Btcusdt 4hr tf scenarios.Two scenarios: green and red lines.
Green Line: A bounce and sustained recovery above the 100-day and 200-day daily moving averages is bullish.
Red Line: A bounce followed by a lack of momentum and a break below a previous low is bearish.
Long Horizontal Red Line: If the price reaches this area, it could signal the start of a downtrend unless new bullish fundamentals emerge.
My Point of View (POV): I am bearish, primarily due to the ongoing war, similar to the conflict that began between two other countries a year ago.
However, it's important to note that every crisis and recession has historically presented a buying opportunity for institutions and 'whales.' Therefore, be prepared with funds for dollar-cost averaging (DCA), then simply hold and forget. It is recommended to conduct backtesting and research to identify optimal buying areas. DCA is key. Only invest money you can afford to lose.
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin Short-Term Recovery Confirmed Bulls Win!Ranging markets/sideways markets is when traders lose the most money. Always keep this in mind.
» Short-term signals are pointing to a recovery right away.
» Bitcoin's drop wicked below the 13-June low but the RSI produced a higher low and thus we have a bullish divergence.
» Bitcoin's current drop went lower yet the chart reveals lower volume now compared to 13-June. This reveals weakness on the bear camp. This means a recovery will happen next, right away.
These are just a few signals but taken together with the altcoins analysis that I showed you and the bigger picture; Ha ha! The bulls win again.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Weekly, Not Good But... Opportunities AboundI cannot say about the weekly timeframe the same I said for the daily, the situation here is different. The chart looks bad. The weekly close changes nothing.
If Bitcoin moves and closes weekly above $106,000, this can be good news, but any trading below this level has bearish potential. It can be a period of bullish consolidation but the bearish potential cannot be ignored. So, I will keep it short. Bitcoin remains in doubt on the weekly timeframe.
Bullish above $100,000. Bearish below $100,000.
It has been six weeks with Bitcoin moving with basically no change.
Last week's action did produce some loses for some traders, but for us the market remains the same. We focus on the altcoins, ignore Bitcoin for now, there is no growth and the action is still happening near resistance; at short-term support but overall, closer to a top than a bottom. It is risky to say the least. Many altcoins are trading at bottom prices and growing strong. We go for the low risk vs high potential for reward chart setups. We don't mind the market shaking, evolving or reacting to some geopolitical event, we do care about making the right choices... Focus on the altcoins for now, and for long...
Hold on. I shall give you more information.
Bearish action is indeed present but still weak.
Bearish volume is very low.
The fact that more than 1B worth of leveraged positions were liquidated calls for a pause. Each and every time this amount of money is taken out of peoples hands and transferred to the exchanges, the market changes direction. Regardless of the signals, the bigger picture or the long-term. This is a huge transfer, the whales are getting richer, retail is getting rekt.
So, the market is likely to shake some more. This is only because Bitcoin is trading way too high and hasn't produced any significant retrace after considerable growth. Again, we buy those trading low near support. We sell those trading high near resistance. As long as this is the MO, we are sure to win in the long-run.
I wouldn't want to buy-long a project that is crashing when there are others growing, yet to grow and with huge potential for growth.
Remember, the market is big now, Bitcoin is very strong above 100K. It can happen that Bitcoin goes on a retrace while the altcoins move ahead. Money flowing out of the big projects reaches the smaller projects, classic bull market dynamic. Nothing surprising; opportunities are endless.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 7Title: Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 7
Post:
🌍📊 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 7 🧭🔥
This is it — Part 7 of our ongoing macro Bitcoin analysis — and this one is rooted in the three all-time trendlines that I’ve used for years to map out Bitcoin’s biggest moments.
We are now heading north, potentially to do something historic : test the upper trendline resistance for the third time . 📈
When Bitcoin does this, it tends to either break out massively ... or signal the end of a cycle . That’s why this zone — 114.5K to 115K — is critical . A successful breakout here and $100K becomes history . It would unleash Bitcoin into a new phase of its long-term bullish evolution. 🦅
On the flip side: this might also mark the final resistance of the current cycle . Either way, it’s a zone where serious decisions will be made — and manipulation will likely spike. 👀
🔑 Key Levels:
114,520–115,000 : Breakout zone — reclaim this and we’re headed higher.
