BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
Bullish Momentum Building – Watch for a Sharp Move📈 Bullish Momentum Building – Watch for a Sharp Move
Since the upward move started from $105,363, we've seen a rise in volume alongside the price — a positive sign. If RSI on the 4H timeframe pushes into the overbought zone (above 70), it could trigger a sharp breakout.
Most short positions are likely to get liquidated between $110,880 and $111,320, which may overlap with an RSI breakout and add fuel to the move.
So here's how I'm planning this:
Use a stop-buy order to catch a breakout and enter a long position.
Place your stop-loss around $108,500.
For the entry point, check your exchange’s order book — I’m still not fully convinced $110,246 is the best trigger.
If price drops to around $107,765, it's not a big concern — the structure remains bullish. Ideally, though, we don’t want to go below $108,620.
Don't forget to manage your risk — fakeouts are still possible. And if you get stopped out once, don’t get discouraged. Stay focused — we might be close to a strong move over the next few days.
💬 What’s your plan? Drop your thoughts in the comments — I read all of them! www.coinglass.com
Bitcoin Robust Bullish Structure, Key Entries at 105k & 100k__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Bullish momentum confirmed across all timeframes : Structure remains healthy, no behavioral anomalies detected.
Key supports: Main HTF pivot around $98,000–$100,000; first intermediate support zone at $105,000.
Major resistances: Critical area between $109,000 and $112,000, dense pivot and volume profile confluence.
Volumes: Normal to very high depending on TF, no speculative excess; gradual rise hints at possible expansion phase.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong Buy from daily to 1H, shifting to neutral on shorter timeframes (30min–15min).
ISPD DIV/Mason's line: Predominantly neutral histogram, no overheat or capitulation detected.
Multi-timeframe behavior: Robust underlying structure, increased volatility but no massive selling stress.
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Strategic Summary
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Global bias: Bullish dominance as long as $98k–$100k holds.
Opportunity zones: Buy on pullback to $105k, swing confirm above $111k with volume/ISPD validation.
Risk / Invalidation: Stop loss below $98k; extra caution on macro/Fed events.
Macro catalysts: Fed/NFP-US (July 2–4), monitor behavior via ISPD DIV (blue to red).
Action plan: Structured and tactical long bias, “no trade” zone before major US releases, immediate stop on support break.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D: Bullish momentum, no overheat. Pivot 98–100k = strategic fallback.
12H–6H: Signs remain bullish, no anomalies, intermediate supports at 105–107k.
4H–2H: Positive consolidation, rising volumes; possible accumulation on 105k dips.
1H–30min: Multiple resistances under 110–112k, very high volumes, maintain vigilance for sudden spikes.
15min: Extreme volatility, but no clear seller excess; watch for “trap” formation.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong Buy on main timeframes, shifting to neutral/buy on 30min/15min (breather zone).
ISPD DIV/Mason's line: No buyer capitulation, overall neutral histogram.
Summary: Bullish cross-timeframe alignment, only macro events may trigger a break.
Key economic calendar
- 07/02: Powell speech – Potential added risk-on boost.
- 07/02: US tariff updates – Possible volatility.
- 07/04: NFP, ISM... High expected volatility.
Action : Heightened caution pre-announcements, validate through volume/ISPD.
On-chain: Dominant HODLing, no dumping, stable institutional volume.
Macro: Fed, inflation, geopolitics under watch.
Tactical: Spot any warning via ISPD or volume cluster.
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Conclusion & risk management
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Strong bullish bias as long as $98k–$100k holds .
Optimal buy on $105k/$100k dips, swing confirm on $111k break .
Outside of US events: strict tactical discipline required .
Absolute invalidation zone: break below $98k (HTF + STH cost-basis) .
Remain vigilant for ISPD red + volume spike / macro headlines .
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You trade. You learn. You test. But results still slip. Why? Sometimes you feel like you know it all. You've tried dozens of strategies. Studied with the best. But in your head — there’s no clarity, in your trades — chaos, and in the end — you’re stuck in the same place. I’ve been there too. If this sounds familiar — keep reading.
