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24/02/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $99,474.13 Last weeks low: $93,399.17 Midpoint: $96,436.65 Fear & Greed Index: 49 Despite dull price action there is never a dull moment in crypto... BYBIT exchange was the victim of the largest crypto hack in history with $1.4B worth of ETH being stolen. How does this event relate to price? On the grand scheme of things not much, which is surprising but what this sell-off does in terms of structure could be much more harmful IMO. Just as ETH broke through a key S/R level of $2780 the hack occurred sending ETH back under that level and a market sell off due to fear and risking-off. Had Ethereum accepted above that key level structurally the setup looked primed for a move to $3200. Not only that but BTC has broken above weekly high and looked to flip the 4H 200 EMA. These levels are so important to both coins and the timing of the hack cannot be understated. Looking at this weeks chart we find ourselves in the same spot for the 3rd week in a row, $96,000 has been the starting point and midpoint emphasizing the choppy nature of the market and compression of price. The question is which way will BTC expand once this trend breaks, to the upside or to the downside?
by ProR35
BTC and BTC dominance insightsThe BTC graph shows on the monthly graph that the price has broken out already from an inverted head & shoulders pattern. It follows the same flow as the Total Market cap graphs incl. and excl. BTC and ETH. Only is BTC front running and the rest of the market is lacking behind. But this does not mean that it's over or that this is bad thing. On the short term, based on the inverted head & shoulders, BTC has the potential to increase up to $ 123.000 and the BTC.dominance can increase up to 72%. If this happens, Altcoins will go up as well. It only means that at that moment there could potentially be more interest in BTC. So it's not over yet. Not for BTC and not for Altcoins. It's important to zoom out and what the bigger patterns on the monthly and weekly graphs to be able to understand where the cryptomarkt is heading to.
Long
by Soul_Investments
Scenario for the Next Week (February 24–March 2, 2025)The recent candles show a small bullish reversal (green candle) after touching the lower band, which could indicate a hammer or doji pattern, often signaling a potential bottom or reversal in a downtrend. Scenario for the Next Week (February 24–March 2, 2025): Based on the current chart and technical analysis, here’s a plausible scenario for Bitcoin’s price movement over the next week: Bullish Scenario (60% Probability): Trigger: Bitcoin holds above $95,000–$95,030 support, and buyers step in with increased volume. The MACD shows a bullish crossover (MACD line above Signal line), and RSI rises above 40–50, indicating oversold conditions are reversing. Price Movement: The price could bounce from $95,437.5 to test resistance at $96,500 (24-hour high) within 1–2 days. If momentum builds, it might break above $96,500 and target $98,000–$99,426.9 (recent high) by the end of the week, driven by bullish sentiment and potential institutional buying in early 2025. Supporting Factors: The oversold RSI, weakening bearish momentum on MACD, and proximity to the Lower Bollinger Band suggest a high probability of a rebound. Positive news (e.g., ETF inflows or regulatory developments) could amplify this move. Bearish Scenario (30% Probability): Trigger: Bitcoin fails to hold $95,000–$95,030 support, with selling pressure pushing it below $95,153.6 (Lower Bollinger Band). RSI drops below 30, and MACD remains bearish with a deepening negative Histogram. Price Movement: The price could decline to $94,000–$93,747.2 (recent low on the chart) within 1–3 days, testing deeper support levels. If bearish momentum continues, it might drop toward $92,000 by the end of the week, aligning with broader correction patterns observed in early 2025. Supporting Factors: Lack of volume, persistent selling pressure, or negative macroeconomic news (e.g., interest rate hikes or ETF outflows) could drive this scenario. Sideways/Consolidation Scenario (10% Probability): Trigger: Bitcoin remains range-bound between $95,000 and $96,500, with no clear breakout. MACD and RSI show mixed signals, and volume stays low. Price Movement: The price could oscillate between $95,000 and $96,500 for most of the week, forming a tight consolidation pattern. This could precede a larger move (up or down) depending on external catalysts. Supporting Factors: Current moderate volume and flat indicators suggest indecision in the market. Key Risks and Considerations: Volatility: Bitcoin’s price in early 2025 is highly volatile, especially around key levels like $95,000. News events (e.g., U.S. economic data, regulatory changes, or whale movements) could significantly impact the outcome. Timeframe: This analysis is based on a short-term chart. On longer timeframes (e.g., daily or weekly), the broader trend might differ, but $95,000 remains a critical support zone. External Factors: Institutional flows, ETF activity, and macroeconomic shifts (e.g., inflation or Fed policy) could override technical signals. Recommendation: Short-Term Traders: Watch for a MACD bullish crossover and RSI rising above 40 as buy signals near $95,000–$95,437.5. Set stop-losses below $95,000 if entering long positions. If bearish signals persist, consider shorting below $95,000 with targets at $94,000–$93,747.2. Long-Term Holders: The $95,000 level is a strong support historically, so a bounce here could signal a continuation of the uptrend toward $100,000+ in 2025. However, monitor for a break below $95,000, as it could indicate deeper corrections. This scenario is based on the current chart and technical patterns, but market dynamics can change rapidly. Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
by OldFA2121
BTC END OF CORRECTIONAfter being stuck in this sideways correction for almost 70 days, #BTC is finally coming to the end of this consolidation in the next 24-72 hours. It's not common that we get a double three correction (WXY) starting with a sharp zigzag wave W and ending with a huge expanded triangle for wave Y, so this correction is one for the history books. I really hope you have your longs stacked up during this final drop as we're going to take off any moment to new all-time highs, probably to $130K or more.