97,770 : Key support — fail to hold, and we reassess the bullish case.
🎥 Want to better understand the levels in play? Watch my latest video idea, where I draw comparisons between BTC now and the Brexit 2016 setup. This will help you see why I’m preparing for major volatility . 🚀📈 Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!' 💥🇬🇧
I’ll post the video link below once live — keep an eye out for it!
👇 Previous post: “Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!’”
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
ps. Big breakout at 115k or end of cycle? I am hoping for the first!
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry The Stop Loss Triangle is back!
This time with BITSTAMP:BTCUSD coming off its recent impulse rally. For those of you that aren’t familiar with my strategy — let me start from the beginning…
This concept involves positioning against the opposing decline in price and time as a precursor to our theoretical projection. If the underlying enters our predetermined faded cross-section, the stop loss is triggered to prevent sideways consolidation and the erosion of contract premiums or leverage decay.
This inherently ‘sclene’ triangle is constructed by drawing a straight trend line through the bottoming reversal candle and the furthest projection in price and time symmetry (78.6%) of the retracement. Once connected, draw a vertically positioned straight line from the highest or lowest point in the previously identified retracement to the bottom reversal candle area once again. To create a ‘right triangle’, now turn 90 degrees towards the final point, which is determined by the nearest projection in price and time symmetry (38.2%). This allows time after the imposed price and time date, yet not enough for premium or leverage decay to become significant.
In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle.
I encourage my followers to identify and explore the system on their own. As always, feel free to ask me anything related to it. We’ll follow along and you’ll be amazed at the precision of Fibonacci symmetry.
CHEERS
Red or Blue?Hi there!
Price is at crucial level, and we have two high probability scenarios.
We have parallel channel and Fibonacci extension 100% now and Clear Blue ABC. Some rejection can happen from here to the upside or this is it and trend continuation can start!
Red scenario is deeper ABC to the cluster level of previous HH and Fibonacci 61.8 level little under Fibonnaci extension 161.8!
Good luck traders
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin has once again failed to break above its previous high and entered a corrective phase. The price is now moving within a channel and is approaching the lower boundary of that channel.
The correction is expected to continue toward the support zone and the bottom of the channel, where we may see buying interest and a bullish reaction.
If Bitcoin breaks above the channel resistance and key supply zone, it could trigger a strong upward move and lead to new all-time highs.
Key Note:
Price action near the channel support and demand zone will be crucial. A successful rebound from this area may signal the start of the next bullish leg.
Will Bitcoin hold the channel and bounce higher, or is a deeper correction ahead? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
#BTCUSDT Big Pump Next Hour - Bitcoin, BTCUSD, BTCUSDT 📉 Double Bottom Pattern Forming – Potential Reversal Setup
The current price structure is showing signs of a Double Bottom – a classic bullish reversal pattern. After an extended downtrend, this pattern suggests that the market may be preparing for a trend reversal from this key demand zone.
🔹 Trade Setup
Entry, Targets, and Stop Loss (SL) are marked on the chart.
Entry: Upon breakout confirmation above the neckline.
Stop Loss: Just below the recent swing low to manage downside risk.
Targets: Calculated using the measured move method from the bottom to the neckline .
🔹 Risk & Money Management (Professional Approach)
To maintain consistent profitability and protect capital, strict risk management is essential. For this setup:
🔸 Position Sizing: Based on a fixed % of total capital (typically 1–2% of account equity per trade).
🔸 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Minimum of 1:2, ideally higher.
🔸 Stop Loss Discipline: No arbitrary changes after entry. SL only adjusted for breakeven or trailing stops once price moves favorably.
🔸 Trade Management: Secure partial profits at key levels, trail stops as structure forms.
🔸 Capital Allocation: Avoid overexposure. Trade fits within overall portfolio strategy.
💬 Let the setup come to you. React, don’t predict.
🔁 Like, comment, or share your thoughts below!
