BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTCUSD - [TRADE UPDATE]MARKET CONDITION
From my previous post i said i was anticipating a Accumulation, Manipulation & Distribution market profile and it seems like the first two phases has been completed. I would want to see huge movement to the downside this new week to start the Distribution phase.
TRADE UPDATE
I'm currently in a swing short from that daily supply zone and i'm still anticipating more downside going into the new week/month.
SUMMARY
I'll be observing Price Action and managing my trade accordingly. Drop your take on BTC in the comment lets break down some few things together.
Check if it can rise along the rising channel
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is until April 30th.
The point to watch is whether it can rise along the newly created trend line (4) or whether it can rise along the rising channel consisting of trend lines (2) ~ (4).
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If it falls near Fibonacci 3.14 (93570.28), it seems likely that a new HA-High indicator on the 1D chart will be created.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created, the key is whether there is support near it.
That is, we need to check whether there is support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 3 (92026.52) ~ 3.14 (93570.28).
If not, there is a possibility of a decline near the trend line (2).
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The next volatility period is around May 19.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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multiple positive factorsDriven by multiple positive factors, including institutional funds inflow, the halving cycle, and the development of the Middle East market, as well as a breakthrough in the technical aspects, Bitcoin has a relatively high probability of surging towards the $100,000 mark in May.
Trading Strategy:
buy@94500-95500
TP:97500-98500
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make movement up and then start to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Price continues to move inside a rising wedge, gradually climbing higher while respecting the boundaries of the formation. After a strong impulsive breakout above the 93000 level, the market has entered a phase of sideways consolidation just below the upper boundary of the pattern. This area acts as a pressure zone, where bullish attempts are becoming weaker, and the price starts to lose momentum. What's important is how clearly the trend line has been respected, with multiple touchpoints confirming its significance. Recently, BTC tested the lower boundary of the wedge near 93000, rebounded, and made another push upward. However, despite this growth, the price is nearing the resistance formed by the wedge's upper boundary, and this structure often implies a potential reversal once the market loses steam. Given this setup, I expect BTCUSDT to reject the upper edge and correct toward 95000, my short-term goal. This level aligns with the trend line, making it a logical area for the price to seek equilibrium again. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
“BTC 4H Chart: Eye on $91,247 Support After Local Resistance”The BTCUSDT 4H chart shows a strong uptrend, but price is now facing resistance. If the trendline breaks, the $91,000 support zone becomes a key level to watch. Is this just a pullback or the start of a bigger correction?
🔍 Key Levels:
Resistance: $97,000
Support Zones: $95,000 & $91,000
Trendline Decision: Watch the 4H candle close for confirmation.
🧠 Strategy:
Wait for a pullback or go long on a confirmed bounce — both setups are possible. Follow price action closely and trade smart.
Sell in May and go away, but when? 🧭 Current Situation:
📈 Market remains bullish, but I anticipate possibility for S&P500 to drop on US open. If that happens, BTC can also make a dip, but since it looks much stronger than stocks, that drop might not be a big one. Nevertheless area around 95k looks very attractive.
⚠️ Price will need to show stronger bearish pressure to trigger any real panic or sell-off. Until then, this looks more like healthy volatility within trend continuation.
🧱 The breakout level at 95770 was already re-tested, so it’s now off my watchlist. The next meaningful support is around 95K flat.
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🔥 CME Gap Update:
4H CME gap has expanded — now stretching from 95280 to 96560
This zone will act as a magnet in the coming sessions until it gets filled.
Just a quick reminder — 4H CME gaps are not as strong or reliable as Daily gaps. They don’t carry the same close rate or magnetism.
However, they can still offer directional hints and serve as target zones, especially in short- to mid-term setups. Use them as guidance — but don’t treat them like guaranteed gravity wells.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
• Bullish Targets: 97666 / 98500 / 99431
• Bearish Targets: 94971 / 94125 / 93550
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🔥 BTC Liquidation Heatmap
Above: 97530 / 98191 / 98998 / 100100
Below: 96063 / 95623 / 94670 / 93715
Bitcoin Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring Bitcoin for a buying opportunity around 95,000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 95,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Crypto psychology *special ep* : Short conversation with Wojack Wojack: Yo Monstralian, guess what—I just found this new coin that’s gonna absolutely crush it this year! It’s tied to AI, RWA, blockchain, Solana, and even AI agents.
Me: Oh really? How’d you hear about it?
Wojack: Bro, everyone’s talking about it all over social media! It already did a 5x from the bottom. I just bought in. This is my shot to finally pull a 10x and make back all the money I’ve lost.
Me: So you’re saying everyone on social media buying now is gonna get that 10x too?
Wojack: Not everyone, man. Some people don’t have the funds, others aren’t paying attention. Only a few of us are smart enough to buy at these prices.
