BTC.D imo. Once the weekly RSI raises above the SMA trend line then it will be very scary for the s***t coins.
Memorable Saturday and Sunday For Alt SEASON - BTC.D Considering the divergence in volume and the closing of the daily and monthly candles below the figure of 59.67%, we can anticipate the beginning of alt season in these 2 days.
Capital management and risk management should not be forgotten. Be profitable 💕
BTC.DOMINANCE IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN BTC ITSELF WHEN TRADING ALTAnalyzing BTC.DOMINANCE
I am observing a doji candle forming on this week’s chart, which could indicate that the top is in for BTC.D and that we might start seeing a decline within the next 1 day and 11 hours.
For altcoin trading to become viable, BTC.D needs to drop toward 56%.
I lean toward the view that BTC.D will begin to fall and that altcoins will gain strength within the next 1–2 days.
However, if BTC.D regains strength, it could rise toward 60%, which would likely cause altcoins to continue falling, making them harder to trade.
We are the mercy of BTC.D, so that's what we need to keep our eye on!
BTC.D - BTC Dominance Breakdown, Alt Season StartsAfter a 2 Months of downtrend for ALT Coins, the Breakdown in BTC dominance could fuel their recovery and could be signaling the start of Alt Season.
Continued follow-through is needed to signal the start of alt season.
Many alts have dropped to near record lows, and with BTC dominance signalling a breakdown, risk reward is looking favourable for alts.
Altcoinseason is around the corner, get ready. Hi fellow traders, BTC.D will be ready to make a wave lower from the blue box after it completes the ABC correction. When the dominance of BTC starts to decline the Altcoins will rise. The BTC.D chart could potentially go up till the green fib line within the blue box. I think this will be a good time to position yourself. Target will be the previous bottom. Good luck and trade safe!
Bitcoin Domination to Last LongerThe price of the main currency's domination charts familiar pattern of sideways consolidation.
The dominance might stay in the range between 55% and 62%.
The blue zigzag illustrates potential scenario of consolidation.
The final drop to retest 55% level could be scaring but this will be just
a final leg down before uptrend resumes to target 65-68%.
BTC Dominance Breakdown = Altseason Incoming?BTC dominance (BTC.D) has broken down from key support, signaling a potential altseason ahead.
The breakdown below the 54.11% – 54.85% support zone suggests capital rotation from Bitcoin into altcoins, which could trigger major moves across the altcoin market.
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Dominance of BTC: what does it say?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
✅ Bitcoin dominance has reached its PRZ range and is fluctuating in the corner of the ascending wedge pattern on the four-hour time frame, which can begin its corrective trend to the following levels if the bottom of this pattern is broken:
58.60, 57.66, 56.80
✅ On the daily timeframe, the major support at 56.80 must be broken for the structure to turn bearish 👌
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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BTC DOMINANCE AND ALT SEASONIf we completed 5 waves up, structure ABC should be next. When price take liq above last high (A wave) we can see start of the drop and alt season. If not, btc price will go more to the upside and btc.d will rise again.
Everybody is expecting alt season so market makers can do opposite... lets see.
This is not a financial advice.
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Let's analyze BTC dominance:
BTC.D has been on the rise for the past four weeks and is now at a critical resistance level. Following Bitcoin's recent price surge, altcoins are struggling due to low liquidity. A rejection at the 59.92% resistance level for BTC.D could provide an opportunity for altcoins to recover. The 58.75% level is an immediate support for BTC.D, but a break below this level could also signal further downside. If BTC.D falls below 58.75%, the next support level to watch is 56.80%.
Key Levels:
Support: 58.75%
Resistance: 59.92%
A breakdown below the support level could potentially trigger a significant shift in market dynamics, favoring altcoins over Bitcoin.
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We’re Getting Close to Altcoin Season | Pattern from 2021CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is showing a pattern eerily similar to what we saw in 2021.
Here’s how it played out back in 2021:
Stage 1: After the 2017 alt season, we saw a W-bottom pattern form.
Stage 2: An uptrend emerged after breaking through the neckline of that W-bottom.
Stage 3: The real altcoin season kicked off as #BTC.D broke the uptrend line, and the market went crazy!
Now, let’s fast forward to today:
Stage 1: After the 2021 altcoin season, we’re seeing a multiple-bottom pattern.
Stage 2: An uptrend formed after breaking through the neckline of that pattern.
Stage 3: This is where we are now—the wild altcoin season could begin once BTC.D breaks the uptrend line!
2025 BTC.D - History Doesn't Repeat Itself, but It Often RhymesJust thinking through this idea in regards to BTC.D
In the last cycle BTC.D ramped up to consistently being above 60%, after its June 2020 lows, in the 4th week of October 2020. It ran up to 100% by the end of 2020 and then proceeded to roll over and fall back below 60% by the 3rd week of January 2021. Altseason started at the beginning of February 2021 with ETH & large cap projects. I'd like to think that Altseason officially ended by the end of May 2021 with a wild frenzy into memes (Doge, Shiba, Akita) setting new ATHs.
If we're applying that same logic to this cycle then... BTC.D. will begin its ascent towards 100% dominance by passing 60% by the end of October 2024 (as of today, it's October 30th) and then start to roll over the 2nd-ish to 3rd-ish week of January 2025, to start the New Year! From there we can estimate that Altseason will start sometime around the 1st-ish week to 2nd-ish week of February 2025. It will last until, I'm thinking, the end of April 2025 to middle-ish of May 2025 (at the latest).
Additional Thoughts:
We may get a blowoff top scenario by end of September 2025 / October 2025... but that's TBD. I'm not sure a double peak is guaranteed or in the cards this cycle. So, it may be wise to leave something in your bag headed into the end of year (Q3 / Q4), just so you can say mama we made it. IDK - just thoughts and not financial advice.
Resource & Thoughts
Consider the Path to Altseason by Secrets of Crypto
Would definitely have to consider macro, m2 & m3 and the US presidential election
Liquidity scoop is comingThe BTC dominance has always been a interesting indicator to me since 2024 April it has been gradually going up to the 60% zone and then we a saw a nice rejection which push alts to make new all time highs for year of 2024. It maybe this week and slightly delayed but I sniff another rejection wick coming soon to push alts to do 1.5-2x in returns within the next 2 months. It's all about patience and game plan. In these volatile markets spot trading is pretty nice.
Bitcoin Dominance Bearish BTC.D + ALTSEASONBack in 2017 and 2020 i've posted a BTC.D Bearish Chart.
That Was a long-term view and still playing well till now.
You can find my Old Prediction
Both times we wend on BTC From 20000 to 3000 and From 65000 to 16000, but it's not about Bitcoin Bearish Scenario, but About ALTSEASONs.
Both times it were best seasons ever as BTC.Dominance went down
That Chart Is it and still valid until 2035 together with my Bitcoin longterm view TA on TradingView.
Wish you a good luck and hope you'll be happy with that TA. Enjoy.
Sal ??!!Bitcoin Dominance Today the price shows that the price is moving inside a short-term ascending channel on the daily time frame, settling at $104,896 with trading volume increasing significantly.
It is worth noting that Bitcoin Dominance analysis shows that the price is currently approaching a major resistance at $110,125, an important area that may determine the next trend¹.