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTO:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
#BTCUSDT: Major Bearish Correction?Bitcoin is currently undergoing a correction following its recent peak. While the initial price decline appeared insignificant, it has since experienced a substantial drop, suggesting a substantial volume of selling activity in the market.
We anticipate two potential areas where the price could reverse and resume its upward trajectory. These areas could lead to a price of 110,000, followed by 120,000, and ultimately reaching 150,000.
We strongly recommend that you implement rigorous risk management measures and conduct your own analysis before making any investment decisions.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
BTCUSDT – Rebound from trendline, targeting 115,300On the daily chart, BTCUSDT has bounced from a confluence support zone around 105,200, where the rising trendline meets the FVG, confirming that the bullish structure remains intact. The current price pattern suggests a continuation of the uptrend, with a short-term target at the 115,300 resistance zone — a level that has previously rejected price multiple times.
If this level is broken, momentum could extend toward the 120,000 area in the medium term. As long as the price holds above the trendline, the bullish outlook remains valid.
On the news front, market sentiment is improving as Bitcoin spot ETFs in the U.S. show signs of renewed inflows, coupled with growing expectations that the Fed might pause rate hikes due to recent signs of economic weakness.
BTC | At the Line Between ATH Expansion or Macro FlushBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bulls need to hold the $102k–$100.8k support and 1D 50MA for a shot at new highs.
– Wick into 1D FVG ($98k) is fine, but no daily close below 50MA allowed.
– Lose $100k? Then it’s sideline season — next real support only at $93k/$87k, macro flush risk toward $75k–$58k if momentum fails.
– As long as above 1D support/MA, there’s a chance for a clean ATH breakout from the OB under the highs.
This is the zone to bet on continuation. If not, don’t fight the trend lower.
[SeoVereign] Bitcoin Bearish Outlook – June 22, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update.
🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team.
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Currently, Bitcoin appears to have entered a downward phase based on the counting criteria. A movement breaking below the S1 support line has been detected, which I previously mentioned as a signal to consider a mid-to-short term bearish trend.
From a trend perspective, a bullish reversal has not yet occurred. The reason is that on the 20th, when the 105550 level was broken upward, a strong momentum-driven upward move did not follow. If a true trend reversal had occurred at that point, there should have been immediate strong buying pressure without a whipsaw movement after the breakout. However, the market quickly reversed downward, indicating that selling pressure still dominates.
At that point, I was preparing a long idea, but as the bearish trend became clear, I chose not to upload it. At the same time, the 1.414 butterfly pattern I personally developed was confirmed, further supporting the continuation of the downward trend.
As a result, I have continued to hold the Bitcoin short position that began with the idea on the 11th, and I plan to provide further analysis and idea updates as market movements unfold.
I wish you sound judgment in the market and continued good fortune.
BTC - LONG SET-UPBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin is currently testing its critical resistance level
If the price gets rejected here, the key support to watch is the $𝟏𝟎𝟏,𝟐𝟎𝟎 - $𝟏𝟎𝟐,𝟖𝟎𝟎 zone. This area represents a strong demand level where a potential buying opportunity could emerge.
For a trade setup based on this support, a strategic Stop Loss (SL) should be placed below the $𝟗𝟖,𝟎𝟎𝟎 mark to manage risk.
For now, patience is crucial. Keep a close eye on the price action
Waiting for the Liquidity Flush – Will We Get That Drop or a StoCurrently holding a short position and have been waiting for a decent liquidity flush towards my TP zone for almost a day now. The thing that bothers me is how slow the price action is—it's grinding lower, but at the same time, building up a new liquidity shelf just above my entry.
This makes me concerned that we might see a quick liquidity sweep to the upside (taking out stops, possibly including mine) before any real move down happens. The area around my TP is loaded with liquidity, but the market seems hesitant to make that push.
What’s your opinion—are we likely to get that clean drop soon, or should we brace for a fake-out and stop hunt first?
Bitcoin Recovers...What we've learned in the past few years is that Bitcoin's demand is just too strong. Retraces and corrections are no longer wild like before, these are limited and capped. Nobody wants to take the risk of selling too much and being left out or losing their Bitcoins for good, they are just too valuable. Many times more valuable than the USD Dollar or Gold. It is the most valuable asset in the whole digital world.
