BTC - SHORT TERM DIRECTIONSelling wick on the 12-hour candle confirms strong resistance around the $96K– GETTEX:97K zone.
We may see a short-term dip towards $95K–$94K, but it’s really nothing to worry about.
While BTC searches for support, altcoins are likely to take advantage of this consolidation phase and rally. I don’t expect BTC’s short-term movement to significantly impact altcoin performance. It would only become a major influence if Bitcoin were showing signs of a long-term bearish trend — which it’s not.
No concern here — just keeping you all informed on BTC’s price action, as always.
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTC - Ready for a breakout?Hey traders and investors!
On the 10-day chart, an intriguing situation is unfolding.
Sellers tested the Key Candle of the previous accumulation breakout — level 89,256, and the buyer’s initiative resumed.
Then, a manipulation (false breakout) occurred at the 89,256 test level. Volumes reveal the narrative: sellers sold off at high volumes, while buyers absorbed on declining volumes.
Now, a buyer zone has formed below, with the upper boundary at 99,475.
Just a few steps away from the ATH. A pullback is always possible, but for now, there are no signs of weakness (even a pullback to 89,256 wouldn't disrupt the bullish structure).
Now, the main question:
💡 How far up? +30,000?
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
+$30K Unrealized | Still Long, Is ATH Next?Even after the strong rally that pushed Bitcoin past the 100K level, the price continues to hold critical support zones without breaking recent lows. We're seeing a steady, stair-step climb ("grinding higher")—absorbing previous supply through sideways consolidation while still making higher highs.
After forming a local high near 105,000, we’ve seen some pullback—but so far, there’s been no breakdown of major support, especially on lower timeframes. The structure still favors continuation to the upside, and the broader uptrend from the 74K–83K zone remains intact.
That said, we haven’t seen any major correction yet. With the market now testing the final supply zone before all-time highs, failure to break out could trigger a wave of profit-taking. This could lead to short-term selling from traders who bought lower, anticipating new highs.
We're now in a zone where volatility can spike in both directions, making it a tough area for clean entries. Long positions may feel risky due to the high level, and shorting too early might get squeezed out by another high. But this environment also presents great short-term opportunities—as long as you're quick and manage risk tightly.
If the current bounce fails to break above 105K, it may signal a larger corrective move. The first support zone to watch is 103K, followed by 99K. Even if price pulls back to these levels, the overall trend may still be valid—these are key zones where the uptrend could resume.
At this point, we must observe whether this bounce leads to further continuation or becomes a “trap” before a larger move down. If price holds the previous supply zones as support, we could see another leg up. If not, a deeper retracement may unfold.
This is also a zone where many traders may FOMO in, expecting an immediate breakout, only to get caught in a fakeout or shakeout. Personally, I think the market is more likely to test this final supply zone with increased volatility and a deeper correction before making a real move to new all-time highs. Risk management is crucial here.
We’ve had a strong rally with no significant retracements, and while the uptrend may continue, failure to break out soon—or if profit-taking kicks in—could lead to meaningful corrections. Be prepared.
To summarize, we are in a very important decision zone:
Will price continue holding the lows and grind higher to new ATHs,
or will it reject from supply and trigger a larger retracement?
Whatever happens next, don't rush into a position out of fear of missing out.
Wait for structure, wait for confirmation, and remember: entering one step later at a better level is far better than entering too soon and getting stopped out.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Resumption of a Full Bullish Trend
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with the daily analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin finally broke the previous high. There was no false breakout or seller defense on higher timeframes, so the uptrend continues.
The next target is $105,000.
A local support zone has formed at $98,000–$97,200 after the breakout. So far, there are no signs of seller presence, but low volume remains a concern. Any strong surge in seller activity could trigger a significant correction.
Resistance zones:
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Support zones:
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
Level $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTCUSDT hit take profit.Although the trade took a bit longer to play out, as always, BTC delivered solid profits. This will be my first and last trade of the day.
I'll be back to share new opportunities tomorrow if the market presents them, traders.
Wishing you all profitable days — much love to each of you! 🙂
Buy Ops on BTC/tether Perpetual Futures H4As the current Market structure indicates a bullish price action as price makes Higher Highs and Lows, A visible POI is the Demand zone that broke structure to the upside, and has liquidity sitting pretty around the 95,740 area. Possible entry level at 95,085 with SL at 92,848 just below the current low, and TP at 104,881.... in anticipation to take out the current high of the structure......
