BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTC - Liquidity Mapping to Predict MovementAs a part II to my previous post on “Bull Market OR Bearish Retest?” - Here is a 2 day liquidity map on BTC’s chart.
I’m anticipating a sharp drop to 7,000 - why is this number significant?
There is a mass amount of liquidity in the chart down towards 7,000-10,000.
This liquidity is in the form of long stop loss orders.
In layman’s terms - the sell orders required to take price to this extreme low are already within the chart. It is a pre-set consequence to traders decisions in a market dominated by leveraged buys and sells.
If we consider what the “floor” price of BTC is (IE all long term secured holders) - we first have to seperate out the leveraging liquidity used in the futures market.
How much of the BTC market cap is injected liquidity from futures / derivatives? In my view, anything above 7,000.
This liquidity can flow in and out, and the business and function behind it isn’t affected. This liquidity is extremely fluid. It can drop 90,000 and rise 90,000 shortly after without any affect on the fundamental value of Bitcoin.
Sure there is a psychological consequence with perceived value and market stability - but the fact is, leveraged liquidity can enter the market and leave the market with no impact at all on the wallets of market makers.
Food for thought - happy trading.
BTC - “Bull Market” OR Bearish Retest on HTF? Bitcoins excessive rise for the previous two years brings concern for the mechanics of this market. Moving only up for so long leaves much liquidity in the form of long position stop losses below the current price.
These stop loss orders, or leveraged sell orders, are an explosive chain reaction ready to set off.
Observe these two trendlines and copy them to your charts. These two bearish trendlines (in my view) are why bitcoin has truly been rising so freely.
Moves up in the form of bearish retests are fast and fluid, only after the rejection does price fall aggressively.
I anticipate two scenarios here in the realm of bearish ideas:
Possibility 1 - 30% Probability
96,700 to 34,500
34,500 retrace to 68,500
68,500 to 7,000
Possibility 2 - 70% Probability
96,700 to 43,000
43,000 retrace to 60,000
60,000 to 7,000
Note that both of these possibilities end with 7,000. I’m mapping out two routes that take us there, using confluences with trendlines, volume profiles, liquidity mapping, and common sense.
Be mindful of this possibility. And protect yourself accordingly.
BTC/USDT Quick Update – May 3BTC has seen a strong breakout and is showing good momentum, but we’re approaching a key resistance zone around $102,000 – so it's a good time to stay cautious.
Trend and momentum indicators still look bullish
RSI is nearing overbought territory
Watch price action and volume closely near resistance
No need to rush in here – let the chart guide you. Stay smart, stay patient.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #MarketUpdate
When nobody knows where #Bitcoin is heading, #quantumalgo see thI took a long on BTC / USDT on the 15-minute chart when my Quantum Algo flagged an oversold condition—both the CRL oscillator and price printed green dots at a fresh swing low—signaling momentum exhaustion and support confluence around 96 000 USDT. I entered near 96 020 with a tight stop just below the low, and set my profit target near the next major resistance at about 98 900, yielding an attractive risk-reward. Overall, the signal combined clear momentum reversal, structural support, and disciplined risk management to ride the anticipated next leg up.
Bitcoin Could Rise Toward Its All-Time High"Bitcoin Analysis:
If Bitcoin stabilizes around the $100,000 zone, it could continue its upward momentum and potentially reach new all-time highs. However, if the $98,000–$100,000 resistance range holds strong, we may see a price correction that could bring Bitcoin down to the $68,000 support level.
It’s also crucial to closely monitor macroeconomic factors such as the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate policies, the ongoing trade war, and potential economic recession in the U.S.—these factors can significantly influence Bitcoin’s price direction.
BTCUSDT to head towards 106kBTCUSDT is currently trading inside weekly resistance zone WR1 and currently holding inside this zone. However, since it has not been rejected outrightly from there showing the strength and a high probability of it breaking this resistance and moving to the upside towards 106k area. Later we can see pullback from there towards WR1+DS1 zone testing as support and then bounce again from there towards clear sky as depicted on the chart. This structure will also create a giant inverse head and shoulder fueling the upward move later on. However, those we will assess later after more price action is there. But for now, lets focus on this long trade from weekly resistance zone WR1 to 106k.
BITCOINSeveral factors could cap Bitcoin’s (BTC) upside this month (May 2025) despite its strong momentum near $97,000:
Volume Decline and Depleting Buying Momentum
Recent trading volume has been declining, suggesting weakening buying pressure. Without strong volume to confirm a breakout, rallies may stall or reverse, attracting bearish activity and limiting upward moves.
Profit-Taking After Sharp Rally
After surging roughly 24% from April lows , some investors may lock in profits, creating short-term selling pressure that caps gains.
Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Risks
Mixed economic data and ongoing macro jitters-such as trade tensions and tariff uncertainties-could trigger risk-off sentiment, reducing appetite for risk assets like Bitcoin and strengthening the US dollar, which often moves inversely to BTC.
ETF Inflows and Market Sentiment Volatility
While institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs have been strong, sudden shifts in sentiment or regulatory concerns around crypto products could cause volatility and limit sustained rallies.
Technical Indicators
Although technicals remain broadly bullish, Bitcoin must decisively break and hold above $96,230 with volume confirmation to sustain an upswing. Failure to do so could result in consolidation or pullbacks to support zones near $90,237 or lower
BITCOINSeveral factors could cap Bitcoin’s (BTC) upside this month (May 2025) despite its strong momentum near $97,000:
Volume Decline and Depleting Buying Momentum
Recent trading volume has been declining, suggesting weakening buying pressure. Without strong volume to confirm a breakout, rallies may stall or reverse, attracting bearish activity and limiting upward moves.
Profit-Taking After Sharp Rally
After surging roughly 24% from April lows , some investors may lock in profits, creating short-term selling pressure that caps gains.
Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Risks
Mixed economic data and ongoing macro jitters-such as trade tensions and tariff uncertainties-could trigger risk-off sentiment, reducing appetite for risk assets like Bitcoin and strengthening the US dollar, which often moves inversely to BTC.
ETF Inflows and Market Sentiment Volatility
While institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs have been strong, sudden shifts in sentiment or regulatory concerns around crypto products could cause volatility and limit sustained rallies.
Technical Indicators
Although technicals remain broadly bullish, Bitcoin must decisively break and hold above $96,230 with volume confirmation to sustain an upswing. Failure to do so could result in consolidation or pullbacks to support zones near $90,237 or lower
BTC to hit 98k in coming daysPrice cleared buyside liquidity on the daily and is currently heading for the bottom of the range. Below the bottom sell side liquidity is a 5 minute institutional candle which caused the previous weeks rally. Price to bounce of 96k and head towards 98k in the coming days. Trade carefully
BTCUSD 4H – Strong Buy Signal After Pivot Bounce | Targeting 96KBitcoin (BTC) is showing a strong bullish setup on the 4H chart, following a clean bounce from the pivot level around $94,103. This bounce was accompanied by a strong buy signal, increased volume, and an upward trend in RSI, confirming buyer momentum.
Key levels I'm watching:
Support: $94,100 (Pivot), $93,217
Resistance Targets: $94,989 (R1), $95,536 (R2), and $96,421 (R3)
The price action suggests a breakout toward R2 and possibly R3 in the coming sessions. A sustained close above R1 would confirm this move.
Strategy:
Ideal for a short-term swing trade setup — entry near $94,800, take profits near R2 & R3, and a stop-loss just below $93,200 for safety.
Indicators used:
Trendlines
Pivot Points
RSI (bullish crossover)
Volume Confirmation
Buy/Strong Buy Labels
Why aren't we growing now?Bitcoin will not be allowed to rise at the moment. First of all, there are two unfilled liquidity zones. Secondly, there is no catalyst for growth — such as positive news. We will definitely move toward the first liquidity zone. The second one might be reached after some time. Even if there is growth now, it will be a false, artificial rise created by whales. This is crypto — welcome.
What’s Next for Bitcoin?At the moment, we’re inside a broad consolidation range between 109,951 and 74,456, with the midpoint at 92,204. Based on this, we can see that price is currently trading near the upper boundary of the range — showing strength and aiming for a potential breakout toward a new ATH. Additionally, price remains above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which reinforces the bullish outlook. We’re also testing the upper band of VWAP, acting as resistance.
Personally, I’d prefer to short — but right now it’s simply not the time. If we try to assess the chart objectively, this is clearly a long setup with a target above 110,000. As for potential shorts: they only make sense if price drops below the midpoint — under 92,204. If we start to break down from that zone, then selling becomes viable, with the first target around 74,456 or even lower. Because in that case, price likely won’t stop at 74,456 — it may push significantly deeper.
BTC-----Sell around 96300, target 95300-95000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on May 2:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a medium-yang line yesterday, the K-line pattern was single-yin and single-yang, the price was at a high level, and the attached indicator was running in a golden cross. However, although the price broke through the high point yesterday, it did not continue. It is currently in a waving trend. In this way, we still have to look at the range shock trend in terms of trend, and the transaction is still high-altitude and low-multiple; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the US market rose and broke the high yesterday, and the price retreated under pressure in the early morning. The current K-line pattern is continuous and negative, and the attached indicator is running in a dead cross, so there is a high probability that there will be a demand for a decline during the day.
Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the current price of 96,300 area, stop loss at 96,800 area, the first target is 95,300 area, and the second target is 95,000 area;
To be one of the best in trading BTC - BTC HTF HL Hypothesis Price closed below the support-level on the 1D (red line) ----> price should come back to these lows.
Price closed above the resistance-level on the 1D (green line) ----> price should SFP the lows
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I expect (or should I say: hope?) price to do a MSB here, meaning: price coming below all that structure below the green level. This will provide a short setup to the dashed line where the TP and spot limit buy orders are 'rested'.
To be one of the best in trading BTC.