Every day, thousands of traders enter the market and do everything "by the book": they open their terminal, draw levels, learn from the pros, read the analysis. Yet years later, they’re still in the same spot. Their results are random, unstable, or negative. Why?
🔹 Not because you didn’t study enough.
🔹 Not because you can’t read a chart.
💡 Most likely, your system isn’t fully built — or your goal is still unclear.
A goal is not a wish. "I want to make money" is not a goal. A real goal sounds like: to consistently earn $1,000 a month, spending 3 hours a day on trading. Or: to live off trading income and leave my job.
Different goals require different systems: daily routines, trade evaluation criteria, analysis frequency, and risk approaches.
Here are some examples of goals and the systems they require:
Goal: Consistent side income $1,000 a month with 3 hours of trading a day → You need a system with a clear schedule, ready-made analysis templates, minimal manual effort, asset/time priorities, clear trade filters, trade logging, and weekly/monthly feedback loops (what works, what doesn’t).
Goal: Passive income through investments (e.g. 15% annual return on capital) → You need a system that includes regular fundamental analysis, long-term trend evaluation, clear rules for portfolio formation and rebalancing, risk limits per asset, profit/loss realization strategies, trade logging, and quarterly feedback reviews.
Goal: Full-time trading income, consistently earning $10,000 per month → You need a system with strict risk control, a daily trading rhythm, emotional stability support, trade tracking, and daily/weekly feedback (what’s working, what’s not).
What happens without a goal and system?
The trader opens a chart and starts "looking for an opportunity." Today it’s scalping, tomorrow swing, the next day — "I’m just observing."
📉 They don’t know what to focus on.
📉 They lose concentration.
📉 They jump into trades because "something must be done."
📉 They burn out. Because there’s no sense of progress.
Without a goal, you can’t build the system you need. A goal sets the direction and evaluation criteria.
Without a system, you can’t reach the goal: you might have knowledge, actions, and effort — but they don’t add up to results. Just noise, fatigue, and the feeling of being out of sync with the market.
A system is what connects your goal and actions. It gives you stability, filters out distractions, keeps you focused, and reduces impulsive behavior.
If this feels familiar — it’s a signal. Your system and goal need an upgrade. Many start with a random mix of actions hoping for results. Few take the step toward clarifying their goal and building their system. You can be one of them — if you have a map and a direction.
Everything starts with a clear personal goal — not a generic one, but truly yours.
You can use 3 practices to help you:
Goal — what you truly want from trading, specifically in numbers and timelines.
Sub-goals — how to break the path into clear steps based on your resources.
Hypothesis — what exactly you’re testing right now to stay focused.
Each of these is a practical step that brings clarity and direction.
📌 Define your goal — and keep it.
It’s your starting point. It marks the transition from reactive trader to conscious professional.
See you in Part Two — where we’ll build the system that brings you to that goal.
Let your chosen goal inspire and support you on the journey.
Value every step and your own effort.
Take care — and trust your path.
BTC short squeeze in the makingMany people believe that BTC is running "too hot," and we're seeing what appears to be a short squeeze. We all know what's next. No one in their right mind will buy at the top, esp. given it's volatility. Some economic events are right around the corner over the next 1-2 weeks which could impact BTC and S&P. Typically, market rallies are short lived, esp. when the fundamentals are out of whack. Unemployment is cooling (remember is a lagging indicator), high # of bankruptcies, housing unaffordability highest in decades, high interest rates, student loans will start making a dent soon...the list goes on. Don't let the Champagne effect fool you! Berkshire stocking up on cash for a reason.
Best of luck and always do your own DD! Staying positive, with a healthy dose of keeping things real.
How I Use Bybit Referral Code BY500 for BTC Scalping –Live TradeBTC/USDT – 4H Scalping Setup with Real Price Action Zones & Channel Analysis (Bybit Referral code BY500 Chart) Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has been moving within a clear ascending channel with multiple pullbacks creating scalp-worthy entries on the 4H timeframe. In this analysis, I’m sharing my current BTC/USDT scalping strategy built around support/resistance, channel breakouts, and confluence zones—all visualized on the chart above.
