BTC/USDT – Fakeout Above Rising Channel | Why Clean Breakouts StThis chart highlights an important lesson in breakout trading: Not all breakouts are valid, even when backed by volume.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
BTC was trading inside a well-respected ascending channel, with multiple touches on both the upper and lower bounds.
Price broke above the channel with a 15-minute candle close and volume, giving the appearance of a clean breakout.
However, shortly after, price re-entered the channel, invalidating the breakout. This is what we call a fakeout or bull trap.
❓ So Why Did the Breakout Fail?
Lack of Follow-Through Buyers:
Despite volume, there wasn’t enough buyer continuation above the breakout level to sustain momentum.
Liquidity Hunt:
The wick beyond the upper trendline likely served to trigger breakout entries and stop losses of short sellers, only to reverse after liquidity was collected.
Key S/R Reaction:
After re-entering the channel, price reacted at a minor horizontal level (previous S/R), attempted another push, but failed again, confirming weakness.
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
Long trade
🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade
📍 Pair: BTCUSDT
📅 Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
🕒 Time: 10:00 AM (NY Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: Not specified (assumed 4Hr or intraday swing)
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 101,705.24
Profit Level 108,783.85 (+6.96% %)
Stop Loss 99,579.47 (−2.09%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 3.33 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
High-Conviction Buyside Play:
Entry aligns with the broader BTCUSD bullish structure, supported by consistent higher-timeframe momentum.
Liquidity Grab Below Key Low:
Market swept downside liquidity near $99,600 before reversing sharply, indicating smart money accumulation.
Stop level moved (2.86%)
BTC trade plan🚨 BITCOIN – Eyeing $135K Before the Real Drop? 🚨
📆 Timeframe: 1D | Exchange: BINANCE
🧠 Elliott Wave Breakdown:
After completing Wave 3 near the $109K level, BTC entered a classic A-B-C correction.
We're currently breaking out of a bullish flag, hinting at the final leg Wave B rally still to come!
📈 Wave B Target Zone:
🎯 1.0 Extension: $135,920
🔴 1.236 Extension (Max Spike): $145,000
This zone is our “Red Box of Rejection”, where a strong reversal is likely as Wave C kicks in.
A sharp Wave C dump could target the 1.618 Fib extension at $74,576 — a textbook retracement level for deeper Wave 4 corrections.
That area would offer a generational buying opportunity heading into Wave 5, targeting above $220K+!
🚀 Final Wave 5 Target:
💥 1.618 Extension: $221,993+
BTC: H4 Plan 25/06/25Trade Plan – H4 BTC
Market Context:
- Total market cap has retraced into a 4H order block
- BTC is holding stronger relative to total
- Market has been range-bound for 43 days – HTF is sideways
Key Levels:
- 3.18T on total = clean long trigger, aligns with BTC monthly close + daily FVG + 0.5 fib retrace
- 110k = equal highs, 0.886 fib level, clear derisk point for intraday and key supply zone
Trade Strategy:
- Wait for 3.18T retest on total market cap before entering
- Look to long BTC on any dip into monthly close + daily FVG + 0.5 retrace region
- Flip short at 110k – until breakout is confirmed, treat this as a range-bound environment
BTC/USD Thief Breakout at $107K – Eyeing $115K!🚨 Thief Entry Setup: BTC/USD Breakout Play 🚨
Overview:
Jump in after the $107 000 breakout—aiming for $115 000 with a tight “Thief SL” at $102 500. Adjust the stop‑loss to match your personal risk tolerance.
🧠 Setup Summary
Pair: BTC/USD
Entry trigger: Breakout above $107 000
Stop‑Loss: “Thief SL” at $102 500 (use your own risk‑based SL)
Target: $115 000
🎯 Why This Setup?
Clear breakout level at $107 000 = fresh momentum
Tight SL cushion (≈‑4.3%) = defined risk
Target ≈ +7.5% potential = strong reward-to-risk (~1.75:1)
📏 Risk Management Tips:
Only risk a small % of your capital—never exceed your comfort zone.
Move your SL to breakeven once mid‑target is hit to lock in profits.
Trailing your stop‑loss could secure bigger gains if BTC surges toward $115 000.
What now BTC?#bitcoin price has been moving in an ascending wedge for a few days. Although ascending wedges may end up bearish, there' s another chance for #btc price to break out this wedge and catch upper liquidities above 108K. But, also there' s a bearish divergence has been forming in this lower time frame chart of #btcusdt .
Maker may ignore this divergence and allow bots to print another HH but it' s now wise to be careful and watch out. The reverse is acceptable for #usdt dominance chart.
Breaking out 110K is the temporary invalidation of bull trap and above 120K is the complete invalidation.
Wednesday, Trade of the day 📊 Wednesday Trading Update
Tuesday didn’t give us any tangible plays — price action was choppy, unconvincing, and mostly noise. But that’s behind us. Let’s see what Wednesday brings, especially with London and NY sessions ahead.
Midweek is notoriously volatile for BYC, and historically, Wednesday has often been the day that breaks the range or gives us a proper deviation setup — so eyes sharp today 👀.
My trades today will stick to standard range plays, nothing forced. We're still sitting above 4H supply, and unless we get a clean breakout with structure shift, I’ll remain cautious and reactive, not predictive.
Here’s what I’m watching today:
👉 Look for clear market structure shifts on the LTF (lower timeframes)
👉 Divergences can give early signs if you're using oscillators
If I get time, I might record a quick session later. No promises, but I’ll update if that changes.
🎥 If you're unsure what to look for, go back through the video archive — everything you need has already been broken down in detail.
