BTC.D trade ideas
BTC.D ON DAILY CHARTCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
on daily chart the bitcoin dominance continues to put significant market pressure and still on uptrend line.
we has a very strong resistance at 62% and I don't think it's easy to overcome, maybe it's the last breath.
Lets wait and see what happen soon , but in any case, in the event of a rebound and not exceeding the resistance, we will have support at 59% and 58%, and it must be broken to see a recovery in the market .
waiting..
Reality SlapI’m here to slap those calling for alt season since 2023. Yes, you deserve a big fat slap for calling for something that hasn’t happened yet. I’m guilty of calling for alt season without seeing any signs myself. You only need one indicator to tell you that we are in alt season and that’s when BTC.D goes and closes below 150 EMA on the weekly chart. For now the dominance is far above the150 EMA and we can all bark about alt season, but it’s not going to happen until we get a close below the 150 EMA.
Is Altcoin Season STILL About to Begin in 2025?#BTC #BitcoinDominance #AltcoinSeason #Crypto2025 #Cryptocurrency #CryptoMarket #BitcoinAnalysis #Altcoins #Ethereum #CryptoBullRun #BTCPricePrediction #CryptoInvesting #Blockchain #CryptoTrends
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D):
BTC.D measures Bitcoin's market capitalization relative to the total cryptocurrency market. A high BTC.D indicates Bitcoin's market share is substantial compared to altcoins, while a declining BTC.D suggests altcoins are gaining traction.
Recent analyses indicate that BTC.D is approaching a resistance level around 62%-63%. A breakout toward 70% could delay the altcoin season, whereas a decline below 58% may signal its onset.
Market Dynamics: Analysts predict that an altcoin season has started and will continue throughout the first quarter of 2025.
CCN.COM
Historical Patterns: Historically, altcoins tend to outperform Bitcoin in the third year of a bull market, which could make 2025 the year of altcoins.
BUSINESSINSIDER.COM
Regulatory Environment: The election of Donald Trump and several crypto-friendly lawmakers has contributed to Bitcoin crossing the $100,000 mark for the first time. Analysts predict Bitcoin prices could reach between $180,000 and $200,000 by the end of 2025. Despite a potential cyclical correction, the involvement of institutional investors may dampen downturns. The Federal Reserve's interest rate policies could also impact Bitcoin prices. There is uncertainty whether altcoins will follow Bitcoin's rally, although financial institutions are preparing for broader crypto ETF approvals.
INVESTOPEDIA.COM
Predictions for 2025:
Steno Research forecasts that 2025 will be an exceptional year for both Bitcoin and Ethereum, with Bitcoin potentially reaching $150,000 and Ethereum around $8,000. This optimistic outlook is supported by a favorable regulatory environment, decreasing interest rates, improved liquidity, and expanding institutional adoption.
BTC.D has not topped out yet vol.2In case you missed december 16th post there it is
After 2 months BTC.D still in uptrend.
Previous resistance is acting like support right now.
RSI is trending higher (formed higher low) and StochRSI has strong momentum upside.
BTC.D is not Topped. It is still going higher in coming WEEKS. So we must expect for big opportunity to buy altcoins at 50-60% discount from current prices.
I believe that this incoming crash must be the last one.
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis Channel Rejection and Its Impact Bitcoin Dominance is currently trading within a well-defined downward channel, indicating a consistent decline over time. Recently, dominance attempted to break below the channel but failed, resulting in a re-entry back into the channel. This failed breakdown suggests that the bearish momentum is weakening, at least temporarily.
A declining Bitcoin dominance typically signals a potential bullish phase for altcoins, as market capital moves away from Bitcoin into alternative cryptocurrencies. However, in this scenario, the downward movement is relatively slow, confined within the channel, which explains the lack of a strong recovery in the altcoin market.
For a more significant altcoin rally, we need to see a clear breakdown of this channel, accompanied by a sharper decline in dominance. A rapid drop would likely trigger stronger buying activity in altcoins, providing better opportunities for traders.
It's crucial to monitor Bitcoin dominance closely, as its next move will provide key insights into potential market shifts. Stay alert and adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
If you find these market insights helpful and want to stay updated with more trade setups and detailed analysis and join my community,feel free to ping me.
Altcoin Season is imminent!Hello Traders 🐺,
As you can see in the chart, I’ve included all the key information, but let me break it down for you more clearly:
1️⃣ We have never seen the RSI reach this level on the monthly BTC.D chart before! This looks extremely bearish for BTC.D and highly bullish for Altcoins!
