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BTC/USDT Analysis - February 17, 2025OKX:BTCUSDT.P **Overall Assessment:** Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on OKX is still in a long-term uptrend (Daily chart). However, there's been a pullback on the 4-hour chart, and the 15-minute chart was showing a short-term downtrend. Critically, the most recent information suggests a *potential* shift on the 15-minute chart, with possible early signs of recovery. This creates a situation where careful observation of key levels and confirmation signals is crucial. The analysis incorporates Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concepts. **Detailed Analysis by Timeframe:** **(1) TF Day (Daily):** * **Trend:** Uptrend (Strong). * **SMC:** * Consistent Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). * Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside. * No signs of a bearish reversal. * **ICT:** * No immediately obvious Order Blocks or Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are prominent at the *current* price level on the daily chart. Wider historical context would be needed for significant daily order blocks. * **EMA:** * Price is above the 50-period (yellow) and 200-period (white) EMAs. * The EMAs are in a bullish "Golden Cross" configuration (50 EMA above 200 EMA). * **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):** * Predominantly green, indicating that buying pressure is still dominant. * Some red bars are interspersed, suggesting periods of profit-taking. * **Volume Profile:** * High volume node below the current price level. * **Candlesticks:** * The most recent candlestick is red, indicating selling pressure, but it has a long lower wick, showing some buying interest at lower levels. * **Support:** EMA 50, EMA 200, High Volume Node area. * **Resistance:** 109,998.9 (Previous All-Time High). * **Summary:** The Daily chart remains strongly bullish. "Buy on Dip" remains the primary strategy *in the long term*, but short-term caution is warranted. **(2) TF4H (4-Hour):** * **Trend:** Uptrend (Pullback phase). * **SMC:** * HH and HL structure, now in a pullback. * BOS to the upside previously. * Price has *broken below* the 50-period EMA. * **ICT:** * **Fair Value Gap (FVG):** There's a small FVG that formed earlier (where the price had a rapid upward move). This *could* be a target for the pullback. * **Order Block:** The price is currently testing a *bearish* Order Block (the large red candle before the significant upward move). This is a *key area to watch*. A failure to hold this Order Block would be bearish. * **EMA:** * Price is below the 50-period EMA (bearish). * The 200-period EMA is the next support level below. * **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):** * Mixed green and red bars, with red bars becoming more prominent. This indicates weakening buying pressure and increasing selling pressure. * **Volume Profile:** * Relatively high volume. * **Candlesticks:** * Recent candlesticks are red, indicating selling pressure. * **Support:** EMA 200, Order Block. * **Resistance:** EMA 50, Previous All-Time High. * **Summary:** The 4-hour chart is in an uptrend, but the pullback is significant. The price is testing a key Order Block. The weakening Money Flow and break below the 50 EMA are warning signs. **(3) TF15 (15-Minute):** * **Trend:** Downtrend (Short-Term) - *Potential Early Signs of Reversal*. * **SMC:** * Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) - *However, a slightly higher low may be forming.* * BOS to the downside. * CHoCH to both the upside and downside. * **ICT:** * The price has broken out order block but need more confirmation * **EMA:** * *The 50-period and 200-period EMAs have just formed a Golden Cross*. This is a *potential* bullish signal, but it needs confirmation. * **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):** * *Green bars are starting to appear*, although red is still dominant. This is a *potential* early sign of a shift in momentum. * **Volume Profile:** * Low Volume * **Support:** Recent lows. * **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200. * **Summary:** The 15-minute chart was clearly bearish, *but is now showing very tentative, early signs of a potential reversal*. The Golden Cross of the EMAs and the appearance of green Money Flow bars are noteworthy, but *not yet conclusive*. **Overall Strategy and Recommendations (BTCUSDT):** * **Primary Trend (Day):** Uptrend. * **Secondary Trend (4H):** Uptrend (Pullback, testing Order Block). * **Short-Term Trend (15m):** Downtrend, *potential* early reversal signals. * **Money Flow:** * Day: Buying pressure dominant. * 4H: Selling pressure increasing, buying pressure weakening. * 15m: Selling pressure dominant, *but with potential early buying pressure emerging*. * **Strategies:** 1. **Wait & See (Best Option):** The conflicting timeframes and the nascent reversal signals on the 15m chart make this the most prudent approach. Wait for *clear confirmation* on the 15m chart that a bottom is in and a reversal is underway. Key confirmations would include: * **Sustained price action above the 15m EMAs.