📅 Weekly Schedule:
Wednesday – ❌ No class
Thursday – ❌ No class
Friday – ❌ No class
Let’s stay sharp — volatile Wednesdays tend to reward patience and precision.
BTC midterm plan possibility
The current Bitcoin chart shows a P.O.3 pattern formation. Looking at the price targets, we can see a clear path to $100,000, which stands as a major psychological price level. The ongoing A-B-C pattern structure supports this price movement. If Bitcoin successfully breaks through the $100k level, we could potentially see an extension to around $120,000. After January, there's a strong possibility of a bullish trend that could help reach these targets, though this remains speculative and uncertain. Market movements depend on various factors, so always do your own research before making any investment decisions.This is one of the scenarios.Other way is going beyond 85k strongly and make pull back or continuation pattern (sideways)after that reach 100k.
BTCUSDT Technical Outlook TC is trading at $106k , with resistance confirmed near $106.14k–$106.22k and support at $104.8k .
A daily drop below $104.8k would confirm a short setup. Conversely, a break above $106.2k on elevated volume is required to challenge the $107k–$108k zone.
Absent significant volume, expect continued sideways action between $105k–$106k.
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – BTC/USDT
1. False Bullish Narrative
The chart labels the structure as “Bullish”, yet recent price action shows:
A strong rejection near 106,000.
Followed by multiple red candles with increasing volume — a common sign of sell pressure re-entering the market.
The bullish label may be premature or misleading based on this momentum shift.
2. Bearish Structure Developing
The price is starting to form a lower high after the sharp drop.
The outlined path resembles a head-and-shoulders pattern in early development, often preceding a bearish breakdown.
The breakdown could lead directly to the "Target" zone or even below if momentum increases.
3. Volume Divergence
The volume spike during the pump was not sustained. Post-spike, volume is declining on green candles, suggesting buyers are exhausted.
Sellers are likely using liquidity at the top to exit positions, not initiate new longs.
4. Support Turned Resistance
The red boxes mark failed support zones which now may act as resistance.
If price attempts to retest these zones and fails, it would confirm bearish control and validate the downward path toward the target (104,400–104,000).
BTC Short Setup – Breakdown Below Structure💡 Idea:
Bitcoin is consolidating under a key structure after a sharp bullish move. If price breaks below the curved neckline, it could signal the start of a local downtrend.
🔔 Trade Plan:
Entry: Below $104,902 (after a clear 1H candle close under the curved line)
Stop-Loss (SL): $106,649 (above the recent swing high)
Take-Profit (TP): $100,735 (targeting major support zone)
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:2.38
🧠 Reasoning:
Price is forming a rounding top structure, indicating potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. A break below the curve could lead to a retracement toward the $100k support level.
📆 Timeframe: 1H
⚠️ Always wait for confirmation and manage your risk.
Bitcoin Overall: Larger correction may be overWhile I believe it is still possible to target the more global support zone below, a sequence of events like that shown (another smaller push higher before a larger drop) would suggest BTC is on its way to new ATH again.
Conversely, a larger drop from current resistance levels would suggest we still have one more larger leg down to me.
BTC/USDT – Intraday Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraMy main scenario for today:
Expecting BTC to sweep the lows near 104,350, then see strong buying interest and a move up towards the yellow liquidity block around 106,300 by the end of the trading day. Ideally, I want to see this reversal on clear volume.
If there’s no strong buy reaction at 104,370 and buyers fail to step in, then I expect BTC to break lower — without reaching the yellow zone — and continue down by the width of the current channel.
Key zones:
Support: 104,350–104,370
Target if bullish reaction: 106,300 (yellow block)
Failure to bounce: deeper downside move, channel breakdown
Watching price action and volume closely at support for the next trade trigger.
Instructions on how to potentially use the SIG[TP/SL (1H-4H-1D)]It's a HF algorithm for the 1H,4H,1D Time-Frames. Which means whenever the instrument reaches the open price, the algo might give a lot of signals and sometimes it might give plenty of reverse signals. In order to use the specific algo in the best possible way, here's a helpful guide on how to potentially use it:
1)Wait for the instrument to reach the open price.
2) ALWAYS, Follow the signals, e.g: We are at the open price. If it indicates buy signal, then open a long position. If for example 5 seconds later (again at the open price) it indicates a sell signal, then reverse the long position into a short position, and keep doing it until it gives a signal, that will be followed by a good sized candle.
3) The safest way is to close the trade when the price reaches the potential TP1.
4) Happy Trading!
*The text above is not an investment advice, and it does not guarantee any profit.
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Back in Play | Buyside DominanceBitcoin had a strong sell-side movement recently, which led the price below the EMAs and showed us again the failed breakout attempt.
What we saw was news-based movement, which got eaten up very quickly by buyers, where the price is now back above the 100K area and going again for an attempt to break out from here.
Nothing is confimed yet but what we saw was strong buyside dominance!
Swallow Academy
Played it perfectly: grabbed long liquidity and rode down to ourHey everyone!
Move unfolded exactly as we planned:
Minor price spike – a classic false breakout to collect liquidity in the long zone.
No valid short formation, so I stayed sidelined during that spike.
Once long liquidity was swept, the market reversed sharply downward—right toward our objective.
Price then steadily slid to our lower target, closing the trade with the planned profit.
📊 Key takeaways:
Don’t force entries without clear setups.
Liquidity grabs in line with your overall scenario are powerful signals.
Patience and discipline remain the ultimate edge.
What are your thoughts? Share your experiences with similar liquidity hunts!