Bitcoin (BTC): Strong Sell-Off During Weekends | Plan A & BBitcoin was bleeding hard during the weekend when the US decided to join the ongoing war, which is now strongly impacting the economic markets.
As tensions are tightening, we are expecting a similar outcome to happen like we had during the beginning of the UA war, where at the start everything dipped hard, and later we had a strong upward rally.
Remember, people need to store their money somewhere safe, and the safest places are buying gold or Crypto.
Swallow Academy
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTC/USDT Technical Outlook – Reversal Zone In Play✅ BTC/USDT Technical Outlook – Reversal Zone In Play
Current Price: 101,884.97 USDT
Structure: Bullish Reversal Setup
🧠 Market Insight:
Bitcoin has tapped into a high-probability demand zone between 100,000 – 99,300 USDT, showing clear signs of buyer absorption after extended downside pressure. The chart illustrates a strong bullish reaction from this area, hinting at a potential shift in momentum.
📈 What the Chart Tells Us:
Demand Zone Activation:
The price has tested a historically reactive demand block and bounced with strength — indicating a possible exhaustion of sellers and re-entry by larger players.
Volume Cluster Confluence:
Volume Profile shows heavy historical activity around this zone. This suggests that the current bounce is not just noise — but supported by previous institutional interest.
Path Projection (White Curve):
Market structure suggests a minor pullback followed by bullish continuation toward the 104,000–105,000 USDT target. The curved projection outlines potential market behavior leading up to this target.
Short-Term Resistance:
First key resistance is seen around 102,800–103,200 USDT. A break above this would likely trigger bullish momentum toward target levels.
🔐 Trading Insight:
Bias: Bullish (Short to Medium Term)
Entry Zone: 100,200 – 100,800 USDT (buy on minor dip)
Target Zone: 104,000 – 105,000 USDT
Invalidation: Clean breakdown below 99,000 USDT
📊 Summary:
BTC is currently sitting at a critical demand zone with bullish potential building. Price action, volume profile, and market behavior all support a reversal toward 104K+. Traders should watch for confirmation on the next pullback before entering long positions.
23/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $108,948.76
Last weeks low: $103,569.91
Midpoint: $98,191.05
Last weeks chart is a clear reflection of what happens when there is a constant stream of bad news... Geo-political escalations, America becoming more involved in the Middle-east and the FED refusing to cut interest rates.
It's well known markets do not like uncertainty, and throughout the week more and more questions have been asked with very few answers. Risk-on assets have taken a hit generally and BTC is no different, especially over the weekend. This price action should be taken with a pinch of salt as the volume is never as high as it is during the week and often it paints a false picture of how the market really feels. The market makers ultimately are just, over the weekend they often aren't involved and so I think we will know more accurately how much of this geo-political escalation is priced in by the end of the trading day. How the SPX reacts will be important too.
The FED once again refused to cut interest rates, it's clear president Trump is not happy with this. The market could have done with a cut but that will have to wait.
So for Bitcoin it's been a tough week and I can't see this getting better immediately. Bearish price targets for me would be $97,000, the short term trend is clearly biased short until some solid support comes in or something drastic happens in the political world for good. This week is about survival and caution while looking for opportunities to present themselves without knife catching.
Good luck this week everybody!
Trade of the day - Tuesday!📊 Tuesday Trading Update
As we saw yesterday, the market reacted uncharacteristically to global events — we witnessed some interesting volatility, to say the least ⚡. While there’s still plenty of opportunity to capitalise on, today is a new day, and here are the trades you should be watching like an eagle 🦅.
Most setups today are continuation plays, especially considering we SFP’d the range low and failed to close below 100.3 on the daily. Did we get a bearish close on the LTF? Yes — so we must tread with caution ⚠️.
We're currently sitting at 4H supply, which makes it a juicy spot for a range deviation play — hence my single short 📉. However, if we continue to purge this zone, a continuation long could come into play, targeting the previous demand range.
I doubt I'll be having a class later today. If I get the time, I’ll record a quick session — but if not, here’s what you should be looking for to enter this trade:
👉 A clear change in market structure on the LTF. Or a divergence if you use oscillators
Not sure what that means? Go back and scour through the older videos — it’s all there 📚.
📅 Weekly Schedule:
Wednesday – Potential class
Thursday – ❌ No class
Friday – ❌ No class
BTC at Decision Point: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Incoming ??BTC is now trading within a symmetrical triangle, bouncing strongly from the trendline support at $98,898, and now faces overhead resistance of around $106,000.
Price is moving between higher lows and lower highs; a breakout in either direction could trigger a significant move.
