BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BITCOIN BEARISHGigaAlgo BTC Market Outlook – May 7, 2025
Sentiment: Still bullish overall, but short-term timeframes are starting to weaken.
Price Action: BTC recently tapped into a key premium supply zone and is showing signs of rejection.
Structure: The trend remains in a bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows, but a minor break of structure has occurred near the recent high.
Support Zones: If the current support level fails, the next major support lies at the equilibrium zone, with stronger demand lower in the discount area.
Volume Analysis: Heavy volume was seen near the highs, indicating potential exhaustion or smart money selling.
Oscillator Insight: Momentum is slowing, suggesting a possible consolidation or deeper retracement before any further move up.
Bitcoin going upHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin consolidated and went up on Wednesday. This could be wave 4 (grey) and price is now in wave 5.
Price came into a Daily bullish FVG so now we could see more upside again.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish, an impulse wave up and a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
BTC Range Bound | Breakout Imminent ?👀 Welcome to my Trading View Analysis and Trading Channel Here , we share the latest market analysis, trading signals, and key insights together .
Ready for smarter trades ? ⭐️
⚡️Today , we're going to analyze the BTC( BitCoin) coin together on the daily timeframe and find triggers for our positions .
📊✨ Bitcoin 4H Technical Analysis & Weekly Outlook – May 6, 2025
🔸 BTC is currently trading within a consolidation range between $97,325 and $93,780, indicating a potential accumulation zone before the next major move. 🌀
🔍 Key Technical Levels:
📈 Resistance: Break above $97,325 could trigger a long entry, suggesting bullish continuation. 🚀
📉 Support: Drop below $93,780 may activate a short setup, signaling bearish pressure. ⚠️
📐 Indicators Breakdown:
🔹 EMA 100 & 200: Positioned below price, supporting the bullish bias. 🟢
🔹 EMA 50: Currently sitting above the 4H candle, posing short-term resistance. 🔴
📉 Volume: Noticeable decline, showing market indecision – a common pre-breakout signal. 📊
📌 Key Pivot: A candle close above $94,021 would validate it as strong support. 🧱
📰 Positive Market Developments:
🏦 Morgan Stanley plans to offer spot BTC trading via E*Trade – institutional adoption accelerating. 📈
🏢 Strategy (MicroStrategy) signals further Bitcoin accumulation – corporate trust remains strong. 💼
💰 Over $1.8B flowed into U.S. BTC ETFs last week – investor appetite is growing rapidly. 🧲
📈 Analysts forecast BTC reaching $120K–$200K by end of 2025 – fueled by macro trends & halving cycle. 🌕
💡 Final Takeaway:
🔐 Bitcoin continues to prove itself as a valuable long-term asset, backed by rising institutional interest, robust on-chain fundamentals, and strong technical signals. 🌟
📊 Triggers for both long and short positions are clearly marked on the chart – stay sharp and manage risk! 🎯
I love you all so much . 👀
don't forget about capital management and risk management .
Be careful with your positions . 🥇
BTCUSDT... 1H CHAT PATTERNIt looks like you're sharing a *trade setup* for BTC/USDT. Here's a breakdown of the trade details:
* *Entry Price:* 9638
* *1st Target (Take Profit 1):* 9789
* *Final Target (Take Profit 2):* 9900
* *Stop Loss:* 9500
### Risk/Reward Analysis:
* *Risk (Stop Loss Distance):* 9638 - 9500 = *138 points*
* *Reward (1st Target):* 9789 - 9638 = *151 points* → R/R = *1.09*
* *Reward (Final Target):* 9900 - 9638 = *262 points* → R/R = *1.90*
This setup offers a *decent risk-to-reward ratio*, especially if you're targeting the final level. However, make sure to:
* Adjust *position size* based on your account risk tolerance.
* Monitor *market volatility* and *news events* that may impact BTC prices.
* Consider setting a *trailing stop* if price nears the first target.
BTC - Inversion Play at Resistance With IFVG Breakdown PotentialPrice has tapped into a previously established resistance zone and is now showing signs of exhaustion. A reactive short setup is in play, contingent on further bearish confirmation.
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1. Resistance Zone — Key Supply Area
The marked red zone above highlights:
- Repeated Rejections: Price has failed multiple times to break and hold above this level.
