BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
A massive f-you move from BTC....??Takes out the relative equal lows of Monday's range.
Bulls get wiped out.
$100K Bitcoin Within Days » Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (S5)Bitcoin is now bullish confirmed with a break above $97,000. Today Bitcoin trades at the highest price since late February 2025, and it is set to continue growing and growing aiming next at a break and challenge of 100K.
As soon as 100K is conquered, the Altcoins will go wild.
Which pair is your favorite Altcoin right now?
Let's start Session 5 of Your Top Altcoin Choice.
» Leave a comment with your preferred Altcoin trading pair and I will reply to your comment with a full analysis.
» We will do one pair per user/commentator.
Feel free to ask any questions.
Bitcoin is bullish now and set to grow long-term. The next All-Time High can happen around $160,000 just as it can be $180,000 or $250,000. Patience is key.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC - The Perfect Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The picture says it all!
🔄Is history about to repeat itself?
If so, we are currently in Phase 2. 📈
What’s next? A dip toward the $87,000 - $88,000 zone would be the perfect retest to look for trend-following longs and expect the start of Phase 3.
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bitcoin may rebound from seller zone and start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. In the past, the price had been consolidating within a broad range, repeatedly rejecting support and resistance zones. The buyer zone between 79100 - 80300 provided a strong base, and from there, BTC began to grow, forming a bullish structure that led into an upward wedge. This growth accelerated once the price broke through the support area and continued upward until it approached the resistance level at 95500, which also overlaps with the seller zone. As the price moved inside the wedge, the bullish impulses weakened. Buyers lost strength near the resistance line of the wedge, and recent price action suggests that sellers are stepping in at the top. We’ve now seen multiple failed attempts to break higher, and the price is consolidating under resistance, forming pressure to the downside. This entire consolidation near the wedge resistance, especially inside a confirmed seller zone, indicates a likely reversal. The current structure shows signs of exhaustion, and if the support line of the wedge breaks, that would trigger a significant correction. Given this context, I expect BTC can make a bearish move toward TP1 at 91500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin is poised for a 95K breakout. 100K target?After a fairly rapid growth (rally) bitcoin did not correct, the price could not reach 0.382 within the local correction, the range is squeezed between resistance and 0.236, which indicates a bullish interest in the current situation
The price has been in consolidation for the last 4-5 days. This is enough to break the resistance at 95600 and give us a good momentum.
Scenario: If bitcoin continues to slowly and gradually approach the 95600 resistance, there is a high probability of triggering a crowd when the resistance is broken, which will push the price to 100K.
Bitcoin update 10.04.2025 - BTC - 98k in May🔥 The Markets Are on Fire — and We Know Who Lit the Match.
The last few weeks have been pure chaos.
Markets are crashing, confidence is shaking, and crypto is confused.
And let’s not pretend we don’t know who’s behind it.
Donald Trump.
Even a Korean guy selling panda souvenirs on the street told me:
“This Trump is ruining everything.”
And he’s not wrong.
Billions wiped. Positions wrecked.
But here’s the thing — this isn’t random. This is tactical drama.
Trump sees himself as a master negotiator, and here’s how he plays the game:
🎭 The Trump Cycle (Get Ready for the Loop)
Pressure — tariffs, chaos, media hysteria. We’ve seen it.
Relaxation — 90-day delays, fake calm.
Talks — and boom, “positive developments.”
Good News —
• “Bitcoin added to U.S. reserves.” in MAY?
• “Americans to receive new stimulus.”
• “China’s our friend again!”
Charm & Flirt Mode — improving global relations, smiling at cameras.
More good news — stock markets fly, crypto rips and everyone screams, “New bull run!”
And then?
💥 Back to pressure.
📆 September 2025 is the punchline.
That's when this cycle hits the weaker economies like a freight train:
✅ Broken supply chains
✅ Collapsing currencies
✅ Defaults
✅ And where there’s chaos — there’s war. Expect escalation in fragile regions like the Middle East.
✅ Crude oil falling to 40$
Markets will top on pure euphoria.
The reversal begins when everyone’s drunk on hopium and “good news”.