** The price needs to not just cross the EMAs, but *hold* above them. * **Continued improvement in the 15m Money Flow.** More and larger green bars are needed. * **A break above a minor resistance level on the 15m chart *with increasing volume*.** This would confirm a shift in the short-term trend. * **The 4-Hour Order Block must HOLD.** 2. **Buy (High Risk):** *Only* if there are strong bullish reversal signals on the 15m chart *and* the 4H Order Block holds. This is a counter-trend trade (against the 15m downtrend) and is therefore very risky. Wait for the confirmations listed above. 3. **Short (Risk):** If the 4H Order Block fails to hold *and* the 15m chart continues to show bearish price action and Money Flow. This would be a play for a deeper correction. **Key Recommendations:** * **Order Blocks:** The 4H Order Block is the *most critical level to watch*. A hold supports a potential bounce; a break invalidates the short-term bullish case. * **15m Chart:** The 15m chart is key for short-term confirmation. Do *not* go long based solely on the Day/4H charts until the 15m chart shows a clear reversal. * **Money Flow:** Monitor the Money Flow on all three timeframes. A shift to green on the 15m chart would be a strong bullish signal. * **Volume:** Confirm any breakouts or breakdowns with volume. * **Risk Management:** Due to the uncertainty and conflicting signals, strict risk management is absolutely essential. Use tight stop-losses, do not overtrade, and be prepared for volatility. **In conclusion, BTCUSDT is at a very important decision point. The best approach is to wait for clear confirmation. The 4H Order Block and the 15m chart's behavior are the key factors to watch.**
by LinaEngword
**Futures Signal** #BTCUSDT | 30M 🚀 **Futures Signal** #BTCUSDT | 30M ● **Entry Point:** $96,000 ● **Stop Loss:** $93,500 ● **Take Profit Targets:** 🔹 **Target 1:** $99,000 🔹 **Target 2:** $102,000 ● **Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R/R):** 1:2.5 ● **Trade Size:** 2% of capital ● **Timeframe:** 30M ● **Leverage:** 20X ⚡ **Reminder:** This is an urgent signal. Enter immediately! ——————————————————— 📥 For more analysis: 🆔 @MohsenHasanlu 📅 1403/11/29
Long
by Mohsen_Hasanlu
Here I provide a trading plan for Bitcoin and Ethereum!It went sideways on Saturday and is still sideways over the weekend. Let's talk briefly about the outlook for next week. BTC rebounded on Friday to test the suppression of the daily K middle track. Yesterday, it closed with a positive cross star, MACD shorts shrank, KDJ golden cross upward, and RSI turned downward. There was no volume fluctuation on Saturday and Sunday, so next week we need to focus on some key positions. If it breaks upward, then the market may be mainly low-multiple. If it continues to be under pressure and go down, then the operation should still be high-altitude. Bitcoin market analysis: Pay attention to 98300, 99800 and 101400. If the price stands above the 100,000 mark, then the callback means the end, and the operation will be mainly low-multiple. If the price continues to be suppressed by the middle track here and cannot break through, then the market is just a rebound, not a reversal, and the operation can still participate in the high-altitude. From the daily K-line, it is indeed in a triangular convergence pattern, and the lower low is rising. This is also a reference and reason for those who are optimistic about the bulls to go long, but the upper suppression does exist, so next we need to pay attention to whether it breaks through and goes higher, or continues to be suppressed and goes down. If you want to go high, you can still set a stop loss in the suppression area, control your position, and participate in the short position. If you want to go long, you can wait for the suppression area to break through, and then chase more, which will be safer. Now, if you chase more directly, it is hard to say whether it can break through and stand up. It can only be said that both are possible, especially if it is sideways like Saturday and Sunday, then the probability of trouble on Monday is relatively high, and you have to be on guard. Bitcoin trading plan suggestion: Pressure above: 98300, 99800 and 101400 Support below: 96430, 95800 and 94600 Analysis of Ethereum market: ETH rebound has not yet tested the suppression of the daily K-line middle track. A small double top is formed at 2790 and it falls back. The upper and middle tracks of the daily K-line are both opening downwards. It mainly depends on whether it can stand firmly at 2800. If it stands on the middle track, it is expected to sprint to the beginning of 3. Otherwise, it will continue to retreat and oscillate and repair within the range. Ethereum trading plan suggestion: Pressure above: 2747, 2786 and 2835 Support below: 2686, 2657 and 2575 Provide suggestions for reference. If you don’t have a clear mind, independent judgment, position control, and risk awareness when trading, it will be difficult for you to survive in this cruel market! ! ! Do you know ？？？
by Beck_Ledley
BTCIf Bitcoin breaks the demand floor, the directional bias would likely be downward. my demand floor it's a hypothetical or predicted price level where support holds to stop further downswing . If the price of Bitcoin falls below this established demand floor, it suggests that the forces of supply are overwhelming demand at that level which will create Downward Directional Bias,in general when demand floor on daily timeframe is broken it implies that Higher Supply forces are holding the price captive. Breaking the demand floor implies that demand is insufficient to support the price, potentially leading to further price declines as more holders try to selloff on risk sentiment . Bitcoin isn't like other commodities, Bitcoin's production follows a predetermined schedule, unaffected by price fluctuations. This means that even if the price drops below a certain level, miners will continue to release new Bitcoin into the market until the next halving event, but some times the cost of mining comes into play.. Elasticity of Demand: The demand for Bitcoin can be modeled using a constant elasticity of demand (CES) function, which considers factors like liquid supply and a demand shifter . If demand decreases (A shifts inwards) or supply increases, the equilibrium price will fall. It's important to note Bitcoin's price is complex and that a break of a demand floor does not guarantee a continued downtrend, because most breakout are fake.
by Shavyfxhub
BtcusdtBitcoin is currently in an upward trend because there is no bearish view in the month, the first target price is 104000 The second target is 107,000 And the third target is 115,000 dollars And after that, he created liquidity and suffered, and the alt season is very close to start changing the trend This is my temporary goal My ultimate goal It seems impossible from your point of view but from my point of view 10 thousand dollars will be touched When does it happen?! God knows
Long
by daniyalfooladi4
i You can do a little trading, but with caution.Look, friends, this area has a bit of liquidity." So, we can do a low-volume trade up to the upcoming resistance area. The price actually tends to move toward lower support areas, but this small profit isn't bad either. However, the risk is high, so wait for the price to reach the area I specified. If there's divergence or confirmations you're familiar with, then enter. Good luck—may this position work out for you. If you liked it, hit the like button! 😊
Long
by Schrodingerr
Virtual currency practical experience, every one of them is helpI am a professional and passionate financial practitioner, and I am fortunate to achieve financial freedom in financial investment. In this long process of cryptocurrency trading, I have summarized six practical experiences. Although the article is short, every sentence is the essence, and I share it with you. First, when trading cryptocurrencies, you should focus on those currencies with strong trends. If you are not sure, you can refer to the 60-day line indicator. When the price is above the 60-day line, you can consider entering the market or adding positions; and once the price falls below the 60-day line, you must withdraw decisively. This technique is still quite useful in most cases. Second, when encountering a currency that has risen by more than 50% in a short period of time, don't rush to chase high, otherwise it is easy to panic. In fact, choosing to start when the price is low is not only risky, but the subsequent profit space may often be greater. Third, generally speaking, before the currency price rises sharply, some signals will be released, such as a small price fluctuation of about 10% to 20%, and the trading volume will decrease. At this time, we can slowly buy at a low position, and it is very likely to follow the trend and get a wave of dividends. Fourth, once a new hot spot appears in the market, it will definitely be very hot in the first few days, and a large amount of funds will flow in. You must seize such a good opportunity, keep up with the pace of big funds, and make money easily. Fifth, if the bear market comes, you must control your hands and do not operate easily for at least half a year. When the market is not good, operate less and know how to rest at the right time. This is a real master. Sixth, take time out every week to review your currency market transactions. It is not just to see whether you have made money or lost money, but to examine whether the strategy you have adopted is correct. If the strategy is correct, continue to stick to it; if the strategy is wrong, adjust and improve it quickly. After a few months of persistence, your foreign exchange trading methods and ideas will become more and more stable. If it helps you, you can continue to pay attention and gain more practical skills and signals! ! BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Long
by Beck_Ledley
Bitcoin Price Action: Key Supports, Resistances & Market TrendsWhich Timeframe is Most Relevant for Taking a Position? Short Term (2H / 4H) : • Signals react quickly to breakouts at 95k or 98k . • The 4H HPI is already in the overbought zone (>90) , indicating caution when buying a direct breakout, as a bull trap is possible. Medium Timeframe (8H / 12H) : • The ISPD and Mason’s Line histograms are in the “moderate confidence” zone (0.5–0.7) , reflecting an uptrend without excessive euphoria. • This timeframe offers a good balance to monitor either a breakout above 98k or a potential pullback to 95k as a buying opportunity. Long Term (1D) : • ISPD ~0.80 / Satisfaction ~0.59 , indicating a relatively neutral-positive outlook. • The daily timeframe confirms strong support around 79–80k , though this is far from the current price. Conclusion : • The 8H or 12H timeframe provides the best balance for watching either a support retest at 95k or a strong breakout above 98–99k before entering a position. Key Support & Resistance Levels Major Supports : 1. 95,900–96,000 USDT : • Aligns with the Auto LoAVWAP (from 4H/2H) and significant liquidation clusters. • Below this, the next major support is 92,500–93,000 USDT . 2. Deeper Support (in case of a significant correction) : • 90,000 USDT • 79,000–80,000 USDT on the daily timeframe . Major Resistances : 1. 98,300–99,000 USDT : • A key zone for short stop executions and AVWAP High on lower timeframes. 2. 101,800–103,400 USDT : • Significant resistance based on 4H / 1D Auto AVWAP High . 3. 104–105,000 USDT : • Beyond this level, BTC would be testing the upper range of a potential daily Bollinger channel . Final Recommendations & Summary Current Market Conditions : • The market is technically bullish in the medium term ( ISPD > 0.5, RSI > 50, Mason’s Line > SMA ). • However, caution is needed as: • The 4H HPI is in the overbought zone . • ETF outflows are increasing. • Significant liquidation clusters exist around 95k and 98k . Preferred Scenario : • Wait for one of two confirmations: 1. A pullback to ~95k , with a buy setup if a positive divergence forms on HPI / RSI . 2. A confirmed breakout above 98–99k with strong volume, signaling a potential long trade for the short to medium term . • On a broader horizon (8H–12H–1D) , the market may still form a corrective structure (A-B-C), pushing towards 104k before dropping again . • Beware of a potential “false breakout” if BTC rises too quickly without a retracement . Operational Conclusion : • The 8H or 12H timeframe remains the best for trading. • As long as BTC oscillates between 95k (support) and 98–99k (resistance), avoid overexposure . • A confirmed breakout above 99–100k could lead to an acceleration toward 102–104k , but be cautious of a fake breakout . • If BTC drops below 95k , it could trigger long liquidations, pushing the price toward 92k or even 90k , where additional supports exist. Final Note : • The overall trend remains bullish , but short- to medium-term caution is advised. • ETF flows, heatmaps, and open interest indicate that the market remains highly sensitive to stop hunts in the 95–100k zone . Trade wisely and manage risk carefully!