Of course, DYOR......
The price of Bitcoin will rise to 140K!!Entry Point:
The ideal buy entry is at $96,302, where we have a confluence of the 0.618 Fibonacci level, FVG, and a Breaker Block. This zone could trigger buy orders and potentially push Bitcoin towards the first target at its previous all-time high of $109,000, and ultimately to the final target at $142,650.
🔴 Critical Support:
The current support level is $93,947.
If a daily candle closes below this level, a bearish structure will form, opening the door for further decline to the next support at $85,000.
💡 Trading Signal: ❤️
Buy Limit: $96,302
Stop Loss: $93,347
Take Profit Targets: $109,000 - $142,000
Bitcoin Local TopBitcoin: rally meets resistance
Context
• April low: $74 000 → today’s high: $101 200 (+37 %)
• 90‑day pause on new US tariffs lifted risk assets; FOMC left rates at 4.25‑4.50 % with real yields still > 2 %
• Active conflicts in Ukraine, Gaza and the South China Sea keep macro‑volatility elevated
Flows
• US spot‑ETF complex: cumulative net inflow $40.7 bn, AUM $106 bn
• BlackRock’s IBIT: 15 consecutive inflow days, $6.96 bn YTD
• MicroStrategy: bought 15 355 BTC (~$1.42 bn) last week, now holds 553 k BTC
Technical focus (2‑hour chart)
• Price is 11 % above the rising trendline from 1 May
• Key confluence: $101 700 – $103 000 (0.27 Fib plus unfilled weekly supply)
• First support: $97 000 – $98 000; major demand: $92 000
• Mean‑reversion target if momentum breaks: $86 000
• Invalidation of pullback view: daily close above $103 500
Base case
60 % probability of a retest of $92–97 k before any sustained advance
30 % chance of a deeper wash to $86 k
10 % chance of a clean breakout through $103 k toward $109 k+
Takeaways
• Long‑only allocators: add on a confirmed weekly close above $103 k; risk below $98 k
• Swing traders: fade spikes above $102 k toward $97 k; tighten stops if daily > $103 k
• Spot accumulators: schedule bids at $92 k and $86 k; avoid chasing upside extensions
Educational commentary, not investment advice. Manage position size and respect stops.
Bullish on $BTC🧠 Wyckoff Overview
🔻 This chart follows Accumulation Schematic #1 in Wyckoff theory.
🔻 The Spring phase (Phase C) is confirmed.
🔻 BTC has broken out from the accumulation zone.
🔻 We are now in Phase D, expecting a move into Phase E (new ATH).
📊 Technical Details
🔻 Accumulation zone: Around $72,000 – $88,000.
🔻 Spring (Phase C): A fakeout happened near $68,000, matching Wyckoff structure.
🔻 Breakout is confirmed after price moved above the downtrend line and Ichimoku cloud.
🔻 Main resistance: $95,000 – currently testing the supply zone.
🔻 Target: If breakout continues, BTC could reach a new ATH above $110,000.
📈 RSI and Volume
🔻 RSI at 66.71: Not overbought yet, still has room to go up.
🔻 Volume is increasing along with the breakout → shows strong buying pressure.
🎯 Personal Prediction
🔻 If BTC holds above $92,000 – $95,000 and continues to consolidate:
→ Short-term goal: $100,000
→ Mid-term goal (Wyckoff Phase E): $110,000 – $112,000
"New Hampshire Launches First State Crypto Reserve"On May 7, 2025, the state of New Hampshire made history by becoming the first U.S. state to legally establish a cryptocurrency reserve. This groundbreaking move allows up to 5% of the state’s treasury funds to be allocated to digital assets, starting with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies boasting a market capitalization exceeding $500 billion.
Why Is This Important?
Until now, even the most crypto-friendly states in the U.S. have limited themselves to business incentives and relaxed mining regulations. New Hampshire has taken a much bolder step by equating cryptocurrencies to traditional reserve assets like gold and treasury bonds. By doing so, it is effectively recognizing crypto as a long-term financial instrument and a hedge against macroeconomic volatility.
This means the state can use cryptocurrency holdings to diversify its financial base, preserve value, and potentially improve budget flexibility during economic shifts.