💼 My Plan? Ruthlessly Simple:
🔹 May I will participate in the first Offline/Online International Crypto Trading Cup 2025 by WhiteBIT
🔹Jun-August -Euphoria in the market
🔹 September - Take profits
🔹 Either short — or sip something cold on a quiet beach. But we will see
We’ve officially entered the Turbulence Zone.
The following 10 years will be insane — for those who adapt, evolve, ride the trends, and harness AI and tech.
If not?
You get left behind.
It’s not the strongest who survive — it’s the fastest to adapt.
Best regards, EXCAVO
Bitcoin is at a critical decision pointBitcoin:
Currently, Bitcoin is at a key resistance zone around the $97,500 level, which holds significant technical importance as it has acted as a price barrier multiple times in the past. In a bullish scenario, if Bitcoin manages to decisively break through this resistance and stabilize above this level, a strong upward movement could begin. With increased trading volume and buyer support, the price could target the next level at around $115,000. This scenario is particularly likely if positive fundamental factors, such as favorable news regarding Bitcoin adoption or improving macroeconomic conditions, support this move.
However, in a bearish scenario, if Bitcoin fails to overcome the $97,500 resistance and faces selling pressure, a price correction becomes more probable. In this case, the first significant support level is around $92,000, which could serve as an initial correction target. If selling pressure persists and this level is breached, the next support lies at approximately $89,500, which may act as a temporary price floor. Given the current market conditions and recent volatility, my personal view leans more toward a potential price decline, as technical factors and market uncertainty may strengthen sellers.
Risk Warning: Investing and trading in the cryptocurrency market involves high risk. Prices can be highly volatile, leading to significant profits or losses. Please conduct thorough research and seek professional financial advice before making any trading decisions. This analysis is solely a personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. You are solely responsible for any trading decisions you make.
Good luck
Pooya Salehipour
BTC - Is this rally sustainable and what to expect?In the past two days, Bitcoin has experienced an impressive surge in price, exploding from around 85k to over 94k, showing strong bullish momentum. This rapid movement has certainly caught the attention of many traders and investors. However, while the price action has broken through previous lower highs, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment, it's crucial to approach this rally with caution.
Although the recent price increase indicates that bullish momentum is in play, it's important not to overlook the possibility of a short-term pullback or consolidation. The market has shown volatility before, and while breaking the lower-high structure is a positive sign, it doesn’t necessarily guarantee sustained upward movement.
In this analysis, I will dive deeper into the current price action and what it means for BTC short-term outlook. We’ll explore the factors to watch in the coming days and the potential risks that could challenge the bullish trend.
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What will we discuss:
- Golden Pocket fibonaccy with resistance
- Point of Control
- Stochastic RSI
- The deathcrosses
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Golden Pocket fibonaccy with resistance
The golden pocket Fibonacci zone (0.618–0.65), measured from the highs to the lows on the higher timeframe, is located between 96,450 and 97,580. This area aligns with a key resistance level that previously triggered a strong move down in BTC. The golden pocket often acts as a strong rejection zone, and bears are likely to try defending this level again. So be careful on how price will move into this level and how it reacts.
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Point of control (POC)
The Point of Control (POC) for the entire trading range from November to the present is located precisely at 96,450. This level is particularly significant as it aligns with multiple technical factors, creating a strong confluence zone. Not only does it coincide with a well-established resistance area that previously initiated a sharp move to the downside, but it also sits within the golden pocket Fibonacci.
The POC marks the price level where the highest volume of trading activity has occurred during this entire range, indicating a strong area of interest for both buyers and sellers. High-volume nodes like this often act as magnets for price and tend to offer either strong support or resistance depending on the context. In this case, with the POC positioned within a broader resistance zone, it becomes an even more formidable barrier.
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Stochastic RSI
The Stochastic RSI on the daily timeframe is currently in the overbought zone, where it has remained for approximately 10 consecutive days. This prolonged stay in overbought territory suggests that bullish momentum may be weakening and the indicator is beginning to show signs of exhaustion.
Typically, when the Stochastic RSI hovers in this upper range for an extended period without a meaningful pullback, it signals that a reversal or at least a slowdown in the prevailing trend could be imminent. The oscillator appears to be running out of steam, and barring a sudden surge in buying pressure, it is likely to start curling downward in the coming days or within the next week.