Other than food and toilet paper, nothing is more valuable than Bitcoin.
Technical analysis
Ok, let's focus on the chart.
The retrace has been ongoing for 31 days, since 22-May.
Total drop amounts to 12.33% (-12%).
The action moved below the 5-June low around $100,400. Bitcoin is now back above this level. Clearly showing that this is a stop-loss hunt event.
Stop-loss hunt and liquidity hunt because thousands, if not millions, of over-leveraged traders have been liquidated. They were betting on the wrong side short-term. Long-term yes, bullish is the trend, the direction and the win. Short-term, it was SHORT but not anymore.
Never trade with 20X that's crazy. Imagine going LONG 20X at the all-time high? Isn't that stupid?
I can bet you the same people didn't want to buy LONG when Bitcoin was trading at $75,000. In fact, I can bet that these people that just got liquidated were selling below $80,000 and buying LONG with 20X at $110,000. A recipe for disaster.
Anyway, I am calling it early. This is it, we are going up.
I got my signals, as you already know, from the altcoins.
If you agree boost and follow.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
$BTCUSD: Bull or bear?Choose your adventure gents...
If price breaks up today, it can ignite a daily timeframe trend signal pointing to a rally towards 114k within a few days.
If it breaks down, it will hit 96k within the next two weeks.
I've taken steps to reduce risk but I still trade futures actively in crypto pairs. There's good alpha in my long/short trading system and screening criteria, so I am comfortable trading it actively.
Current techo/fundamental juncture is risky, the way I see it, so if you haven't, maybe consider taking some profits, getting rid of leverage, trailing stops higher, etc.
Definitely not a time to be complacent with record exposure to US stocks from the public and foreigners, Gold hitting levels where it can purchase the same $ in real estate as in previous tops (1980, 2011), and companies buying into crypto to pump their failing business' stocks...to name a few red flags. There's some merit in long term bullish variables, but we might face some technical difficulties before that can materialize, and I rather be prepared by reducing risk in my long term exposure and max drawdown tolerance variables in my positioning and general strategy.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Up for BitcoinHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin made a small correction up and after that another drop just as I've said.
After it retested the Weekly FVG and broke the previous swing low it went impulsive up again.
This could be the next impulse wave to new ATH's. So wait for the correction down to finish and trade longs.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
BTC at the Crossroads — $91k Demand or Deeper Flush to $76k?🎯 BINANCE:BTCUSDT Trading Plan:
Scenario 1 — Bullish Reclaim:
If price reclaims 1D 50EMA and $104k, bias flips bullish; look for continuation toward ATHs
Scenario 2 — Base Case (Favored):
Remain patient for a move to $91k–$92k; swing-long setup on signs of strength or iH&S formation
If $91k–$92k holds, expect a summer rally and new ATHs later in 2025
Scenario 3 — Breakdown:
If $91k fails, prepare for deeper move to $73k–$76k; this is the “max long” zone if tested
Must hold here; below $73k–$76k, next support is $55k
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Long only above $104k + 1D 50EMA, or after bullish structure at $91k–$92k
Major long only on strong support at $76k, with clear confirmation
📝 Order Placement & Management:
Buy: On reclaim of $104k (trend confirmation) or at $91k–$92k with iH&S/reversal pattern
Backup Buy: If $76k is tagged with confirmation
Stops: Under $91k or $73k (based on entry)
Targets: New ATHs for late 2025
🚨 Risk Warning:
Losing $91k opens path to $76k; losing $76k is a major structure break
Don’t knife-catch — wait for confirmation at each level
BTC Flips Bullish Above $104k — 1D 50EMA & OB Cluster HoldCRYPTOCAP:BTC | #4h
Price reclaimed 1D 50EMA & $104k after a clean bounce from 1D FVG ($98k).
As long as $104k and the 4h OB cluster hold, lower targets are off the table.
Maintaining bullish bias toward $106k+.
Lose $104k? Bull plan is invalid, reassess for lower.