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BTC 2-4 Short / Tether

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BTC doing a 1.618 means altcoin season is on🔥 Why 1.618 on BTC = Altcoin Season Coming The 1.618 Fib extension is a common target for wave 3 or wave 5 in Elliott Wave theory. Once BTC hits it: Many traders start taking profit on BTC. That capital usually flows into ETH and major alts, then mid/small caps. BTC dominance often peaks or stalls after hitting 1.618, which historically signals: ETH/BTC starts rising Altcoins gain strength against BTC and USDT Retail and sidelined liquidity get attracted by BTC gains, but then chase faster % returns in alts. 🧠 Example Playbook BTC breaks out → Runs hard → Hits 1.618 (e.g., from last correction low to current high) ETH/BTC bottoms → ETH/USDT starts to run Majors like SOL, AVAX, MATIC, DOT follow Mid/small caps explode last (aka “altseason” proper)
Long
by DanielJamesP
BTC Cup & Handle Play? Calendar Outlook BTCUSDT Calendar Outlook (May–August 2025) May 1–4 Current Zone: $94K–$95K (testing cup rim resistance). Likely consolidation; possible final squeeze before pullback. May 5–12 – Reversal / Handle Formation High probability of short-term pullback into: $86,000–$79,000 (ideal handle zone). RSI cools down on daily, low-volume decline expected. Watch for bullish reversal candles, especially hammer or engulfing. May 13–20 – Breakout Window If BTC holds the handle support and reclaims $94K: Breakout confirmed above $95K with volume. Target 1 activates: $102,000 A daily close above $96K with strong volume = signal to re-enter or add. May 25–31 – Target 1 Zone BTC could reach $102,000, testing first measured resistance. Expect minor rejection or consolidation. RSI likely to re-enter overbought territory. June 10–20 – Target 2 Zone BTC pushes toward $110,000 if trend holds. Momentum from ETF inflows, miner accumulation, or macro risk-on can help. Partial profit-taking advised here based on risk. July – Consolidation or Extension If BTC holds above $100K, sideways action likely. Handle breakout confirms strong cup pattern. Watch for breakout of new short-term bull flag. August 1–20 – Target 3 Zone Full measured move of cup completes: $125,000–$130,000 Strong macro confirmation needed (e.g., Fed dovish, ETF flow continuation). Expect heavy resistance and possible macro topping structure. Bearish Scenarios to Watch May–June: Close below $79K = risk of deeper retrace. Hard Invalidation: Weekly close below $72,000 = cup and handle invalid. If $61,000 is revisited = long-term base rebuilding likely until Q4. What are your thoughts on "Sell in May - Walk away"? Cheers Mr Pine 🍍
Long
by MrPine
BTC ~ 1D CHART BREAKDOWNEXPLINATION : DIRECTIONAL BIAS Htf : Bullish Ltf : Bullish Eyeing on the Daily chart keeping a narrative of the past Price Action (PA ) we have a nice Sweap of the linear liqudiity buildup while a decent accpetance at the daily Volume Gap that satisfied the Net Auction bids sitting at market price before we saw a move to the Upside, Talking about the Current Price - Daily Reimbalance reclaimed labelled as ff+ (Imbalance Fulfilled) , Price is likely to have a momentum push to the upside with 2 key levels acting as Zone of interests : 1) 97293.7 2 ) 102634
by ahmad_07
BTC/USDT Analysis – Uncertainty is Growing Hi everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily market update. Yesterday, Bitcoin reached our ~$94,300 zone (abnormal cluster) and almost immediately showed a buying reaction on the 1H timeframe, but the local high wasn’t retested. Today, Bitcoin dropped more than 2% following the release of the U.S. GDP report, briefly piercing through the mentioned zone before quickly recovering the losses. At this point, we estimate the chances of breaking out of the current range at 50/50 — uncertainty is growing, and a stronger correction toward the $91,000 area is becoming increasingly likely, either from current levels or after another test of the recent high. Sell zones: $97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volume) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy zones: $91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance) $88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption) $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume) $82,700–$81,400 (volume area) Level at $74,800 $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume) What do you think will come first — a breakout above the high or a correction? Share your thoughts in the comments — it’ll be interesting to compare perspectives! This publication does not constitute financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
2
BTC-----Sell around 94000, target 92700 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 30: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday. The K-line pattern was a continuous positive single negative, and the price was still at a high level. The attached indicator was in a golden cross operation. Although the volume was shrinking, the price retracement could not be seen to continue at present, and the strength was relatively small. The price did not break the previous low point, so at present, the general trend remained bullish; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European and US prices continued to consolidate at a high level yesterday. The price began to fall under pressure in the early morning and continued in the morning. The current K-line pattern was a continuous negative, and the attached indicator was in a dead cross operation. Therefore, there is a high probability that there is still a demand for decline during the day. Pay attention to the low support position near the 92700 area below. Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 94000 area, stop loss at the 94500 area, and target the 92700 area;
Short
by Toml1314