This could imply a shortterm correction is luring.
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Deathcrosses this cycle
A deathcross is a bearish technical indicator (lagging) that occurs when a shorter-term (50-day MA) crosses below the longer-term (200-day MA).
Deathcross 1
At the time of the first death cross, the price of BTC had already formed a local low before the crossover occurred. Following the death cross, BTC experienced what is commonly referred to as a "death cross rally" — a counterintuitive move where price rallies shortly after the bearish signal.
This rally was significant, as it broke short-term market structure to the upside and eventually found support at the 50-day MA, the same level that previously acted as resistance. That support held, even during a brief rejection, and marked a key shift in momentum.
From there, BTC continued its upward move and eventually went on to make new highs, effectively invalidating the immediate bearish expectations typically associated with a death cross.
Deathcross 2
The second death cross in this cycle occurred after Bitcoin had already established a local low and began moving back upward toward the death cross. Initially, BTC struggled to break above the 50-day MA, but it eventually managed to push through.
However, this time, during the subsequent correction, Bitcoin was unable to hold the 50-day MA as support. Instead, it formed a higher low, indicating a shift in market dynamics and suggesting that the selling pressure may have been weakening. This higher low marks a crucial point in the price structure, as it hints at potential bullish momentum building, despite the earlier bearish signal from the death cross.
Deathcross 3
This time, the low was established right at the moment of the death cross, and BTC began to move upward immediately after the crossover occurred. After initially struggling to break above the 50-day MA, BTC surged higher and managed to surpass both the 50-day and 200-day MA.
Currently, BTC is facing strong resistance at these levels. The question now is whether BTC will correct and find support at the 50-day MA once again, as it did during the first instance, or if it is aiming to form a higher low, similar to the second occurrence.
In both scenarios, Bitcoin has historically experienced a pullback after a few days of upward movement, so a correction at this point would not be surprising.
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BTC New Update (8H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous scenario, we considered that Bitcoin was in a diametric where wave E had extended. However, after reviewing the charts and analyzing various scenarios, we decided to revise the wave count as shown in this update, since wave E of the previous diametric scenario became overly extended.
You can see the complete wave count of the chart in this update. The correction in Bitcoin started from the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart. This correction was a diametric and ended where the green arrow is placed.
From the point where the green arrow is shown on the chart, Bitcoin's bullish wave has started, which is either wave A or W.
According to this scenario, the expected rejection zone should be between 98K and 103K.
The lowest-risk area for price rejection is the red box.
A daily candle close above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Let’s see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Breakout confirmation: A daily close above $98K with strong vol📋 Trade Plan
Long bias remains valid above $93.5K.
Breakout confirmation: A daily close above GETTEX:98K with strong volume targets the $102.5K level.
Pullback Buy Zone: $93.5K–$94.5K if price respects support.
Caution: Overbought oscillators combined with resistance suggest a short-term pullback risk before continuation.
🟢 Long bias intact above $93.5K
🔴 Avoid fresh longs here. Wait for either breakout above GETTEX:98K or dip to support
🎯 Target: $102.5K on breakout
🛑 Invalidation: Close below $93.5K
BTC/USDTMACROSENTIMENT
Macrosentiment Analysis – BTC/USDT
Current Market Structure:
Bitcoin appears to have found a strong bottom around the $74,000 level, which historically has acted as a key support zone. This area was anticipated months ago as a likely retest zone in the event of a correction — specifically between $70,000 to $75,000. We are now beginning to see bullish candles forming, signaling renewed momentum.
📈 Upside Targets:
If bullish momentum continues and volume sustains, BTC is potentially on track to climb toward the $140,000–$150,000 range as the ultimate macro target.
However, several key resistance levels need to be broken first:
$88,000 – Major immediate resistance
$95,000 – Secondary resistance
$100,000 – Psychological and historical milestone; likely to be the toughest barrier
It's important to note:
➡️ Without a clear breakout above $88,000, BTC will struggle to approach $95,000
➡️ Without breaching $95,000, we are unlikely to challenge the $100,000 level
📉 Downside Support Levels:
In case of a pullback, the key support levels to monitor are:
$85,000 – Currently holding
$80,000
$74,000
$70,000
Breaking below any of these levels would signal a weakening structure and could suggest the formation of lower lows and a shift toward a bearish trend.
