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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas

bit long Hello. In our previous analysis, we identified a support level for Bitcoin, which Bitcoin reached and reacted to, causing the market to rally (77,000 - 75,750). Today, I’m sharing my latest analysis with you. Currently, Bitcoin is battling resistance at 95,000. If this resistance is broken, the next resistance levels are 97,500, 100,000, and 106,500. Each time these levels are touched, Bitcoin could pull back to the previous supports. Ultimately, if 106,500 is broken, Bitcoin could move up to 125,000, followed by a correction and the support at 106,500 coming into play. If that support holds, prices could go higher than 125,000.
Long
by omidsalarkia88
Bitcoin at Daily Resistance — Reversal Incoming?Bitcoin is currently perched at a critical inflection point, with price action stalling at a major daily supply zone and 0.618 Fibonacci resistance. This region has acted as a key decision point in recent months, and now stands as a potential trigger for the next leg down. If Bitcoin confirms rejection from this level, it could mark the beginning of the C-leg in a broader ABC corrective structure. The implications are clear: a move back toward the 0.618 Fibonacci support could unfold quickly, especially if price fails to maintain a foothold above this resistance. This area is also the upper boundary of a descending channel that’s held since November 2024 — a structure that’s added considerable technical confluence and credibility to the current bearish outlook. From a trader’s lens, we are still trading at resistance until proven otherwise. Without a clean breakout and hold above this range, the bias remains to the downside. A confirmed breakout above would invalidate the bearish thesis, but until then, risk is skewed toward further downside as the market digests recent gains.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
$BTC - Weekend OutlookCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 1d We'll see how the 92–90k zone reacts this weekend, but I think the deepest this pullback might go is around 89–87k. We don't really wanna see price breaking the 86k level for a potential higher low I’m not really expecting a push to 200k–300k in the coming weeks. We already frontran the 70k-68k area (htf demand), and I think we’re just forming a broader distribution range here. It’s possible we take out the highs and deviate up to 114–118k Let’s see. Enjoy your weekend everyone!
by Tealstreet
BTCUSDT 4H – Correction Before Breakout | Targeting $98KI'm seeing a potential bullish continuation pattern forming on the BTC/USDT 4H chart. After a strong upward trend, price is currently in a consolidation zone with a likely correction toward the $95,600–$96,000 area, which aligns with both pivot support and the rising trendline. Key points from my analysis: Support zone: $95,600–$96,000 (confluence of pivot point and ascending trendline) Resistance targets: R1: $97,272 R2: $98,050 R3: $99,308 Momentum: Stochastic RSI near overbought → suggests short-term pullback, then potential continuation. Volume: No major distribution, bullish momentum remains intact. 📈 I expect a minor dip followed by continuation to R2 or R3, provided the $95,600 support holds. Stop-loss idea: Below $94,756 (S1) Take-profit zones: Partial at GETTEX:98K , rest near $99.3K ------------ManOf87_Pro Indicator-------------------- A powerful trading tool combining ATR-based trend detection, Fibonacci pivots, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), engulfing patterns, and multi-factor confirmations (MA, RSI, Bollinger Bands, volume, Z-Score, ROC). *Buy Signal: Triggers when the trend shifts bullish (price exceeds ATR-based short stop), with strong buy signals requiring additional trend, momentum, and volume confirmation. *Sell Signal: Triggers when the trend turns bearish (price falls below ATR-based long stop), with strong sell signals needing similar confirmations. -Ideal for trend-following and breakout strategies, customizable for various markets and timeframes.
Long
by ManOf87
3
BITCOINBitcoin (BTC) and US Dollar (DXY) Differential: Correlation and Trends Key Relationship: Inverse Correlation Bitcoin has historically exhibited an inverse correlation with the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the dollar’s strength against a basket of major currencies. This relationship stems from Bitcoin’s role as a speculative, risk-sensitive asset and the dollar’s status as a safe-haven currency. Factor Impact on BTC/USD Stronger USD (DXY ↑) Typically bearish for Bitcoin (BTC ↓) Weaker USD (DXY ↓) Typically bullish for Bitcoin (BTC ↑) Fed Rate Hikes Strengthens USD, pressuring BTC Risk-On Sentiment Weakens USD demand, supports BTC Recent Trends in 2025 Decoupling from Historical Patterns: Despite the DXY falling 9% year-to-date (YTD) in 2025, Bitcoin has declined 6%, diverging from its typical inverse relationship. This anomaly reflects Bitcoin’s growing correlation with equities (e.g., Nasdaq) amid global trade war tensions and its reduced linkage to gold. Monetary Policy Impact: The Federal Reserve’s restrictive policy (4.50% rate) has bolstered the USD, limiting BTC’s upside despite easing trade tensions. Bitcoin’s fixed supply and speculative nature amplify sensitivity to liquidity shifts. Correlation Metrics: 2024 Q1: BTC/DXY correlation coefficient of -0.65, indicating a strong inverse relationship. 2025: Correlation weakened due to macroeconomic uncertainties (e.g., U.S.-China tariffs) and BTC’s shifting market role. Critical Factors Influencing BTC/USD Dynamics Fed Policy Signals: Delayed rate cuts (priced for June 2025) sustain USD strength, capping BTC rallies. Risk Sentiment: Safe-haven USD demand spikes during geopolitical crises (e.g., trade wars), pressuring BTC. Institutional Adoption: Growing BTC integration into traditional finance may reduce volatility and alter its correlation profile. 2025 Outlook Short-Term: BTC faces headwinds from USD resilience and equity market volatility but could rebound if Fed cuts materialize. Long-Term: Structural drivers (halving, institutional demand) may restore BTC’s inverse correlation with the USD as macro conditions stabilize. In summary, while Bitcoin and the dollar often move inversely, 2025 has seen this relationship tested by shifting market dynamics. Traders should monitor Fed policy, risk appetite, and BTC’s evolving role in portfolios for directional cues.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