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #77👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indexes. As usual, I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is still ranging, and volume has decreased compared to yesterday. In times like these when market volume is low, you need to pay closer attention. ✔️ Today, I’ve drawn an ascending trendline on the chart. When price performs very shallow corrections after an uptrend and each low is higher than the previous one, it indicates a very strong bullish trend. So if this trend continues, it can lead to some very attractive trade setups. 💥 As mentioned, volume is quite low today, and volatility is also lower than before. This means that most market participants are waiting to see what will happen before reacting. We should take the same approach and wait for our triggers to be activated. 📈 For a long position, it’s pretty clear that Bitcoin has a very important resistance at the 95370 level, which is currently the only long trigger. If you don’t have a position from lower levels, this is a very logical and attractive entry, and I suggest having a position ready if this level breaks. 📊 For a bearish scenario, we haven’t yet received confirmation, and we need to wait until at least the trendline is broken. After that, with the activation of a trendline trigger like the 93626 level, we can enter a short position. 👀 As I’ve said in previous analyses, I personally won’t open a short position unless Bitcoin reaches the 91945 level, as that’s my first confirmation for a trend reversal. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let’s check Bitcoin Dominance. The dominance range box continues, and yesterday it again moved upward from the 64.22 support and reached the range top at 64.60. ☘️ If you had opened a position on altcoins like ETH after their triggers activated yesterday, you probably hit stop-loss because of this dominance move. As dominance moved up after those triggers, capital flowed out of altcoins, causing many of them to fake out and fall back below their resistance. 📅 Total2 Analysis Now for Total2. Just like Bitcoin, Total2 is forming a range box, but it has significantly less bullish momentum. While Bitcoin has some upward slope during its range, Total2 is completely flat and oscillating between 1.03 and 1.05. ⚡️ Triggers for Total2 remain unchanged: breakout of 1.05 for bullish confirmation and 1.03 for bearish. But just like I mentioned that I won’t act on Bitcoin’s 93626 break and will wait for 91945, here I also won’t act on a 1.03 break—I’ll wait for confirmation below 1.00. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Let’s move to Tether Dominance. A new lower high has formed just below 5.14, and for now, I’ve adjusted the resistance level to 5.10, because as you can see, the price is reacting well to this area and we can use it as a trigger. 🧩 For a bearish USDT.D scenario (which would mean bullish for the market), breaking below 4.99 remains the key trigger. For a bullish USDT.D scenario, breaking above 5.10 would be the first confirmation of a shift in dominance upward. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
6
Bitcoin - Gearing Up for a Break Above Key ResistanceBitcoin has been grinding just below a key resistance zone, marked clearly around the 95,400–95,800 region. This area has seen multiple rejections in the past, making it a strong level where sellers are actively defending. Despite this, the broader trend structure remains intact to the upside, with price respecting a higher-timeframe ascending trendline and forming higher lows. Consolidation Structure Current price action shows a range developing just under resistance, with signs of weakening bullish momentum in the short term. We’ve had multiple wicks into the highs, but no convincing close above. On the flip side, there’s a visible support zone around 93,000–93,800, which has previously been used to absorb liquidity and fuel moves higher. This zone is confluenced by the ascending trendline from previous swing lows, offering a clear area for a liquidity sweep. Bullish/Bearish Scenarios In the short term, a pullback into the green support block looks likely. This would serve two purposes: sweep out late longs and provide fresh liquidity for a stronger bullish push. A dip into this level that still respects the trendline would maintain bullish structure despite violating the local higher low. If price holds this zone and begins forming higher lows again, we could see an impulsive move into and possibly through the resistance. A clean break and close above 95,800 would likely open the door for much higher prices, as the level has capped upside multiple times and a breakout would likely trigger stop orders and breakout buying. Failure to hold the green zone and the trendline, however, would break the short-term bullish structure and increase the probability of a deeper retracement, possibly invalidating the breakout thesis temporarily. Price Target and Expectations If the resistance breaks, the path toward 105,000 remains in play. That target aligns with the macro breakout structure and continuation from the trendline, supported by higher timeframe bullish sentiment. What do do now Watching for a pullback into 93,000–93,800 to see if liquidity is swept and support holds. No interest in chasing price into resistance. The key is to see how price reacts at the next low and then again at 95,800. If the pullback unfolds and buyers step in with momentum, that would provide the cleanest long opportunity into new highs. Conclusion The market looks poised for a short-term dip to rebalance liquidity before mounting a serious attempt to break a long-standing resistance zone. As long as the trendline is respected, the bullish structure is intact, and any sweep of local lows may offer a strong risk-reward entry for continuation toward 105k. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
46
Bitcoin (BTC): Nothing More Than Liquidity Hunting, Breakout?Bitcoin is still trading above the major resistance line but this does not mean that buyers took control over this zone. Nothing much has changed since yesterday; we had few liquidation hunts, but the price still remains close to the resistance. In order to get some more clarity, we need to see a proper breakout happen in the form of BOS or a strong selloff, which would lead the price back below the resistance zone. Honestly, seeing the struggle buyers have, we are looking more for that breakdown to happen! Swallow Academy
Short
by SwallowAcademy
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Flipped the Trend Line📊 Technical Analysis ● BTC keeps the $91 500 level. ● While it holds, the chart still points to $98 000 then $108 000.​ 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US spot-ETFs took in $591 M on 28 Apr, extending a six-day inflow streak that topped $3 B for the week.​ ● MicroStrategy added 15 355 BTC at ~$92 737, lifting corporate demand.​ ● Network hashrate set a 1 ZH/s ATH, underscoring security.​ ● Exchange balances sit at a seven-year low as coins move to cold storage. ● DXY is at 3-year lows and yields are down. ✨ Summary Persistent ETF inflows, corporate accumulation, record hashrate, shrinking float and a weaker USD reinforce the bullish setup; staying above $91 500 supports a run to $98–100 k. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2