by Ox_kali
BTCUSDT (OKX) Analysis 15/Feb/2025OKX:BTCUSDT.P **Overall Assessment:** Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on OKX is showing a divergence between timeframes. The long-term trend (Daily chart) remains bullish, supported by price action and the Money Flow indicator. However, the 4-hour chart is showing signs of weakening momentum and a potential pullback, while the 15-minute chart is definitively bearish. This creates a high-risk, high-uncertainty environment. **Detailed Analysis by Timeframe:** **(1) TF Day (Daily):** * **Trend:** Uptrend (Strong). * **SMC (Smart Money Concepts):** * Consistent Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). * Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside. * No bearish reversal signals. * **EMA (Exponential Moving Average):** * Price is above the 50-period (yellow) and 200-period (white) EMAs. * The EMAs are in a bullish "Golden Cross" configuration (50 EMA above 200 EMA). * **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):** * Predominantly green, indicating that buying pressure is still the dominant force. * Some red bars are interspersed, suggesting periods of profit-taking. * **Volume Profile:** * High volume node in the 92,000 - 94,000 range (now acting as support). * **Candlesticks:** * The most recent candlestick is red, showing selling pressure, but has occurred after a run up. * **Support:** EMA 50, EMA 200, 92,000-94,000 range. * **Resistance:** 109,998.9 (Previous All-Time High). * **Summary:** The Daily chart remains strongly bullish. The primary strategy remains "Buy on Dip," but with caution due to the shorter timeframes. **(2) TF4H (4-Hour):** * **Trend:** Uptrend (Weakening), undergoing a pullback. * **SMC:** * Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) are becoming less defined. * BOS to the upside previously. * Equal Highs (EQH) at the previous all-time high. * **EMA:** * Price has *broken below* the 50-period EMA (a bearish signal). * The 200-period EMA is the next support level. * **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):** * Mixed green and red bars, with the red bars becoming more prominent. This indicates increasing selling pressure and weakening buying pressure. * **Volume Profile:** * Shows decent volume * **Candlesticks:** * Recent candlesticks are red, indicating selling pressure. * **Support:** EMA 200, 92,000-94,000 range. * **Resistance:** EMA 50, Previous All-Time High. * **Summary:** The 4-hour chart is showing signs of weakness. The uptrend is still technically intact, but the break below the 50 EMA and the weakening Money Flow are concerning. **(3) TF15 (15-Minute):** * **Trend:** Downtrend. * **SMC:** * Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). * BOS to the downside. * **EMA:** * The 50-period and 200-period EMAs are acting as resistance. * **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):** * Predominantly red, confirming strong selling pressure. * **Volume Profile:** * Relatively low volume * **Support:** Recent lows. * **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200, previous high areas. * **Summary:** The 15-minute chart is clearly bearish, with price action, EMAs, and Money Flow all confirming the downtrend. **Overall Strategy and Recommendations (BTCUSDT):** * **Primary Trend (Day):** Uptrend. * **Secondary Trend (4H):** Uptrend (Weakening). * **Short-Term Trend (15m):** Downtrend. * **Money Flow:** * Day: Buying pressure dominant. * 4H: Selling pressure increasing. * 15m: Selling pressure dominant. * **Strategy:** 1. **Wait & See (Best Option):** The conflicting timeframes make this the most prudent approach. Wait for the 15m chart to show *definitive* signs of a bullish reversal *before* considering any long positions based on the higher timeframes. 2. **Buy on Dip (Day, 4H) - *Extremely High Risk*:** This strategy is based on the longer-term bullish trend, but it's *crucial* to wait for confirmation from the 15m chart. *Do not* buy simply because the price is near a support level on the Day or 4H chart. Look for: * A break above minor resistance levels on the 15m chart with increasing volume. * A shift in the 15m Money Flow to green. * Bullish candlestick patterns on the 15m chart. * **Entry Points:** EMA 50/200 on Day, EMA 200 on 4H, 92,000-94,000 range. * **Stop Loss:** Strictly below the recent 15m low or below the chosen support level. 