Long
by Mashood_Abidi94
Looking Back on My BTC Chart Projection – How Did It Play Out?Months ago, I shared this Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) chart, outlining key levels, potential breakouts, and crucial support zones. Now that time has passed, it’s time to reflect on how the market has reacted and whether my predictions held up. Support & Resistance Levels Held Strong One of the most significant aspects of my analysis was the importance of the $100,000 psychological level. The price has been hovering around crucial zones, showing strong resistance just under six figures while respecting lower support areas. The Consolidation Phase Was Key The chart displayed a large accumulation and consolidation phase, where BTC traded within a range before breaking out. This played out similarly to past bull cycles, where extended sideways movements built up momentum before major moves. Upside Targets Were Within Reach While BTC has not yet hit the highest projected level of $131,799, it did get close to some of the intermediate targets, such as $108,420 and $118,441. This suggests that the trend remains bullish, but we may see some corrections before another leg up. Potential Pullbacks to Watch The projected support levels at $68,424 and $52,596 remain critical. If BTC experiences a correction, these levels could serve as major buying opportunities. The 200-day moving average (blue line) also continues to act as strong dynamic support. What’s Next? With BTC consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, a breakout could be imminent. Whether we see another push to new highs or a retracement first, the long-term trend remains intact. Final Thoughts : Patience has been key in this market, and looking back on this chart confirms the importance of planning long-term. Did you follow a similar strategy, or were your targets different? Let me know your thoughts below!
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
Record-Breaking Bitcoin ETFsSince the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, their total trading volume has surpassed $750 billion, reflecting strong investor interest. The growing popularity of these instruments continues to solidify Bitcoin’s position as an asset class. ✨ Key Facts (as of today): ⚫️ IBIT by BlackRock now accounts for 75% of total ETF trading volume, up from just 25% at launch, highlighting its market dominance. ⚫️ Total assets under management have exceeded $112 billion, making #Bitcoin ETFs one of the fastest-growing segments in asset management. ⚫️ High liquidity and steady capital inflows indicate rising institutional demand, with Bitcoin being viewed not just as a speculative asset but as a long-term portfolio component. The rise of Bitcoin ETFs underscores the increasing role of crypto assets in traditional finance. As the sector evolves, we can expect more funds, a broader range of products, and deeper institutional involvement. 🚀 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Price Analysis 📉 Bitcoin Update (Today’s Data): 🔹 Price: $96,370 (-0.32% 24h) 🔹 Market Cap: $1.9T (+0.32%) 🔹 24h Trading Volume: $16.63B (-66.16%) 🔹 FDV: $2.02T 🔹 Total Supply: 19.82M BTC / Max Supply: 21M BTC BTC is rising despite the recent Ethereum theft from the ByBit exchange, while the White House rhetoric is shifting toward Bitcoin Reserves
Long
by Sasha_why_N
BTCUSDT (OKX) Analysis - February 21, 2025OKX:BTCUSDT.P **Overall Assessment:** Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on OKX remains highly volatile and the overall trend is uncertain. While the long-term trend (Daily chart) is technically still an uptrend, it has *weakened significantly*. The 4-hour and 15-minute charts are in confirmed downtrends. This analysis focuses on identifying key levels where Smart Money might be active and assessing trend strength. **Detailed Analysis by Timeframe:** **(1) TF Day (Daily):** * **Trend:** Uptrend (Significantly Weakening, *at high risk of reversing*). * **SMC (Smart Money Concepts):** * Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) structure is *becoming less defined and broken*. The recent price action has broken previous lows. * Prior Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside, but now a significant and deep pullback is underway. * **Liquidity:** * **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** Significant SSL rests below previous lows in the 85,000 - 90,000 range. This is a likely target for Smart Money. * **Buyside Liquidity (BSL):** BSL is present above the all-time high. * **ICT (Inner Circle Trader Concepts):** * **Order Block:** The price has *broken below* the prior bullish Order Block (the large green candle before a significant up-move). This is a *major bearish signal*. * **EMA (Exponential Moving Average):** * Price has *broken below* the 50-period EMA (yellow), a bearish signal. * The 200-period EMA (white) is the next major support level. * **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):** * A *long red bar* indicates strong selling pressure. * **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):** * Red Cloud indicating Downtrend, *No Buy/Sell Signal*. * **Volume Profile:** Relatively low volume on the recent decline. * **Candlesticks:** The most recent candlestick is red, confirming selling pressure. * **Support:** EMA 200, 85,000-90,000 (SSL area). * **Resistance:** EMA 50, Previous All-Time High. * **Summary:** The Daily chart's uptrend is significantly weakening. The break below the 50 EMA *and* the bullish Order Block, combined with the negative Money Flow and bearish Trend Strength, are all major warning signs. The SSL below is a key area to watch. **(2) TF4H (4-Hour):** * **Trend:** Downtrend. * **SMC:** * Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). * BOS to the downside. * **Liquidity:** * **SSL:** Below previous lows. * **BSL:** Above previous highs. * **ICT:** * **Order Block:** The price was rejected by a bearish order Block * **EMA:** * Price is below both the 50-period and 200-period EMAs (bearish). * **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):** * Predominantly red, confirming selling pressure. * **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):** * Green Cloud *But No Buy/Sell Signal.* Indicates Sideway * **Volume Profile:** * Relatively high volume. * **Support:** Recent lows. * **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block. * **Summary:** The 4-hour chart is in a confirmed downtrend. The Money Flow is bearish, price below both EMAs. **(3) TF15 (15-Minute):** * **Trend:** Downtrend (but showing *some* signs of consolidation/sideways movement). * **SMC:** * Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) - but with *slightly* higher lows recently. * BOS to the downside. * **ICT:** * **Order Block** Price could not break up the bearish Order Block. * **EMA:** * The 50-period and 200-period EMAs are acting as resistance. * **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):** * Alternating red and green, predominantly red. * **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):** * Red Cloud (Bearish), *BUT* there's a *bullish divergence* (price made a lower low, but the Trend Strength indicator made a higher low). This is a *potential* early warning sign, but needs *strong confirmation*. * **Volume Profile:** * Relatively high Volume * **Support:** Recent lows. * **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block. * **Summary:** The 15-minute chart is in a downtrend, although with *very tentative* signs of stabilization. The bullish divergence on the Trend Strength is noteworthy, but *not* a buy signal on its own. **Overall Strategy and Recommendations (BTCUSDT):** * **Primary Trend (Day):** Uptrend (Significantly Weakening). * **Secondary Trend (4H):** Downtrend. * **Short-Term Trend (15m):** Downtrend (Potential Early Reversal Signals). * **Liquidity:** Significant SSL zones exist below the current price on all timeframes. * **Money Flow:** Negative on all timeframes. * **Trend Strength:** Bearish on Day and 15m. Sideway on 4H. * **Strategies:** 1. **Wait & See (Best Option):** The conflicting signals and the strong bearish momentum on the shorter timeframes, combined with the weakening Daily chart, make waiting the most prudent approach. Look for: * **Bearish Confirmation:** A decisive break below the recent lows on the 15m and 4H charts, with increasing volume and continued negative Money Flow. This would confirm the continuation of the downtrend. * **Bullish Confirmation:** A strong, sustained break above the 15m EMAs, a shift in the 15m Money Flow to green, *and* a bullish signal on the 4H Trend Strength, *and* price holding above EMAs and ideally reclaiming the Daily Order Block. 2. **Short (High Risk):** This aligns with the 4H and 15m downtrends. * **Entry:** On rallies towards resistance levels (EMAs on 15m/4H, previous support levels that have turned into resistance). * **Stop Loss:** Above recent highs on the chosen timeframe. * **Target:** The next support levels (recent lows on 15m, then potentially the SSL zones on the 4H and Daily charts). 