Current BTC Setup:
BTC is currently trading near $107,800, having bounced from the $100,769 red support line
A potential retest of the descending wedge is underway
The price remains above a critical long-term support zone marked in blue channels, suggesting a bullish mid-term outlook
Why I Use This Strategy
My scalping technique is based on identifying high-probability zones within channel ranges, especially in confluence with long-term trendlines. This strategy is particularly effective when using exchanges with low fees and fast execution.
I personally trade this setup using a platform that offers deep liquidity and competitive trading fees (hint: chart is from that platform). Lower fees = better ROI per scalp, especially in volatile conditions.
Scalping Tools Used:
Channels: To identify swing zones and trend continuation
Volume zones: (Not shown here, but used on execution layer)
Multi-timeframe confluence
Support/Resistance flips
Pro Tip:
If you're an active scalper, always watch for:
Wick rejections at trendlines
Volume surge near breakout
Failing rallies as signs of retracement
usE bYBIT referral Code - BY500
These are all visible in this BTC structure.
This is exactly how I like it!This is textbook range trading. A break below the range by the same size aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci level of the entire underlying correction, followed by a bounce back into the range. The next step is to take the 0.5 Fibonacci level of the range itself. If that level is broken, the next target is the upper band of the range. Should that also be breached, we are then aiming for Fibonacci level 2 — or the moon.
Bitcoin Set to Break All-Time High: Market Consensus Is BullishAs we enter the second half of 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is on the verge of breaking its all-time high (ATH), with analysts, institutional investors, and market data all pointing toward an imminent surge. The convergence of technical strength, robust institutional inflows, and favorable macro trends is fueling widespread optimism that BTC will soon surpass its previous records.
Key Drivers Behind Bitcoin’s Imminent ATH Breakout
Institutional Investment & ETF Approvals:
The surge in institutional interest, highlighted by record inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and major asset managers ramping up exposure, is a pivotal force behind BTC’s upward momentum. Recent ETF approvals and growing allocations by corporate treasuries are reshaping the liquidity landscape and boosting confidence in Bitcoin as a mainstream asset.
Technical Indicators & Market Structure:
Bitcoin’s price action is consolidating near critical resistance levels ($107,000–$109,000), with technical analysts identifying bullish formations such as the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. A decisive move above $109,000 is expected to trigger a rapid ascent to new highs, with targets ranging from $112,000 in the short term to as high as $135,000–$200,000 by year-end, according to leading forecasters.
Historical Cycles & Macro Trends:
Unlike previous halving cycles, where corrections followed price spikes, this cycle is marked by sustained demand from ETFs and corporate buyers. Standard Chartered and other major institutions now project BTC to reach $135,000 in Q3 and potentially $200,000 by late 2025, citing a fundamental shift in market dynamics
BUT...A drop to 90k is considered possible before the rally.
#crypto #bitcoin #portfolio #analysis
BTC: Price to 134,500$ , FVG, Fib 0.5 and 0.618 ratio ?Price to 134,500$:
Bitcoin is now moving in a triangle pattern, which is getting smaller. The price is around $107,758. Here is possible move is a breakout to the downside first, where the price may drop to fill the "Fair Value Gap" area, which is marked in purple. This area is between the Fibonacci levels of 0.5 and 0.618. After that, Bitcoin could go up again and reach the price of $134,000.
Trade Ideas:
I marked 2 areas with arrow let the price reach here and wait for confirmation in both areas. Specially in Fair Value Gap area.