2️⃣ As you might know, every time we see a golden cross in TOTAL2 (which represents the Altcoins’ market cap excluding BTC), it signals the beginning of Altcoin season. The exciting part? This golden cross is happening exactly when BTC.D is at its high percentage levels , making the setup even stronger!
🐺 Stay sharp, trade smart! – KIU_COIN 🐺
$BTC.D and $DXY are in diametrically opposite directionsIn this blog space we have been discussing Bitcoin Dominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) since Dec 2024. On 9th Feb 2025 I posted a blog where we discussed the Fib Retracement levels in CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart and we said that we can expect more upside and has broken past 0.618. I said it is possible that the dominance can reach the 0.786 Fib level at 66.12%.
I tried to plot the Dollar index TVC:DXY in the same weekly chart as CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and it was quite surprising that the FIB retracement levels in CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D are the same as the top to the bottom levels in the TVC:DXY chart. We are looking at the last 5 years for our analysis.
When CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has broken past 0.618 Fib level and trying to reach 0.786 @66.12%. But the TVC:DXY has broken below 0.786 and in the near term the TVC:DXY level can end up at 0.618 Fib levels which can take TVC:DXY to 104.
So, in the near to medium term is CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D @ 66.12% and TVC:DXY @ 104.
ETH/USDT 1H: Momentum Strong – Can Bulls Break $2,820?!"ETH/USDT 1H: Momentum Strong – Can Bulls Break $2,820?"
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Market Structure & Momentum:
Price: $2,734, showing strong momentum after breaking key resistance.
RSI at 64.50, confirming bullish momentum but not yet overbought.
Clear bullish structure, with higher lows forming.
Hidden bullish divergence confirmed on RSI, supporting continuation.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $2,780 (major supply zone).
Support: $2,680 (previous resistance turned support).
Fair Value Gap (FVG): $2,600-$2,620 range.
Trading Strategy:
Entry: Current price ($2,734) or pullback to $2,700 for better risk-reward.
Targets:
T1: $2,820 (+3.1%).
T2: $2,860 (+4.6%).
Stop Loss: Below $2,645 (-3.2%).
Risk Score:
6/10 – Momentum is strong, but price is nearing major resistance.
Smart Money Analysis:
Accumulation visible at the $2,600 zone, confirming institutional interest.
Market Makers likely targeting liquidity above $2,800.
Strong institutional buying pressure evident from the volume profile.
Recommendation:
Longs remain favorable, but watch for potential resistance at $2,780.
Keep tight stops below $2,645 in case of rejection.
Break and hold above $2,780 confirms strength for a move toward $2,860.
Confidence Level:
8/10 – Bulls in control, but price must clear $2,780 resistance for extended upside.
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BTC.D weekly chartCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Is the 2017 scenario repeating here? I think it is the most likely, the price reached an important resistance.
We also have a negative weekly candle at the resistance and tomorrow is the close.
So, all the data says that the takeover should fall from this area.
Let's observe and see behavior after the weekly close.
waiting .....
BTC Dominance Drops: Is the Alt Season About to Begin?Hello, Traders!
After its recent rise to 64%, BTC.D started to decline slowly and currently dropped below 61%.
In order to resume alt season, BTC.D needs to drop at least below 57% and hold below that mark for a prolonged period of time.
Ideally, it should break below 54% to make a lower low and confirm a sustained downward trend.
Historically, when BTC.D enters a clear downtrend, liquidity flows into altcoins, leading to significant rallies across the board.
I don’t think that even if the alt season really takes off, we will see BTC.D much below 48%—perhaps 45%, but not lower.
At that level, the market typically starts rotating back into BTC, capping further dominance declines.
However, if BTC stagnates while liquidity continues flowing into alts, a deeper drop isn’t entirely out of the question.
One of the potential catalysts for a BTC.D decline and the start of the alt season is Ethereum’s upcoming Pectra upgrade.
Historically, ETH has shown strong performance ahead of major network upgrades, often doubling in price in anticipation.
If history repeats itself, we could see increased demand for ETH, driving capital into the broader altcoin market.
The Pectra upgrade is scheduled for April 8, meaning we might see altcoins gaining momentum in the next couple of weeks.
If BTC remains stable and ETH starts outpacing it, this could create the perfect conditions for the much-anticipated alt season.
Keep an eye on ETH/BTC as well—it could serve as an early indicator of the shift. 🚀
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) – Current Market OverviewRecent Trend:
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has been in a steady uptrend for the past two years, reflecting Bitcoin’s outperformance relative to altcoins. The rise in BTC.D indicates that Bitcoin has been capturing a larger share of the overall cryptocurrency market compared to altcoins.
