BTC.D trade ideas
BTC & BTC.D – Key Moves in 1H TF
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
🚀 CRYPTOCAP:BTC is breaking out from a falling wedge on the 1H timeframe — currently in a healthy pullback phase. Bulls need to hold $107.2K–$109.3K to flip bias fully bullish, with resistance re-tests ahead.
📈 Meanwhile, CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is forming a rising wedge on the 1H — a bearish pattern that could break down and boost altcoin momentum.
⚠️ Shorter timeframes always come with more risk, so stay sharp and watch those key levels closely!
BTC.D Divergence Detected – Altcoin Window Ahead ?Hello Traders 🐺
In the past few weeks, I decided to publish fewer ideas in order to step back, observe, and see what’s really going to happen in the market — especially in the Altcoin market.
Now I believe it's a good time to take a look at the chart and break down what’s most likely to happen:
As you can see on the weekly chart, we have a descending channel on the RSI, which means the relative strength of BTC.D is diverging from the BTC.D chart itself.
But why does this matter?
Let me explain:
As a trader, you should always follow the bigger picture. The higher the time frame you analyze, the more reliable your analysis becomes.
If you only follow lower timeframes like 4H or 1H, chances are high that you’ll get manipulated by the bigger players — because the market is extremely volatile and requires real discipline to survive and grow.
But what about the immediate short term?
📉
In my opinion, BTC.D is most likely about to test the 0.786 or 0.88 Fibonacci levels in order to form a double top pattern.
So we can expect a bit more downward pressure on Altcoins, and this area could be considered a great entry point if you’re planning your next move!
I hope you enjoyed this idea — and as always, remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
$BTC.D Dominance forecast: update May 2025📉 BTC Dominance (%BTC.D) Update – At Resistance, Altseason in the Balance
Back on April 5th, I published a forecast highlighting the critical 65% resistance level on BTC Dominance. That analysis still holds: BTC.D reached 65% and got rejected, pulling back to 62% as of now.
⚔️ What’s Happening?
Bitcoin dominance is compressing, and we're approaching a make-or-break moment:
🔹 Resistance confirmed at 65%
🔹 We bounced down to 62% — not up
🔹 Market is hesitating, and the next move will shape the short-term direction for alts
🔍 The Bigger Picture
Bitcoin pumped hard recently, mostly due to:
MACD reversal on the weekly
Oversold conditions now turning bullish
Renewed institutional interest in risk-on assets
But let’s be clear:
🚫 We’re not in a full altseason yet.
What we’re seeing is cautious altcoin rotation, not a blow-off alt rally.
📊 Tech Indicators
MACD: Overheated
RSI: Still has room to move up
So technically, BTC.D could still break out above 65% — but it hasn’t yet.
⚠️ What to Watch:
If BTC.D breaks out above 65%, expect:
➡️ Altcoin bloodbath
➡️ BTC.D could head toward 70%, crushing the mini-altseason
But if BTC.D continues to drop from here?
➡️ Altseason starts to heat up
🔮 Outlook
A true altseason might not arrive until September/October. For now, the market is stuck in a range of uncertainty.
Keep your eyes on:
BTC.D reaction at 62%–65%
TradFi stress (bond markets, macro fears)
Bitcoin strength and ETH/BTC ratio
🧠 Take profits when you can. Protect your capital.
📌 Follow me for future updates—and don’t forget to DYOR.
📎 Original forecast:
Bullish Altcoins: Bitcoin Dominance In Correction ModeHere BTC.D is still moving within a classic ABC correction. The peak happened 7-May. After 14-May there was a bounce but this bounce ended in a lower high. The correction is not over.
As this index moves lower, the Altcoins market will grow.
When Bitcoin turns sideways, retraces or consolidates, it is an opportunity for the smaller Altcoins to move forward. This is the scenario we are entering right now.
» Bitcoin sideways. Altcoins bullish. Long-term growth.
The 2025 bull market is only starting now. Prepare for growth until late 2025 or beyond (early 2026).
Namaste.