Security and Storage
The newly passed legislation specifies that crypto assets must be held either in certified custodial wallets or via regulated exchange-traded products (ETPs) approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This ensures a high level of security and regulatory compliance. In addition, the law mandates that crypto assets must be held for a minimum of 24 months to discourage short-term speculation.
Federal Context and Reactions
While President Trump has proposed the creation of a federal “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” the initiative has yet to be implemented. New Hampshire’s move places it ahead of the federal government and presents a model of state-level innovation in fiscal policy.
Many analysts believe this decision could lead to a wave of similar measures in other states, particularly those already supportive of blockchain technology, such as Texas, Wyoming, and Florida.
Potential Benefits
Economists say that integrating digital assets into the public financial system could help protect state funds against inflation, foster technological innovation, and attract new businesses and investors.
The move also sends a message to private sector players: New Hampshire is ready to embrace the future of finance. This could accelerate the migration of blockchain startups, fintechs, and institutional capital to the state.
Criticism and Concerns
As expected, not everyone supports the initiative. Critics argue that investing public money in such volatile assets is premature and risky, especially given the lack of federal regulation and the possibility of sharp market downturns. Some fear political fallout if the investment underperforms.
There are also concerns about transparency and the mechanisms for evaluating which digital assets qualify under the new framework, as only tokens with extremely high market caps are currently eligible.
Conclusion
By creating a cryptocurrency reserve, New Hampshire has taken a bold and symbolic step toward modernizing state finance. It may be too early to gauge the long-term outcome, but the state has clearly positioned itself as a leader in government-level crypto adoption. What began as a local initiative could soon become a national trend.
Bitcoin: Sellers Still Holding Their GroundHey traders and investors!
On the daily and weekly timeframes – sideways ranges (boundaries marked in black on the chart). The current initiative is from the seller.
📌 Yesterday, the seller made an effort to push the price down — this shouldn't be ignored.
📊 Targets on the chart:
Weekly TF: 96,500
Daily TF: 89,256
10-day TF: 99,475 (upper boundary of the buyer zone)
Although I expect the price to continue moving up, it's not advisable to look for buy setups until clear signs of buyer strength appear.
🚨 Selling is risky (details in the post about the 10-day TF).
👀 Observing.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Phemex Analysis #80: Can Bitcoin Hold $100k?Bitcoin’s breakout above the $100,000 mark on May 8, 2025—its highest level since early January—reflects renewed risk-on sentiment across global markets, supported by easing U.S.-China tension and expectations of favorable crypto regulation. Spot ETF flows have also played a pivotal role: U.S. Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated over $1 billion in net inflows this month, with BlackRock’s IBIT leading demand, underpinning liquidity in the $100k zone. Despite the enthusiasm, trading volumes on leading exchanges have shown signs of plateauing, hinting at cautious engagement from larger players.
Possible Scenario
Support Analysis
1. $100,000 Psychological Support
After initially spiking to $105,784, BTC retreated to hover just above $100k, which has transitioned into a crucial support level. A decisive hold here would confirm buyer conviction at round-number thresholds.
$97,000 Major Technical Floor: Beneath six figures, the $97,000 region—previously a resistance zone in April—now offers strong demand, reinforced by the convergence of the 50- and 100-day moving averages.
$92,000 Secondary Support: Should broader market risk aversion emerge, traders could see a retracement back to $ 92K, where on-chain data indicates accumulation by long-term holders. This level aligns with the 200-day moving average, often cited as a bear-market safeguard.
2. ETF-Driven Cushion
Spot ETF inflows continue to absorb sell-side pressure, potentially dampening volatility around support levels. Historical data shows ETFs acted as a buffer during the March sell-off, suggesting they may again prevent sharp dives if BTC dips towards $90k–$100k.
Resistance Analysis
1. $105,000 Near-Term Cap
BTC peaked at approximately $105,784 on May 12, encountering supply from short-term profit-takers. A close above this region would target the early-2025 all-time high near $109,917.
2. $109,917 All-Time High
Surpassing the January ATH at $109k remains a key objective for bulls. However, historical patterns reveal increasingly subdued momentum on successive tests of this level, indicating potential exhaustion if attempted too quickly.
3.Upside Target $120,000
Most Analysts highlight a possible extension to $120k should institutional demand persist and macro conditions remain supportive.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s ability to hold the $100,000 mark hinges on its capacity to stave off profit-taking around headline-grabbing price points and sustain ETF-driven support. Key technical floors at $100k and $ 97K—reinforced by moving-average convergence—provide a strong base, while resistance levels at $105k and the all-time high near $109.6k represent the next hurdles. If these zones are negotiated successfully, a new leg toward $120k could unfold; if not, traders should watch for a pullback to the mid-$90,000 range for renewed entries.