📌 Summary / My View:
BTC remains in an uptrend, with this week’s candle opening green, and the $85,000 support holding firm — both are strong bullish signs.
Volume remains the primary driver of continuation.
Until we clear $88,000, the upside remains limited.
📍Implication for Altcoins:
Since many traders gauge BTC’s momentum to time their altcoin entries:
✅ I have personally entered a few altcoin positions based on current bullish confirmation.
The market structure suggests growing strength and increased risk-on behavior.
[BTC] 2025.04.18Greetings. It’s a pleasure to reconnect with you.
Before diving into altcoin analysis, we believe it is essential to first address Bitcoin, as it remains the key driver in determining the overall market direction.
Since the beginning of 2025, Bitcoin has been in a prolonged consolidation phase accompanied by a downward trend. In an effort to identify a potential bottom for this correction, we have closely monitored the market over the past three months.
Initially, our team identified the period around March 10 as a likely inflection point for a bullish reversal and prepared a related analysis idea. However, we refrained from publishing it, as the movements of key altcoins—which typically serve as leading indicators—did not align with our internal criteria.
As anticipated, the market went on to form another low. We now believe that April 7 marked not just a temporary bounce, but a potential structural pivot point in the broader trend.
The rationale behind this assessment is outlined in detail below. We appreciate your time and hope you find the insights valuable.
We believe the logical starting point is to examine the key highs that have formed during this cycle.
Among the two major peaks—referred to here as “Point 1” and “Point 2”—it is critical to determine which marks the termination of the fifth wave. This distinction plays a pivotal role in accurately interpreting the subsequent wave structure.
If Point 1 is the conclusion of the fifth wave, then Point 2 can be naturally understood as the terminal point of a corrective B wave.
Conversely, if Point 2 represents the end of the fifth wave, then the decline that followed is likely the beginning of a corrective A wave.
To validate this, we conducted a detailed analysis based on Fibonacci retracement and extension ratios. The results showed that Point 2 did not align well with any major wave theory frameworks. Its price structure and time proportion appeared incomplete and inconsistent.
In contrast, Point 1 exhibited a high degree of confluence with multiple classical wave theories, including Glenn Neely’s NEoWave principles. Structurally, it demonstrated the typical characteristics of a completed five-wave advance.
Based on this evidence, we conclude that Point 1 is the more valid candidate for the fifth wave termination. Consequently, we believe any analysis of the current market structure should build upon this interpretation.
To further clarify the interpretation of the key peak,
we present two possible scenarios using Fibonacci ratios as the analytical foundation.
These scenarios are illustrated as the red path and the blue path,
each representing a different wave development depending on the subsequent market movement.
However, the key takeaway is that both scenarios converge on a single conclusion:
“Point 1” marks the completion of a full wave cycle,
and can thus be identified as the termination point of the fifth wave.
While the detailed wave progression may evolve depending on how the market unfolds,
recognizing that a major top has already been established is essential for shaping any mid-to-long-term strategy.
This structural understanding serves as a critical anchor in the broader market outlook.
Having previously identified “Point 2” as the likely termination of the B wave,
our current focus shifts to pinpointing the end of the C wave—
in other words, the optimal buying zone within the corrective structure.
Our team initially regarded the period around March 10 as a strong candidate for the conclusion of the C wave.
However, due to insufficient synchronicity across the broader market—
particularly the lack of confirmation from key altcoins—
we concluded that this point did not represent a genuine inflection.
※ Our analysis is based not on individual coins but on a comprehensive structural assessment of the overall market.
As a result, we extended our observation period.
A clear and confident reversal signal was finally detected around April 7.
In hindsight, the March 10 low proved to be a false bottom, marked only by a temporary rebound,
whereas the true structural pivot materialized in early April.
With this in mind, we believe the market is now entering a phase where a full wave reversal is plausible,
and it is time to begin formulating a strategic entry plan in alignment with this outlook.