Me: Hmm… but if it’s such a good deal, why didn’t the influencers hype it up earlier, when it was at the bottom? Why only now, after it’s already pumped 5x?
Wojack: That’s ‘cause the project just announced some huge news and big partnerships!
Me: But wouldn’t it have made more sense for them to announce that news when the price was still low?
Wojack: Bro, you’re overthinking this. People who overthink always miss out. I guarantee you’ll be chasing in once it’s up 10x—while I’m the one dumping on you!
* Bogdanoff receiving a call ...
Phone : "Master , he just went all in "
Bogdanoff : He bought ? ... (I let you say it in the comments)
BINANCE:XRPUSDT BINANCE:SOLUSDT BINANCE:ADAUSDT BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
BTC/USDT Quick Update – May 4 #2Rising Wedge Pattern Identified
– Price is currently trading within a rising wedge on the 4H chart, often considered a structure worth monitoring for potential volatility.
Price Near Local Resistance (~ GETTEX:97K )
– BTC is reacting around the GETTEX:97K zone, a level where price has previously stalled, suggesting possible decision-making by market participants.
RSI Around 47
– RSI has cooled from higher levels and is now neutral, indicating a balance between buyers and sellers at this stage.
Parabolic SAR Above Candles
– SAR dots are now positioned above price, typically signaling a slowdown in recent upward momentum.
ADX Reading Below 20
– A low ADX value suggests the current trend lacks strong directional strength, implying potential for sideways or corrective movement.
Volume Not Supporting Recent Move
– As price climbed, volume remained relatively low, which can indicate a lack of strong participation behind the move.
Key Levels to Watch
– Support: $95K (wedge base), GETTEX:92K (prior demand zone)
– Resistance: GETTEX:97K (local), $102K (major overhead zone)
What to Monitor
– A break above GETTEX:97K could lead to a retest of higher zones. A break below $95K might open up a move toward $92K. Watching for confirmation either way.
BTCUSD - NFP WILL DECIDE!!MARKET UPDATE
After price ranged for most part of the week we've seen an impulsive move to the upside pre NFP. Heading up into NFP News Release I still remain Bearish on BTC (But NFP will decide).
MARKET PROFILE
I'm viewing the market profile of this week as an ACCUMULATION, MANIPULATION & DISTRIBUTION Model. We've seen price Accumulate earlier in the week heading into Thursday, and the displacement on Thursday to the upside I'm viewing as a Manipulation into the daily key Supply Level so my anticipation is for NFP News Release to bring about the Distribution to the downside.
IN SUMMARY
This is only my view on BTC current price action and not a financial advice. You're free to share your opinion on this down in the comment.
BTCUSDT:Sharing of the Latest Trading Strategy This week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!
Bitcoin is holding above the $94,000 mark, demonstrating strong upward momentum. It is currently gathering strength to challenge the key resistance level of $98,000. Keep an eye on the support level at $94,000 below. In terms of trading operations, wait for a pullback and then go long.
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BITCOINBitcoin Break of Supply Roof: Implications for Price Action
Bitcoin’s recent breach of a critical supply roof (resistance zone between $95,000–$98,300) has significant implications for its near-term price trajectory.
this range may represent a "supply roof" where holders accumulated Bitcoin. A breakout suggests these holders are either holding for higher prices or have already distributed, reducing immediate selling pressure.
On-Chain and Fundamental Support
Institutional Demand: Corporate treasuries (e.g., MicroStrategy) and ETFs continue accumulating Bitcoin, reducing available supply.
Negative Funding Rates: Despite price gains, futures markets show neutral-to-negative funding rates, indicating room for leveraged longs to enter.
Post-Halving Scarcity: The April 2024 halving has tightened new supply, with only ~19.86 million BTC in circulation (94% of total supply mined).
Conclusion
A decisive breakout above $98,000 would signal a bullish regime shift, targeting $100,000–$109,000 in May/June. However, traders should watch for volume confirmation and macroeconomic cues to validate the move. Failure to hold gains could see Bitcoin retest lower support, but the broader 2025 outlook remains bullish, with institutional adoption and scarcity dynamics underpinning long-term upside.
Critical events this week: US CPI data (May 30) and ETF flow trends will be pivotal for sustaining momentum.
Bitcoin: Strong Support —Back To BasicsNotice the black lines on this chart...
The lower line marks the January 2025 wick low.
The second line, a bit higher, matches the December-November 2024 wick low.
Last week Bitcoin smashed this resistance range and is now safely trading above it. The break of this support turned resistance turned once more support is a major bullish development.
The action as it is happening now on the weekly timeframe puts Bitcoin back in the same conditions as before the March 2025 breakdown.
