BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTC/USDT: Long Opportunity After Order Block Breakout #### **Market Context**
- Price has **broken and closed above** the key order block resistance, invalidating sell setups.
- Current structure favors **bullish continuation** with a clean retest of the new demand zone.
#### **Key Levels**
- **Entry Zone**: **104,018.6** (Retest of bullish order block)
- **Stop Loss**: **103,627.7** (Below recent swing low)
- **Targets**:
- **TP1**: 104,809 (Initial liquidity pool)
- **TP2**: 105,179 (Next swing high)
- **Risk/Reward**: **1:3+** (Conservative)
#### **Analysis**
- **Breakout Confirmation**: The previous resistance (order block) has flipped into support.
- **Entry Logic**: Price retraced with a **healthy pullback** (not aggressive selling) into the new demand zone.
- **SL Placement**: Below the recent swing low to avoid false breakdowns.
#### **Trade Execution**
- **Long Entry**: **104,018.6** (Limit order preferred for better fills).
- **Stop Loss**: **103,627.7** (~0.4% risk from entry).
- **Take Profit**:
- **TP1**: 104,809 (Partial close to secure profit).
- **TP2**: 105,179 (Runner position if momentum continues).
#### **Risk Management**
- **Do Not Risk More Than 1-2%** of capital per trade.
- Adjust position size if volatility expands.
#### **Chart Notes**
- **Green Zone**: New demand area (retest entry).
- **Red Line**: Invalidation level (stop loss).
- **Blue Arrows**: Expected price path.
---
### **Why This Setup?**
- **Trend Alignment**: Higher timeframe (HTF) bias remains bullish.
- **Order Block Confirmation**: Old resistance now acts as support.
- **Optimal R/R**: Favorable risk-reward with clear invalidation.
**Next Watch**: If BTC holds above **104K**, next target is **105.5K**.
$BTC go to 142000🪙 Bitcoin Analysis - Daily Timeframe
🚀 Entry Point:
The ideal buy entry is at $96,302, where we have a confluence of the 0.618 Fibonacci level, FVG, and a Breaker Block. This zone could trigger buy orders and potentially push Bitcoin towards the first target at its previous all-time high of $109,000, and ultimately to the final target at $142,650.
🔴 Critical Support:
The current support level is $93,947.
If a daily candle closes below this level, a bearish structure will form, opening the door for further decline to the next support at $85,000.
💡 Trading Signal: ❤️
Buy Limit: $96,302
Stop Loss: $93,347
Take Profit Targets: $109,000 - $142,000
🔵 Risk Management:
Risk only 1% of your capital in this trade.
Adjust margin size so that in case the stop loss is hit, your account loss will not exceed 1%.
This is a Swing Trade setup. Stay disciplined and manage your risk effectively. ✅
BTCUSDTPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Bitcoin (BTC): We Will Re-Test ATHs | Crazy VolatilityCrazy movement is happening in the markets recently, where we are once again seeing markets being driven by news and enthusiastic bullish movement.
As we mentioned yesterday, if we see a break of the liquidity zone near $99K, we will be retesting ATH most likely, and this is our view as of now. FOMO on the markets will lead the price to upper zones where, once back at ATH, we will be looking for MSB.
Of course, if we see strong dominance by buyers near the ATH, then $140K might be the next target, but nothing is confirmed yet; it is just a thought.
Swallow Academy
“+$25K Profit & Still Long – Don’t Chase, Trade Smart”Since the drop to 74K, we've seen an incredibly fast and powerful rally over the past month—and I’m currently sitting on a realized profit of over $25,000 during this move.
One of the most bullish signals in this entire structure is that since the reversal in April, we’ve never seen a proper correction or trend-reversing retracement. As I mentioned in previous updates, this shows exceptional strength and suggests the uptrend remains firmly intact.
In fact, we’re climbing without breaking any key lows—what I like to call a “step-by-step” grind upward. On higher time frames, these look like strong bullish candles, meaning more buyers than sellers, and aggressive market orders pushing price higher. That’s a characteristic of strong trends—remember that.
Now, with the historical ATH at $109,000 getting closer, I do not expect an immediate breakout to new highs. Instead, we might see a healthy consolidation—either price-wise or time-wise—around this major supply zone. This is not the time to FOMO in.
The recent surge was fueled by comments from President Trump, and that breakout candle was significant. But sharp moves often bring sharp corrections. If price pulls back to the 96–95K zone and finds support, that could be the base for a new push toward all-time highs.
If you’re not in a position right now:
🚫 Do NOT rush into the market.
We are at a spot where both a breakout and a reversal are possible. Whether you’re using the lower or higher time frame, wait for clear confirmation—a pullback, a base, a proper setup.
Look to long only after strong support is confirmed, or short if price keeps failing to break highs. Either way, keep a tight stop and let your winners run—there’s still opportunity here, but only with proper risk-reward.
I’ll say it again because it’s important:
If you missed this long, it’s okay.
The market will correct—whether sharply or slowly—and your edge is not in chasing, but in being ready. Don’t let impulsive trades erase your capital or your confidence.
Oh, and by the way—I’m still holding my long position.