Overall, barring sudden negative macro shocks, the outlook favors BTC maintaining its foothold at six figures, underpinning continued upside momentum.
Pro Tips:
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Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Manifestation Manifestation generally refers to the act of making something visible or real, often through the application of visualization, affirmation, and positive thinking, in the belief that this will increase its likelihood of happening. It can also describe the outward expression of something, like a disease, or a public demonstration.
Bitcoin resilience and momentum toward new highs?Bitcoin has demonstrated notable resilience in recent days, with price action maintaining a strong upward trajectory that suggests the potential for a move toward new all-time highs. This bullish momentum has persisted despite key resistance levels, signaling continued market strength.
Key Points to Consider:
- Bullish Market Structure**: The broader market continues to exhibit a bullish structure, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. This reinforces the ongoing uptrend and suggests that market participants remain optimistic.
- Key Highs Remain Intact**: Previous significant highs have not been breached to the downside, preserving the integrity of the bullish trend. This structural consistency indicates a healthy and sustainable rally.
- $104,300 – Major High Timeframe Resistance**: This level represents the last major resistance on the higher timeframes. A decisive break and close above this point would likely confirm a bullish continuation and open the door for price discovery beyond historical highs.
If buyers can sustain this momentum, the likelihood of a bullish expansion significantly increases. Importantly, there have been no clear signs of weakness — such as strong rejections or bearish reversal patterns — suggesting that market confidence remains robust.
Price action has consistently displayed strength, even at historically significant resistance zones. The absence of notable rejection at these levels is particularly telling, as it reflects strong demand and buying pressure. Such behavior often precedes continuation moves, provided volume supports the breakout.
A true corrective move or market pullback is likely to occur only after a **climactic volume node**, where excessive buying activity may lead to short-term exhaustion. Until then, the current trend appears well-supported by bullish sentiment.
However, **vigilance is crucial**. Once a correction does materialize — which is inevitable in any trending market — it may present a valuable "buy the dip" opportunity. During such phases, identifying and monitoring **key support zones** becomes critical to assessing the health of the trend and spotting optimal re-entry points.
Outlook:
For now, the momentum remains bullish, and higher prices are likely in the immediate short term. The market structure, strength at resistance, and absence of bearish signals all point toward the potential for further upside. Still, staying prepared for a correction and having a clear strategy for when it arrives will be essential for capitalizing on the next phase of the market cycle.
BTC Testing Critical Reclaim Zone on the 3D Chart
🚀 BTC 3D Timeframe Insight
📈 Bitcoin is pushing back into the upper region of its parallel channel, showing renewed strength after recent sideways action.
🛡️ Key Support Zone: Holding above the 99,500 – 100,500 area is vital for bulls to keep momentum alive.
⚠️ A solid close above this range could unlock the next leg up—continuation depends on this level holding firm.
👀 Price action around this zone will decide the next move—stay alert!
BITCOIN ( Is this the final DIP ? )I bought the dip but it just keeps dipping!
it's time to put on my bear glasses and check this ponzi chart !! oh yeah
As you can see in these patterns the moments everyone ready for breakout, bitcoin dumps to another lower level and kills all hopium that moonboyz, frog army and GM gurus got
if you think that you are person who manage to buy the exact number at dip you are wrong too, like people who bought at 60k and had plan to sell at 90k
RSI looks bearish like the pattern , I start shorting at 17490 and not going to close it till 16950$
If you got crypto on Huobi and Gemini exchange watch out too
funds are NOT safu
Bitcoin long Long setup for those who believe that btc breaks all time highs.
If Btc does what it is doing , she will not let you buy the dips , because dips will be pretty small.
I think 101500$ might be a nice area to place a long order followed by another one at 99k.
Let us see what this month will bring on the table.
BTCUSDT: Safe Zone Vs Risk Zone, Which one would you choose? Dear Traders,
WE have possible buying opportunities, with the first entry, the only reason that we think that price would reverse is, possible end of year bullish push which may take price to another record higher high. Although, since the price already has rejected we think price is unlikely to reject at the level, and may drop to 75k region.
good luck.