Notice the entire period after the March 2025 breakdown and April recovery, this is a classic stop-loss hunt event, liquidity hunt or bear-trap. The action moved below support just to quickly recover.
This can also be read as a "failed signal."
The bears attempted to move the market lower but failed. A failed signal turns into a strong signal contrary to the initial direction of the move. So if this is a failed bearish signal it translate from a TA perspective into a strong bullish signal. This works because it reveals a double-bullish dynamic. The failed bearish continuation after breakdown reveals bears weakness, the successful recovery reveals bullish strength; two points for the bulls.
Now, the active weekly candle/session did not wick lower to test the "strong support" price range, between $89,250 and $90,500, black lines on the chart, no, instead the action is happening safely above this range.
Bitcoin is super strong right now. Strong support.
If Bitcoin were to move lower and challenge this support zone, this would become a unique opportunity, a very strong opportunity, an amazing opportunity to buy LONG with high leverage or simply accumulate more if you are spot.
If it drops, awesome, a unique buy opportunity.
If it continues higher right away we are good because Bitcoin has been green four weeks straight.
It doesn't get any better and we have the support of the entire Altcoins market which is starting to heat up. I told you we would see slow steady growth, it doesn't happen in a day because are in a long-term bullish phase but oh boy, oh boy, oh girl oh boy it will grow.
By late May 2025, everything will be green 2-3 levels up. That is, minimum 200%-300% up and that is just the start. You've been warned.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Feel free to follow if you enjoy the content.
Namaste.
Bitcoin is being squeezed. Will it experience a reversal?Hello, guys
Bitcoin has staged an aggressive recovery — but it’s not just any bounce. The move looks to be driven by a classic short squeeze, where extreme bearish sentiment and overcrowded short positions result in a sharp upward spike. This rally has now brought BTC right into a thick wall of resistance, and the next few candles could define the trend for weeks to come.
What’s Happening:
The short squeeze began after BTC reached heavily oversold levels. As price began to bounce, it forced short positions to unwind — fueling a momentum rally. But the rally hasn’t been supported by sustained demand; it’s been largely reactive. That’s where the caution comes in.
BTC is now sitting at a dense confluence of resistance, including
- The descending trendline from the broader channel
- The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
- The point of control from the recent volume profile
- A major price level around $98,300
Why This Zone Matters:
Rejections from this area in the past have triggered sharp pullbacks. The fact that we haven’t seen immediate rejection yet raises eyebrows — but without strong volume and a decisive breakout, it’s premature to call this a full trend reversal. If the squeeze loses steam here, sellers could pile back in.
The Bullish Case:
If price grinds through this zone and closes above $98,300 with sustained volume, the landscape shifts. That level flips from resistance to support, potentially unlocking another leg higher.
The Bearish Case:
However, if this is just a squeeze without follow-through, expect a rejection to form soon. Watch for signs of slowing momentum, especially lower highs or sell pressure into resistance — classic signals of a local top forming.
Final Thoughts:
This is a make-or-break moment. The current structure is vulnerable to rapid moves in either direction. If BTC can’t hold this push, it may confirm a local high and set the stage for a deeper correction. But if bulls punch through resistance, momentum could snowball.
BTCUSDT Wishing everyone a great weekend! I'm considering opening a BTCUSDT trade. Although BTC tends to act “blind” over the weekend, I still plan to take advantage of the opportunity.**
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 96061.32
✔️ Take Profit: 95810.45
✔️ Stop Loss: 96187.06
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
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Chart structure reacts to memory. Momentum + reaction zones! BTCWhat you're seeing isn’t just price action—it's memory in motion.
🟥 Prior momentum shifts marked critical turning points where sellers temporarily dominated.
🟩 Support responses signaled reactive strength, giving early signs of accumulation.
📘 Consolidation zones show where price "remembered" to pause—these often act as launchpads or traps.
🟧 Swept demand cleared out weak hands before a sustained move.
📈 Historical resistance, once broken, becomes memory-based support.
Each label isn't a signal—it's a story.
This chart reminds us:
👉 Before price moves, it tests memory.
👉 Before breakouts, it absorbs emotion.
👉 And before trends, it reacts to old battles.
🧠 The more you study structure, the more you see intention—not randomness.
BTC at a Critical Crossroad — Pump or Dump ?
📝 Caption: Bitcoin is facing a decisive moment!
📌 Price is stuck in a key holding zone.
📈 A break above could send us flying toward the $104K resistance.
📉 But failure to hold may trigger a sharp drop into the weekly FVG below $90K.
🔻 Optimal short entry if we break below the structure.
🚀 Or is this just a healthy retracement before continuation?
💬 What’s your bias — bull or bear?
📊 Let me know in the comments!
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TradeWithMky #Altcoins #TechnicalAnalysis