Dominance going to 61% , mini altseason soonAfter a failed trendline retest and weeks of exhausted uptrend, dominance is likely heading to 61%—a measured move down to the 0.382 fib level, right where the EMA/SMA are stacked. BTC will chill between 102–110 ( needs a lot of consolidation after 8 weeks of uptrend). Alt season is knocking—grab your bags .
King BTC - Bitcoin Dominance Continues to Go Up OnlyIf market cycles still matter, this current one will be remembered as a disappointment by many crypto traders. With Bitcoin Dominance up-only, this has been the cycle of institutional traders who accumulate Bitcoin. For years, crypto traders hoped that institutions would 'buy our bags'. But for now, only 'King BTC' has benefitted. From its low point at less than 40%, Bitcoin market cap dominance versus the rest of the crypto markets is now sitting at 65%. The times when crypto traders would 'hunt gems' and hold Altcoins that would go up 10-100x are over. Between the 'crypto trenches' of memecoin traders hunting very low cap memes that can go up multiples and then go back to 0 even quicker and 'King BTC', not much of the rest of the market has caught a bid.
The picture is completely different on the institutional side. For many funds, Bitcoin is now part of a core treasury strategy. Pensions and endowments dip in through ETF exposure. Especially in the US, the regulatory and legal outlook are improving rapidly under a pro-crypto US administration. Asset managers like BlackRock are promoting BTC as a long-term store of value with lower correlation to equities than previously assumed.
In fact, institutional Bitcoin FOMO is accelerating rapidly. Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy famously leveraged its balance sheet to borrow funds, buy Bitcoin for its treasury and then rinse and repeat. The strong performance of MicroStrategy has unsurprisingly led to copy-cats. This week, GameStop became the latest one, confirming that it had bought 4,710 BTC worth about $513 million. In a sign that the buck might not stop here, SharpLink, a performance-based marketing company serving the U.S. sports betting and global iGaming industries, launched a $425million private placement to accumulate Ethereum into its treasury.
Leaving aside the question of who would lend so much money to a sports marketing company, other burning questions remain. Will Bitcoin FOMO lead to another parabolic rally? Will Ethereum treasury-buys finally lead to new all-time-highs for the 2nd largest Crypto Coin by market cap? And will that lead to a 'more traditional' Altcoin rally? Maybe most importantly: how sustainable is the MicroStrategy Treasury accumulation?
As always in Crypto markets, reflexivity is strong on the way up, but critical on the way down. If the BTC price ever drops below the average purchase price of its Bitcoin and debt-rollover deadlines are approaching, will MicroStrategy end up having to sell Bitcoin in a fire sale? Past market history tends to agree with Murphy's Law: usually, whatever can go wrong in crypto, eventually does go wrong. Maybe the day will come when the rise of Bitcoin dominance will stop 'the hard way'.
Almost locked inBuy B4 dominance goes down
Wen down?
Locked out for now
Seems like repeat of the past,
First hit Fib lvl again
Global market stress imo
W8
GL
BTC.D updateIntersection at end of July 25/early Aug 25
That would be the altcoin top
Alts should be starting extremely extremely extremely soon. They all look primed.
Not financial advice
WARNING! Sell Your Altcoins, -40% Drop AheadHello, Skyrexans!
The title of this article is made specially for haters. I see euphoria on each small drop of CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and understand that altseason now will not happen. People are still holding and dreaming Lambos. This is very bad for potential growth, so I expect only dump on risky alts with the new dominance push!
Look at the 4h time frame. As you remember from my previous analysis I expect the global wave 5. In my opinion waves 1 and 2 have been finished already. Wave 2 represented as an irregular ABC correction. Target at 0.38 Fibonacci has been reached. Now it's time for wave 3 which will reach 67%. During this dump on altcoins I wanna see total disappointment of moon boys and selling on every local bounce. I will repeat once more, market shall be cleared from the crowd to go up.
I am not an altseason hater. I am also holding some altcoins, but it's important to understand the real picture and have the right exaltations. Otherwise you will be disappointed and go out from rocket. I wish for clever, patient and realistic people to earn on the altseason, but first of all market need to persuade greedy and disrespectful people to escape altcoins.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
___________________________________________________________
Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
The tides are turning again for BTC.DWhile we are trading below the golden pocket again, the daily MACD is also about to cross bearish again. The weekly MACD may do so as well by the end of the week.