Bitcoin Approaches Key Resistance: Pullback or Breakout?CRYPTO:BTCUSD
📈 Technical Analysis (description for the post):
On the daily chart of BTC/USDT, we can see that the price is once again approaching the psychological and structural resistance around 108,000 USDT, a level that previously acted as a strong rejection zone. Currently, Bitcoin is trading above the 150-period simple moving average (SMA150), which reinforces a short- to mid-term bullish outlook.
The MACD indicator shows a clear bullish continuation signal, although already in high territory. This could suggest some short-term consolidation before a solid breakout. If BTC manages to break above the 108,000 USDT level with strong volume, it could open the path to all-time highs.
The most relevant support remains near 74,500 USDT, a key level that served as the base of the latest upward move. This structure allows for trading strategies with a favorable risk-reward ratio, especially for swing traders.
📌 This analysis is created using tools similar to those we integrate into our AI systems for traders. If you're interested in automating your strategy or implementing virtual assistants into your trading platform or customer service, learn more at:
Bitcoin Analysis - 7 MayThe price continues to move within the range of $91,700 - $100,400.
In approximately 3 hours, the FED will announce its interest rate decision.
The expectation is for it to remain unchanged.
If it remains unchanged;
there could be a horizontal consolidation between 94,990 – 97,500.
If a breakout occurs, the upward movement will accelerate; otherwise, there could be a pullback to the 91,781 – 94,990 levels.
If the interest rate is reduced;
the psychological resistance at 100,400 USDT may be tested, and if surpassed, the target of 109,605 (ATH) comes into play.
If the interest rate is increased;
the supports at 94,990 USDT and below could be tested quickly.
The levels of 91,781 and 85,085 USDT become potential targets.
With stronger selling, the support zone at the 2024 ATH level of 73,776 USDT may come into play.
BTC Technical Market Update! $110,000?Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Market Update
Over the past several trading sessions, Bitcoin (BTC) has demonstrated a pattern of strength, particularly visible on the 4-hour chart. Price action has consistently respected the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones on this timeframe, taking support from these areas without breaching any significant downside levels. This repeated behavior indicates a strong underlying bullish sentiment, suggesting that market participants are actively defending key support zones.
Furthermore, Bitcoin recently approached a high-liquidity resistance zone—a level that historically acts as a supply barrier—and not only absorbed the liquidity but also decisively broke through it. This move implies that bullish momentum is firmly in control, and short-term resistance levels are being invalidated one after another. The market structure remains intact, with higher highs and higher lows supporting the current trend.
As of now, BTC has just bounced from a 4H FVG and is trading above that support. However, a short-term pullback remains possible. If such a retracement occurs, it is expected to revisit the next significant 4H FVG support zone, which lies approximately between $98,800 and $97,400. This area could act as a strong accumulation zone for buyers, potentially fueling another bullish wave. In the case of renewed upward momentum from this level, Bitcoin could target the $101,000 to $105,000 range in the short to mid-term.
Market participants are advised to remain cautious and observe price behavior as it unfolds in the coming days. Technical setups are aligning in favor of the bulls, but volatility may increase near key resistance and support levels. Always base your trades and investment decisions on thorough analysis, and keep in mind that no setup guarantees results.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please ensure you conduct your own independent research and analysis (DYOR) before making any trading or investment decisions.
BITCOIN short setup ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level.
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Disclaimer
BTC In my personal opinion, wave four has arrived. In my personal analysis, after the ascending channel breaks and returns to the ascending triangle, it can be said with certainty that wave 4 has begun. But where this wave will end cannot be said with certainty, but in the long-term analysis, wave 4 should not enter the ceiling of wave 2. If this happens, the rule of thumb is that the market will be bearish and it can be said with certainty that wave 5 is not in place. Currently, the trend is upward, the first target is 93310. The next target is 90473, which is a key and psychological support, the third target is 88181, which is 50% of the correction. And the target that Bitcoin will most likely not touch is 85887, which is the highest correction. Note: 83588, if Bitcoin falls below this number, wave 5 is no longer in place.
This is a completely personal opinion, not a buy or sell offer! Please do not enter into a trade with my analysis.
Thank you for sharing your opinions with me.
Here's a simply analysis on BTC.BTC Update:
BTC faced rejection after reaching $97.8k, and with the current price at $94.4k, it is now in Retest Range 1 between $92.5k and $94.5k. This range has previously shown multiple rebounds, but when compared with the RSI, the chances of further rejection appear higher.
In another scenario, if BTC fails to hold Retest Range 1, we may see it pulling back or retesting levels around $87k.
Be cautious with multiple long positions for now and always trade with a proper stop-loss.
Regards,
Dexter
BTC Elliott wave analysis 5/9/2025 (Big Picture)For me, I think that we are going to the End the wave 5 of the BTC Supercycle . As you can see , the wave that we are now have very small accumulation making it should be wave 5 rather than the begining of new cycle or the correction wave since both usually have large accumulation.The Gann fan suggest that the End of the wave 5 should be around 128,000$-132,000$. And after the time that it finish the wave 5 it would be coincided with the depression that many economist suggest that it would happen.Surprisingly, It also coinside with the Modern Elliott Wave theory suggesting that a Grand Supercycle wave five is nearing completion in the 21st century, likely leading to the deepest economic downturn since the 1700s.