Now, let us evaluate whether the second low (April 7)
qualifies as the true termination point of the C wave.
From a technical standpoint, the preceding decline exhibits the hallmarks of an Ending Diagonal—
a classic pattern frequently observed at the conclusion of C waves.
This structure serves as a strong technical signal that the wave sequence is entering its final stage,
indicating not just a temporary rebound, but the potential for a structural trend reversal.
Considering both the wave characteristics and the timing context,
we believe there is sufficient evidence to regard the April 7 low not merely as a short-term bottom,
but as the culmination of the C wave—and more importantly, the starting point of a major reversal in the broader trend.
Finally, to further reinforce the technical foundation of our analysis,
we turn to harmonic pattern analysis.
By applying a range of Fibonacci ratios between the start and termination of the B wave,
we have identified a remarkably precise Deep Crab pattern—
one of the most powerful reversal signals among all harmonic structures.
Notably, the current price action has landed directly within the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone),
strongly suggesting that the timing for a strategic long position is ripe.
In summary, we now have a confluence of three compelling signals:
A clear Ending Diagonal structure at the tail end of the C wave,
A significant inflection point formed around April 7,
And a textbook Deep Crab harmonic pattern confirming the reversal zone.
These three elements align cohesively to provide a well-founded justification for initiating long exposure.
There is no longer a reason for hesitation.
Assuming appropriate risk management is in place,
we believe this is a moment to enter with confidence.
Thank you sincerely for reading this analysis in full.
We will continue to provide high-quality, data-driven market insights,
rooted in both structural depth and technical precision.
If our perspective resonates with your approach to the market,
we warmly invite you to follow our work and stay connected.
Your support and engagement are what fuel our continued efforts.
See you in the next idea.
Bitcoin's Blueprint: Channel Breakout Sets Stage for $104K Push
Looking at the Bitcoin/TetherUS 1D chart from May 6, 2025, we're witnessing a critical technical setup that suggests significant upside potential.
The price is currently at $94,758 , having established a solid foundation after the April recovery. This technical analysis reveals a powerful bullish scenario developing:
Master Pattern: Ascending Channel Continuation
Bitcoin has formed a textbook ascending channel (yellow boundaries) since the February-April bottoming pattern. After testing the lower boundary in April at approximately $74,508, price has rebounded sharply and is now consolidating in a rectangular accumulation zone (purple box).
Key Technical Elements:
- Diagonal Support Break : Price has successfully broken above the descending trendline (gray) that had capped gains since early 2025
- Channel Position : Currently trading in the lower half of the ascending channel, suggesting significant upside room
- Volume Confirmation : The 10.61K volume with positive price action (+0.03%) indicates healthy accumulation
Projected Movement Pattern
The blue arrows map out the anticipated price movement:
1. Current consolidation within the purple box (accumulation phase)
2. Initial thrust to upper channel boundary (~$100K)
3. Minor pullback to establish higher support
4. Final push toward the target of $104k
Strategic Insight: "The Channel Magnet Effect"
Bitcoin's price action demonstrates the magnetic pull of the upper channel boundary after confirmed breaks of diagonal resistance. The purple consolidation zone serves as the launchpad for this measured move.
This pattern is particularly significant as it mirrors Bitcoin's historical tendency to build momentum through rectangular consolidations before channel expansions.
Traders should watch for a convincing break above $98,000 as confirmation of this bullish scenario, with potential for acceleration once psychological resistance at $100,000 is breached.
For risk management, the lower boundary of the purple box provides a clear invalidation point for this bullish thesis.
Bitcoins Next Potential Bullish MoveBitcoin has exhibited a notable resurgence following a significant decline into the lower $70,000 range, where it encountered key structural support zones. This retracement catalyzed a pronounced rebound, signaling a potential shift in short-term market sentiment.
At present, price action has reclaimed the prior all-time high (ATH) range but has encountered resistance at the current Point of Control (POC)—the most heavily traded price area—indicating active participation from sellers. Sustaining the Value Area Low (VAL) in conjunction with the downtrend-anchored VWAP around the $93,000 level will be pivotal for confirming a full rotation back toward the upper bounds of the value area, near $102,000.