DeGRAM | BTCUSD 📊 Technical Analysis ● Price exited a 3-month descending channel and is climbing inside a new rising channel; $91 500 support keeps bulls in control. ● Price just under the $95k supply zone; a break unlocks the upper rail near GETTEX:98K and the next objective at $106k. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Spot-BTC ETFs hauled in ≈ $3.4 B last week, underscoring persistent institutional demand. ● US JOLTS openings fell to a four-year low, boosting Fed rate-cut odds and softening the USD—both tail-winds for Bitcoin. ✨ Summary Rising-channel structure, hefty ETF inflows, and softer U.S. data favor a push above $95 K toward $98 K–106 K; bias invalidated below $91 500. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Bitcoin’s Short Squeeze Pushes Into Key Resistance — Reversal?Bitcoin has staged an aggressive recovery — but it’s not just any bounce. The move looks to be driven by a classic short squeeze, where extreme bearish sentiment and overcrowded short positions result in a sharp upward spike. This rally has now brought BTC right into a thick wall of resistance, and the next few candles could define the trend for weeks to come. What’s Happening: The short squeeze began after BTC reached heavily oversold levels. As price began to bounce, it forced short positions to unwind — fueling a momentum rally. But the rally hasn’t been supported by sustained demand; it’s been largely reactive. That’s where the caution comes in. BTC is now sitting at a dense confluence of resistance, including - The descending trendline from the broader channel - The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement - The point of control from the recent volume profile - A major price level around $98,300 Why This Zone Matters: Rejections from this area in the past have triggered sharp pullbacks. The fact that we haven’t seen immediate rejection yet raises eyebrows — but without strong volume and a decisive breakout, it’s premature to call this a full trend reversal. If the squeeze loses steam here, sellers could pile back in. The Bullish Case: If price grinds through this zone and closes above $98,300 with sustained volume, the landscape shifts. That level flips from resistance to support, potentially unlocking another leg higher. The Bearish Case: However, if this is just a squeeze without follow-through, expect a rejection to form soon. Watch for signs of slowing momentum, especially lower highs or sell pressure into resistance — classic signals of a local top forming. Final Thoughts: This is a make-or-break moment. The current structure is vulnerable to rapid moves in either direction. If BTC can’t hold this push, it may confirm a local high and set the stage for a deeper correction. But if bulls punch through resistance, momentum could snowball. Stay cautious and let price confirm direction.
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
BTC 2025.05.01***Follow SEOVEREIGN to receive alerts. **Boosts help SEOVEREIGN analyze more assets. **Our team regularly publishes analysis reports on the cryptocurrency market. 🎯 Short-Term Bitcoin Downside Scenario While we still envision long-term upward potential, we are sharing a short-term bearish outlook based on the 15-minute chart for those engaged in futures trading. A classic Crab Pattern has been identified, which may serve as a helpful reference for those interested in harmonic patterns. Target 1: 95,705 Target 2: 94,650 As long as the pattern remains valid, a correction toward these levels can be considered a natural move. Please exercise caution and manage your risk appropriately when trading.
Short
by SeoVereign
BTCUSDT forming a Bullish Flag patternBitcoin (BTCUSDT) is currently forming a classic bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, often regarded as a strong continuation setup in technical analysis. The breakout from the prior descending wedge has already provided strong bullish momentum, and now BTC is consolidating just below key resistance, signaling the next possible leg upward. With volume steadily increasing during this consolidation phase, this flag pattern holds significant potential for a breakout rally. The price structure reflects healthy accumulation, where smart money seems to be stepping in before the anticipated surge. The flagpole leading up to the pattern shows strong bullish dominance, and the sideways flag structure suggests that Bitcoin is merely taking a breather before pushing higher. A confirmed breakout from the flag could target an upside of 20% to 30%+, aligning with the projected price move shown on the chart. Fundamentally, Bitcoin continues to gain mainstream traction, and the broader crypto sentiment is turning positive again. The volume patterns and technical indicators reinforce the bullish outlook. Investors are showing renewed interest, especially as BTC holds above key psychological and structural levels, which adds confidence to the continuation narrative. This setup is ideal for breakout traders and investors looking to capitalize on short to mid-term gains. If the bullish flag plays out as expected, BTC could make another significant move toward its all-time high zone. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX