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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas

BTC (Y25.P1.E1).A few setupsHi Traders, Returned from a 6 week break and now my thoughts on BTC. Some time back I stated I would not be surprised if BTC ranges for some time before making new highs. I still feel that we are in this channel with a corrective pattern of some sort. The vwap and some levels of significance with fibs tends to make me believe we will sill hit the lows with a potential rejection here (no trade entry). But the wedge structure could make it hit its target at teh 618 fib for a short entry (like a fake out) and then drop. The blue and red a vwaps from different pivot points. We look for the response with our 2 methods. SFP or FA. We go into detail at the time, for a trade entry. At times we miss out because we are not online. All the best, S.SAri .
Long
by ssari
Estrategia Combinada (BB, MACD, RSI, ADX, Stoch y SMA) SpotMACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): It is a momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages. It is used to identify changes in the trend and generate buy or sell signals through the convergence and divergence of its lines. RSI (Relative Strength Index): It is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between 0 and 100, helping to identify overbought (high values) or oversold (low values) conditions. ADX (Average Directional Index): Measures the strength of a trend regardless of its direction. High values indicate a strong trend, while low values suggest that the market is moving sideways. It is often used in conjunction with DI+ and DI- to determine the direction of movement. Stochastic: Compares the closing price of an asset to its price range over a given period. It helps to detect overbought or oversold conditions, generating signals when the price approaches the extremes of the range. Bollinger Bands: It consists of a central moving average surrounded by two bands, which are placed one or two standard deviations above and below the average. These bands adjust according to market volatility, helping to identify possible trend reversals. SMA (Simple Moving Average): This is the arithmetic mean of prices over a specific period. It is used to smooth price action and detect long-term trends,
by cristianve22
1
Bitcoin Weekly & Daily 50 & 100 SMA shows HUGE Support The chart above has the 50 SMA ( RED ) and the 100 SMA ( BLUE ) Note how the 50 has acted as support on a Weekly chart More than anything, Note how it was used at the end of the 2 previous ranges of BTC this cycle. Projected 50 SMA points towards Contact with Pa in June, providing PA ranges as is now. The Daily chart is a little different. On this chart, see how it is the Blue 100SMa that provides support and it maybe worth noting what happened as the 50 crossed Under the 100 previously. The Crossover that is likely to happen later this wek is about the same time After Range start as previously. what does htis mean ? In mu opinion, it is highly likely we will follow previous and return to the 91K area It is there we need to remain and not drop lower, for to long. Time Will tell us but we need a plan for ALL situations. Trade safely and be safe yourself
by Orriginal
Crypto Bull Run Is Over? Or Just Another Market Trap?Have you lost faith in the bull run? Think the trend has shifted bearish? Not sure what to do with the BTC you’re holding? I’m Skeptic , and if these questions are on your mind, stick with me until the end of this analysis. Let’s dig deep into the real state of the market! 1️⃣ Is the Bull Run Over? Let’s Analyze the Big Picture To answer this, let’s break down key parameters: ✅ Major Trend Analysis (Weekly Timeframe) Imagine looking at the BTC weekly chart as if it were a 15-minute chart—does it look weak? Is it bearish? Most traders would say NO . The overall structure is still in an uptrend, and right now, we’re simply experiencing a time-based correction (sideways movement). Even if this turns into a price correction, dropping to $80K-82K, it’s still within the healthy range of a bull cycle. 🔹 Rule of Trend Structure: As long as we don’t break a lower low on the weekly timeframe, and BTC.D doesn’t turn bearish, we are still in a macro uptrend. 2️⃣ Signs That We Are Still in a Bull Run Ironically, most traders only believe in a bull run at the top and lose faith in it during corrections. But let’s look at the real signs: 🔹 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is Rising – This happens when the market rotates capital back into BTC before the next big leg up. 🔹 Altcoins are Crashing Hard – This is a classic market reset before the next move. 🔹 Bearish Sentiment & Fear Are High – The moment people start losing faith, is usually when the biggest moves are about to happen. 🔹 Negative News is Everywhere – Historically, corrections come with bearish news, shaking weak hands out before the real rally continues. This pattern is nothing new. Let’s take a look at the Crypto Market Cycle Stages to understand where we are now. 3️⃣ Understanding Market Cycle Stages 🔄 Every crypto cycle moves through distinct psychological phases: 1️⃣ Disbelief (Accumulation Phase) This happened between 52K and $72K, when people thought BTC wouldn’t rise again. 2️⃣ Hope (Early Bull Stage) We are here right now—BTC has broken out, but many still doubt it. 3️⃣ Optimism (Strong Rally Begins) Coming next, when BTC starts pushing new highs, and retail traders begin FOMO-ing in. 4️⃣ Euphoria (Market Peak & Bubble Zone) This is where everyone is convinced BTC will go to $500K+ and institutions dump on retail traders. Right now, we are in the HOPE stage, and many are expecting instant results. But real gains in the market take years, not days—just like they always have. 4️⃣ Market Patience: Lessons from the Past 📌 Remember the $72K BTC Range? Before BTC hit $100K, it spent 6 months in a sideways range. Everyone was frustrated, saying the bull run was over. But what happened next? A massive rally. 📌 When BTC Hit $100K, Many Had Already Left By the time BTC made its big move, many had already quit or stayed sidelined, only returning when it was too late. Don’t repeat that mistake! Final Thoughts 💡 The market moves in cycles, and corrections are a natural part of every bull run. Instead of fighting reality, embrace it: ✔ As long as BTC holds major structure levels, we’re still in an uptrend. ✔ The best opportunities come when fear is high, not when everyone is euphoric. ✔ Patience always wins—those who stay through the tough times are the ones who make it. 💬 Do you think we’re still in a bull run, or do you believe the cycle has ended? Drop your thoughts in the comments! I’m Skeptic , and I provide market analysis & educational content. If you want to stay ahead of the trends, follow me for more insights! 🤍
Long
by SkepticWise
1
BTC at a Crossroads: Key Levels to Watch (95k–90k)What Time Horizon is Most Relevant? • Short-term (2H, 4H): A bearish bias is visible (MTTFI red), but sentiment indicators are low → This is the timeframe where one could attempt a scalp/swing rebound, provided a well-defined stop is placed below ~95k, for example. However, there is a high risk of being stopped out if the correction deepens. • Medium-term (12H, 1D): Still in an uptrend. It’s better to wait for a clear pullback towards support levels (MTTI: Long Term ~93–94k on 12H, 95–98k zone on AVWAP) or for an invalidation signal (a clear break below 89–90k). In practice, the wick below 95–96k or a break below 89k will be decisive. For a “safer” trade, many will wait for daily confirmation (e.g., a candlestick that strongly bounces above 95–96k) before positioning themselves. Key Support & Resistance Levels 1. Supports • 96k–98k: Support zone via Auto AVWAP (Low), short MA daily (~98.4k), and the baseline on 2H/4H. • 89k–90k: Critical level; below this, a deeper correction could follow (70k…). • Lower levels: 85k–80k, or even 73–75k (if a major liquidation event occurs). 2. Resistances • 99k–100k: Includes long MA 2H (99.16k) & short MA 4H (~99.4k) → A challenging zone to break in the short term. • 103–104k: HiAVWAP on 12H/1D. A breakout above this would confirm a new rally. • 110–115k: Potential targets if the uptrend resumes. Recommendations 1. General Convergence : The higher timeframes (12H, 1D) remain “bullish”; indicators are far from extreme overbought zones (ISPD < 0.97, RSI not too high). Therefore, a positive medium/long-term bias remains as long as 89–90k holds. 2. Short-term Divergence : The 2H/4H timeframes are under pressure (short MA < long MA). However, we see signs of “selling pressure exhaustion” (ISPD Div Pro < 0.3, Mason’s satisf ~0.20), suggesting a potential technical rebound if no major negative events (Trump, macroeconomic factors) emerge. 3. Strategy • Intraday (2H/4H): Possible “buy the dip” around 95–96k, with a tight stop loss below this level (or below 89k for a wider stop). Beware of volatility risk if geopolitical tensions escalate. • Swing / Position (12H/1D): Wait for confirmation of support in the 95–98k zone. If it holds and rebounds, target resistances at 99k and then 104k. Invalidation < 89k (deeper correction). • Monitor news flow: Tweets or announcements from Trump regarding tariffs can cause BTC to move sharply at the end of the US trading session. Conclusion Cross-referencing technical analysis with current events confirms a key area of focus around 95–90k. Despite the overall uptrend in higher timeframes (12H/1D), the short-term outlook (2H/4H) remains uncertain. Low satisfaction signals suggest being cautious of a possible rebound, but a break below 89–90k would likely push BTC/USDT into a more prolonged correction. Therefore, prudent risk management is essential.
Long
by Ox_kali
Bitcoin Intraday Thesis – February 10, 2025Market Context & Decision Current BTC price: $97,336 Position: HOLD BUY (Entry: $95,414) Target: $98,500 📈 | Stop-loss: $94,800 Key Insights 🔹 Bullish Sentiment – Financial data and historical trends suggest strong upward momentum. 🔹 Technical Indicators – Mixed signals, with BTC showing short-term overbought conditions, requiring caution. 🔹 Derivatives Data – Funding Rate: -0.02% (Slight negative bias, but not strongly bearish). Open Interest: 75,758 BTC (Healthy market activity). Price Expectations & Strategy 📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (80% Confidence) BTC pushes towards $98,500 if bullish sentiment continues. Strong historical & financial backing supports the upward move. 📊 Scenario 2: Short-Term Correction If BTC fails to break GETTEX:98K , overbought conditions may trigger a pullback. Support at $96K-$95K remains key for continued bullish structure. Conclusion HOLD BUY remains the optimal strategy. BTC likely to test $98,500, but traders should monitor support levels in case of volatility. Keep an eye on funding rates & open interest for further confirmation. 🚀 Will Bitcoin reach $98,500 or face a pullback? Let’s discuss! 👇
by titankarma
How to Set Up the Rainbow MG3 Indicator for BTC/USDT 📌 This week, trend consistency is aligned across D1, W, and M timeframes. We will follow the D1 cycle to trade BTC or use it as a guide for short-term Altcoin Scalping. 📌 At the same time, we anticipate the formation of the next bullish structure on W timeframe. The accumulation zone on W may form around $77K - $85K, as mentioned in my previous analysis. The next peak of the W/M cycle uptrend is projected to be around $140K. 🔥 Now, what’s the plan for BTC this week? Below is the setup guide for the Rainbow MG3 Indicator, to wait for BUY or SELL confirmations from BTC. 🟢 1. Short-Term BUY Setup on D1 ✅ Time Frame 1: M15 or H1 ✅ Time Frame 2: D1 ✅ Strategy: ⚡ Wait for a BUY signal on BTC for Scalping opportunities. 🔴 2. Mid-Term SELL Setup on W ✅ Time Frame 1: H1 or H4 ✅ Time Frame 2: W ✅ Strategy: 📉 Wait for a SELL signal on BTC once D1 completes its upward correction, following the W downtrend continuation. 🟢 3. Primary BUY Signal on W ✅ Time Frame 1: H1 or H4 ✅ Time Frame 2: W ✅ Strategy: 🚀 This is my key focus – a Swing BUY signal on BTC. 💎 Once confirmed, this signal will initiate the next bullish wave, including Altcoins that are ready to follow BTC's structure.
Long
by rainbow_sniper
Market overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, for bitcoin, we received a strong buyer's reaction from the resulting volume anomalies. By Monday evening, the price had already reached the important sell zone of $100,000-$103,000 (accumulated volumes). After that, we observed a correction for the first cryptocurrency. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? Now Bitcoin has approached the buyers' zone interest in the range of $95,000-$93,000 (the zone of volume anomalies), from which it’s natural to expect a reaction. It’s worth noting that the price decline was accompanied by weak volatility and low volumes, which indicates a possible rebound. We expect the development of a full-fledged upward movement. In the absence of growth, a test of the lower boundary of the global sideways trend is likely. Sell Zones: 📍 $98,000–$99,200 (local volume zone) 📍 $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: 📍 $95,000–$93,000 (volume anomalies) 📍 $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes) IMPORTANT DATES Macroeconomic events of the week: • Tuesday, February 11, 15:00 (UTC) — speech by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell; • Wednesday, February 12, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of US consumer price indices; • Wednesday, February 12, 15:00 (UTC) — speech by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell; • Thursday, February 13, 7:00 (UTC) — publication of UK GDP and German Consumer Price Index for January; • Thursday, February 13, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States, producer Price Index (PPI) USA for January; • Friday, February 14, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the base index and volume of retail sales in the United States for January. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin (BTC): Looking For $70K (Correction) - Are We Crazy?Now before we get into the details, bear in mind markets are in a mess, and we trade based on the current market structure. Yes, we've been talking about this zone for quite some time and while it might not happen, we are still aiming to see a bigger drop, which realistically would reach at least $82-$85K. Why do we put $70 as our major target? Well, during those volatile times, there can happen huge wicks (like we had on ETH recently). So, we are not yet ready to see a bullish movement for the coin and we are going to switch to a bullish view only once we see a proper breakout from current ATHs. Meanwhile, we are looking for a drop—markets are too weak, and the economy is in chaos... Swallow Team
Short
by SwallowAcademy
BTCUSD Swing Analysis Hello Traders Swing Structure is Bullish on HTF Price made a retracement to form a HL, on a HTF-POI and resulted into a MSS which is more clear on internal structure. Internal Structure is Bullish After the recent bullish BOS, I was able to identify Discounted prices for possible long positions targeting the newly created swing high. Detailed (Focusing on recent price action, Price has reacted to LTF POI identified and now I am waiting for MSS and a pull back to the market LTF-POI targeting the most recent internal swing high)
Long
by Ocean98
Stay patient!You should patiently wait for US inflation data this Wednesday @ 1:30 pm ET before making your next move. CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH have had stable weeks, whilst most altcoins have just bled continuously. The inflation print this Wednesday will influence the Fed's next interest rate decision and, more importantly, its stance on Quantitative Tightening vs. Quantitative Easing. If the FED ends Quantitative Tightening, this is very bullish because it suggests they will soon start Quantitative Easing. QE will be great for altcoins as it will increase the liquidity available and bid up lower caps and also coincide with CRYPTOCAP:BTC Dominance having a blowoff top last week. So stay patient better days may be coming!
Long
by CryptoJayTrades