3. **Buy (Extremely High Risk - Not Recommended):** Do *not* attempt to buy until there are *very strong and consistent* bullish reversal signals across *all* timeframes, including a definitive shift in market structure on the 4H and 15m charts, positive Money Flow, and a clear break above resistance levels. The bullish divergence on the 15m Trend Strength is *not* sufficient on its own. **Key Recommendations:** * **Conflicting Timeframes:** The primary conflict is now resolved toward the downside. The Daily is weakening significantly. * **Money Flow:** Consistently negative, a major bearish factor. * **Trend Strength:** Bearish on Day and 15, Sideways on 4H, but the *divergence* on the 15m is a *potential* early warning. * **Daily Order Block:** The *break* of the bullish Order Block is a significant bearish development. * **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** Be aware that Smart Money may target the SSL zones below. This increases the risk of stop-loss hunting. * **Risk Management:** Due to the high uncertainty and volatility, *strict risk management is absolutely critical.* Use tight stop-losses, do not overtrade, and be prepared for rapid price swings. * **Volume:** Confirm any breakout or breakdown with volume. **Day Trading and Intraday Trading Strategies:** * **Day Trade (TF15 focus):** * **Short Bias:** Given the current 15m downtrend and negative Money Flow, the higher probability is to look for shorting opportunities. * **Entry:** Look for price to rally to resistance levels (EMAs, Order Blocks, previous support levels that have become resistance) and then show signs of rejection (bearish candlestick patterns, increasing volume on the downside). * **Stop Loss:** Place a stop-loss order above the resistance level where you enter the short position. * **Take Profit:** Target the next support level (recent lows). * **Be very cautious:** The bullish divergence on the Trend Strength indicator suggests a potential bounce *could* occur. Don't be aggressive with shorts until this divergence is invalidated. * **Avoid Long positions:** Until there's a *clear* and *confirmed* bullish reversal on the 15m chart (break above EMAs, positive Money Flow, bullish market structure). * **Swing Trade (TF4H focus):** * **Short Bias:** The 4H chart is in a downtrend. * **Entry:** Wait for price to rally to resistance levels (EMAs, Order Blocks) and show signs of rejection. * **Stop Loss:** Above the resistance level where you enter the short position. * **Take Profit:** Target the next support levels (e.g., the 200 EMA on the Daily chart, SSL zones). * **Avoid Long positions:** Until there's a *clear* and *confirmed* bullish reversal on the 4H chart. **SMC Day Trade Setup Example (TF15 - Bearish):** 1. **Identify Bearish Order Block:** Locate a bearish Order Block on the TF15 chart (a bullish candle before a strong downward move). *We have identified this in previous analyses.* 2. **Wait for Pullback:** Wait for the price to pull back up to test the Order Block (this may or may not happen). 3. **Bearish Entry:** * **Rejection:** Look for price action to reject the Order Block (e.g., a pin bar, engulfing pattern, or other bearish candlestick pattern). * **Break of Structure:** Look for a break of a minor support level on a *lower* timeframe (e.g., 1-minute or 5-minute) after the price tests the Order Block. * **Money Flow:** Confirm that Money Flow remains negative (red). 4. **Stop Loss:** Place a stop-loss order *above* the Order Block. 5. **Take Profit:** Target the next support level (e.g., recent lows) or a bullish Order Block on a higher timeframe. **In conclusion, BTCUSDT is currently in a high-risk, bearish environment in the short-to-medium term. The "Wait & See" approach is strongly recommended for most traders. Shorting is the higher-probability trade *at this moment*, but only for experienced traders who can manage risk extremely effectively. Buying is not recommended at this time.** **Disclaimer:** This analysis is for informational purposes only and represents a personal opinion. It is not financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. Investors should conduct their own research and exercise due diligence before making any investment decisions.
by LinaEngword
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (February 21-22)Bitcoin reached the upper boundary of the volume zone in the range at $98,000 yesterday. At the moment, sellers attempted to defend this level, but buyers absorbed the pressure, forming local support at this price. Although we have broken through this level, the movement remains weak, making a correction very likely. Yesterday's alternative scenario did not play out. For long-term holders, it is essential to wait for consolidation above $100,000 and look for long entries upon a correction to the high-volume range zone at $98,000–$96,000. Sell Zone: 🔻 $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). Buy Zones: 🟢 $97,500–$96,800 (local volume zone). 🟢 ~$95,000 (sell absorption). 🟢 $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes). Interesting Altcoins For SWARM , a full reversal has occurred, making it worth considering long positions either on a breakout of the current local highs or on a retest of support zones: 📍 $0.412–$0.405 📍 $0.39–$0.38
by Crypto_robotics