3. **Short (15m, Extremely High Risk):** This is a counter-trend strategy (going against the Day/4H trend). It's only suitable for very experienced traders who can manage risk aggressively. * **Conditions:** Price fails to break above the 15m EMAs. * **Entry Points:** Near the 15m EMAs or other resistance levels. * **Stop Loss:** Above recent 15m highs. **Key Recommendations and Cautions:** * **Conflicting Timeframes:** The most important factor is the conflict. The 15m chart is strongly bearish, while the Day chart remains bullish. The 4H chart is showing weakness. * **4H EMA 50 Broken:** This is a significant bearish development on the 4H chart. * **Money Flow:** The Money Flow on the 15m chart is strongly bearish, and the 4H Money Flow is weakening. This confirms selling pressure. * **Risk Management:** Due to the conflicting signals and high volatility, *strict risk management is absolutely essential.* Use tight stop-losses, do not overtrade, and be prepared for rapid price swings. * **Volume:** Pay close attention to volume. Breakouts or breakdowns with low volume are less reliable. * **News and External Factor** News and external factors have a significant effect on crypto. **In summary, the situation for BTCUSDT is highly uncertain and risky. Waiting for clearer signals, particularly a bullish reversal on the 15m chart, is the most prudent approach for most traders. Aggressive traders might consider short-term shorts, but only with very tight risk control. The "Buy on Dip" strategy is extremely risky until the 15m chart confirms a reversal.**
by LinaEngword
Bitcoin Update (BTC/USDT): Bullish Setup Developing🚀 Bitcoin Update (BTC/USDT): Bullish Setup Developing BTC is looking strong, but volume is still light. Likely to bounce around the Bullish Position / Bullish Week zone (blue area) before making its next move. 📌 Trading Tip: Wait for the setup—when it presents itself, pull the trigger. Focus on probabilities and risk management. 🎯 Key Levels: 🔹 Support: 97,600–98,000 (Bullish zone) 🔹 Upside Target: Close above 98,800 (Could spark continuation) 🔹 Breakout Target: Above 99,200 (Bullish confirmation over bear swing) Patience is power. Let the trade come to you. 💯 #BTC #Crypto #DayTrading #TradingTips
by BIGonTRADING
Bitcoin Analysis & Signal | February 11, 2025🔹 Analysis: Bitcoin remains in a range and is forming a triangle pattern. A breakout above the resistance level could trigger further upward movement. 📢 Key Levels: ✅ Support: $95,500 (This level could act as a buffer if a pullback occurs) 🚀 Resistance: $98,500 (Breaking this level could confirm the bullish move) 🎯 Target Levels After Breakout: 🔹 First Target: $102,000 🔹 Second Target: $106,000 📌 If the breakout is confirmed, a stronger rally can be expected.
Long
by arzdigitalistha
BTCUSDT Targeting 120K with 20%-25% Gains Ahead!BTCUSDT is currently showing a strong bounce from its key support level, a critical area that has historically held up during periods of price correction. The price action suggests that BTCUSDT is poised to make a significant move upward, especially as it is testing this support with good volume backing the move. Traders are watching closely as Bitcoin shows resilience and the potential for a price rally toward the 120K level. With expectations of a 20% to 25%+ gain, this setup presents an exciting opportunity for those looking to capitalize on Bitcoin’s bounce off this major support zone. Support and resistance levels play a vital role in technical analysis, and BTCUSDT's current price action is a clear example of how these levels can guide market behavior. After a period of consolidation near the support level, the market has begun to show signs of upward momentum, with solid volume confirming that buying pressure is increasing. If BTCUSDT continues to hold above this support and breaks through resistance, it could trigger a strong rally, pushing the price closer to the 120K mark. This move is in line with broader market trends, with increasing investor interest suggesting that Bitcoin is gearing up for the next leg of its bullish cycle. The good volume behind the bounce is a positive indicator for traders, as it signals that the market is backing the move. As more investors take notice of the support and resistance levels, the likelihood of a breakout increases, potentially leading to a sharp upward movement. With Bitcoin’s historical ability to break through resistance levels after strong support holds, there’s a growing sense of optimism that BTCUSDT could see further gains in the near term. The projected 20% to 25%+ return is within reach, especially if the momentum continues to build. Traders should continue to monitor key support and resistance zones, as these levels will be crucial in determining whether the price can sustain its bullish momentum. Bitcoin’s next move could be a critical one, and timing the entry could make all the difference in capturing these potential gains. With the market showing increasing interest in BTCUSDT, this setup could lead to a rewarding opportunity for those positioned correctly as Bitcoin aims for new highs.
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX