BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
Need to wait for the key turning point.The Bitcoin market has currently broken below the key support level of 100,300, confirming a downward trend reversal. A daily-level recovery rally is now underway, and the 4-hour wave structure has not yet concluded. First, the downside target is seen at 95,000 to 98,000. Next week, the key turning point at 92,000 will likely determine the low of a rebound. Although this rebound low is not the ultimate bottom, it will trigger a relatively strong rebound after formation.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@95000-95500
TP:97500-98000
BITCOIN BEARISH SETUPTechnical Analysis Summary:
Pattern Formation: The chart shows a descending triangle pattern with double tops, indicating bearish pressure at resistance levels.
Breakdown Confirmation: Price has broken below a key ascending trendline (shown in dashed line) and retested the breakdown area, forming a bearish rejection (highlighted red zone).
Key Zone: The price is currently trading around $105,075, just under the previous support-turned-resistance zone (~$106,000). This confirms a failed bullish structure and strengthens the bearish outlook.
Targets:
First Target: Around $101,000–102,000, aligning with the next visible support zone.
Second Target: Around $97,000–98,000, which is a major support / key zone based on prior structure.
Bias: Bearish in the short term, as long as price remains below the $106,000 resistance zone.
Trade Setup Outlook:
A short position is implied by the arrows.
Best entries are around retests near $105,500–106,000 with stops above the recent highs (~$107,000).
Conservative profit-taking at the first target, with extended TP near the key support zone.
Bitcoin StructureBTCUSDT — day
Now we clearly respect the supply zones . The price has already beaten off the zone twice, and there is no desire to go higher yet.
Also by structure:
There was an explicit Break of Structure, then Market Structure Shift (MSS) - impulse change
Below in the region of 93k - the discount zone, where there is a large liquidity (according to calculations - stops by about 17 billion)
→ Continuation of the rollback down
→ Liquidity collection from 93k
→ And only after that a possible turn up
❗️So far, I'm only looking for shorts from the offer zones - on junior TF, with confirmation on 4H.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you Analysis of Market Dynamics Under Geopolitical Conflicts
The current conflict between Iran and Israel has entered a critical phase of "reciprocal retaliation". In the early morning of June 22, Iran launched missile strikes on Israel, targeting military command centers and nuclear R&D facilities in Tel Aviv, while Israel carried out multiple rounds of airstrikes on missile bases in western Iran. This high-intensity mutual bombardment has broken the "limited retaliation" pattern of previous regional conflicts. Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei explicitly stated the intention to "completely destroy the Israeli regime", indicating a real risk of further escalation.
The U.S. stance in this conflict has become a key variable. While President Trump said it "may take two weeks to decide whether to join the war", he also emphasized that "it's hard to ask Israel to stop attacks", an ambiguous stance that has intensified market uncertainty. Notably, Iran has ruled out the possibility of nuclear talks during the conflict, and the breakdown of diplomatic channels has made military confrontation the only option—this could lead to geopolitical risk premiums persisting in asset pricing.
Historical experience shows that Bitcoin's performance in geopolitical conflicts features "short-term volatility, medium-term divergence". During the Iran-Israel conflict in April 2024, Bitcoin plunged 7% within an hour, but it rose 5% against the trend after the U.S. airstrike on Iran in 2020. The current market's uniqueness lies in that Trump signaled "possible military action" before the conflict, giving the market a digestion period—thus, Bitcoin only fell 4.5% after the conflict broke out on June 13, showing stronger resilience than in 2024. However, if the U.S. officially enters the war, it may trigger panic selling similar to the early stage of the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict, which requires high vigilance.
Bitcoin's current price of $102,500 is facing a dual test of geopolitical conflict and technical resistance. The reciprocal retaliation between Iran and Israel has not ended, and whether the U.S.参战 (enters the war) will determine the direction of market sentiment. Technically, whether the $103,000 resistance level is broken will guide short-term trends. Investors need to distinguish between short-term emotional shocks and long-term trend forces—geopolitical conflicts may cause short-term volatility, but the de-dollarization trend and the stability of institutional holdings provide long-term support for Bitcoin.
In terms of operations, it is recommended to adopt a strategy of "light-position trial + flexible hedging": do not blindly chase breakouts, nor ignore pullback buying opportunities. Remember: in the fog of geopolitics, real opportunities often lie at the intersection of market panic and rationality, and risk control is always the first principle of investment.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@101000~102000
SL:99500
TP:103000~104000
BTC/USDT – Technical Outlook:
📊 BTC/USDT – Technical Outlook
🗓️ Published: June 21, 2025 | 🕰 Timeframe: H4
🔻 Market Sentiment: Bearish
The BTC/USDT pair is currently exhibiting strong bearish momentum after a failed breakout above the 106,000 resistance level. The price has sharply declined and is now trading around 103,485 USDT, confirming a breakdown from the consolidation phase.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Ichimoku Cloud Analysis:
Price is trading below the Kumo, indicating a bearish trend continuation.
The future cloud is thick and red, reinforcing downside pressure.
The Chikou Span (lagging line) supports the bearish outlook.
Structure & Volume:
Market structure has shifted to lower highs and lower lows.
A visible volume gap exists between 103,000 and 101,000 – suggesting price could drop quickly into the next demand zone.
Support & Target Zone:
Strong demand zone identified between 100,000 – 101,000 USDT.
This area previously acted as a high-volume accumulation zone.
Projection Path:
Based on price action and market momentum, a continued move toward the 100K psychological support is likely.
🧠 Professional Insight:
"The breakdown below the cloud and recent support level confirms seller dominance. As BTC loses strength below 104K, we anticipate a potential drive toward the 100K demand area, where buyers may re-enter."
📌 Strategic Trade Setup (Not financial advice):
Short Entry: Below 103,200
Target: 100,000 – 101,000
Stop Loss: Above 104,900 (just above the cloud)
Risk/Reward: Optimal 1:2+
Bitcoin, everyday dump dayNow, we can see everyday is dump day till several days
After success breakout trendling and support, then can't back above the lines
Reasonable target is mini pump to retest then dump to 98k, 98k level is support and weekly open fvg
But if 98k break we will see 93k, and if 93k break we will see final of double top target around 88k and altcoin will rug hard again
But if Bitcoin can go back above 108k, maybe this scenario will be invalid
$BTC Breaks Key Support – Bearish Signal Bitcoin has lost the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Breaks Key Support – Bearish Signal
Bitcoin has lost the critical 50 EMA on the daily chart, which has historically acted as a strong support level. This breakdown mirrors the 2021 double top structure and is now hinting at a deeper correction.
🔸 Key Support Zone at $100,000:
Losing this zone increases downside risk. If $100K fails to hold, next visible supports are at $96K and $91K, aligning with past consolidation zones.
🔸 Risk Level at $104,500:
A daily close back above $104.5K would invalidate this bearish view and indicate strength recovery.
🔸 Outlook:
Wait for further confirmation below $100K for potential short setups. Avoid long entries until clear reversal signs appear.
BTC is stuck in a tightening triangle — compression phaseVolatility building up into June 18–19.
Expect a big breakout.
Main scenario: breakout to the upside with a “God Candle” and new momentum for altcoins after prolonged BTC dominance.
Alts have been suppressed, but that’s part of the setup — don’t get tricked by the fake moves.
Stay patient, don’t lose focus, and be ready for a sharp move!
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youWhen Bitcoin prices dip to $101,900—despite the prevailing bearish sentiment—a rational long-position strategy can still be formulated by weighing long-term investment value against potential short-term rebound opportunities. The analysis below covers entry timing, position management, and risk control.
I. Entry Timing Judgment
(1) Technical Signals
Monitor price performance around $101,900. Potential long entry signals include:
1. **Confirmation of bottom patterns**: When prices consolidate near this level to form double bottoms, triple bottoms, or other base structures, and the trading volume during the second/third retest is notably lower than previous attempts—indicating weakening selling pressure. For example, if a double bottom forms near $101,900 with 30% less volume in the second retest than the first, this signals a preliminary entry point.
2. **Technical indicator crossovers**: Track metrics like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Averages (MA). A long signal strengthens when:
- RSI breaks above 50 from oversold territory (below 30).
- The 5-day MA crosses above the 10-day MA (golden cross).
- Price breaks through short-term resistance (e.g., $102,500) alongside moderate volume expansion.
(2) News Catalysts
Macro events and industry trends are critical for timing:
1. **Fed dovish signals**: Clues of earlier rate cuts or reduced hiking expectations—boosting market liquidity and benefiting Bitcoin. Align such news with technical signals to enhance long-position reliability.
2. **Cryptocurrency sector tailwinds**: Developments like progress on U.S. stablecoin legislation, relaxed global regulatory policies, or breakthroughs in real-world adoption (e.g., more enterprises accepting Bitcoin payments, higher settlement ratios) can reignite value reassessment. If prices stabilize near $101,900 amid such news, consider entering long positions.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@102000~103000
SL:101000
TP:105000~106000
BTC get out while you still can!I've been warning people about this for weeks. History doesn't repeat itself, but it certainly rhymes. BTC had a double tope and the 50 / 200SMA show cooling and both showing clearly that it's moving one direction and it's not up. Gravity with this one is strong (historically) and so is the volatility. Crypto bros will go back to eating beans and rice!
MSTZ and BTCZ could be good plays here....best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
$BTC correction: targets 101k, 97.5k, 94k, 87kThe hype is peaking — institutions, banks, Wall Street, and even governments are buying Bitcoin.
Yet despite the frenzy, BTC has been rejected three times around the $110K level and appears to be heading into another correction.
Bitcoin maximalists are pushing a strong FOMO narrative to attract retail investors, but several factors are pushing back:
- Psychological barrier: At these price levels, retail investors are hesitant. Owning just a "fraction" of a Bitcoin doesn’t appeal to the average person.
- Geopolitical tension: The conflict with Iran is serious. This isn’t a small, isolated country — Iran is a millennia-old civilization with global alliances. This situation won't resolve quickly or easily like Libya, Syria, or Iraq.
- Oil price surge: Escalating tensions could disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil. Western sanctions on Russia already strain supply — if Iran joins, where will Europe get its energy? U.S. supply won’t be enough. Expect a spike in inflation.
- Recession risks: Persistent inflation could drive a recession in the second half of the year.
- Trade wars & tariffs: No resolution, just chaos.
- Ukraine-Russia war: Still unresolved. Still draining global stability.
In short, the world is burning — and this is terrible for markets.
Bitcoin maximalists — some even selling company shares to buy more BTC — may soon face the harsh reality: Bitcoin needs a deeper flush before it can rally again. Retail won’t return until altseason clears the way and resets sentiment.
In a cycle dominated by propaganda, institutional manipulation, and global unrest, predictions are fragile. The only guide left: the chart.
Technically, we’re in correction mode again. Comparing with past cycles, potential pullback targets are:
$101K, $97.5K, $94K, $87K
There’s massive support at $74K, but it's unlikely we revisit it soon.
Stay cautious. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCUpdate #Geopolitics #Altseason #CryptoCorrection #MacroView #CryptoFOMO #RiskAssets #DYOR
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Bearish Breakdown in Play (4H)BTC has lost key support at $103,573 on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking down from the recent consolidation zone. The rejection from the lower highs and weakening RSI suggest more downside pressure ahead.
Technical Breakdown:
Support Broken: $103,573 (now acting as resistance)
Current Price: $102,246
Next Key Support Zones:
$101,410 (short-term bounce zone)
$97,340 – critical horizontal support
$93,343 – potential deeper flush area
Resistance to Watch:
$103,573 (retest = short opportunity)
$105,807 (major rejection zone)
Short Setup (Signal Style):
Short Entry: ~$103,500 (if retested)
Stoploss: Above $105,800
Targets:
TP1: $101,400
TP2: $97,300
TP3: $93,300
Final Note:
Trend remains bearish below $103.5K. Bulls need to reclaim that level fast or further downside becomes likely.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
BTCUSDTHello traders. Wishing each of you a great weekend ahead!
Even though it's the weekend, I’ve spotted a sell opportunity on the BTCUSDT pair and decided to share it with you. However, we should also keep in mind that weekend markets tend to have lower volume. That said, I will still proceed with this trade based on my own risk parameters and trading strategy.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 30-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 103815.32
✔️ Take Profit: 102640.12
✔️ Stop Loss: 104402.06
🕒 If the trade does not continue with strong momentum, I will keep the position open only until 23:00 today. Otherwise, I will close it either in profit or at a loss depending on the price action.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
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BTC CORRECTIONBIG REASON WHY
Geopolitical tension. The war between Iran and Israel is inevitable. It's just a matter of time; either the USA, China, and Russia will be involved. The money will flow much more into safe havens like assets.
But based on the Jerome Powell interview after the FOMC statement, the US economy is going on the great path. We can say that if the USA is involved, it will cost the economy growth. But they still need to show the world who's the BOSS (military co.).
The conclusion is,
BTC is too risky for current conditions. As we know, the war might escalate.
BTC Projectory price
Nearest Area 94.5-95K
Mid term Area 85.4 - 86K
Worst Case 76.5-72-53.2K
P.S. Things will change rapidly; always monitor your portfolio and the news