- Order Block & Liquidity: Likely an area where institutional selling interest remains.
This zone offers a prime location for short setups, especially if price fails to hold above it and begins to roll over.
---
2. IFVG Inversion — Breaker-Type Setup
We are watching for:
- Inversion of a Bullish IFVG: A common signal of shifting order flow.
- Breaker Behavior: A previously supportive zone now acting as resistance — a hallmark of smart money reversals.
This structure suggests an intent to trap late longs and transition into lower pricing.
---
3. Internal Liquidity Sweep — Fuel for the Drop
The local high served to:
- Clear Short-Term Liquidity: Wick just above resistance suggests engineered breakout bait.
- Trigger Buyer Commitment: Which could now get trapped if momentum fails.
This liquidity event sets up the conditions for a more sustained push downward.
---
4. Downside Targeting the Discount Zone
Price is projected to revisit the blue discount zone:
- 0.618–0.65 Retracement Levels: Classic Fibonacci discount area often targeted after a premium rejection.
- Reaccumulation Potential: Watch for signs of buyer interest returning here.
This forms the logical destination for price following a confirmed rejection.
---
5. Summary:
- Price Rejecting Resistance & IFVG Inversion Signals Reversal Bias
- Liquidity Sweep Confirms Trap Setup
- Discount Zone Below Offers High-Probability Reaction Area
A strong short scenario may unfold if bearish order flow confirms beneath the resistance region.
Check if it can rise along the rising channel
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is until April 30th.
The point to watch is whether it can rise along the newly created trend line (4) or whether it can rise along the rising channel consisting of trend lines (2) ~ (4).
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If it falls near Fibonacci 3.14 (93570.28), it seems likely that a new HA-High indicator on the 1D chart will be created.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created, the key is whether there is support near it.
That is, we need to check whether there is support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 3 (92026.52) ~ 3.14 (93570.28).
If not, there is a possibility of a decline near the trend line (2).
-
The next volatility period is around May 19.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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BTC – Waterfall?Price rejecting after Friday's blow-out.
Flow wise it's not that sellers stepped in, more like the one or few buyers that were buying with no regard for price, finally stopped buying. Price is mean reverting here, looking for balance again.
Notice how H4 trend stopped supporting price, and now became resistance over the weekend, after which price flushed for the first time.
A correction to mid-high 80s would be very healthy and the best case scenario for bulls imo. Reset momentum and positioning a bit while making a higher low.
If we yearly open and local lows hold here, we can look for a short setup.
Also note that the highs are pretty bad, a push into +95k might trigger a lot of short stops and give us a quick move above the highs. Be careful with getting or staying bullish there, unless price is slow grinding up above the high, it is very likely just a fake-out.
BTCUSDTHello everyone! The downtrend in BTCUSDT continues with strong volume. Since May 3rd, the bearish trend has remained intact, and the current delta rate stands at -45%.
This indicates that the downward momentum is likely to continue for a while.
Therefore, I’m planning to open a short position on BTCUSDT.
You can find the entry, exit, and TP levels below.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 94586.48
✔️ Take Profit: 94113.32
✔️ Stop Loss: 94902.08
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #77👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indexes. As usual, I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is still ranging, and volume has decreased compared to yesterday. In times like these when market volume is low, you need to pay closer attention.
✔️ Today, I’ve drawn an ascending trendline on the chart. When price performs very shallow corrections after an uptrend and each low is higher than the previous one, it indicates a very strong bullish trend. So if this trend continues, it can lead to some very attractive trade setups.
💥 As mentioned, volume is quite low today, and volatility is also lower than before. This means that most market participants are waiting to see what will happen before reacting. We should take the same approach and wait for our triggers to be activated.
📈 For a long position, it’s pretty clear that Bitcoin has a very important resistance at the 95370 level, which is currently the only long trigger. If you don’t have a position from lower levels, this is a very logical and attractive entry, and I suggest having a position ready if this level breaks.
📊 For a bearish scenario, we haven’t yet received confirmation, and we need to wait until at least the trendline is broken. After that, with the activation of a trendline trigger like the 93626 level, we can enter a short position.