BTC Dominance – Round Top Pattern Brewing on 4H🔶 BTC Dominance is forming a Round Top pattern on the 4-hour chart, signaling potential reversal pressure.
🛑 Watch the key level at 63.5% dominance — a break below this could pave the way for altcoins to rally hard.
👀 This zone is critical for alt momentum shifts. Stay alert for decisive moves!
$BTC.D is starting to show relative weakness to AltcoinsCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is starting to show relative weakness to Altcoins.
This could be a real liquidity rotation from Bitcoin into Altcoins.
Or just Bitcoin taking a breather before stealing the show again.
BTCDIt’s time for BTC dominance to prove itself!
Watching the hourly closely here to see if we continue to reject .
The FUN Begins!BTC.D looks ready for a reversal. Seems to have reacted @ around 66% dominance or the .786 fib. RSI is also showing overbought at 70.
Bullish cases for Ethereum (and other alternatives):
Recent Pectra Upgrade
coinmetrics.substack.com
ETH ETF Staking In Progress
cryptomus.com
🔥 Monetary Policy:
Deflationary ETH, low issuance, gas burn
💸 Income & Yield:
Staking yields + restaking = ETH as productive asset
🌉 Scaling:
L2 growth, rollup-centric roadmap
🏛 Regulatory Clarity:
Spot and staking ETFs, ETH viewed as a commodity
🧠 Innovation:
Fastest-moving ecosystem, leading dev activity
📊 Valuation:
ETH/BTC ratio and on-chain revenue imply undervaluation, deflationary aspect
📈 Institutional Access:
ETFs, staking rewards in ETFs, custody solutions, DeFi
🔮 Bottom Line: Bitcoin Dominance will most likely decline because:
• The market in general is expanding beyond just a monetary hedge.
• Assets like ETH and others offer yield, utility, and flexibility.
• Developers and institutions are building on platforms, not commodities.
Bitcoin may retain its crown as digital gold, but it’s no longer the center of gravity in the crypto universe. Only time will be the true test! May the best tech prevail!
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!!!
BTC.D top is inIt’s the phenomena of the so called alt season.
Alt coin make massive rallies, extending their waves beyond any rules, all thanks to the btc.d collapse. This will be 3 to 6 months long and the effect will be stronger below 50%.
Bitcoin’s Dominance (BTC.D)I spotter 2 order blocks which seem to have been rejected from the lower. Fibonacci retracement tool didn't align perfectly with the retracement, I however used it for my July target
Alt-season incoming? BTC Dominance about to breakdown.Daily Chart:
The red 21 EMA had already crossed below the green 50 SMA line.
Need the daily candle to close below the 21 EMA next for further confirmation, and possibly followed by a retest before heading down towards the orange 200 SMA, and setting up a lower-low after confirmation of the current lower-high that is setting up.
On the 4hrly, dominance has already broken down below the thick orange 200 SMA, as well as the 200 VWMA.
Same on the hourly chart.
What is Bitcoin Dominance, and When Can We Expect Altseason?What is Bitcoin Dominance, and When Can We Expect Altseason?
✅ In the fast-paced and ever-changing world of digital currencies, traders and investors are continually seeking signs and tools to aid them in making informed decisions. One key sign is Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D).
Understanding this and examining its chart can provide us with important clues about what the market might do next, especially regarding when Altseason (the period of growth for altcoins) might begin.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
What is Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)?
Simply put, Bitcoin Dominance indicates the percentage of the total value of all digital currencies that is held by Bitcoin. For example, if the total value of all digital currencies is $1 trillion and Bitcoin's value is $600 billion, then Bitcoin's Dominance is 60%.
This number is very important because:
It shows market feeling: When Bitcoin Dominance goes up, it usually means money is moving to Bitcoin as a safer option, and people are less willing to take risks. When Bitcoin Dominance goes down, it can mean people are more confident in altcoins and are ready to take more risks for bigger profits.
It shows money flow: Changes in BTC.D show how money is moving between Bitcoin and altcoins.
❓ What is Altseason?
Altseason is a time in the digital currency market when altcoins (digital currencies other than Bitcoin) do much better than Bitcoin, and their prices go up a lot.
During Altseason, money often flows from Bitcoin to altcoins, and many altcoins can see their prices increase many times over.
Looking at the Current Bitcoin Dominance Chart and forecasting Altseason
If we look at the provided chart for Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), we can see a few key things:
Long-term upward channel: The chart shows that Bitcoin Dominance has been in a long-term upward path. The bottom of this path is marked by a blue support line , and the top is marked by a red resistance line . This means that, in the bigger picture, Bitcoin's control over the market has been growing.
Broken short-term upward trend: There was a shorter-term upward trend line (shown in black on the image) that the price broke below on May 9th . This break could be an early warning sign that Bitcoin's dominance might be weakening in the short term, and its dominance might start to fall.
⚠️ But here is a very important point:
We cannot be sure that Altseason has definitely started until the price clearly breaks below the main support line of the channel (the blue line) and stays below it.
The break of the short-term upward trend line (black line) is an early signal. However, to confirm a change in the trend and the possible start of a significant Altseason, we need to see stronger support levels, like the blue support line on the chart, get broken.
⏳ So, When Should We Expect Altseason?
Based on the chart analysis and the points mentioned:
Early Sign: The break of the short-term upward trend line (black) on May 9th might make people pay more attention to altcoins, but it's not enough on its own.
Key Condition for Altseason: The most important signal for the start of a real Altseason would be if the Bitcoin Dominance price breaks below the blue support line of the long-term upward channel. As long as Bitcoin Dominance stays above this support line, Bitcoin will likely keep its relative strength in the market, and altcoins might only see limited growth or could even face selling pressure.
Conclusion:
Analyzing Bitcoin Dominance is a useful tool for understanding how the digital currency market works and for predicting possible trends. Right now, because the short-term trend line has been broken, the market is at a sensitive point. However, traders and investors should watch the BTC.D price movements very carefully and wait for stronger confirmations, especially a possible break of the blue support line, before announcing the start of Altseason.
BTC Trend Shift ? Altseason LoadingBTC Dominance (BTC.D) | 1D TF
Trend Shift Confirmed 👀❓❕
Bitcoin Dominance has broken its long-term uptrend and is now trading just below a strong resistance zone around 64–65%. This signals a possible change in market momentum.
What This Means ❓
When BTC dominance drops, it usually means altcoins are gaining strength. We may be entering a phase where altcoins outperform—often called an "alt-season."
Key Takeaway
A pullback in BTC.D could open the door for strong moves in the altcoin market. It’s a good time to keep an eye on top altcoin setups.
BTC Dominance forecast until the end of August 2025It is a reversal now.
From now on until the end of August 2025 BTC.D will travel south. Downtrend will be in waves with major dates in the end of June and end of August 2025.
Major correction up will happen from 59.4% to 61.67%
The end of altseason will be at the level of 57.75%
Beware of major dates. Don't get driven away by profits, because the real fortunes are made in bear markets.
For more check my profile
BTC DOMINANCE AT CRUCIAL LEVEL! When Alt season? 🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! 💹🔥
Bitcoin dominance is once again hovering around the key resistance zone (~64%) that previously triggered a sharp rejection and boosted altcoins. 🚨
🟢 What we're watching:
Dominance bounced back after a breakdown from the rising wedge 📉
It's now retesting the breakdown zone (red resistance)
A rejection here = Altcoin Rally 🎯
A clean breakout above = Altcoins stay weak ⚠️
⏳ We’re at a decision point. Altcoin bulls are watching this zone very closely.
🧠 Our take:
Until BTC.D rejects from this level, don’t expect a full-blown Altseason. A strong red candle from here could open the floodgates for mid and low caps to run wild again. 🚀
📌 Stay patient, stay positioned. The move will be big—just a matter of “when.”
Bitcoin DominanceThe bear market in altcoins—characterized by their continued underperformance relative to Bitcoin—remains in effect. However, a strong bearish divergence is forming on the Bitcoin Dominance chart, indicating a potential reversal. This suggests that Bitcoin's dominance may decline soon, potentially signaling the beginning of a capital rotation into altcoins.