Bearish Divergence:
The weekly chart now shows a bearish divergence, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has failed to confirm the recent upside move. This signals that the buying momentum behind BTC.D is weakening, even though the price has been pushing higher. A divergence of this nature can often suggest a reversal or slowdown in the current trend.
Resistance Levels:
There is significant overhead resistance between the 66% and 73% levels, which were last tested during the 2021 bull run. During that time, BTC.D faced rejection in this range, leading to a shift of capital into altcoins.
A rejection at this resistance could lead to a shift in market dynamics, with altcoins seeing increased demand and potentially entering a rally.
Potential Catalysts for an Altcoin Rally:
If BTC.D faces rejection at these key resistance levels, it could signal the start of an altcoin rally, as market capital may flow out of Bitcoin and into altcoins. Traders will closely monitor this resistance zone as a potential catalyst for a shift in market sentiment.
Outlook:
The bearish divergence on the RSI and the presence of strong resistance between 66% and 73% suggests that Bitcoin dominance might be at a turning point. A rejection in this zone would open up the possibility for altcoins to outperform Bitcoin in the near term.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin dominance remains in an uptrend, but the bearish divergence and resistance between 66% and 73% on the BTC.D chart suggest that altcoins could gain momentum if BTC.D faces rejection at this level. Traders should closely monitor this zone, as a reversal in Bitcoin’s dominance could signal the start of a broader altcoin market rally.
BITCOON DOMINANCE at a decision point (12H)Bitcoin dominance has reached a key resistance level at the top and is currently in a critical zone. If it gets rejected from the red box, we could see a green market this month.
Let's see what happens!
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bullish Scenario for BTC.DOMBTC.DOM might be playing out a bullish cypher pattern. Retracement of BTC.DOM is needed to in order to rotate the money flow to the alts with good utility. Market markers will buy BTC and Alts (with good utility in the long run) at discount. This might be the final shake out before the massive move to the upside.
BTC DOMINANCE:- Alts are nearly set to rally! 🚀 Alts are almost ready for a rally! 🚀
We’re approaching the resistance zone on the BTC dominance chart, which has historically led to strong rejections and market-wide rallies since May 2017. The index has already reached a 64.34% high. We could see another push to this level, potentially forming a double top on the lower timeframes, followed by a slight correction in altcoins. During this phase, many alts will likely form double or triple bottoms.
Despite the low volume in the market, on-chain analysis shows accumulation in altcoins like FET and TAO.
Be prepared for what's coming next!
Drop your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to hit that like button for support!
Thank you
#PEACE
When Alt-Season? Here's the Key FactorAlt-Season = BTC.D going down, but liquidity is king.
Right now, I don’t believe we’ll see a true alt-season until the Fed starts QE.
At the last FOMC meeting, Powell confirmed that QT will continue, meaning there is no reason to expect QE soon.
For QE to return, something needs to break—whether in the stock market or the broader economy.
Right now:
- Stock indices are at all-time highs
- The economy remains resilient
But cracks could form later this year
Possible triggers for QE:
- A stock market correction
- A credit event (bank failures, debt crisis)
- A sudden economic downturn
Why QE Matters for Crypto
- QE (Quantitative Easing) = Fed buys assets → Lowers interest rates → Pumps risk assets.
- QT (Quantitative Tightening) = Fed sells assets → Raises interest rates → Drains liquidity.
Crypto thrives in QE environments—that’s why we had the last alt-season in 2021, during extreme money printing.
In the chart, BTC.D is overlaid with Total Fed Assets.
- When the Fed’s balance sheet expands (QE) → BTC.D drops → Alts pump.
- When the Fed’s balance sheet contracts (QT) → BTC.D rises → BTC dominance increases.
Bottom Line:
For altcoins to outperform, we likely need another QE cycle. Without it, liquidity remains tight, and BTC.D stays high.
What’s your take? Will QE return in 2024, or will the Fed hold the line?
Is Altcoin Season STILL About to Begin in 2025?Looking at CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , before the 2021 altseason kicked off, there were 3 key stages:
▍Stage 1: A steep rounded top formed.
▍Stage 2: Along the neckline of the rounded top, a rounded bottom developed.
▍Stage 3: BTC.D dropped sharply, triggering a crazy altseason.
For 2025, it seems we're about to enter Stage 3:
▍Stage 1: Again, a steep rounded top formed.
▍Stage 2: Just like before, a rounded bottom appeared along the neckline.
What’s different this time?
BTC.D just retested the neckline resistance zone for the second time yesterday.
After touching it, BTC.D formed a long lower wick, signaling strong rejection.
Now, it's all about watching the next moves.
If BTC.D mirrors Stage 3 from the last cycle, we could see a sharp drop soon.
And if that happens, the crazy altseason might start before anyone is ready.
🔴 for more future script "guesses" like this!
🔥 I've dropped another 2 analyses for the 2025 altseason on the right hand side if you're using computer, and scroll down a bit to see the link if you're using mobile.
UNIVERS OF SIGNAL | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #2⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
If you entered a position yesterday on the price pullback to the 97218 zone, you're now in profit. If your position has a risk-to-reward ratio of 2 or higher, I recommend securing some profits. Otherwise, if you want to keep your position open, watch the 98903–99946 range, and if the price gets rejected from this area, secure your profits.
🔍 We also have new trade setups for today, with two triggers for long and two for short, either of which could activate. For a long position, a breakout of 98903 or 99946 is suitable. The 98903 breakout is riskier since we’d be entering a long position within a resistance zone, while the 99946 breakout may be difficult to enter as it might not provide a strong confirmation candle but is a safer long entry.
🔼 The key resistance above these two triggers is 101819, which can be used as a target. A breakout above 64.74 in the RSI would also serve as a momentum confirmation.
📉 For short positions, the first trigger is a breakdown of 97218, which has acted as a strong minor support. If we see a reaction here, this level will be confirmed, and on a second test, we can enter a short position. A breakdown of the 50 level in the RSI would confirm this setup. However, this is a risky trade, so it should be taken with minimal exposure.
✔️ The next key level is 95797, which has seen multiple price reactions. If the price forms a lower high below 101819, the chances of breaking this level increase. The target for this short setup is 92700.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Yesterday, I mentioned that if Bitcoin dominance stabilized below 61.34, long positions on altcoins would be more logical, which played out as altcoins outperformed Bitcoin.
✨ Today, if BTC.D remains below 61.06, it could indicate a trend shift in higher timeframes. Conversely, if it reclaims 61.34, Bitcoin could once again be the better choice for long positions in a bullish market.
⌛️ Total2 Analysis
Total2 triggered its setup alongside Bitcoin and is now testing the 1.24 zone. The only long trigger at the moment is a breakout of 1.24. However, keep in mind that the primary trigger was at 1.22, and the next major trigger is at 1.28, making any long entry now quite risky. Personally, I wouldn’t take this trade.
💫 For short positions, wait for the price to drop back below 1.22, then use Dow Theory and a break of the newly formed low as a short entry trigger.
⌛️ USDT.D Analysis
Now, let’s analyze USDT.D. This index began its decline after breaking 4.51 and retesting it. The next trigger is at 4.41, and if it breaks, we can expect a further drop to 4.22.
🧩 On the other hand, if it reclaims 4.51 and moves toward 4.64, it could increase the likelihood of Bitcoin’s 97218 short trigger being activated. If USDT dominance rises, the target will be 4.64.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own analysis before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | BTC.D The Best Way to Find Alt Season!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go together to one of my favorite charts, which is actually a topic that has made the crypto market easier, and if it weren't for these dominances, I would probably go to analyze Forex together.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly time frame, Bitcoin dominance has had a very good upward trend and after the 39.40 to 47 percent box exit, this upward trend has begun, and I must also say that supply and demand There is no demand for this chart and many lines cannot be interpreted in it
After the resistance level of 54.20 was broken, we were bullish the entire time and this chart was practically telling us that it is better to go and pay attention to Bitcoin itself than to be involved in buying baskets and other things and Bitcoin itself is going to give more profit during this period
And another argument arises that if you pay attention, most altcoins are at their bottoms, while Bitcoin is completely above its ceiling of $69,000 compared to previous bull runs and only altcoins that were in a good position compared to Bitcoin were profitable, such as solbtc, and this shows that the time for strange profits for most altcoins has not yet come
When will this happen? When the market is bullish, Bitcoin dominance starts to fall and money flows from Bitcoin itself into other altcoins, and that is when altcoins are just starting to come alive and make a good move, like in 2021.
See the chart above, there is a chart that shows the fall of Bitcoin dominance in the weekly time frame, while the market has made a short correction and is going to record a new high again, and now the reaction of altcoins in this space is interesting.
Now we have the chart of this event. We see that during the fall of Bitcoin dominance, it was the time when the majority of the charts started to move, and altcoins experienced a Sharpe rise, and money flowed from Bitcoin into altcoins, and the btc altcoin pair became bullish, and this shows that we are witnessing alt season.
Now what happens? On the chart, I would say that we have entered the alt season? Weekly engulfing of Bitcoin dominance or a sharp decline and rest. On the other hand, I think we are at the end of the uptrend because there is really more money on altcoins and other events, and this money is staked, so we probably won't see any other numbers. On the other hand, when we reach 40%, we can say that our alt season is over!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