👀 As I’ve said in previous analyses, I personally won’t open a short position unless Bitcoin reaches the 91945 level, as that’s my first confirmation for a trend reversal.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s check Bitcoin Dominance. The dominance range box continues, and yesterday it again moved upward from the 64.22 support and reached the range top at 64.60.
☘️ If you had opened a position on altcoins like ETH after their triggers activated yesterday, you probably hit stop-loss because of this dominance move. As dominance moved up after those triggers, capital flowed out of altcoins, causing many of them to fake out and fall back below their resistance.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now for Total2. Just like Bitcoin, Total2 is forming a range box, but it has significantly less bullish momentum. While Bitcoin has some upward slope during its range, Total2 is completely flat and oscillating between 1.03 and 1.05.
⚡️ Triggers for Total2 remain unchanged: breakout of 1.05 for bullish confirmation and 1.03 for bearish. But just like I mentioned that I won’t act on Bitcoin’s 93626 break and will wait for 91945, here I also won’t act on a 1.03 break—I’ll wait for confirmation below 1.00.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s move to Tether Dominance. A new lower high has formed just below 5.14, and for now, I’ve adjusted the resistance level to 5.10, because as you can see, the price is reacting well to this area and we can use it as a trigger.
🧩 For a bearish USDT.D scenario (which would mean bullish for the market), breaking below 4.99 remains the key trigger. For a bullish USDT.D scenario, breaking above 5.10 would be the first confirmation of a shift in dominance upward.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Update higher and lower timeframe narratives. While the 1-hour chart exhibited a strong bullish reaction from a key liquidity zone, the failure of a supporting imbalance on the 15-minute chart introduces the possibility of a retracement or a deeper corrective move before any sustained upward trajectory.
.
on the 15-minute timeframe presents a contrasting perspective. A bullish imbalance (Fair Value Gap) that was anticipated to provide support has failed to hold. This development suggests a potential weakening of immediate bullish momentum.
Has Bitcoin Begun Its Final D-Leg Correction?Bitcoin could be starting the final stage of a larger corrective pattern — known as the D-leg — which often follows major trends in the market. This kind of structure typically forms after a big move up, and signals that the market might need a deeper reset before continuing higher.
Recently, Bitcoin was rejected from a key resistance zone around $98,300, which aligns with several technical indicators including a major daily support/resistance flip, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, and the Point of Control (a price level with the most traded volume). This rejection has sparked concerns that a local top may already be in for this cycle.
Why This Matters:
If Bitcoin fails to hold its current support levels, we could see a continuation to the downside, with targets potentially reaching sub-$60K levels. This aligns with a broader corrective pattern some analysts call an ABCD structure — where the D-leg often marks the final leg down before the next larger trend can begin.
This scenario becomes more likely if the current support zone breaks down, which would confirm a shift in market structure. Until then, there’s still room for price to range or attempt another retest of the highs, but caution is warranted.
What’s Next:
Watch for a breakdown below the recent lows — this would strongly suggest the D-leg is underway.
A confirmed breakdown would likely lead to a longer correction over the coming weeks or months.
However, if Bitcoin reclaims resistance above $98,300, this bearish outlook could be invalidated and the structure may reset.
Right now, we’re at a major decision point in the market. While the signs are stacking in favor of a deeper pullback, it’s important to wait for price to confirm with structure and volume before acting on it.
$BTC Update – Bearish Breakdown Alert! 🔻 🔻
BTC is breaking below the rising parallel channel on the 4H chart — a bearish signal suggesting potential downside pressure.
🔸 Price: $93,821
🔸 Channel Support Broken: ~ $94,500
🔸 Immediate Downside Target: $89,992
🔸 Stop Loss for Shorts: Above $95,715
⚠️ Warning: Avoid aggressive long entries unless BTC reclaims the channel support. Momentum is currently favoring the bears.
BTCUSDT:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyThis week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!👉👉👉
This week, crude oil prices have consecutively closed with bearish candles and declined. On the 4-hour chart, there are four consecutive bearish candles exerting pressure. On Saturday, the OPEC+ convened a meeting ahead of schedule and confirmed the decision to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in June, which further intensifies the market's concerns about oversupply. It is recommended that for crude oil trading next Monday, short positions should be mainly taken at the resistance level during rebounds.
Trading Strategy:
buy@94500-95500
TP:97500-98500
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