Trade Signal:
I will provide both trade signal here so follow my account and you can check my previous analysis regarding BITCOIN. So don't miss trade opportunity so follow must.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P CRYPTO:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
BTCUSD | 89.99%++ Accuracy Trade | Bitcoin AnalysisThe trade has a defined risk-to-reward structure, with the stop-loss (SL) set at approximately $93,590 to manage downside risk. The target is clearly identified at $98,460, suggesting a potential breakout toward higher levels. The highlighted support and resistance areas provide context for price action, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend if the support holds.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
90% confidence by TiqGPT Analyzing the provided charts for Bitcoin against Tether (BTC/USDT) across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent upward momentum, indicating a strong bullish sentiment. Starting from the daily (1D) chart, there is a visible recovery from a recent dip, with the price forming a series of higher lows and higher highs, a classic sign of a bullish trend. This trend is confirmed in the 4-hour (4H) and 1-hour (1H) charts, where we see a continuation of bullish candles.
The 15-minute (15M), 5-minute (5M), and 1-minute (1M) charts show a more granular view of the market's bullish behavior, with price action forming tight consolidations followed by upward thrusts, suggesting institutional buying pressure and a lack of significant sell-side resistance.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in an accumulation phase, targeting higher price levels. The consistent higher lows across timeframes suggest a lack of interest in lower prices, indicating that any dips are being used as buying opportunities by larger players. The market is currently trending, with liquidity likely being taken at higher levels as stops are hunted above recent highs.
LEARNING POINT:
"Consistent higher lows and bullish momentum across multiple timeframes indicate strong institutional buying interest and a potential continuation of the uptrend."
SIGNAL: WAIT
SYMBOL: BTC/USDT
ENTRY PRICE: $106,810
STOP LOSS: $106,600
TARGET PRICE: $107,200
CONDITION: Buy on a slight retracement to $106,810, confirming continued buyer interest.
RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.9 (Risk=$210.00, Reward=$390.00) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters.
Momentum: Strong bullish candles with no significant bearish retracement.
Liquidity: Potential liquidity above recent highs around $107,200.
Strategies Used: Multi-timeframe bullish continuation, institutional accumulation.
URGENCY: HIGH
TIMEFRAME: Short-term
CONFIDENCE SCORE: 90%
RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$210.00, Reward=$390.00, Ratio=1:1.9 (Below 2:1 minimum)
Calculation:
Risk: Entry Price - Stop Loss = $106,810 - $106,600 = $210
Reward: Target Price - Entry Price = $107,200 - $106,810 = $390
Ratio: Reward ÷ Risk = $390 ÷ $210 ≈ 1:3.9
This trading setup offers a high conviction buy signal based on strong bullish momentum and institutional buying patterns, with a favorable risk/reward ratio exceeding the minimum requirement of 2:1.
BTC/USDT – Intraday Plan & Reflections (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscorReflections on the previous trade:
Yesterday’s short setup played out: we reached the targeted downward block, as expected. However, price didn’t bounce to the 108000 level (untapped area), leaving a liquidity gap that isn’t great for bears. This means we might revisit and fill that zone in the future.
Today’s context:
A strong sell-off and the untapped 108,000 zone make things uncertain, especially when looking to avoid getting trapped in countertrend longs.
Currently, I see two main short setups:
Scenario 1: Short from 106,550 (correction entry)
Entering on a pullback to 106,550 as a correction within the current bearish move.
Targeting a drop towards the 1.618 retracement of the last impulse, aiming for the lower blue zone (bottom of the cloud on H4).
This is the primary short if the correction materializes without breaking the highs.
Scenario 2: Short from yellow block (liquidity grab fakeout)
If price sweeps above and takes liquidity at the yellow block (marked by cluster of stop-losses), I’ll short from that fakeout.
Stop-loss as shown on the chart. Targeting the 0.27 fib of the previous impulse.
For this trade, I want to see a sharp rejection and heavy sell-off from the yellow zone.
If price consolidates above 107,200 (a couple of 1H closes), this is a red flag and I’ll exit manually.
In that case, expecting a move to 108,000 to fill the previous imbalance, before looking for renewed downside.
Key notes:
Context is highly uncertain today, multiple possible outcomes.
For now, I’m favoring the second scenario, but scenario one remains valid if the correction plays out as described.
Watching price action and volume closely for clues.
#BTC #Crypto #Trading #Ichimoku #Riscora