Key Levels:
Support Zones:
$101,409 – Near-term support
$98,898 – Strong ascending trendline support
$93,343 – Critical structure base
Resistance Zones:
$105,807 – Immediate ceiling
$106,057 – Triangle breakout point
$108,895 – First major upside target
$111,785 – Higher target if bulls take control
Analysis:
The structure shows clear compression, and BTC has already made a sharp bounce off the lower range, suggesting bulls are stepping in. However, a clean breakout above $106K is needed to confirm the momentum shift.
A breakout above this triangle could lead to a fast move toward $111K, while failure could send the price back toward $101K or even lower.
This is a make-or-break zone.
DYOR | Not Financial Advice
Bitcoin BTC Pullback Strategy: How I’m Planning My Next EntryI’m currently watching BTCUSDT 👀. Yesterday, we saw a bullish break of structure 🔼, and my bias is to follow that momentum moving forward 📈. Right now, price is overextended 📊, so I’m looking for a retracement into equilibrium, ideally around the 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone 📏.
If price pulls back into that range and holds above the bullish imbalance (discussed in the video) 🧱, I’ll be watching for a long opportunity 🎯. My targets are set at the previous highs and the Fibonacci extension levels 🔝.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis or consult a qualified financial advisor.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD rebound from the demand zone📊 Technical Analysis
● The BTCUSDT 4-hour chart on KUCOIN highlights a pronounced descending channel, with price action recently rebounding from a well-defined demand zone between 98,000 and 100,000. This green-shaded area has repeatedly acted as a springboard for bullish reversals, as evidenced by the strong wick and immediate recovery after the latest test. The chart also marks a series of lower highs and lower lows, but the most recent price action shows a break in bearish momentum, with a projected zigzag path indicating a potential move toward the 104,970 resistance. The confluence of the lower channel boundary and the demand zone suggests that buyers are stepping in aggressively at these levels, aiming for a retest of the upper resistance band.
● The technical setup is further reinforced by the presence of a major resistance level at 111,977, which has capped previous rallies. The chart’s structure, with its clear trendlines and highlighted resistance and support zones, points to a tactical opportunity for bulls to capitalize on the oversold conditions. The anticipated path, as drawn on the chart, suggests a gradual recovery with intermittent pullbacks, targeting the 104,970 area as the next significant hurdle. The overall pattern indicates that while the broader trend remains bearish, the immediate outlook favors a corrective rally from the current demand zone.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Recent fundamentals support the technical case for a short-term recovery. Over the past two days, Bitcoin has experienced heightened volatility due to escalating geopolitical tensions, notably US military action in the Middle East, which triggered a sharp sell-off and flushed out leveraged positions. Despite this, institutional accumulation remains robust, with over $1.2 billion in Bitcoin added to corporate treasuries in the last week, and Texas officially establishing a state-managed Bitcoin reserve. On-chain data shows sustained negative netflows from exchanges, indicating that large holders are moving coins to cold storage, a historically bullish signal. Meanwhile, derivatives data reveals a cautious market, with open interest skewed toward protective puts, but spot ETF inflows and long-term adoption trends continue to underpin the market.
✨ Summary
● BTCUSDT is rebounding from a key demand zone, with technicals pointing to a corrective move toward 104,970. The bullish scenario is supported by strong institutional accumulation and strategic adoption, even as short-term volatility persists. A sustained close above 104,970 would open the path to the 111,977 resistance, while a drop below 98,000 would invalidate the recovery thesis.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Bitcoin Holding Above $100K – Bullish Bias IntactIn my previous analysis, I mentioned that a daily close below $100K would trigger a short bias. However, price closed above the $100K level, sweeping liquidity and rejecting the downside.
This move invalidates the bearish setup and confirms a bullish continuation. Market structure remains intact, and we're now looking for potential long setups on retests or pullbacks.
Key Points:
Liquidity sweep below $100K
Daily close above key support
Bullish structure remains valid
Watching for continuation targets and retests
📍 Stay patient and follow price action. Structure never lies.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #LiquiditySweep #BullishContinuation #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoTA
Bitcoin to revisit $100k | Summer price target = $120kGeopolitical tension is causing fear in the markets. Today, Bitcoin fell from $107.7k to current price $105k with no sign of buyer support whatsoever, printing 11 consecutive H1 red candles intraday. Like a hot knife through butter.
At $105k, there is very little support. Sell volume absolutely overshadowed the tiny buy volume. Bulls have yet to close a green candle. I believe in the next few hours Bitcoin will be trading at $104k, followed by the first stop $102k.
$102k can serve as an entry point, depending on how price reacts. $100k is the optimal entry point for maximum profit, after mass liquidations. Retail traders are confident that the liquidity hunt is over after the initial tap, placing stops and liquidation levels at $100k.
Invalidation level will be beyond the 200SMA. The 200SMA have historically proven itself time and time again as a safe zone during rallies after golden crosses.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin Trading Strategy: Navigating $101,000 Volatility with a Three-Dimensional Model
Current Bitcoin prices oscillating near $101,000 reflect more than just technical support battles—they embody an expectation gap between policy implementation timelines and institutional fund flows. This strategy constructs a "Policy-Funds-Technology" three-dimensional analysis model, using the U.S. *Genius Act* House voting process and Hong Kong's *Stablecoin Ordinance* countdown as policy anchors, institutional behavior differences (e.g., MicroStrategy增持 vs. Grayscale fund flows) as funding validation, and key technical breakouts as entry signals for a dynamically adjusted trading system.
I. Policy Landscape: Dual Catalysts on the Horizon
- **U.S. *Genius Act* Legislative Progress**: The Senate passed the *Genius Act* with a 68:30 supermajority, and Trump has publicly pressed the House to expedite voting, with markets expecting final legislation by mid-late July. The bill requires stablecoin issuers to maintain 100% dollar/T-bill reserves, effectively integrating stablecoins into the "digital dollar" system. This is expected to attract ~$20 billion in institutional capital via compliant channels.
- **Hong Kong *Stablecoin Ordinance* Launch**: Scheduled to take effect on August 1, the ordinance has prompted institutions like Standard Chartered and JD.com to prepare license applications. The introduction of offshore RMB stablecoins will create new liquidity entry points for Bitcoin.
II. Funding Dynamics: Institutional Long-Term Conviction vs. Short-Term Positioning
- **MicroStrategy's Bold Accumulation**: The firm's holdings surpassed 330,000 BTC after a June 22 purchase, with an average cost of $88,627—current prices yield a 14% unrealized gain, demonstrating corporate investors' long-term confidence.
- **Grayscale GBTC Contrast**: $46.3 million flowed out of GBTC in the week ending June 20, reflecting institutional portfolio optimization ahead of policy milestones.
- **Tron USDT Liquidity Base**: With circulation exceeding $70 billion (50% of global USDT) and $80 billion daily transaction volume, Tron's stablecoin provides robust liquidity support for Bitcoin.
III. Technical Confirmation Mechanisms for $101,000
1. Short-Term Support Validation:
- Price forms a "Morning Star" candlestick pattern within $100,000-$101,000, accompanied by 20% higher trading volume than the prior day.
2. Trend Breakout Confirmation:
- RSI rebounds from below 40 to above 50, coinciding with a decisive price突破 (breakout) of the intraday resistance at $102,000.
**Trading Tactics**:
- **Aggressive Entry**: Long positions on confirmed Morning Star patterns, with stop-loss below $100,000 (2% below support).
- **Breakout Follow-through**: Add to positions above $102,000, targeting $105,000 resistance.
- **Risk Control**: Maintain position sizes below 15% of portfolio, with profit-taking triggers set at 3%–5% intervals.
This framework balances policy-driven structural shifts with tactical technical signals, enabling traders to navigate the volatility gap between institutional long-termism and short-term market noise.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@101000~102000
SL:98000
TP:103000~104000
Is Bitcoin Signaling Risk-Off? Structure Breakdown Explained💥 BTC/USD Outlook – Is Bitcoin Losing Steam? 🧠📉
I'm keeping a close watch on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) this week, and the current price action is flashing some key signals.
🔍 Over the past several sessions, BTC has struggled to hold momentum, and we’re now seeing a shift in tone. On the 4-hour timeframe, the market structure is tilting bearish, with a pattern of lower highs and lower lows developing — a classic sign of weakness ⚠️📉.
📐 The most recent downside leg has caused a clear break in structure, and BTC is now retracing back into a potential supply zone, hovering around equilibrium of the recent move. This zone will be critical to watch for signs of seller re-entry.
⏳ On the 30-minute chart, I’m waiting for a decisive shift in structure — a break of local support or a failed rally that confirms bearish continuation. Should that play out, it could signal a high-probability short setup.
🪙 A breakdown in BTC often has broader implications — especially in the risk asset space. If we see weakness here, JPY pairs may strengthen as capital rotates into safer assets 💴🌐.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own analysis and consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. 📚💼
BTC/USDT – Intraday Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraWe’re approaching a major liquidity zone in the yellow highlighted area. I expect this zone to be swept soon — likely triggering a wave of stop-losses and liquidations. Once this liquidity is taken, I anticipate a sharp move down on increased volume.
After this liquidity event, my base case is a buyback from lower levels, with price rebounding towards the upper boundary at 105,500. From there, I’m watching for renewed selling pressure to create another push down, forming a descending wedge pattern and a retest of the 104,000 zone.
The key price range I’m focused on for the coming session is 104,400 – 105,500.
I expect BTC to spend most of tomorrow trading within this range, as it consolidates after the volatility spike.
However, if in the next few hours we see a 1H candle close decisively below the red-marked level at 103,700, this would be a strong bearish signal. In that case, I expect the move to extend further down toward the 102,300 area.
Whether price eventually breaks higher or lower from this range will depend on macroeconomic flows and the market’s reaction inside the outlined zone. I’ll continue to update as the situation unfolds.
BTC is breaking out of a falling channel 🚀
Bitcoin has pushed strongly off the lower boundary and is approaching the top of a descending parallel channel on the daily chart 📈
A confirmed breakout could lead to a continuation rally toward key upside targets ✈️
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ $111,233.01
2️⃣ $114,942.31
3️⃣ $118,490.33
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - Price Testing Resistance after Morning StarBitcoin (BTCUSDT) price is currently testing the resistance zone of $105,000 to $110,000 (yellow lines).
A morning star candle pattern has formed above the 100 ema (orange line), which is also $100,000 price support.
Some bullish momentum is forming on the MACD Histogram, however, Bitcoin is still technically in a short-term downtrend for the past 30 days.
Bitcoin price needs to create a new uptrend on the daily chart, a series of higher-highs and higher-lows in the price, which could take several months.
At this time, Bitcoin is still reacting to global news and stock market correlations.
BTCUSD next target releasedNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis.
Steps to follow:
Analyze yourself.
Take the position with SL and Take Profits.
Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :)
Get the result.
I will update the trade every day.
Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger!
Good trades, Traders!
The golden bear
Bitcoin Crash Will Continue to Levels that will REKT majority!??MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN crashed towards $98k so far! Almost 10% drop so far! Crypto noobs and mass media manipulators will blame this CRYPTOCAP:BTC crash on the Iran and Israel conflict! Professional traders will, however, tell you that this was orchestrated and the crash was already planned beforehand, and the best traders caught the crash from the top at $109k and made a profit on this Bitcoin correction! Professional insider trading against news manipulation, artificial conflicts, and emotional trading !
The Pattern That Could Launch BitcoinSpotted a long-term inverted head & shoulders pattern forming over a 7–8 month stretch on Bitcoin — much more reliable than short-term setups. If this bullish structure plays out, we could be looking at a breakout that pushes BTC firmly into price discovery.
I’ve included local Fibonacci levels on the chart, though I couldn’t fit the macro one (going from $4k → $69k → $15k — the 1.618 extension of that larger swing lands at $119,800. That could be a key resistance target if we clear the ATH and continue the uptrend. After that, there's the smaller timeframe, but more recent, fib ext 1.618 sitting at $131k.
I'd be very cautious of a failed pattern if $101k doesn't hold. As a last support, 95k and the red 20EMA might hold.
Let’s see how this plays out 🚀
BTCUSDT Update — Big Macro Forces In Play!!Hey Traders!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver!
Bitcoin once again testing key support levels as global tensions continue to fuel uncertainty in the markets.
Chart Overview:
BTC broke down from short-term resistance and is now retesting the major support zone between $102K–$103K. The structure still remains within a broader consolidation range, but this support zone is absolutely critical for bulls to defend.
Immediate Resistance: $106K → $110K
Immediate Support: $102K → $100K
A breakdown below $100K could trigger deeper liquidations towards $95K–$98K, while a successful defense here could push BTC back toward previous highs.
Geopolitical Impact:
Global headlines are heavily influencing risk assets right now:
🇮🇱 Israel-Iran tensions are escalating.
🇺🇸 The US is signaling stronger involvement diplomatically, adding more fear to markets.
📉 Traditional markets have already started to show signs of caution.
Bitcoin, as a risk asset, remains vulnerable to these global macro shocks in the short term.
The Game Plan Right Now:
If we see sustained support at $102K–$103K, there’s still room for a relief bounce towards $106K–$110K in the near term.
However, if global tensions escalate further, expect increased volatility with downside liquidity grabs.
Stay cautious with tight risk management. Macro headlines are still driving sudden sentiment shifts.
📊 My Bias:
Watching for potential sweep of $102K with possible reversal structure forming. Any clear reclaim of $105K may signal a local bottom.
📝 Key Takeaway:
Global narratives are bigger than technicals right now. The next few days could dictate whether BTC holds or faces another sharp liquidation event.
Stay patient. Stay disciplined. And most importantly: manage your risk.
👉 Follow for more real-time updates as we track both price action and macro headlines impacting crypto.