This upper region represents a significant liquidity cluster, where a potential bull trap or liquidation cascade could unfold as late entrants enter the market under the assumption that the corrective phase has concluded and a new impulsive leg is underway. However, this area also marks the apex of the value range, where a reaction is statistically more probable—much like the recent rejection seen at the POC.
Should Bitcoin successfully defend the VAL, a broader value area rotation would be expected before any renewed downside pressure. A subsequent pullback toward the previous value area high could then act as a confirmation of breakout support, validating the bullish structure.
Ideally, this scenario—characterized by respect for value area dynamics and rotational momentum—would align most cleanly with market structure and auction theory. As price oscillates between value zones, each range is sequentially validated as either support or resistance, providing a framework for interpreting market behavior with greater precision.
Bitcoin Short-Term Support Zone, Buy Zone & Extreme Danger ZoneBitcoin is now trading within its main long-term 100K-200K beyond entry and buy zone. These prices are listed green on the chart.
The support zone is above $91,000 and the extreme danger zone (which won't be tested—Bitcoin is safe and strong) is $89,250.
If Bitcoin trades below $95,000 this is a major opportunity to buy and even to open LONG (lev.) positions. Any trading above $90,000 is ultra-bullish.
If Bitcoin trades at $89,250 or higher market conditions remain extremely good but this is a rare opportunity. It is likely we will not be able to enjoy these prices again but if it happens, make sure to make the best of it.
Any trading below $95,000 is a super strong buy.
Any trading above $95,000 confirms the continuation of the bullish move.
Bitcoin is neutral while the Fed decision is in. When the Fed publishes its decision, there will be some volatility followed by growth.
» Late May 2025 the entire Cryptocurrency market will be ultra-bullish. Repeat, ultra-bullish this very same month.
» Whatever you do, buy and hold and accumulate like it is the end of the world. This is truly the last chance. You've been warned.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
You deserve the best and you are Gold!
Namaste.
#BITCOIN: $130,000 Is Where Price Headed To? BINANCE:BTCUSDT consolidated at 75k and reversed from the region as predicted in our previous chart. We now have strong confirmation that price will likely break through the daily bearish trendline. We can enter when it retests the identified area.
We have two major targets. Do your own research and analysis, and use this as secondary bias.
Good luck trading.
❤️
Hope you’re having a great weekend.
Team Setuspfx_
Bitcoin a Technical Summery technical summary based on what you're describing for BTCUSDT on the 4H timeframe:
Forecast from Mr Martin Date 05 May 2025
Current Setup:
Pattern: Two-sided consolidation/pattern (likely symmetrical triangle or range)
Key Support: ~89,000 USDT
Key Resistance: ~95,000 USDT
Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout:
If price holds above 95K and confirms breakout: Next target: ~98,000 USDT
Above 98K, could test psychological levels like 100K.
Bearish Breakdown: If price falls below 89K:nExpect a retest or quick rebound toward resistance (~95K).
You may see more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks
Bitcoin (BTC): Liquidity Grab Happened, Bullish CME Got FilledBuyers showed a strong dominance during the Asian session, where we had strong candles forming, which filled the bullish CME gap and formed some sort of resistance zone.
As we had a stronger rejection near the resistance zone, now we are going to look for possible MSB in the current area, which would give us similar downward movement.
We are going to wait for MSB as long as we are below the liquidity line.
Swallow Academy
BTC 1HA final liquidity hunt can be expected before or after the monthly close. Then we expect a correction movement with the first week of May.
BTCUSD BULLISH SUSTAINANCE.BTCUSD Trading Signal
Market Sentiment: The market is currently experiencing a price surge following a strong rally throughout April. Bitcoin has shown positive momentum and remains in a clear ascending market structure.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $92,000 (broken)
First Target: $95,750
Final Target: $97,800
Technical Overview:
Bitcoin continues its upward movement, supported by strong volume and higher highs. Moving averages point to a strengthening market, with momentum indicators confirming an ongoing bull run. Traders may consider entering on pullbacks or confirmed breakouts above $95,750.
